Common Cause Public Foundation
Analytical report on the findings of the public opinion poll “CITIZENS’s VIEWS ABOUT THE UPCOMING PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS ON OCTOBER 4, 2020”
1 ABOUT COMMON CAUSE PUPLIC FOUNDATION
• The Common Cause Public Foundation is a nonpartisan organization established in March 2019 to monitor elections of various levels in the Kyrgyz Republic, to implement voter and civic education projects, public opinion research, and to promote greater citizen participation in decision making processes.
• Our mission is to facilitate the creation of opportunities for the citizens to influence the quality of decision-making in the country through participation, discourse, and public oversight.
• This public opinion poll is carried out under Voter Education Component of the “Nonpartisan Domestic Election Observation in the Kyrgyz Republic” Project implemented by the Common Cause Public Foundation, with support from USAID.
• The team of Common Cause believes that the findings of the public opinion poll will help inform citizens of the country, media, political parties, civil society institutions and decision-makers about important issues related to the upcoming elections.
2 Executive Summary
The public opinion poll on the citizens' views about upcoming parliamentary elections was conducted by Common Cause Public Foundation from August 21 to September 4, 2020 with a goal to understand: • What do citizens think about the upcoming elections? • Are they willing to participate in elections? • How informed are they about elections? • Which political parties they are likely to vote? • What do they think about the most commonly discussed problems during elections?
Major findings include:
General: • With few weeks left before elections, 94% of the population are aware of the upcoming elections and 74% are planning to participate in the elections. 60% will go to the polls regardless of the epidemiological situation related to Covid-19. 14% will decide depending on the epidemiological situation. 11% of respondents said they will not vote due to health concerns. 2 Executive Summary
• 59% of respondents noted high importance of participation in the elections for each citizen of the country.
Voting Preferences: More than half of the respondents (58%) don't know which party they'd like to vote for. 14% respondents replied that they're going to vote "None of the above" with highest numbers in Bishkek (27%), Chui oblast (23%), Osh city and Issyk-Kul (17%). Only 15% of respondents (n=184) named the political party they'd like to vote for. Top three political parties include Mekenim Kyrgyzstan (3%), Birimdik and Ata-Meken, 2% respectively.
What Could Influence A Decision to Vote? Among top three answers to this question were content of the election platform (31%). 24% did not know the answer. Candidate list was named by 23%.
4 Executive Summary
Citizens’ Awareness of Election Procedures 55% of citizens are not aware of the voter list verification process. 51% said they were not informed about election day procedures. 53% respondents suggested they were not informed about specific voting arrangements during pandemic. 50% of citizens are not informed about their voting rights.
Election Violations 90% of respondents said that they were aware that accepting bribes/vote buying was a crime according to the new changes to the law. 38% assessed the probability of vote buying as high, and 27% - as very high.
57% of respondents know that using the administrative resource is a crime according to the new changes to the law. 33% assessed the probability of the use of the administrative resource during elections as high, and 14% - as very high.
5 THE FINDINGS
6 Are you planning to take part in the parliamentary elections on October 4, 2020? Bishkek 63% N=1202
67% • Aware of upcoming 80% elections (n=1134) 94% 68%
• Planning to vote in the 82% elections (n=838) 74% 82%
• Will go to the polls Г. Osh regardless of the 68% epidemiological 60% situation (n=718) 78% • May go, but it will 78% depend on the epidemiological 14% situation (n=174) 7 Are you planning to take part in the parliamentary elections on October 4, 2020?
Bishkek 50% 18% 14% 14% N=1202 Osh 52% 16% 12% 14% Chui oblast 51% 13% 19% 8% Talas oblast 61% 13% 9% 12% I will go to the polls regardless of the Osh oblast 68% 19% 6% 5% epidemiological situation Naryn oblast 67% 11% 8% 8% Maybe I'll go, but it depends on the Issyk-Kul oblast 56% 15% 10% 15% epidemiological situation. Jalal-Abad oblast 69% 10% 9% 6% I won't go, I worry for my health Batken oblast 63% 14% 8% 11% City 57% 14% 12% 13% Village 63% 15% 10% 7% I'm not interested in elections Man 58% 17% 11% 9% Woman 61% 13% 10% 11% No, I don't believe in transparency of 18-29 years old 50% 13% 17% 14% election results 30-39 years old 61% 14% 8% 11% Not sure/Don't know 40-49 years old 64% 16% 9% 8% 50-59 years old 68% 13% 7% 7% 60-69 years old 64% 19% 9% 4% 70 years old and older 62% 15% 7% 11% 8 How important is a participation in the parliamentary elections on October 4, 2020?
Bishkek 21% 32% 26% 12% 9% Osh 18% 37% 26% 7% 12% Very high Chui oblast 14% 31% 28% 12% 15% importance Talas oblast 16% 45% 18% 8% 13% 12% Osh oblast 23% 42% 16% 5% 14% 8% 20% Naryn oblast 33% 38% 17% 5% 8% 21% Issyk-Kul oblast 21% 38% 23% 7% 11% 39% Jalal-Abad oblast 20% 45% 18% 4% 14% High Batken oblast 18% 45% 17% 8% 12% importance City 20% 37% 22% 8% 12% Village 21% 41% 19% 7% 12% Man 22% 38% 22% 8% 11% 59% of respondents Woman 19% 40% 20% 7% 13% note high importance 18-29 years old 19% 35% 26% 8% 12% 30-39 years old 22% 43% 16% 8% 11% of participation in the 40-49 years old 22% 37% 22% 8% 11% elections 50-59 years old 21% 42% 19% 8% 11% 60-69 years old 18% 40% 20% 6% 16% 70 years old and older 22% 40% 18% 7% 13% Very high High Low Very low Not sure/Don't know
9 If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? N=184 "Mekenim Kyrgyzstan" 3% "Birimdik" (Unity) 2% Know which party they 15% "Ata-Meken" 2% will vote for (n=184) "Kyrgyzstan" 1% "Mekenchil" 1% Won't go to the polls at 2% "Respublika" 1% all (n=28) "Iyman Nuru" 1% "Butun Kyrgyzstan" 1% 10% Refusal to reply (n=115) "Reforma" 1% "Chon Kazat" 0,4% "Bir Bol" Political Party of State Unity and Patriotism 0,3% None of the above 14% "Zamandash" 0,2% (n=173) "Meken Yntymagy" 0,2% "El birimdigi" 0,2% 58% Not sure (n=701) "Birik" 0,1% "Butkul jashtar saiasiy partiyasy" 0,1% "Kyrgyzstan Party of Social Democrats" 0,1% Only 15% of respondents "Nur" Liberal Democratic Party 0,1% know which party they will "Onuguu Kyrgyzstan" 0,1% vote for "Social Democrats" 0,1% "Uluu-Zhurt" 0,1% "Emgek" 0,1% 10 If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which party would you vote for?
Bishkek 14% 43% 27% 4% 12%
Osh 14% 55% 17% 5% 8%
Chui oblast 15% 50% 23% 3% 8%
Talas oblast 24% 56% 12% 1% 8%
Osh oblast 12% 76% 3%1% 7%
Naryn oblast 19% 63% 12% 1% 6%
Issyk-Kul oblast 9% 64% 17% 2% 8%
Jalal-Abad oblast 20% 57% 7% 2% 14%
Batken oblast 11% 62% 12% 2% 14%
Know which party they will vote for Not sure None of the above I won't go to the polls at all Refusal to reply11 If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Know which party they will vote for Not sure None of the above I won't go to the polls at all Refusal to reply
Man 17% 55% 15% 3% 10%
Woman 14% 62% 14% 2% 9%
18-29 years old 16% 55% 17% 2% 9%
30-39 years old 15% 55% 17% 3% 10%
40-49 years old 15% 61% 15% 1% 9%
50-59 years old 17% 69% 9% 3% 6%
60-69 years old 22% 58% 8% 13%
70 years old and older 9% 56% 13% 4% 18%
City 15% 52% 19% 4% 11%
Village 15% 65% 10% 1% 8% 12 If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which party would you vote for?
Chui oblast (n-202) Bishkek (n=139) Named the political parties – 15% 50% Named the political parties – 14% 43% Not sure None of the above 23% Not sure Refusal to reply 8% None of the above 27% I won't go to the polls at all 3% Refusal to reply 12% "Mekenim Kyrgyzstan" 3% "Ata-Meken" 4% "Ata-Meken" 2% I won't go to the polls at all 4% "Kyrgyzstan" 2% "Birimdik" (Unity) 3% "Respublika" 2% "Respublika" 2% "Birimdik" (Unity) 1% "Butun Kyrgyzstan" 1% "Reforma" 1% "Mekenim Kyrgyzstan" 1% "Bir Bol" Political Party of State… 1% "Iyman Nuru" 1% "Butun Kyrgyzstan" 1% "Chon Kazat" "Iyman Nuru" 1% 1% "Chon Kazat" 1% "Nur" Liberal Democratic Party 1% 13 If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, Osh (n=51) which party would you vote for?
Named the political parties – 14% Osh oblast (n=248) Not sure 55% Named the political parties – 12% None of the above 17% Not sure 76% Refusal to reply 8% Refusal to reply 7% "Mekenim Kyrgyzstan" 4% "Birimdik" (Unity) 6% None of the above 3% I won't go to the polls at all 5% "Birimdik" (Unity) 2% "Iyman Nuru" 3% "Mekenchil" 1% "Iyman Nuru" 1% "Mekenim Kyrgyzstan" 2% I won't go to the polls at all 1% "Ata-Meken" 2% "Respublika" 1% "Butun Kyrgyzstan" 1% "Mekenchil" 2% "Reforma" 1% "Kyrgyzstan" 1% "El birimdigi" 1% 14 "Birik" 1% If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Jalal-Abad oblast (n=226) Named the political parties – 20% Batken oblast (n=102) Not sure 57% Named the political parties – 11% Refusal to reply 14% 62% None of the above 7% Not sure "Mekenim Kyrgyzstan" 7% Refusal to reply 14% "Mekenchil" 5% None of the above 12% "Birimdik" (Unity) 3% "Butun Kyrgyzstan" 3% "Kyrgyzstan" 2% "Mekenim Kyrgyzstan" 2% I won't go to the polls… 2% "Ata-Meken" 2% "Ata-Meken" 1% "Mekenchil" 2% "Butun Kyrgyzstan" 1% I won't go to the polls at all 2% "Onuguu Kyrgyzstan" 1% "Birimdik" (Unity) 1%
15 If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Talas oblast (n=55) Naryn oblast (n=71) Named the political parties – 24% Named the political parties – 19% Not sure 56% 63% None of the above 12% Not sure Issyk-Kul oblast (n=107) 12% "Mekenim Kyrgyzstan" 8% Refusal to reply 6% Named the political parties – 19% Refusal to reply 8% 3% Not sure 64% "Ata-Meken" 3% "Mekenim Kyrgyzstan" 3% None of the above 17% "Kyrgyzstan" 3% 3% Refusal to reply "Iyman Nuru" 8% "Birimdik" (Unity) 3% 3% 2% "Ata-Meken" 2% "Respublika" 2% "Zamandash" 2% "Kyrgyzstan" 2% "Iyman Nuru" 1% 1% "Reforma" 2% "Reforma" 1% "Reforma" 1% "Chon Kazat" 2% "Bir Bol" Political Party… 1% 1% I won't go to the polls… 2% "Bir Bol" Political Party… "Meken Yntymagy" 1% 1% 1% "Birimdik" (Unity) 1% "Butkul jashtar saiasiy… 1% "Emgek" 1% "Respublika" 1% "Kyrgyzstan Party of… 1% 1% "Meken Yntymagy" 1% "Social Democrats" 1% "Uluu-Zhurt" 1% I won't go to the polls… 1%
16 How well informed are you about the following aspects?
About the voters' lists About the voting procedure on 4% election day 17% 6%
Very good 21% 55% Good 12% 51%
5% 5% Satisfactory 6% 10% 6% About the voting procedure Poor About the voting rights during the Covid–19 pandemic 10% 9% Very poor 18% 24% 53% 50% Not informed 6% 5% 5% 4% 8% 7% More than 50% of respondents remain uninformed about all the above-mentioned aspects.
21 How well informed are you about how to check your name in the voter list? Very good Good Satisfactory Poor Very poor Not informed
Bishkek 10% 14% 15% 9% 52% Osh 3% 21% 10% 2% 5% 59% Chui oblast 1% 12% 12% 7% 5% 62% Talas oblast 6% 23% 12% 6% 7% 47% Osh oblast 4% 18% 12% 5% 4% 57% Naryn oblast 7% 20% 10% 5% 5% 53% Issyk-Kul oblast 8% 12% 12% 6% 3% 58% Jalal-Abad oblast 4% 24% 7% 3% 5% 56% Batken oblast 5% 14% 15% 8% 6% 52%
22 How well informed are you about how to check your name in the voter list?
Very good Good Satisfactory Poor Very poor Not informed
Man 4% 16% 13% 7% 5% 55% Woman 4% 18% 11% 6% 6% 55% City 3% 15% 11% 8% 6% 56% Village 5% 19% 13% 5% 4% 54% 18-29 years old 3% 18% 11% 7% 6% 55% 30-39 years old 4% 19% 13% 5% 4% 55% 40-49 years old 5% 15% 10% 7% 5% 57% 50-59 years old 6% 14% 9% 9% 4% 57% 60-69 years old 4% 19% 14% 5% 7% 50% 70 years old and older 9% 16% 5% 9% 60%
23 How well do you feel you have been informed about the voting procedures on Election Day?
Very good Good Satisfactory Poor Very poor Not informed
Bishkek 16% 12% 10% 8% 52%
Osh 4% 25% 12% 1% 7% 51%
Chui oblast 3% 22% 14% 5% 5% 52%
Talas oblast 12% 22% 8% 6% 6% 47%
Osh oblast 8% 23% 12% 5% 3% 48%
Naryn oblast 9% 19% 10% 3% 6% 53%
Issyk-Kul oblast 6% 17% 9% 7% 5% 55%
Jalal-Abad oblast 5% 27% 7% 5% 3% 52%
Batken oblast 5% 21% 8% 7% 5% 54%
24 How well do you feel you have been informed about the voting procedures on Election Day?
Very good Good Satisfactory Poor Very poor Not informed
Man 6% 20% 12% 6% 6% 49% Woman 6% 22% 9% 5% 5% 53% City 4% 20% 11% 7% 7% 52% Village 8% 23% 10% 4% 4% 51% 18-29 years old 5% 21% 10% 7% 6% 52% 30-39 years old 5% 24% 9% 5% 5% 51% 40-49 years old 7% 20% 13% 4% 4% 52% 50-59 years old 9% 18% 10% 6% 5% 53% 60-69 years old 4% 24% 13% 7% 5% 47% 70 years old and older 2% 22% 7% 5% 7% 56%
25 How well do you feel you have been informed about the voting procedures on Election Day considering COVID-19?
Very good Good Satisfactory Poor Very poor Not informed
Bishkek 4% 14% 14% 10% 7% 52%
Osh 8% 18% 8% 6% 6% 54%
Chui oblast 7% 14% 13% 9% 3% 54%
Talas oblast 18% 17% 10% 3% 8% 45%
Osh oblast 12% 21% 8% 3%2% 54%
Naryn oblast 11% 14% 6% 7% 4% 58%
Issyk-Kul oblast 12% 16% 5% 7% 7% 52%
Jalal-Abad oblast 7% 24% 7% 7% 3% 52%
Batken oblast 10% 23% 4% 2% 7% 54%
26 How well do you feel you have been informed about the voting procedures on Election Day considering COVID-19?
Very good Good Satisfactory Poor Very poor Not informed
Man 11% 17% 9% 7% 5% 51%
Woman 9% 19% 8% 5% 6% 54%
City 7% 17% 10% 7% 7% 53%
Village 12% 19% 7% 5% 3% 53%
18-29 years old 9% 17% 9% 7% 5% 53%
30-39 years old 8% 20% 7% 8% 5% 52%
40-49 years old 12% 19% 9% 5% 3% 52%
50-59 years old 13% 18% 8% 4% 5% 52%
60-69 years old 9% 15% 11% 4% 6% 55%
70 years old and older 5% 16% 9% 5% 11% 53%
27 How well do you feel you have been informed about the voting rights?
Bishkek 4% 17% 12% 8% 6% 52%
Osh 7% 28% 6% 1%5% 53%
Chui oblast 6% 28% 6% 6% 3% 51%
Talas oblast 14% 19% 9% 7% 8% 43%
Osh oblast 12% 28% 6% 3%2% 49%
Naryn oblast 14% 19% 8% 4% 3% 52%
Issyk-Kul oblast 12% 22% 3% 4% 5% 53%
Jalal-Abad oblast 7% 28% 9% 4% 3% 49%
Batken oblast 7% 25% 8% 2% 8% 50%
Very good Good Satisfactory Poor Very poor Not informed
The majority of respondents are NOT informed about their voter's rights. More than 30% of respondents in the oblasts and in the city of Osh noted a rather high assessment of awareness about their rights as a voter. 28 How well do you feel you have been informed about the voting rights?
Man 9% 24% 9% 4% 5% 49%
Woman 9% 24% 6% 4% 5% 51%
City 7% 22% 8% 5% 6% 51%
Village 11% 26% 7% 3% 3% 49%
18-29 years old 10% 23% 6% 4% 6% 50%
30-39 years old 7% 24% 7% 5% 4% 53%
40-49 years old 10% 25% 7% 4% 3% 51%
50-59 years old 13% 22% 8% 4% 4% 48%
60-69 years old 9% 29% 9% 3% 5% 45%
70 years old and older 2% 22% 9% 9% 7% 51%
Very good Good Satisfactory Poor Very poor Not informed
29 What type of election campaigning in your opinion is the most effective in the context of COVID-19?
Bishkek 50% 29% 10% 11%
Osh 54% 31% 4% 11%
Chui oblast 52% 32% 3% 12%
Talas oblast 51% 32% 3% 15%
Osh oblast 48% 37% 3% 12%
Naryn oblast 57% 28% 4% 12%
Issyk-Kul oblast 51% 31% 5% 13%
Jalal-Abad oblast 46% 39% 2% 14%
Batken oblast 45% 31% 5% 19%
Online As usual Other (specify from the respondent's words) Not sure/Don't know
30 What is most likely to affect your choice of which political party to vote for in the Parliamentary Elections on October 4, 2020?
TV/Radio advertising 38%
Publications on web portals 37%
Publications on social media 27% The most effective and preferred methods of election campaigning in the context of Covid- Meetings with voters 19% 19, as respondents believe, are: Door-to-door canvassing 10% • TV/Radio advertising • Publications on web portals Mass events 8% • Publications on social media Publications in printed media 7% • Meetings with voters. Phone calls 7% This tendency is widespread among all SMS messaging 6% respondents regardless of their place of Printed products of political parties… 3% residence and gender and age differences.
Email newsletters 2%
Postal mailing 2%
31 What is most likely to affect your choice of which political party to vote for in the Parliamentary Elections on October 4, 2020?
Content of the programme 31% Bishkek 26% 24% 22% 21% 10%
Don't know/Not sure 24% Osh 30% 23% 24% 21% 13%
List of candidates 23% Chui oblast 25% 22% 21% 23% 12%
Political party's/deputies'… 19% Talas oblast 38% 19% 24% 26% 19%
Humanitarian aid during the… 12% Osh oblast 34% 25% 20% 20% 11%
Aid to socially vulnerable… 10% Naryn oblast 34% 19% 33% 23% 10%
Opinion of the immediate circle 6% Issyk-Kul oblast 29% 29% 26% 22% 12%
Opinion leaders 5% Jalal-Abad oblast 27% 27% 14% 8% 15% Public speeches by candidates 4% Batken oblast 34% 30% 24% 13% 7% Speeches of the candidates at… 4% Content of the programme Don't know/Not sure Campaign events 3% List of candidates Political party's/deputies' reputation Humanitarian aid during the pandemic
32 Are you aware of the fact that using the administrative resource is a crime according to the new changes to the law?
Not sure/Refus 3% 5% 6% al to reply 11% 11% 8% 7% 9% 8% 7% 33% 27% 32% No 32% 33% Yes 37% 43% 42% 42% 57%
64% 68% 58% 60% 62% 52% 51% 49% 51% According to the results of the survey, 57% of the population is aware that the use of administrative resources is a violation of law under current legislation. There are no significant differences in terms of sex and age and regional categories.
Yes No Not sure/Refusal to reply 33 In your opinion what is the probability of using the administrative resource in the 2020 parliamentary election?
Bishkek 3% 15% 33% 17% 3% 29,0% Very low Osh 2% 17% 32% 15% 3% 30,0%
Low Chui oblast 1% 19% 34% 13% 7% 26,2% 2%
30% 16% Talas oblast 2% 18% 35% 19% 2% 25,0% High 14% 33% Osh oblast 4% 17% 30% 12% 3% 33,1% 4% Very High Naryn oblast 1% 14% 33% 18% 4% 29,2%
Issyk-Kul oblast 0% 15% 37% 15% 5% 27,7% Zero Jalal-Abad oblast 3% 19% 32% 9% 5% 32,7%
Batken oblast 1% 12% 34% 10% 6% 37,7%
Very low Low High Very high Zero Don't know/Not sure 34 Are you aware of the fact that accepting bribes/vote buying is a crime according to the new changes to the law?
No Bishkek 92% 6% 1% Not sure/Refusal to Osh 88% 7% 4% reply 3% Chui oblast 92% 6% 3%
Talas oblast 93% 4% 3%
Osh oblast 88% 9% 3% Yes Naryn oblast 95% 3% 2%
Issyk-Kul oblast 92% 5% 3%
Jalal-Abad oblast 87% 10% 3%
Batken oblast 89% 9% 2%
Yes No Not sure/Refusal to reply 35 In your opinion, what is the probability of vote buying in the 2020 parliamentary elections?
Bishkek 1%10% 39% 37% 0% 13% Don't know/Not sure 17,1%
Osh 2% 15% 37% 26% 2% 18% Zero 3% Chui oblast 1% 13% 37% 31% 3% 14% Very high 27% 65% Talas oblast 4% 9% 43% 28% 2% 14% High 38% Osh oblast 3% 14% 36% 21% 5% 21% Low 13% Naryn oblast 3% 8% 37% 29% 4% 19%
Very low 2% Issyk-Kul oblast 2% 13% 36% 25% 4% 21%
The respondents noted that the Jalal-Abad oblast 1% 18% 41% 18% 5% 16% probability of using vote-buying in the upcoming Parliamentary Elections is high, Batken oblast 2% 14% 38% 26% 4% 17% as noted by 65% of respondents. Very low Low Hight Very hight Zero Don’t know/Not sure 36 Sample distribution by strata
Population over Population Proportionally Equal-size Sampling 18 years old percentage weighted sample error
Bishkek 391,833 12% 139 145 ±8.14 Osh 143,377 4% 51 120 ±8.94 Chui oblast 569,370 17% 202 145 ±8.14 Talas oblast 154,959 5% 55 120 ±8.94 Osh oblast 700,891 21% 248 145 ±8.14 Naryn oblast 201,584 6% 71 120 ±8.94 Issyk-Kul oblast 302,845 9% 107 130 ±8.59
Jalal-Abad oblast 638,189 19% 226 147 ±8.14 Batken oblast 289,163 9% 102 130 ±8.59 TOTAL 3,392,211 100% 1,202 1,202 2.83
33 Methodology
• The public opinion poll was conducted from August 21 to September 4. The survey of respondents was conducted through a personal interview method through phone surveying to cell phone numbers of major mobile operators (O!, Megacom, Beeline). The sociological research was conducted in all oblasts of the Kyrgyz Republic. • In order to conduct the research and make extrapolations of the findings to the entire population, the sample size of 1,202 residents of the Kyrgyz Republic over 18 years old was drawn. The indicated sample size is sufficient and allows drawing conclusions with an accuracy of ±2.8% at a 95% confidence level at the level of the population. The confidence level shows the probability of a random answer falling into a confidence interval. The confidence interval can be understood as a margin of error, setting the range of a part of the distribution curve on both sides of the selected point where the answers can fall. • A stratified sample was built to conduct the research. Nine strata were identified, including the cities of Bishkek and Osh. The population of the Kyrgyz Republic over 18 years of age was represented as the population, according to the data of the National Statistical Committee and the Central Election Commission for 2020. • When distributing the numbers among the strata, preference was given to equal-size/nonproportional distribution of sample. Such sample distribution allowed increasing the otherwise underrepresented number of respondents in strata with a small population size. • When applying the equal-size sampling, after data collection, a proportional weighting procedure was applied that made it possible to adjust the equal-size sample, which is close to the population, by increasing the weight of underrepresented observations and addressing overrepresentation. 34 Random selection of respondents
• Inside each stratum (oblast), a simple random selection of respondents was carried out by generating random numbers. Random numbers were generated in electronic form and assembled into random phone numbers of users of different mobile network operators. • Interviews were conducted in Kyrgyz, Russian and Uzbek languages.
Total generated and processed 46,879
Total successfully completed 1,202
Unreachable/non-existing numbers 43,225
Denied at the beginning of the interview 1,846
Rejected during the survey 547 Line is busy 59
35 Socio-demographic indicators
Bishkek N=139 Kyrgyz N=973 Osh N=51 Russian N=69 Chui oblast N=202 Uzbek N=94 Ethnicity Talas oblast N=55 Tajik N=14 Osh oblast N=248 Other N=44 Area of residence Naryn oblast N=71 Refusal to reply N=8 Issyk-Kul oblast N=107 Single N=226 Jalal-Abad oblast N=226 Married N=879 Batken oblast N=102 Divorced N=23 Marital status Total N=1,202 Civil marriage (live together) N=3 City N=571 Type of settlement Widow(er) N=47 Village N=631 Refusal to reply N=24 Man N=570 Sex No education N=8 Woman N=632 Primary / Incomplete N=21 18-29 years old N=348 secondary education 30-39 years old N=293 Secondary / Vocational 40-49 years old N=207 Education N=707 Age secondary education 50-59 years old N=180 Incomplete higher education N=65 60-69 years old N=119 Higher / Academic degree N=377 70 years old and older N=55 Refusal to reply N=2436 CONTACT US
• 141/1 Toktogul Street, Bishkek, Kyrgyz Republic. Tel.: 0312-979205
• Website: www.commoncause.kg
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