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Tax Policy and Consumer Spending: Evidence from Japanese Fiscal Experiments
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES TAX POLICY AND CONSUMER SPENDING: EVIDENCE FROM JAPANESE FISCAL EXPERIMENTS Katsunori Watanabe Takayuki Watababe Tsutomu Watanabe Working Paper 7252 http://www.nber.org/papers/w7252 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 July 1999 This paper was presented at the NBER/TCER Japan Project Meeting held in Tokyo, October 29-30, 1998. We thank Fumio Hayashi for helpful conversations and suggestions, Alan Auerbach (our discussant at the conference) and other conference participants for helpful comments, and Tomoko Katagiri for research assistance. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and not those of the Bank of Japan or Hitotsubashi University or the National Bureau of Economic Research. © 1999 by Katsunori Watanabe, Takayuki Watababe, and Tsutomu Watanabe . All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. Tax Policy and Consumer Spending: Evidence from Japanese Fiscal Experiments Katsunori Watanabe, Takayuki Watababe, and Tsutomu Watanabe NBER Working Paper No. 7252 July 1999 JEL No. E21, H31 ABSTRACT This paper studies the extent to which the impact of tax policy on consumer spending differs between temporary and permanent, as well as anticipated and unanticipated tax changes. To discriminate between them, we use institutional information such as legal distinction between temporary and permanent tax changes, as well as timing of policy announcement and implementation. We find that the impact of temporary changes is significantly smaller than the impact of permanent changes. We also find that more than 80 per cent of Japanese consumers, including those who distinguish between temporary and permanent tax changes, respond to tax changes at the time of their implementation and not at the time of a policy announcement. -
What Role Does Consumer Sentiment Play in the U.S. Economy?
The economy is mired in recession. Consumer spending is weak, investment in plant and equipment is lethargic, and firms are hesitant to hire unemployed workers, given bleak forecasts of demand for final products. Monetary policy has lowered short-term interest rates and long rates have followed suit, but consumers and businesses resist borrowing. The condi- tions seem ripe for a recovery, but still the economy has not taken off as expected. What is the missing ingredient? Consumer confidence. Once the mood of consumers shifts toward the optimistic, shoppers will buy, firms will hire, and the engine of growth will rev up again. All eyes are on the widely publicized measures of consumer confidence (or consumer sentiment), waiting for the telltale uptick that will propel us into the longed-for expansion. Just as we appear to be headed for a "double-dipper," the mood swing occurs: the indexes of consumer confi- dence register 20-point increases, and the nation surges into a prolonged period of healthy growth. oes the U.S. economy really behave as this fictional account describes? Can a shift in sentiment drive the economy out of D recession and back into good health? Does a lack of consumer confidence drag the economy into recession? What causes large swings in consumer confidence? This article will try to answer these questions and to determine consumer confidence’s role in the workings of the U.S. economy. ]effre9 C. Fuhrer I. What Is Consumer Sentitnent? Senior Econotnist, Federal Reserve Consumer sentiment, or consumer confidence, is both an economic Bank of Boston. -
Will US Consumer Debt Reduction Cripple the Recovery?
McKinsey Global Institute March 2009 Will US consumer debt reduction cripple the recovery? McKinsey Global Institute The McKinsey Global Institute (MGI), founded in 1990, is McKinsey & Company’s economics research arm. MGI’s mission is to help business and government leaders develop a deeper understanding of the evolution of the global economy and provide a fact base that contributes to decision making on critical management and policy issues. MGI’s research is a unique combination of two disciplines: economics and management. By integrating these two perspectives, MGI is able to gain insights into the microeconomic underpinnings of the broad trends shaping the global economy. MGI has utilized this “micro-to-macro” approach in research covering more than 15 countries and 28 industry sectors, on topics that include productivity, global economic integration, offshoring, capital markets, health care, energy, demographics, and consumer demand. Our research is conducted by a group of full-time MGI fellows based in of fices in San Francisco, Washington, DC, London, and Shanghai. MGI project teams also include consultants drawn from McKinsey’s offices around the world and are supported by McKinsey’s network of industry and management experts and worldwide partners. In addition, MGI teams work with leading economists, including Nobel laureates and policy experts, who act as advisers to MGI projects. MGI’s research is funded by the par tners of McKinsey & Company and not commissioned by any business, government, or other institution. Further information about MGI and copies of MGI’s published reports can be found at www.mckinsey.com/mgi. Copyright © McKinsey & Company 2009 McKinsey Global Institute March 2009 Will US consumer debt reduction cripple the recovery? Martin N. -
Consumer Purchasing Behaviour and Environment Label - a Bibliography
Consumer Purchasing Behaviour and Environment Label - A Bibliography CERC-ENVIS RESOURCE PARTNER CONSUMER EDUCATION AND RESEARCH CENTRE, AHMEDABAD, INDIA. 1 Consumer Purchasing Behaviour and Environment Label: A Bibliography Sponsored by ENVIS (Environment Information System) Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change Government of India New Delhi Year 2018 Compiled by ENVIS Resource Partner on Environment Literacy - Eco-labelling and Eco-friendly Products ENVIS Team Dr. V.G. Patel Chairman, CERC Uday Mawani Chief Executive Officer and Project Coordinator Dr. Ashoka Ghosh Programme Officer Mr. Milan Soni Information Officer Ms. Priyanka Joshi Research Associate www.cercenvis.nic.in Consumer Education and Research Centre, Ahmedabad DISCLAIMER The Content of the publication is made available with the sole purpose of providing scientific information from secondary sources and is not meant for commercial use and purposes. The information provided has been obtained from various secondary sources and inputs, and while efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the content, CERC-ENVIS Resource Partner is not responsible for, and expressly disclaims all liability for damages of any kind arising out of use reference to, or reliance on such information. ECO- MAKE CONSUMERSLABELS g r e e n 2 Introduction In recent years the businesses are being encouraged to adopt more environmentally friendly business practices. Consumers are increasing today. The increase in consumer concern in relation to their surrounding natural environment has started to show off their consumption behaviour. It leads to the creation of a new group of consumers as the green consumers who prefer and are willing to buy these products. Consumers have different buying behaviour and these behaviours are constantly changing as a result of the availability of better alternatives to choose from. -
Ebook Consumer 4.0 Insights Feb21.PDF
TOWARDS CONSUMER 4.0 INSIGHTS AND OPPORTUNITIES UNDER THE MARKETING 4.0 SCENARIO EDITED BY : Maria Pilar Martinez-Ruiz, Monica Gomez-Suárez, Ana Jiménez-Zarco and Alicia Izquierdo-Yusta PUBLISHED IN : Frontiers in Psychology Frontiers eBook Copyright Statement About Frontiers The copyright in the text of individual articles in this eBook is the Frontiers is more than just an open-access publisher of scholarly articles: it is a property of their respective authors or their respective institutions or pioneering approach to the world of academia, radically improving the way scholarly funders. The copyright in graphics research is managed. The grand vision of Frontiers is a world where all people have and images within each article may be subject to copyright of other an equal opportunity to seek, share and generate knowledge. Frontiers provides parties. In both cases this is subject immediate and permanent online open access to all its publications, but this alone to a license granted to Frontiers. is not enough to realize our grand goals. The compilation of articles constituting this eBook is the property of Frontiers. Frontiers Journal Series Each article within this eBook, and the eBook itself, are published under The Frontiers Journal Series is a multi-tier and interdisciplinary set of open-access, the most recent version of the Creative Commons CC-BY licence. online journals, promising a paradigm shift from the current review, selection and The version current at the date of dissemination processes in academic publishing. All Frontiers journals are driven publication of this eBook is CC-BY 4.0. If the CC-BY licence is by researchers for researchers; therefore, they constitute a service to the scholarly updated, the licence granted by community. -
Consumer Culture and Purchase Behaviors
Inauguraldissertation zur Erlangung des akademischen Grades eines Doktors der Wirtschaftswissenschaften der Rechts- und Staatswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Ernst-Moritz-Arndt-Universität Greifswald LEHRSTUHL FÜR BETRIEBSWIRTSCHAFTSLEHRE, INSBESONDERE MARKETING Consumer Culture and Purchase Behaviors: Analyses of Anticipated regret, Variety-seeking and Quality-consciousness In Germany and Iran Vorgelegt von: Atieh Bathaee Koitenhäger Landstraße 11b Erstgutachter: Prof. Dr. Hans Pechtl Zweitgutachter: Prof. Dr. Steffen Fleßa Dekan: Prof. Dr. Steinrücke Greifswald, den 17. Februar 2014 Tag der Disputation, den 06. Mai 2014 i Detailed Contents: Index of Subjects Index of Figures Index of Tables Abbreviations and symbols Acknowledgements PART A INTRODUCTION 1 1. Research rationale and objectives 1 2. Research questions 3 3. Scope of the study 5 4. Research Structure 5 PART B THEORITICAL BACKGROUNDS 7 1. Culture and individual 7 1.1 The concept of culture 7 1.2 Components of culture: Typology of cultural values and dimensions 8 1.3 Levels of culture: Typology of Macro vs. micro-level culture 11 1.4 Focus on Individual-level culture: Boundaries of the concept 13 1.5 Dimensions at different levels: approaches in measurement and analysis 15 1.5.1 Measurement of cultural dimensions 15 1.5.2 Analysis of cultural dimensions 20 1.6 Hofstede’s dimensional model: Framework of independent variables 22 1.7 Cultural dimensions, behaviors and context 25 1.7.1 Task as a contextual element 27 1.7.2 Nationality as a contextual element 28 1.7.3 Demographic -
Understanding Chinese Consumers: Growth Engine of the World Special Edition
China consumer report 2021 Understanding Chinese Consumers: Growth Engine of the World Special edition 2020 November 2020 China consumer report 2021 Understanding Chinese Consumers: Growth Engine of the World Special edition Chief editors: Daniel Zipser, Felix Poh Authors: Antonio Achille, Caleb Balloch, Lambert Bu, Cherry Chen, Guang Chen, Lucille Chen, Will Enger, Johnny Ho, Xin Huang, Daniel Hui, Dymfke Kuijpers, Nick Leung, Lavonda Li, Joanna Mak, Joe Ngai, Felix Poh, David Pountney, Alex Sawaya, Steve Saxon , Jeongmin Seong, Sha Sha, Kay Tu, Jonathan Woetzel, Chenan Xia, Lei Xu, Hai Ye, Jackey Yu, Stefano Zerbi, Cherie Zhang, Jia Zhou, Daniel Zipser Managing editors: Glenn Leibowitz, Lin Lin, Zhijuan Lu Project management: Johnny Ho, Kay Tu, Pauline Chen, Hao Xu, Chloe Chan Copyright © 2020 McKinsey & Company China consumer report 2021 Understanding Chinese Consumers: Growth Engine of the World Special edition 2 China consumer report 2021 Contents Foreword 5 China: Still the world’s growth engine after COVID-19 Revving the engine: The COVID-19 impact 8 Fast forward China: How COVID-19 is accelerating 5 key 10 trends shaping the Chinese economy How COVID-19 has changed Chinese consumption 34 How Chinese consumers are changing shopping habits in 44 response to COVID-19 Winning the future of grocery retail in China 56 What can other countries learn from China’s travel recovery 68 path? A perspective on luxury goods companies during and after 80 coronavirus The driver’s seat: Leadership perspectives 88 Leading through a crisis: How McDonald’s -
2017 CONSUMER CULTURE THEORY CONFERENCE {Hyper}Reality and Cultural Hybridization
2017 CONSUMER CULTURE THEORY CONFERENCE {Hyper}Reality and Cultural Hybridization “Disneyland is presented as imaginary in order to make us believe that the rest is real, whereas all of Los Angeles and the America that surrounds it are no longer real, but belong to the hyperreal order and to the order of simulation.”- Jean Baudrillard Letter from the Chairs Consumer Culture Theory in the Era of Global Hybridity We are honored and privileged by your presence and participation in CCT2017. Located in Southern California, a region known for its natural beauty and close proximity to the Pacific Ocean – this is the home of the entertainment industry and tourism (Disneyland, Hollywood and Silicon Beach), multi-culturalism and advanced digital technologies. Understanding cultural complexities is a core feature of Consumer Culture Theory. As we come together in 2017 for the CCT conference, social and technological trends have brought cultural complexities to new heights. Globalization has intensified migration and diversified national populations; “serious” realms of life have become infused with elements of entertainment and reality TV shows; and new technologies such as virtual and augmented reality blur the line between fantasy and reality like never before. The 2017 conference aims to explore these and other cultural and social trends through its theme of Cultural Hybridization and Hyper-reality. The venue for CCT2017 — Disneyland— is ideally suited to foster discussion and our collective imagination. The post- suburban City of Angels embodies cultural hybridization through its ethnic diversity, and hyper-reality through its movie industry and technology sector that have pioneered virtual, augmented, and mixed reality environments. -
Global Convergence of Consumer Spending: Conceptualization and Propositions
This is a repository copy of Global convergence of consumer spending: Conceptualization and propositions. White Rose Research Online URL for this paper: http://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/140629/ Version: Accepted Version Article: Ozturk, A and Cavusgil, ST orcid.org/0000-0003-1947-492X (2019) Global convergence of consumer spending: Conceptualization and propositions. International Business Review, 28 (2). pp. 294-304. ISSN 0969-5931 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ibusrev.2018.10.002 © 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial No Derivatives 4.0 International License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). Reuse This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs (CC BY-NC-ND) licence. This licence only allows you to download this work and share it with others as long as you credit the authors, but you can’t change the article in any way or use it commercially. More information and the full terms of the licence here: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/ Takedown If you consider content in White Rose Research Online to be in breach of UK law, please notify us by emailing [email protected] including the URL of the record and the reason for the withdrawal request. [email protected] https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/ 1 GLOBAL CONVERGENCE OF CONSUMER SPENDING: CONCEPTUALIZATION AND PROPOSITIONS By Ayse Ozturk, University of Tennessee – Chattanooga S. Tamer Cavusgil, Georgia State University and University of Leeds Forthcoming in International Business Review Abstract The convergence versus divergence debate has persistently presented a puzzle in the scholarly literature. -
Is a Household Debt Overhang Holding Back Consumption?
KAREN DYNAN Brookings Institution Is a Household Debt Overhang Holding Back Consumption? ABSTRACT The recent plunge in U.S. home prices left many households that had borrowed voraciously during the credit boom highly leveraged, with very high levels of debt relative to the value of their assets. Analysts often assert that this “debt overhang” created a need for household deleveraging that, in turn, has been depressing consumer spending and impeding the economic recovery. This paper uses household-level data to examine this hypothesis. I find that highly leveraged homeowners had larger declines in spending between 2007 and 2009 than other homeowners, despite having smaller changes in net worth, suggesting that their leverage weighed on consumption above and beyond what would have been predicted by wealth effects alone. Results from regressions that control for wealth effects and other factors support the view that excessive leverage has contributed to the weakness in consumption. I also show that U.S. households, on the whole, have made limited progress in reducing leverage over the past few years. It may take many years for some households to reduce their leverage to precrisis norms. Thus, the effects of deleveraging may persist for some time to come. he bursting of the U.S. housing bubble inflicted enormous damage on Thousehold finances. Besides contributing to a significant decline in the net worth of homeowners, the plunge in home prices left many of those who had borrowed voraciously during the credit boom highly leveraged, meaning that they had very high levels of debt relative to the value of their assets. -
Household Heterogeneity and Aggregate Consumer Spending” at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on May 14, 2012
What’s Been Weighing on Consumption? An Overview of the Recent Experiences of Different Types of Households1 Karen Dynan Brookings Institution May 2012 When most economists think about consumer spending, they start by thinking about an individual household. A household’s spending patterns depend on its economic environment. That environment includes the household’s income, its wealth, and the return to saving it faces. It also includes the household’s ability to borrow and the uncertainty about its future income and spending needs. In addition, the household’s spending depends on its preferences—such as its patience and aversion to risk—and any behavioral limitations for the household—such as an inability to plan effectively. The intuitive appeal of this framework makes it a natural starting point for analyzing aggregate consumer spending. Empirical models of consumption commonly start from an implicit assumption that a single representative household accounts for all spending, so that aggregate consumption depends on aggregate income, aggregate wealth, the average interest rate for the economy as a whole, and so on. Such models are not only straightforward to specify but also convenient from a practical point of view because U.S. statistical agencies publish timely estimates of those data at a quarterly frequency. Of course, it is widely understood that the results from such models only approximately describe the actual dynamics of aggregate consumption. The actual dynamics reflect the choices of millions of heterogeneous households—households that face very different economic circumstances and have different preferences. Therefore, a key question for analysts and policymakers is whether empirical models of aggregate consumption based on the representative household framework produce only small errors or could be astray in more significant ways. -
Perspectives on Retail and Consumer Goods
Perspectives on retail and consumer goods Number 8, August 2020 Perspectives on retail and consumer Editorial Board Copyright © 2020 McKinsey & goods is written by experts and Raphael Buck, Becca Coggins, Company. All rights reserved. practitioners in McKinsey & Pavlos Exarchos, Tracy Francis, Company’s Retail and Consumer Jan Henrich, Greg Kelly, Sajal Kohli, This publication is not intended to Goods practices, along with other Paul McInerney, Tobias Wachinger, be used as the basis for trading in McKinsey colleagues. Daniel Zipser the shares of any company or for undertaking any other complex or To send comments or request copies, Senior Content Directors significant financial transaction email us: McKinsey_on_Consumer@ Greg Kelly, Sajal Kohli, without consulting appropriate McKinsey.com Tobias Wachinger, Daniel Zipser professional advisers. Cover Photography Project Managers No part of this publication may be © Images By Tang Ming Tung/ Julia Büntig, Anja Weissgerber copied or redistributed in any form Getty Images without the prior written consent of Contributing Editors McKinsey & Company. Colin Douglas, Tom Fleming, Bill Javetski, Cait Murphy, Monica Toriello Art Direction and Design Leff Data Visualization Richard Johnson, Jonathon Rivait Editorial Production Elizabeth Brown, Roger Draper, Gwyn Herbein, Pamela Norton, Katya Petriwsky, Charmaine Rice, John C. Sanchez, Dana Sand, Sneha Vats, Pooja Yadav, Belinda Yu Contents Consumer insights Consumer goods industry Retail industry 6 Consumer sentiment is evolving 62 What got us here