International Gold Standard and U.S. Moentary Policy from World War I To
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Uncertainty and Hyperinflation: European Inflation Dynamics After World War I
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SAN FRANCISCO WORKING PAPER SERIES Uncertainty and Hyperinflation: European Inflation Dynamics after World War I Jose A. Lopez Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Kris James Mitchener Santa Clara University CAGE, CEPR, CES-ifo & NBER June 2018 Working Paper 2018-06 https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/working-papers/2018/06/ Suggested citation: Lopez, Jose A., Kris James Mitchener. 2018. “Uncertainty and Hyperinflation: European Inflation Dynamics after World War I,” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper 2018-06. https://doi.org/10.24148/wp2018-06 The views in this paper are solely the responsibility of the authors and should not be interpreted as reflecting the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco or the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Uncertainty and Hyperinflation: European Inflation Dynamics after World War I Jose A. Lopez Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Kris James Mitchener Santa Clara University CAGE, CEPR, CES-ifo & NBER* May 9, 2018 ABSTRACT. Fiscal deficits, elevated debt-to-GDP ratios, and high inflation rates suggest hyperinflation could have potentially emerged in many European countries after World War I. We demonstrate that economic policy uncertainty was instrumental in pushing a subset of European countries into hyperinflation shortly after the end of the war. Germany, Austria, Poland, and Hungary (GAPH) suffered from frequent uncertainty shocks – and correspondingly high levels of uncertainty – caused by protracted political negotiations over reparations payments, the apportionment of the Austro-Hungarian debt, and border disputes. In contrast, other European countries exhibited lower levels of measured uncertainty between 1919 and 1925, allowing them more capacity with which to implement credible commitments to their fiscal and monetary policies. -
Free Silver"; Montana's Political Dream of Economic Prosperity, 1864-1900
University of Montana ScholarWorks at University of Montana Graduate Student Theses, Dissertations, & Professional Papers Graduate School 1969 "Free silver"; Montana's political dream of economic prosperity, 1864-1900 James Daniel Harrington The University of Montana Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarworks.umt.edu/etd Let us know how access to this document benefits ou.y Recommended Citation Harrington, James Daniel, ""Free silver"; Montana's political dream of economic prosperity, 1864-1900" (1969). Graduate Student Theses, Dissertations, & Professional Papers. 1418. https://scholarworks.umt.edu/etd/1418 This Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate School at ScholarWorks at University of Montana. It has been accepted for inclusion in Graduate Student Theses, Dissertations, & Professional Papers by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks at University of Montana. For more information, please contact [email protected]. "FREE SILVER MONTANA'S POLITICAL DREAM OF ECONOMIC PROSPERITY: 1864-19 00 By James D. Harrington B. A. Carroll College, 1961 Presented in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts UNIVERSITY OF MONTANA 1969 Approved by: Chairman, Board of Examiners . /d . Date UMI Number: EP36155 All rights reserved INFORMATION TO ALL USERS The quality of this reproduction is dependent upon the quality of the copy submitted. In the unlikely event that the author did not send a complete manuscript and there are missing pages, these will be noted. Also, if material had to be removed, a note will indicate the deletion. UMT Disaartation Publishing UMI EP36155 Published by ProQuest LLC (2012). Copyright in the Dissertation held by the Author. -
Gold As a Store of Value
WORLD GOLD COUNCIL GOLD AS A STORE OF VALUE By Stephen Harmston Research Study No. 22 GOLD AS A STORE OF VALUE Research Study No. 22 November 1998 WORLD GOLD COUNCIL CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ..............................................................................3 THE AUTHOR ..............................................................................................4 INTRODUCTION..........................................................................................5 1 FIVE COUNTRIES, ONE TALE ..............................................................9 1.1 UNITED STATES: 1796 – 1997 ..................................................10 1.2 BRITAIN: 1596 – 1997 ................................................................14 1.3 FRANCE: 1820 – 1997 ................................................................18 1.4 GERMANY: 1873 – 1997 ............................................................21 1.5 JAPAN: 1880 – 1997....................................................................24 2 THE RECENT GOLD PRICE IN RELATION TO HISTORIC LEVELS....28 2.1 THE AVERAGE PURCHASING POWER OF GOLD OVER TIME ................................................................................28 2.2 DEMAND AND SUPPLY FUNDAMENTALS ............................31 3 TOTAL RETURNS ON ASSETS ..........................................................35 3.1 CUMULATIVE WEALTH INDICES: BONDS, STOCKS AND GOLD IN THE US 1896-1996 ....................................................35 3.2 COMPARISONS WITH BRITAIN ..............................................38 -
Going Dutch: the Management of Monetary Policy in the Netherlands During the Interwar Gold Standard
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Colvin, Christopher L.; Fliers, Philip Working Paper Going Dutch: The management of monetary policy in the Netherlands during the interwar gold standard QUCEH Working Paper Series, No. 2019-03 Provided in Cooperation with: Queen's University Centre for Economic History (QUCEH), Queen's University Belfast Suggested Citation: Colvin, Christopher L.; Fliers, Philip (2019) : Going Dutch: The management of monetary policy in the Netherlands during the interwar gold standard, QUCEH Working Paper Series, No. 2019-03, Queen's University Centre for Economic History (QUCEH), Belfast This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/200505 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu QUCEH WORKING PAPER SERIES http://www.quceh.org.uk/working-papers GOING DUTCH: THE MANAGEMENT OF MONETARY POLICY IN THE NETHERLANDS DURING THE INTERWAR GOLD STANDARD Christopher L. -
Records of the Immigration and Naturalization Service, 1891-1957, Record Group 85 New Orleans, Louisiana Crew Lists of Vessels Arriving at New Orleans, LA, 1910-1945
Records of the Immigration and Naturalization Service, 1891-1957, Record Group 85 New Orleans, Louisiana Crew Lists of Vessels Arriving at New Orleans, LA, 1910-1945. T939. 311 rolls. (~A complete list of rolls has been added.) Roll Volumes Dates 1 1-3 January-June, 1910 2 4-5 July-October, 1910 3 6-7 November, 1910-February, 1911 4 8-9 March-June, 1911 5 10-11 July-October, 1911 6 12-13 November, 1911-February, 1912 7 14-15 March-June, 1912 8 16-17 July-October, 1912 9 18-19 November, 1912-February, 1913 10 20-21 March-June, 1913 11 22-23 July-October, 1913 12 24-25 November, 1913-February, 1914 13 26 March-April, 1914 14 27 May-June, 1914 15 28-29 July-October, 1914 16 30-31 November, 1914-February, 1915 17 32 March-April, 1915 18 33 May-June, 1915 19 34-35 July-October, 1915 20 36-37 November, 1915-February, 1916 21 38-39 March-June, 1916 22 40-41 July-October, 1916 23 42-43 November, 1916-February, 1917 24 44 March-April, 1917 25 45 May-June, 1917 26 46 July-August, 1917 27 47 September-October, 1917 28 48 November-December, 1917 29 49-50 Jan. 1-Mar. 15, 1918 30 51-53 Mar. 16-Apr. 30, 1918 31 56-59 June 1-Aug. 15, 1918 32 60-64 Aug. 16-0ct. 31, 1918 33 65-69 Nov. 1', 1918-Jan. 15, 1919 34 70-73 Jan. 16-Mar. 31, 1919 35 74-77 April-May, 1919 36 78-79 June-July, 1919 37 80-81 August-September, 1919 38 82-83 October-November, 1919 39 84-85 December, 1919-January, 1920 40 86-87 February-March, 1920 41 88-89 April-May, 1920 42 90 June, 1920 43 91 July, 1920 44 92 August, 1920 45 93 September, 1920 46 94 October, 1920 47 95-96 November, 1920 48 97-98 December, 1920 49 99-100 Jan. -
Papers of George Gavan Duffy
Private Sources at the National Archives Papers of George Gavan Duffy 1882–1951 1125 1 George Gavan Duffy 1882–1951 ACCESSION NO. 1125 DESCRIPTION Correspondence, secret memoranda and reports received by George Gavan Duffy at the Delegation of elected representatives of the Irish Republic while in Paris and Rome. 1918–1921 Correspondence and reports received by, and sent by George Gavan Duffy, Berlin, Paris and Rome (1918) 1919–1921 (1922) Draft of 1922 Constitution with emendations. DATE OF ACCESSION September 1982 November 1984 PROVENANCE Colm Gavan Duffy ACCESS Open 2 This collection was received in three parts which accounts for three fronting pages within this list. The three parts have kept separate and no attempt has been made to move items from one section to another. This collection of personal papers is of paramount importance for those wishing to understand political development s within Ireland and concerning Ireland from the periods 1918–1922. 3 ACCESSION NO. 1125 DESCRIPTION Correspondence, secret memoranda and reports received by George Gavan Duffy at the Delegation of elected representatives of the Irish Republic while in Paris and Rome. 1918–1921 DATE OF ACCESSION September 1982 PROVENANCE Colm Gavan Duffy ACCESS Open 4 This collection was presented to the Public Record Office in two ring binders. As no order, other than a rough chronological one, was apparent within the binders the material was separated and placed in new classifications. This has ensured that, as far as is possible, incomplete letters separated within the binders have now been joined together. For this reason it was impossible to believe that the order was original or the work of George Gavan Duffy himself. -
Currency Devaluations and Beggar‐
Economic History Review, 0, 0 (2019), pp. 1–25 Currency devaluations and beggar-my-neighbour penalties: evidence from the 1930s† ∗ ByTHILON.H.ALBERS The currency devaluations of the 1930s facilitated a faster recovery from the Great Depression in the countries depreciating, but their unilateral manner provoked retaliatory and discriminatory commercial policies abroad. This article explores the importance of the retaliatory motive in the imposition of trade barriers by gold bloc countries during the 1930s and its effects on trade. Relying on new and existing datasets on the introduction of quotas, tariffs, and bilateral trade costs, the quantification of the discriminatory response suggests that these countries imposed significant beggar-my-neighbour penalties. The penalties reduced trade to a similar degree that modern regional trade agreements foster trade. Furthermore, the analysis of contemporary newspapers reveals that the devaluations of the early 1930s triggered an Anglo-French trade conflict marked by tit-for-tat protectionist policies. With regards to global trade, the unilateral currency depreciations came at a high price in political and economic terms. These costs must have necessarily reduced their benefit to the world as a whole. he currency depreciations of the 1930s were a precondition for recovery T from the Great Depression. While their effect on the initiating countries was unquestionably positive, their deflationary effect on those who stayed on the gold standard prevented them from being beneficial in a strictly Paretian sense.1 Furthermore, they had strong implications for trade policy. Policymakers in other countries perceived the widespread exit from gold in 1931 as a commercial policy tool.2 French policymakers took the lead, retaliating by targeting their own commercial policy weapons specifically at those countries that had left the gold ∗Author’s Affiliation: Humboldt Universitat¨ zu Berlin, Germany. -
Once Upon a Time, 100 Years Ago in NAIC History…
Once Upon a Time, 100 Years Ago in NAIC History… 1919: When world events and insurance collide 1919 was the end of the influenza pandemic, the most severe pandemic of any in recent history. Mortality was high in almost every age group, resulting in an estimated 50 million deaths worldwide. This, in turn, created heavy and unexpected burdens on life, accident and health insurance companies. A paper “The Effect of Influenza on Insurance” prepared by the Honorable Burton Mansfield, Insurance Commissioner of Connecticut and Thomas F. Tarbell, Actuary for the Connecticut Department, was presented during the Proceedings of the National Convention of Insurance Commissioners in September 1919. The Effect of Influenza on Insurance, 1919 NAIC Proceedings, pgs. 302-311 1 Tarbell’s report was also widely published and distributed in other insurance publications at the time, such as The Eastern Underwriter (Sept. 12, 1919) and The Spectator (Sept. 18, 1919). The Eastern Underwriter The Spectator The Effect of Influenza on Insurance: Report Background & Major Findings A circular letter was sent out to 32 life insurance companies doing business in the state of Connecticut to collect statistics on the effect of influenza upon mortality. Mr. Tarbell’s investigation was divided into three parts based on claims incurred during the same six periods dated October 1, 1915 – March 31, 1919: 1. The effect of influenza upon mortality and sickness 2. The effect of influenza upon the increase in new business 3. The effect of influenza upon premium rates 2 It was estimated that there was a 25% increase over the normal rate of mortality due to influenza, as respects to claims incurred up to December 31st, 1918. -
China Economic Issues
China Economic Issues Number 7/07, November 2007 The Potential of the Renminbi as an International Currency Hongyi Chen and Wensheng Peng This paper assesses the potential significance of the renminbi as an international currency by drawing on the experiences of the other major currencies. We estimate an empirical model relating currency shares of reserve holdings to economic determinants such as the size of the economy and financial market, stability of the currency value and network externalities. A counter-factual simulation of the model using China’s data suggests that the renminbi’s potential as a reserve currency could be comparable to that of the British pound and Japanese yen if the currency were to become fully convertible today. An international currency is ultimately a market choice, but government policies on currency convertibility can facilitate or inhibit the process. In this respect, the authorities need to weigh the benefits and risks associated with an international role of the renminbi in policy formulation and implementation. As the size of the economy and financial market increases and the monetary policy framework including exchange rate flexibility becomes more firmly established, the benefits should increasingly dominate costs. The potential international role of the renminbi and associated benefits and costs should be part of policy considerations on the pace and form of financial liberalisation and capital account opening. Hong Kong, being an international financial centre of China, can play an important role in the development and opening up of the Mainland financial market. The renminbi business in Hong Kong provides a testing ground for the use of the renminbi outside Mainland China. -
Q3-Q4/16 – Two Centuries of Currency Policy in Austria
Two centuries of currency policy in Austria This paper is devoted to currency policies in Austria over the last 200 years, attempting to Heinz Handler1 sketch historical developments and uncover regularities and interconnections with macroeco- nomic variables. While during the 19th century the exchange rate resembled a kind of technical relation, since World War I (WW I) it has evolved as a policy instrument with the main objec- tives of controlling inflation and fostering productivity. During most of the 200-year period, Austrian currencies were subject to fixed exchange rates, in the form of silver and gold standards in the 19th century, as a gold-exchange standard and hard currency policy in much of the 20th century, and with the euro as the single currency in the early 21st century. Given Austria’s euro area membership, national exchange rate policy has been relinquished in favor of a common currency which itself is floating vis-à-vis third currencies. Austria’s predilection for keeping exchange rates stable is due not least to the country’s transformation from one of Europe’s few great powers (up to WW I) to a small open economy closely tied to the large German economy. JEL classification: E58, F31, N13, N14, N23, N24 Keywords: currency history, exchange rate policy, central bank, Austria When the privilegirte oesterreichische versus flexible exchange rates. During National-Bank (now Oesterreichische most of the period considered here, Nationalbank – OeNB)2 was chartered Austrian currencies were subject to in 1816, the currency systems of major fixed exchange rates, in the form of sil- nations were not standardized by any ver and gold standards in the 19th cen- formal agreement, although in practice tury, as a gold-exchange standard in a sort of specie standard prevailed. -
19Th Amendment
19th Amendment It was a continuous, “ seemingly endless, chain of activity. Young suffragists who helped forge the last links of that chain were not born when it began. Old suffragists who forged the first links were dead Tennessee’s Ratification of the Nineteenth Amendment, August 18, 1920 when it ended. National Archives, General Records of the United States Government — Carrie Chapman Catt and Nettie Rogers Shuler Nineteenth Amendment to the United States Constitution, June 4, 1919 National Archives, General Records of the United States Government ” The ratification of the 19th Amendmentwas a landmark moment in American Upon the word that Tennessee had ratified, Alice Paul unfurled the Woman’s history that dramatically changed the electorate. It enshrined in the United States Party ratification banner with its thirty-six stars, August 18, 1920 Courtesy of the Library of Congress Constitution fuller citizenship for women and a more expansive democracy for the nation. “ The right of citizens of the United States to vote shall not be denied or abridged by the United States or by any State on account of sex.” — 19th Amendment, August 18, 1920 NH UT CA ME ND SD CO MT NE MN KY RI MO AR OR IN TX IA WY MA NV OH PA NJ NY KS ID MI AZ IL WI NM OK WV Why is Tennessee’s ratification of the 19th amendment significant? WA TN After Congress passed and proposed a end of March 1920 only one additional state woman suffrage amendment, three-fourths was needed for ratification. On August 18, or 36 states at that time, had to ratify the 1920, after calling a special session of the 19th Amendment before it could be added state legislature, Tennessee became the to the Constitution. -
The War of Independence in County Kilkenny: Conflict, Politics and People
The War of Independence in County Kilkenny: Conflict, Politics and People Eoin Swithin Walsh B.A. University College Dublin College of Arts and Celtic Studies This dissertation is submitted in part fulfilment of the Master of Arts in History July 2015 Head of School: Dr Tadhg Ó hAnnracháin Supervisor of Research: Professor Diarmaid Ferriter P a g e | 2 Abstract The array of publications relating to the Irish War of Independence (1919-1921) has, generally speaking, neglected the contributions of less active counties. As a consequence, the histories of these counties regarding this important period have sometimes been forgotten. With the recent introduction of new source material, it is now an opportune time to explore the contributions of the less active counties, to present a more layered view of this important period of Irish history. County Kilkenny is one such example of these overlooked counties, a circumstance this dissertation seeks to rectify. To gain a sense of the contemporary perspective, the first two decades of the twentieth century in Kilkenny will be investigated. Significant events that occurred in the county during the period, including the Royal Visit of 1904 and the 1917 Kilkenny City By-Election, will be examined. Kilkenny’s IRA Military campaign during the War of Independence will be inspected in detail, highlighting the major confrontations with Crown Forces, while also appraising the corresponding successes and failures throughout the county. The Kilkenny Republican efforts to instigate a ‘counter-state’ to subvert British Government authority will be analysed. In the political sphere, this will focus on the role of Local Government, while the administration of the Republican Courts and the Republican Police Force will also be examined.