Discerning the Determinants of Ethnic Repression in the Former Soviet Union
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Discerning the Determinants of Ethnic Repression in the Former Soviet Union Item Type text; Electronic Thesis Authors Hodgin, David Tyler Publisher The University of Arizona. Rights Copyright © is held by the author. Digital access to this material is made possible by the University Libraries, University of Arizona. Further transmission, reproduction, presentation (such as public display or performance) of protected items is prohibited except with permission of the author. Download date 01/10/2021 15:00:30 Link to Item http://hdl.handle.net/10150/642140 DISCERNING THE DETERMINANTS OF ETHNIC REPRESSION IN THE FORMER SOVIET UNION By David Tyler Hodgin __________________________________ Copyright © David Tyler Hodgin 2020 A Thesis Submitted to the Faculty of the DEPARTMENT OF RUSSIAN AND SLAVIC STUDIES In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements For the Degree of MASTERS OF ARTS In the Graduate College THE UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA 2020 2 3 Table of Contents Abstract………………………………………………………………………………………....4 Introduction……………………………………………………………………………………..5 Conceptualizing Ethnicity and Repression…………………….……………………………….6 The Argument for Collective Memory & Cultural Identity…………………………………....12 Consociational and Centripetal Ethnic Systems……………………………………………….16 The Primordialist, Constructivist, and Instrumentalist Approaches…………………………...19 Data Sets…………………………………………………………………………………….…22 CIRI…………………………………………………………………………………....22 EPR…………………………………………………………………………………….23 Case Selection ………………………………………………………………………………....25 Comparative Analysis …………………………………………………………………………28 Kazakhstan…………………………………………………………………………….29 Latvia………………………………………………………………………….……….41 Estonia…………………………………………………………………………………48 Ukraine………………………………………………………………………………...54 Cross Analysis…………………………………………………………………………………60 Discussion and Conclusion……………………………………………………………...……..63 Appendix…………………………………………………………………………………..…..66 References…………………………………………………………………………………..…72 4 Abstract The collapse of the Soviet Union brought undeniably drastic changes to the stability of the ethnic landscape across the Former Soviet Union (FSU). Consequently, in the effort to establish new national ideas, FSU states have largely promulgated policy centered around the promotion of the state's historical ethnic group. As a result, states have begun to repress ethnic groups under various pretexts. The onset of state sponsored ethnic repression has been relatively ignored in modern conflict scholarship. Accordingly, this project constructs a theoretical framework to analyze the determinants and consequences of repressing ethnic-Russians repression in post- Soviet Kazakhstan, Latvia, Estonia, and Ukraine. The ethnic make-up, strength of democratic institutions, and human rights track records of the Former Soviet Union (FSU) states provide preliminary evidence as to how the treatment of ethnic-Russians has evolved over the last thirty years. Current findings suggest, that even strong democratic institutions in the FSU may not protect ethnic groups from experiencing violations of physical integrity rights or linguistic and cultural repression. Additionally, the FSU states inability to reconcile their Soviet era grievances has led to the development of anti-Russian sentiments embedded into their national ideas. 5 Introduction Nearly thirty years ago, the collapse of the Soviet Union radically shifted the configuration and political landscape of Eurasia and Eastern Europe. The dissolution of the Soviet Union resulted in the complete collapse of the regional economy, leaving the new sovereigns in an extremely precarious situation. Additionally, ethnic discord throughout the former Soviet Union plunged a number of former Soviet Union (FSU) states into various ethnic conflicts. Now, in 2020, the economies of the FSU countries have rebounded, however, for many of these states, ethnic disharmony, repression, and conflict, remain unresolved issues. Interestingly, various FSU states have engaged in physical integrity rights violations through repression of the ethnic-Russian minority within their borders. However, the rationale behind states indiscriminately repressing ethnic-Russians in the FSU remains largely unexplored. As a result, this study poses a series of theoretical explanations and arguments to examine possible determinants of ethnic repression. Additionally, this study applies those same theoretical arguments as a means to explore repression of ethnic-Russians in FSU states. To overcome the dearth of previous scholarship concerning the onset of ethnic repression, it is necessary to construct theoretical foundations bridging various fields of study. First, borrowing from the sociological and historiographical school of collective memory and cultural identity, this study considers how the failure of governments in Kazakhstan, Latvia, Estonia, and Ukraine to internally conciliate Soviet era repressions, has resulted in the appearance of anti-Russian sentiment and repression of ethnic-Russians. Second, integrating scholarship from the field of nationalist studies, this project discusses the applicability of the primordialist, instrumentalist, and constructivist theories of ethnicity, as a means to identify potential causes of ethnic repression. Finally, this study explores the dynamic situation of ethnic- 6 Russians in post-Soviet Kazakhstan, Latvia, Estonia, and Ukraine with the aim of discerning the mechanisms by which these governments decide to repress ethnic-Russians. In total, this chapter hopes to isolate initial answers to the following questions: 1) Under what conditions does a state decide to repress an ethnic group? 2) What mechanisms in the post-Cold War era cause ethnic-Russians to face repression in Former Soviet Union states? 3) Why have the Republics of Kazakhstan, Latvia, Estonia, and Ukraine adopted an anti-Russian and anti-ethnic-Russian stance, and subsequently decided to repress ethnic- Russians more intensely than other marginalized ethnic groups? 4) Which mechanisms do states adopt to try to avoid the use of repression? To corroborate support for the claims of this study, I gathered data from official state documents from the Republics Kazakhstan, Latvia, Estonia, and Ukraine. The primary goals of collecting these data are to analyze the use of specific language and phrases by governments to indicate aversion to ethnic-Russians or the Russian Federation. In addition to data from official state documents, this study uses news reports and available Demographic and Health Survey data to further explore potential mechanisms of ethnic repression. Moreover, it is necessary to consider population statistics to pinpoint the impacts of various repressive policies, such forced migration, on the Russian population in the FSU region. Both census data from respective countries and a cross-check using the Ethnic Power Relations (EPR) Data set account for population statistics in the analyzed countries. 7 Conceptualizing Ethnicity and Repression Finding an agreed-upon definition to the category "ethnic group" is one of the most contentious and persistent questions in scholarship. Accordingly, this project combines two closely related definitions of ethnicity and ethnic group. First, in line with Milton Yinger, an ethnic group may be defined as a division of a larger society "whose members are thought, by themselves and/or others, to have a common origin, to share important segments of a common culture and who participate in shared activities in which the common origin and culture are significant ingredients" (1985, pg. 159). Additionally, I use Donald Horowitz's definition of ethnic group, which is as follows: "Ethnic groups are defined by ascriptive differences, whether the indicium is color, appearance, language, religion, some other indicator of common origin, or some combination thereof" (1985, pg. 17). As a result of combining these two definitions, this study defines an ethnic group on the foundation of attributable similarities in which the members of a group identify themselves and dissimilarities that the members of a group use to separate their group's unique qualities from others. An ethnic group's identity is a medium by which even small groups are able to mobilize for, or against a cause. Moreover, Horowitz's argues that a sense of “fictile kinship” is the driving force behind an ethnic groups' acceptance or aversion to other groups' norms.1 According to Williams (1994), since the end of the World War II, half of the world's states have, or are currently, experiencing some form of ethnic conflict. Additionally, Williams (1994) finds that eighty percent of deaths from political violence have been domestic to nation- states. Furthermore, while it is not possible to assume all domestic conflict occurring in Williams' time frame has directly resulted from ethnicity or ethnic groups, Gurr (1993) 1 As Horowitz (1985) explains, fictile kinship is a group characteristic which ascribes a false sense of blood relation to other people based on similar looks, beliefs, or cultural practices. 8 substantiates the fact that between 1950 and 1989, ethnic minorities engaging in violent protest increased by over 400%. In addition, ethnic minorities engaging in non-violent protest increased by over 200%, and finally, rebellion by ethnic minority groups increased by nearly 400%. Given the sizable increase of a state’s chance to experience some form of ethnic conflict, one may assume that state repression versus an ethnic group, in part, gives rise to the mobilization of the dissident ethnic groups. Defining