THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE
February 14, 2013
CLINTON EARLY FAVORITE IN 2016 NH PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY, NO GOP FRONTRUNNER
By: Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. UNH Survey Center 603-862-2226 www.unh.edu/survey-center
DURHAM, NH – Hillary Clinton is the heavy favorite among New Hampshire Democrats for the 2016 New Hampshire Primary. There is no clear frontrunner among Republicans.
These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll ,∗ conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Five hundred and eighty-one (581) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between January 30 and February 5, 2013. Included in the sample were 212 likely 2016 Republican Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 7%) and 201 likely 2016 Democratic Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 7%).
Three Years Until NH First in the Nation Primary
Although it is three years before the First in the Nation New Hampshire Presidential Primary, prospective Republican and Democratic candidates have already been testing the waters here for presidential runs in 2016. While many of the candidates tested will decide not to run, and others may enter who are not tested, candidates who are the early identified frontrunners have typically won past New Hampshire primaries.
Very few voters have made up their minds about who they will support in 2016. The great majority of prospective primary voters, 82% of Democrats and 88% of Republicans, say they are still trying to decide who to support.
Democratic Primary
Despite the primary being 3 years from now, former Secretary of State and 2008 NH Democratic Primary winner Hillary Clinton is the clear current favorite among Democratic voters. In February 2013, 63% of likely Democratic Primary voters say they plan to vote for Clinton, 10% prefer Vice President Joe Biden, 5% prefer New York Governor Andrew Cuomo, and 2% favor Newark, New Jersey mayor Cory Booker. All other potential candidates received less than 1% support and 16% say they are undecided.
When asked which potential candidate they would NOT vote for under any circumstance, 7% of likely Democratic Primary voters say they would not vote for Biden, 6% would not vote for Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick, 4% would not vote for Clinton, 3% would not vote for former Indiana Senator Evan Bayh, 3% would not vote for Cuomo, 2% would not vote for Virginia Senator Mark Warner, 2% would not vote for Booker, less than 1% say they would not vote for some other candidate, 34% think that all of the prospective candidates are acceptable, and 34% are unsure.
Democratic Favorability Ratings
Hillary Clinton is also the most popular potential Democratic candidate among likely New Hampshire Democratic Primary voters. The great majority of Democratic Primary voters, 87%, have a favorable opinion of Clinton, only 7% have an unfavorable opinion of her, and 6% are neutral or unsure. Her net favorability rating, the percentage who have a favorable opinion minus those who have an unfavorable opinion, is an extremely high +80%.
The only other Democrat who approaches Clinton’s favorability ratings is Joe Biden – 73% have a favorable opinion of Biden, 22% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 5% are neutral or unsure. Biden’s net favorability rating is +51%.
∗ We ask that this copyrighted information be referred to as the Granite State Poll , sponsored by WMUR-TV, and conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.
Several potential Democratic candidates have moderate net favorability ratings including Andrew Cuomo (+40%), Deval Patrick (+30%), Cory Booker (+20%). Former Indiana Senator Evan Bayh (+13%), Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer (+6%), Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa (+6%), Maryland Governor Martin O’Malley (+3%), Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper (+1%), and Virginia Senator Mark Warner (0%) are less well known and have much lower net favorability ratings.
NH 2016 DEM Presidential Primary – Net Favorability Ratings
Clinton 80% Biden 51% Cuomo 40% Patrick 30% Booker 20% Bayh 13% Schweitzer 6% Villaraigosa 6% O'Malley 3% Hickenlooper 1% Warner 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Republican Primary
Among likely Republican Primary voters, there is no clear frontrunner. Currently, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie receives the most support, with 14% of likely Republican Primary voters saying they would vote for him, 12% prefer Florida Senator Marco Rubio, 11% prefer Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan, 10% support New Hampshire Senator Kelly Ayotte, 8% prefer Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, 8% support former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, 5% prefer former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, 3% support former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, 3% support Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, and 2% prefer Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal. All other potential candidates receive less than 1% support, and 20% say they are undecided.
When asked which candidate they would NOT vote for under any circumstance, 11% of likely Republican Primary voters say they would not vote for Santorum, 6% would not vote for Christie, 6% would not vote for Bush, 6% would not vote for Ayotte, 6% would not vote for Paul, 4% would not vote for Huntsman, 3% would not for vote Ohio Senator Rob Portman, 2% would not vote for Jindal, 2% would not vote for Ryan, 2% would not for Walker, 1% would not vote for South Dakota Senator John Thune, 1% would not vote for Rubio, 1% would not vote for Texas Senator Ted Cruz, 2% would not vote for some other candidate, 15% think all the prospective candidates are acceptable, and 32% are unsure.
GOP Favorability Ratings
New Hampshire’s own Kelly Ayotte is currently the most popular potential Republican candidate among likely Republican Primary voters – 68% have a favorable opinion of her, 24% have an unfavorable opinion of her, and 9% are neutral or unsure. Her net favorability rating is a moderate +44%. Three other potential Republicans candidates receive similar favorability ratings, Paul Ryan, Chris Chistie and Marco Rubio. Ryan, the GOP Vice Presidential candidate in 2012 is viewed favorably by 61% of likely Republican Primary voters, 19% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 21% are neutral or don’t know. Ryan’s net favorability rating is at +42%. Chris Christie receives a favorable rating from 60% of likely Republican Primary voters, 21% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 19% are neutral or don’t know. Christie’s net favorability rating is at +39%. Rubio is viewed favorably by 56% of likely Republican Primary voters, 6% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 37% are neutral or don’t know enough to say. Rubio currently receives the highest net favorability rating of the potential GOP candidates at +50%.
Other potential Republican candidates have moderate favorability ratings, including Scott Walker (+23%), Jeb Bush (+22%), and Rand Paul (+19%). Bobby Jindal (+10%), Rob Portman (+6%), Jon Huntsman (+6%), Ted Cruz (+4%), and Jon Thune (+3%) have low net favorability ratings. Only Rick Santorum (-2%) receives negative net favorability ratings.
NH 2016 GOP Presidential Primary – Net Favorability Ratings
Rubio 50% Ayotte 44% Ryan 42% Christie 39% Walker 23% Jeb Bush 22% Rand Paul 19% Jindal 10% Portman 6% Huntsman 6% Cruz 4% Thune 3% Santorum 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Granite State Poll Methodology
These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Five hundred (500) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by telephone between January 27 and February 3, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.4 percent. Included in the sample were 201 likely 2012 Republican Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 7%) and 182 likely 2012 Democratic Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 7%).
The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households, respondent sex, and region of the state. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of non-sampling error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non-response.
Decided Who to Vote for in 2016 GOP Primary? (Likely NH GOP Primary Voters)
“Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary … are you leaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?”
Feb. ‘13 Definitely decided 6% Leaning toward someone 6% Still trying to decide 88% (N) (205)
Republican Nomination in 2016 NH Primary (Likely NH GOP Primary Voters)
"I’m going to read you the names of the candidates who are either running or considering running for the Republican nomination. If the Republican primary for president were held today, which of the following would you support for the Republican nomination Kelly Ayotte … Jeb Bush … Chris Christie … Ted Cruz … Jon Huntsman … Bobbie Jindal … Rand Paul … Rob Portman … Marco Rubio … Paul Ryan … Rick Santorum … John Thune … Scott Walker … or someone else?" ROTATE CANDIDATES
Feb. ‘13 Chris Christie 14% Marco Rubio 12% Paul Ryan 11% Kelly Ayotte 10% Rand Paul 8% John Huntsman 8% Jeb Bush 5% Rick Santorum 3% Bobbie Jindal 2% Scott Walker 3% Ted Cruz 1% John Thune 1% Rob Portman 0% Someone Else 2% Don’t Know Yet 20% (N) (209)
* = Less than 1%
“Which of the candidates who are either running or considering running for the Republican nomination would you NOT vote for under any circumstance?”
Feb. ‘13 Rick Santorum 11% Kelly Ayotte 6% Jeb Bush 6% Chris Christie 6% Rand Paul 6% John Huntsman 4% Rob Portman 3% Bobbie Jindal 2% Paul Ryan 2% Scott Walker 2% Marco Rubio 1% Ted Cruz 1% John Thune 1% Someone Else 2% All OK 15% Don’t Know 32% (N) (208)
* = Less than 1%
GOP Favorability Ratings (Likely GOP Primary Voters)
"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some REPUBLICANS who are running or may run for President in 2016. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her."
“New Hampshire Senator Kelly Ayotte?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 68% 4% 24% 5% +44% (210)
"Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 53% 5% 31% 11% +22% (212)
"New Jersey Governor Chris Christie?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 60% 7% 21% 12% +39% (212)
"Texas Senator Ted Cruz?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 18% 6% 14% 62% +4% (212)
"Former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 37% 7% 31% 26% +6% (211)
"Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 31% 8% 21% 41% +10% (212)
"Kentucky Senator Rand Paul?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 45% 6% 26% 23% +19% (212)
"Ohio Senator Rob Portman?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 20% 10% 14% 57% +6% (212)
"Florida Senator Marco Rubio?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 56% 6% 6% 31% +50% (212)
"Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 61% 8% 19% 13% +42% (212)
"Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 40% 8% 42% 10% -2% (212)
"South Dakota Senator John Thune?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 16% 7% 13% 63% +3% (212)
"Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 37% 7% 14% 42% +23% (212)
Decided Who to Vote for in 2016 DEM Primary? (Likely NH DEM Primary Voters)
“Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary … are you leaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?”
Feb. ‘13 Definitely decided 8% Leaning toward someone 10% Still trying to decide 82% (N) (193)
Democratic Nomination in 2016 NH Primary (Likely NH DEM Primary Voters)
"I’m going to read you the names of the candidates who are either running or considering running for the Democratic nomination. If the Republican primary for president were held today, which of the following would you support for the Democratic nomination Evan Bayh … Joe Biden … Cory Booker … Hillary Clinton … Andrew Cuomo … John Hickenlooper … Martin O’Malley … Deval Patrick … Brian Schweitzer … Antonio Villaraigosa … Mark Warner … or someone else?" ROTATE CANDIDATES
Feb. ‘13 Hillary Clinton 63% Joe Biden 10% Andrew Cuomo 5% Cory Booker 2% Evan Bayh 1% Deval Patrick 1% Brian Schweitzer 1% John Hickenlooper * Martin O’Malley * Antonio Villaraigosa * Mark Warner * Someone Else 1% Don’t Know Yet 16% (N) (195)
* = Less than 1%
“Which of the candidates who are either running or considering running for the Democratic nomination would you NOT vote for under any circumstance?”
Feb. ‘13 Joe Biden 7% Deval Patrick 6% Hillary Clinton 4% Evan Bayh 3% Andrew Cuomo 3% Cory Booker 2% Antonio Villaraigosa 2% Mark Warner 2% Brian Schweitzer 1% John Hickenlooper * Martin O’Malley * Someone Else 2% All OK 34% Don’t Know Yet 34% (N) (200)
* = Less than 1%
DEM Favorability Ratings (Likely DEM Primary Voters)
"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some DEMOCRAT who are running or may run for President in 2016. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her."
“Former Indiana Senator Evan Bayh?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 20% 9% 7% 64% +13% (201)
“Vice President Joe Biden?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 73% 4% 22% 1% +51% (201)
“Newark, New Jersey Mayor Cory Booker?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 31% 8% 11% 50% +20% (201)
“Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 87% 5% 7% 1% +80% (201)
“New York Governor Andrew Cuomo?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 56% 9% 16% 20% +40% (201)
“Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper?”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 8% 7% 7% 78% +1% (201)
“Maryland Governor Martin O’Malley”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 9% 4% 6% 80% +3% (201)
“Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 52% 12% 22% 13% +30% (201)
“Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 12% 6% 6% 77% +6% (201)
“Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 15% 6% 9% 69% +6% (201)
“Virginia Senator Mark Warner”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know Net (N) Feb. ‘13 14% 11% 14% 60% 0% (201)
Favorability Rating – Kelly Ayotte (Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 68% 4% 24% 5% 210
Registered Undeclared 62% 1% 28% 9% 59 Registered Republican 69% 5% 23% 3% 141
Democrat 22% 13% 65% 0% 6 Independent 49% 1% 46% 3% 26 Republican 72% 4% 19% 5% 177
Liberal 48% 7% 46% 0% 12 Moderate 64% 3% 30% 3% 71 Conservative 71% 4% 19% 6% 120
Support Tea Party 72% 3% 22% 3% 78 Neutral 67% 5% 20% 8% 88 Oppose Tea Party 54% 2% 41% 3% 37
Romney/Ryan Voter 70% 3% 22% 6% 172 Obama/Biden Voter 57% 8% 35% 0% 20 Other 62% 4% 35% 0% 11 Did Not Vote in 2012 66% 0% 27% 7% 4
Union household 75% 0% 25% 0% 18 Non union 67% 4% 24% 5% 191
Read Union Leader 71% 3% 26% 0% 76 Read Boston Globe 53% 7% 32% 8% 19 Watch WMUR 72% 3% 23% 2% 143 Listen to NHPR 72% 5% 24% 0% 42
10 yrs or less in NH 67% 3% 16% 14% 28 11 to 20 years 63% 0% 30% 7% 47 More than 20 years 70% 5% 23% 2% 134
18 to 34 78% 0% 10% 12% 39 35 to 49 66% 2% 28% 5% 52 50 to 64 65% 3% 26% 5% 59 65 and over 63% 9% 28% 0% 54
Male 66% 4% 25% 5% 122 Female 70% 3% 22% 4% 88
High school or less 61% 8% 26% 6% 43 Some college 69% 5% 19% 7% 49 College graduate 74% 1% 19% 5% 82 Post graduate 59% 2% 38% 0% 34
Attend services 1 or more/week 71% 4% 23% 2% 58 1 2 times a month 59% 3% 23% 16% 34 Less often 69% 2% 24% 5% 51 Never 69% 6% 23% 2% 64
North Country 67% 12% 20% 0% 16 Central / Lakes 60% 5% 32% 2% 48 Connecticut Valley 75% 4% 18% 4% 21 Mass Border 68% 0% 24% 8% 56 Seacoast 74% 0% 17% 9% 30 Manchester Area 70% 6% 21% 3% 39
First Cong. Dist 65% 4% 28% 4% 99 Second Cong. Dist 71% 3% 20% 6% 111
Favorability Rating – Jeb Bush (Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 53% 5% 31% 11% 212
Registered Undeclared 46% 3% 34% 17% 61 Registered Republican 59% 6% 29% 6% 141
Democrat 0% 11% 89% 0% 6 Independent 18% 0% 67% 15% 26 Republican 60% 5% 25% 10% 179
Liberal 9% 5% 64% 22% 12 Moderate 56% 4% 31% 8% 73 Conservative 56% 5% 28% 10% 120
Support Tea Party 61% 3% 30% 6% 78 Neutral 52% 7% 23% 18% 89 Oppose Tea Party 43% 4% 50% 3% 37
Romney/Ryan Voter 59% 6% 24% 11% 173 Obama/Biden Voter 8% 3% 89% 0% 20 Other 38% 0% 62% 0% 11 Did Not Vote in 2012 27% 0% 28% 45% 4
Union household 76% 0% 21% 2% 18 Non union 51% 5% 32% 11% 192
Read Union Leader 63% 4% 24% 9% 76 Read Boston Globe 67% 3% 29% 0% 20 Watch WMUR 54% 4% 33% 8% 145 Listen to NHPR 39% 8% 43% 10% 44
10 yrs or less in NH 50% 0% 35% 15% 28 11 to 20 years 58% 8% 25% 10% 47 More than 20 years 52% 5% 33% 10% 135
18 to 34 37% 2% 26% 35% 39 35 to 49 48% 3% 41% 7% 52 50 to 64 56% 8% 28% 9% 60 65 and over 65% 3% 33% 0% 54
Male 48% 5% 35% 13% 123 Female 61% 5% 27% 8% 88
High school or less 36% 4% 35% 25% 43 Some college 43% 8% 37% 12% 49 College graduate 62% 5% 28% 5% 84 Post graduate 66% 2% 28% 5% 34
Attend services 1 or more/week 55% 6% 28% 11% 58 1 2 times a month 68% 2% 10% 19% 34 Less often 56% 8% 23% 13% 53 Never 42% 3% 53% 3% 64
North Country 43% 0% 54% 2% 16 Central / Lakes 40% 6% 32% 23% 48 Connecticut Valley 62% 4% 29% 6% 21 Mass Border 52% 8% 34% 7% 58 Seacoast 58% 3% 29% 10% 30 Manchester Area 66% 4% 22% 8% 39
First Cong. Dist 56% 6% 31% 7% 99 Second Cong. Dist 51% 4% 32% 14% 112
Favorability Rating – Chris Christie (Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 60% 7% 21% 12% 212
Registered Undeclared 59% 7% 20% 14% 61 Registered Republican 60% 8% 23% 10% 141
Democrat 71% 7% 22% 0% 6 Independent 50% 13% 26% 11% 26 Republican 61% 6% 21% 12% 179
Liberal 32% 12% 25% 31% 12 Moderate 72% 5% 12% 11% 73 Conservative 57% 8% 26% 10% 120
Support Tea Party 58% 9% 28% 5% 78 Neutral 55% 8% 19% 18% 89 Oppose Tea Party 72% 1% 15% 12% 37
Romney/Ryan Voter 61% 7% 21% 11% 173 Obama/Biden Voter 76% 7% 9% 8% 20 Other 31% 10% 48% 12% 11 Did Not Vote in 2012 18% 0% 0% 82% 4
Union household 70% 9% 19% 3% 18 Non union 59% 7% 21% 13% 192
Read Union Leader 67% 7% 20% 5% 76 Read Boston Globe 69% 2% 21% 8% 20 Watch WMUR 61% 8% 20% 12% 145 Listen to NHPR 63% 11% 17% 8% 44
10 yrs or less in NH 55% 8% 18% 18% 28 11 to 20 years 63% 0% 25% 12% 47 More than 20 years 60% 9% 20% 10% 135
18 to 34 44% 9% 12% 35% 39 35 to 49 59% 5% 29% 8% 52 50 to 64 64% 8% 21% 7% 60 65 and over 68% 7% 20% 5% 54
Male 60% 7% 23% 10% 123 Female 59% 7% 19% 15% 88
High school or less 50% 9% 12% 29% 43 Some college 53% 9% 27% 10% 49 College graduate 73% 3% 17% 7% 84 Post graduate 52% 11% 34% 4% 34
Attend services 1 or more/week 54% 13% 20% 13% 58 1 2 times a month 72% 0% 12% 16% 34 Less often 64% 1% 23% 12% 53 Never 56% 10% 26% 9% 64
North Country 51% 2% 24% 22% 16 Central / Lakes 56% 8% 16% 20% 48 Connecticut Valley 70% 4% 15% 12% 21 Mass Border 61% 9% 24% 6% 58 Seacoast 58% 8% 26% 9% 30 Manchester Area 63% 6% 23% 7% 39
First Cong. Dist 63% 8% 22% 8% 99 Second Cong. Dist 57% 6% 21% 16% 112
Favorability Rating – Ted Cruz (Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 18% 6% 14% 62% 212
Registered Undeclared 14% 4% 11% 71% 61 Registered Republican 20% 7% 17% 56% 141
Democrat 0% 0% 44% 56% 6 Independent 17% 0% 26% 58% 26 Republican 19% 7% 11% 62% 179
Liberal 0% 0% 38% 62% 12 Moderate 15% 9% 10% 66% 73 Conservative 24% 5% 14% 58% 120
Support Tea Party 29% 3% 7% 61% 78 Neutral 14% 8% 13% 65% 89 Oppose Tea Party 12% 6% 31% 50% 37
Romney/Ryan Voter 21% 7% 13% 60% 173 Obama/Biden Voter 7% 4% 20% 68% 20 Other 15% 0% 22% 63% 11 Did Not Vote in 2012 0% 0% 0% 100% 4
Union household 20% 8% 13% 59% 18 Non union 18% 6% 14% 62% 192
Read Union Leader 22% 10% 10% 58% 76 Read Boston Globe 13% 7% 0% 80% 20 Watch WMUR 17% 7% 15% 62% 145 Listen to NHPR 16% 6% 26% 52% 44
10 yrs or less in NH 26% 3% 4% 67% 28 11 to 20 years 24% 9% 6% 62% 47 More than 20 years 15% 5% 19% 61% 135
18 to 34 24% 2% 4% 69% 39 35 to 49 22% 0% 11% 67% 52 50 to 64 10% 11% 17% 62% 60 65 and over 22% 5% 21% 52% 54
Male 20% 3% 18% 59% 123 Female 16% 9% 9% 65% 88
High school or less 23% 5% 11% 61% 43 Some college 24% 2% 10% 64% 49 College graduate 15% 11% 14% 60% 84 Post graduate 13% 0% 23% 65% 34
Attend services 1 or more/week 21% 4% 14% 61% 58 1 2 times a month 17% 4% 12% 67% 34 Less often 20% 4% 14% 62% 53 Never 16% 10% 14% 59% 64
North Country 12% 0% 10% 78% 16 Central / Lakes 24% 2% 21% 53% 48 Connecticut Valley 16% 4% 24% 56% 21 Mass Border 10% 6% 9% 75% 58 Seacoast 34% 10% 17% 39% 30 Manchester Area 16% 10% 7% 66% 39
First Cong. Dist 19% 8% 13% 60% 99 Second Cong. Dist 18% 3% 15% 63% 112
Favorability Rating – Jon Huntsman (Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 37% 7% 31% 26% 211
Registered Undeclared 39% 1% 32% 28% 61 Registered Republican 37% 9% 31% 23% 140
Democrat 78% 0% 22% 0% 6 Independent 18% 5% 45% 32% 26 Republican 38% 6% 30% 26% 178
Liberal 33% 15% 12% 41% 12 Moderate 40% 3% 32% 25% 72 Conservative 36% 8% 33% 23% 120
Support Tea Party 39% 5% 35% 21% 78 Neutral 30% 10% 30% 30% 89 Oppose Tea Party 55% 4% 31% 10% 37
Romney/Ryan Voter 36% 8% 33% 24% 172 Obama/Biden Voter 36% 4% 27% 32% 20 Other 55% 0% 33% 12% 11 Did Not Vote in 2012 18% 0% 0% 82% 4
Union household 38% 15% 21% 26% 17 Non union 37% 6% 32% 26% 192
Read Union Leader 41% 11% 28% 21% 76 Read Boston Globe 57% 4% 14% 25% 20 Watch WMUR 31% 8% 38% 23% 145 Listen to NHPR 39% 1% 29% 31% 44
10 yrs or less in NH 59% 0% 22% 19% 28 11 to 20 years 30% 0% 32% 39% 47 More than 20 years 34% 10% 33% 23% 134
18 to 34 57% 4% 5% 34% 39 35 to 49 36% 2% 35% 27% 52 50 to 64 25% 6% 47% 21% 60 65 and over 32% 14% 30% 24% 53
Male 38% 5% 29% 27% 123 Female 34% 8% 34% 24% 88
High school or less 19% 3% 33% 44% 43 Some college 32% 13% 36% 18% 49 College graduate 38% 4% 29% 28% 83 Post graduate 61% 7% 26% 6% 34
Attend services 1 or more/week 29% 11% 34% 26% 57 1 2 times a month 47% 10% 23% 20% 34 Less often 39% 5% 28% 28% 53 Never 35% 3% 36% 27% 64
North Country 42% 5% 27% 26% 16 Central / Lakes 34% 6% 41% 18% 47 Connecticut Valley 25% 6% 21% 48% 21 Mass Border 32% 4% 32% 32% 58 Seacoast 49% 3% 34% 13% 30 Manchester Area 39% 13% 22% 25% 39
First Cong. Dist 40% 10% 30% 20% 98 Second Cong. Dist 33% 4% 32% 31% 112
Favorability Rating – Bobbie Jindal (Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 31% 8% 21% 41% 212
Registered Undeclared 23% 5% 28% 45% 61 Registered Republican 36% 10% 19% 35% 141
Democrat 16% 39% 16% 29% 6 Independent 24% 7% 32% 37% 26 Republican 32% 7% 19% 42% 179
Liberal 11% 12% 24% 54% 12 Moderate 31% 10% 20% 38% 73 Conservative 34% 7% 21% 38% 120
Support Tea Party 54% 5% 14% 27% 78 Neutral 17% 11% 21% 51% 89 Oppose Tea Party 21% 9% 35% 35% 37
Romney/Ryan Voter 34% 8% 19% 38% 173 Obama/Biden Voter 9% 16% 21% 54% 20 Other 28% 0% 44% 27% 11 Did Not Vote in 2012 0% 0% 0% 100% 4
Union household 15% 0% 25% 60% 18 Non union 32% 9% 20% 39% 192
Read Union Leader 34% 14% 14% 38% 76 Read Boston Globe 36% 13% 17% 33% 20 Watch WMUR 34% 6% 19% 41% 145 Listen to NHPR 28% 15% 20% 36% 44
10 yrs or less in NH 46% 0% 20% 34% 28 11 to 20 years 20% 9% 24% 47% 47 More than 20 years 31% 9% 19% 40% 135
18 to 34 22% 3% 12% 63% 39 35 to 49 30% 7% 16% 47% 52 50 to 64 24% 7% 27% 42% 60 65 and over 47% 12% 21% 21% 54
Male 31% 6% 23% 40% 123 Female 30% 11% 17% 42% 88
High school or less 29% 2% 13% 56% 43 Some college 30% 8% 15% 47% 49 College graduate 37% 13% 16% 34% 84 Post graduate 20% 4% 47% 29% 34
Attend services 1 or more/week 37% 7% 16% 40% 58 1 2 times a month 30% 6% 18% 47% 34 Less often 34% 6% 24% 36% 53 Never 24% 12% 21% 43% 64
North Country 42% 10% 13% 35% 16 Central / Lakes 24% 9% 21% 45% 48 Connecticut Valley 31% 4% 9% 56% 21 Mass Border 25% 8% 22% 46% 58 Seacoast 39% 6% 36% 19% 30 Manchester Area 37% 9% 15% 39% 39
First Cong. Dist 32% 11% 25% 33% 99 Second Cong. Dist 30% 6% 17% 48% 112
Favorability Rating – Rand Paul (Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 45% 6% 26% 23% 212
Registered Undeclared 45% 6% 23% 27% 61 Registered Republican 48% 7% 27% 18% 141
Democrat 0% 0% 64% 36% 6 Independent 44% 3% 33% 20% 26 Republican 47% 7% 23% 23% 179
Liberal 19% 3% 27% 51% 12 Moderate 41% 7% 30% 23% 73 Conservative 53% 6% 24% 17% 120
Support Tea Party 71% 3% 20% 6% 78 Neutral 35% 9% 19% 37% 89 Oppose Tea Party 19% 8% 56% 17% 37
Romney/Ryan Voter 49% 6% 23% 22% 173 Obama/Biden Voter 15% 9% 40% 36% 20 Other 52% 0% 48% 0% 11 Did Not Vote in 2012 18% 0% 11% 72% 4
Union household 63% 3% 25% 9% 18 Non union 44% 6% 26% 24% 192
Read Union Leader 50% 13% 23% 15% 76 Read Boston Globe 36% 15% 29% 20% 20 Watch WMUR 48% 7% 23% 21% 145 Listen to NHPR 33% 4% 35% 27% 44
10 yrs or less in NH 55% 0% 22% 23% 28 11 to 20 years 46% 6% 24% 24% 47 More than 20 years 43% 8% 27% 23% 135
18 to 34 30% 3% 19% 48% 39 35 to 49 45% 5% 26% 24% 52 50 to 64 43% 12% 23% 22% 60 65 and over 60% 4% 32% 4% 54
Male 42% 4% 29% 25% 123 Female 49% 9% 21% 21% 88
High school or less 42% 3% 20% 35% 43 Some college 55% 1% 13% 31% 49 College graduate 42% 13% 28% 18% 84 Post graduate 45% 0% 45% 10% 34
Attend services 1 or more/week 49% 6% 28% 17% 58 1 2 times a month 34% 5% 19% 42% 34 Less often 55% 6% 21% 18% 53 Never 41% 7% 29% 24% 64
North Country 43% 10% 34% 13% 16 Central / Lakes 34% 6% 34% 26% 48 Connecticut Valley 60% 6% 19% 16% 21 Mass Border 42% 5% 20% 32% 58 Seacoast 54% 0% 24% 22% 30 Manchester Area 48% 11% 26% 15% 39
First Cong. Dist 51% 7% 24% 18% 99 Second Cong. Dist 40% 5% 27% 27% 112
Favorability Rating – Rob Portman (Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 20% 10% 14% 57% 212
Registered Undeclared 20% 10% 11% 59% 61 Registered Republican 21% 10% 15% 54% 141
Democrat 16% 7% 29% 47% 6 Independent 18% 5% 24% 54% 26 Republican 21% 10% 12% 57% 179
Liberal 0% 5% 26% 69% 12 Moderate 23% 12% 14% 51% 73 Conservative 21% 9% 13% 57% 120
Support Tea Party 35% 7% 11% 47% 78 Neutral 9% 14% 8% 69% 89 Oppose Tea Party 19% 6% 36% 39% 37
Romney/Ryan Voter 19% 11% 12% 58% 173 Obama/Biden Voter 28% 7% 21% 44% 20 Other 28% 6% 24% 42% 11 Did Not Vote in 2012 0% 0% 0% 100% 4
Union household 31% 5% 10% 54% 18 Non union 19% 10% 14% 57% 192
Read Union Leader 30% 13% 10% 46% 76 Read Boston Globe 39% 4% 0% 57% 20 Watch WMUR 20% 9% 15% 56% 145 Listen to NHPR 17% 11% 18% 54% 44
10 yrs or less in NH 32% 6% 7% 55% 28 11 to 20 years 14% 10% 14% 63% 47 More than 20 years 20% 10% 15% 55% 135
18 to 34 17% 6% 2% 74% 39 35 to 49 23% 7% 9% 60% 52 50 to 64 19% 14% 27% 40% 60 65 and over 22% 7% 13% 58% 54
Male 22% 8% 15% 56% 123 Female 17% 12% 12% 58% 88
High school or less 15% 6% 10% 69% 43 Some college 20% 7% 15% 58% 49 College graduate 21% 15% 14% 50% 84 Post graduate 23% 5% 17% 55% 34
Attend services 1 or more/week 24% 7% 9% 60% 58 1 2 times a month 20% 7% 17% 55% 34 Less often 20% 8% 15% 56% 53 Never 16% 15% 14% 55% 64
North Country 19% 5% 5% 71% 16 Central / Lakes 11% 12% 24% 53% 48 Connecticut Valley 26% 4% 17% 53% 21 Mass Border 16% 11% 8% 65% 58 Seacoast 33% 9% 23% 36% 30 Manchester Area 24% 10% 4% 62% 39
First Cong. Dist 21% 12% 16% 51% 99 Second Cong. Dist 19% 7% 12% 62% 112
Favorability Rating – Marco Rubio (Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 56% 6% 6% 31% 212
Registered Undeclared 53% 7% 7% 34% 61 Registered Republican 61% 6% 5% 28% 141
Democrat 16% 31% 16% 36% 6 Independent 38% 10% 15% 37% 26 Republican 60% 5% 5% 30% 179
Liberal 3% 5% 14% 78% 12 Moderate 44% 10% 9% 37% 73 Conservative 72% 4% 3% 21% 120
Support Tea Party 78% 0% 3% 19% 78 Neutral 47% 9% 5% 39% 89 Oppose Tea Party 40% 14% 15% 30% 37
Romney/Ryan Voter 64% 6% 5% 25% 173 Obama/Biden Voter 11% 14% 12% 63% 20 Other 34% 4% 16% 47% 11 Did Not Vote in 2012 0% 0% 0% 100% 4
Union household 45% 10% 13% 32% 18 Non union 58% 6% 5% 31% 192
Read Union Leader 69% 5% 7% 19% 76 Read Boston Globe 60% 8% 4% 28% 20 Watch WMUR 59% 5% 5% 31% 145 Listen to NHPR 52% 7% 12% 29% 44
10 yrs or less in NH 72% 0% 0% 28% 28 11 to 20 years 53% 9% 6% 32% 47 More than 20 years 55% 7% 7% 32% 135
18 to 34 29% 0% 3% 67% 39 35 to 49 58% 6% 6% 31% 52 50 to 64 52% 7% 10% 31% 60 65 and over 80% 8% 4% 8% 54
Male 54% 7% 8% 31% 123 Female 60% 6% 3% 31% 88
High school or less 34% 4% 12% 50% 43 Some college 49% 5% 2% 45% 49 College graduate 66% 8% 6% 20% 84 Post graduate 73% 7% 4% 15% 34
Attend services 1 or more/week 63% 2% 8% 27% 58 1 2 times a month 57% 11% 0% 32% 34 Less often 60% 6% 6% 27% 53 Never 47% 8% 6% 39% 64
North Country 56% 12% 0% 32% 16 Central / Lakes 51% 3% 12% 34% 48 Connecticut Valley 44% 8% 17% 31% 21 Mass Border 55% 10% 3% 32% 58 Seacoast 70% 3% 5% 22% 30 Manchester Area 62% 4% 2% 32% 39
First Cong. Dist 65% 5% 4% 26% 99 Second Cong. Dist 49% 8% 8% 35% 112
Favorability Rating – Paul Ryan (Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 61% 8% 19% 13% 212
Registered Undeclared 56% 6% 21% 17% 61 Registered Republican 62% 9% 19% 10% 141
Democrat 22% 0% 78% 0% 6 Independent 44% 4% 26% 26% 26 Republican 66% 8% 16% 11% 179
Liberal 17% 3% 39% 41% 12 Moderate 53% 7% 22% 17% 73 Conservative 71% 9% 14% 7% 120
Support Tea Party 79% 8% 11% 3% 78 Neutral 54% 10% 17% 20% 89 Oppose Tea Party 39% 4% 43% 15% 37
Romney/Ryan Voter 66% 9% 14% 11% 173 Obama/Biden Voter 38% 0% 45% 17% 20 Other 28% 0% 60% 12% 11 Did Not Vote in 2012 18% 0% 0% 82% 4
Union household 58% 17% 10% 16% 18 Non union 62% 7% 19% 12% 192
Read Union Leader 62% 9% 17% 13% 76 Read Boston Globe 55% 18% 9% 18% 20 Watch WMUR 62% 7% 20% 11% 145 Listen to NHPR 62% 12% 23% 3% 44
10 yrs or less in NH 57% 4% 24% 15% 28 11 to 20 years 63% 14% 18% 6% 47 More than 20 years 62% 6% 18% 14% 135
18 to 34 61% 3% 12% 23% 39 35 to 49 55% 12% 21% 12% 52 50 to 64 58% 6% 27% 10% 60 65 and over 71% 7% 13% 9% 54
Male 60% 7% 20% 13% 123 Female 64% 8% 17% 11% 88
High school or less 61% 6% 9% 24% 43 Some college 71% 5% 22% 2% 49 College graduate 61% 9% 15% 15% 84 Post graduate 46% 11% 36% 6% 34
Attend services 1 or more/week 69% 10% 11% 10% 58 1 2 times a month 64% 5% 12% 19% 34 Less often 65% 12% 12% 12% 53 Never 50% 3% 34% 13% 64
North Country 72% 0% 12% 15% 16 Central / Lakes 57% 9% 21% 12% 48 Connecticut Valley 66% 6% 15% 13% 21 Mass Border 55% 10% 20% 15% 58 Seacoast 62% 3% 24% 12% 30 Manchester Area 69% 10% 13% 9% 39
First Cong. Dist 60% 8% 19% 13% 99 Second Cong. Dist 62% 7% 18% 12% 112
Favorability Rating – Rick Santorum (Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 40% 8% 42% 10% 212
Registered Undeclared 38% 2% 45% 15% 61 Registered Republican 38% 10% 44% 8% 141
Democrat 0% 0% 100% 0% 6 Independent 20% 4% 49% 27% 26 Republican 44% 8% 40% 8% 179
Liberal 16% 3% 49% 31% 12 Moderate 31% 3% 54% 12% 73 Conservative 48% 11% 35% 6% 120
Support Tea Party 52% 4% 39% 5% 78 Neutral 37% 13% 36% 15% 89 Oppose Tea Party 15% 3% 74% 8% 37
Romney/Ryan Voter 44% 9% 38% 9% 173 Obama/Biden Voter 18% 0% 71% 11% 20 Other 15% 0% 73% 12% 11 Did Not Vote in 2012 28% 0% 0% 72% 4
Union household 45% 14% 38% 2% 18 Non union 39% 7% 43% 11% 192
Read Union Leader 43% 11% 34% 11% 76 Read Boston Globe 32% 9% 49% 11% 20 Watch WMUR 41% 8% 40% 11% 145 Listen to NHPR 43% 7% 46% 5% 44
10 yrs or less in NH 33% 0% 63% 4% 28 11 to 20 years 56% 7% 36% 2% 47 More than 20 years 35% 10% 41% 14% 135
18 to 34 42% 4% 39% 15% 39 35 to 49 38% 5% 44% 14% 52 50 to 64 33% 10% 51% 6% 60 65 and over 45% 10% 38% 8% 54
Male 35% 8% 48% 9% 123 Female 46% 8% 35% 11% 88
High school or less 45% 7% 27% 21% 43 Some college 38% 17% 40% 6% 49 College graduate 38% 6% 47% 10% 84 Post graduate 38% 3% 56% 4% 34
Attend services 1 or more/week 52% 5% 35% 8% 58 1 2 times a month 30% 23% 38% 9% 34 Less often 40% 3% 41% 16% 53 Never 32% 7% 52% 9% 64
North Country 33% 0% 47% 20% 16 Central / Lakes 38% 7% 42% 13% 48 Connecticut Valley 43% 10% 41% 6% 21 Mass Border 38% 3% 45% 14% 58 Seacoast 32% 15% 53% 0% 30 Manchester Area 50% 13% 30% 7% 39
First Cong. Dist 38% 10% 42% 10% 99 Second Cong. Dist 41% 6% 43% 10% 112
Favorability Rating – John Thune (Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 16% 7% 13% 63% 212
Registered Undeclared 15% 4% 18% 63% 61 Registered Republican 18% 9% 12% 61% 141
Democrat 0% 0% 0% 100% 6 Independent 6% 3% 40% 50% 26 Republican 18% 8% 10% 64% 179
Liberal 0% 14% 11% 75% 12 Moderate 25% 5% 9% 61% 73 Conservative 13% 8% 17% 61% 120
Support Tea Party 31% 3% 12% 54% 78 Neutral 8% 13% 8% 72% 89 Oppose Tea Party 8% 6% 33% 54% 37
Romney/Ryan Voter 16% 8% 13% 63% 173 Obama/Biden Voter 8% 4% 15% 73% 20 Other 39% 0% 32% 29% 11 Did Not Vote in 2012 0% 18% 0% 82% 4
Union household 15% 4% 19% 62% 18 Non union 16% 8% 13% 63% 192
Read Union Leader 19% 11% 10% 60% 76 Read Boston Globe 25% 4% 13% 57% 20 Watch WMUR 16% 7% 14% 63% 145 Listen to NHPR 3% 6% 15% 76% 44
10 yrs or less in NH 31% 3% 6% 59% 28 11 to 20 years 22% 4% 14% 60% 47 More than 20 years 11% 10% 15% 65% 135
18 to 34 9% 2% 10% 79% 39 35 to 49 21% 4% 14% 60% 52 50 to 64 11% 10% 17% 62% 60 65 and over 24% 9% 10% 57% 54
Male 16% 7% 16% 61% 123 Female 16% 8% 10% 66% 88
High school or less 5% 8% 12% 75% 43 Some college 18% 4% 11% 67% 49 College graduate 19% 13% 15% 53% 84 Post graduate 20% 0% 14% 66% 34
Attend services 1 or more/week 22% 5% 10% 63% 58 1 2 times a month 19% 3% 13% 66% 34 Less often 14% 9% 15% 62% 53 Never 12% 11% 15% 62% 64
North Country 19% 0% 0% 81% 16 Central / Lakes 14% 6% 20% 60% 48 Connecticut Valley 19% 7% 17% 57% 21 Mass Border 15% 6% 9% 70% 58 Seacoast 18% 9% 27% 46% 30 Manchester Area 16% 13% 5% 66% 39
First Cong. Dist 13% 9% 15% 63% 99 Second Cong. Dist 19% 6% 12% 63% 112
Favorability Rating – Scott Walker (Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 37% 7% 14% 42% 212
Registered Undeclared 42% 8% 15% 36% 61 Registered Republican 38% 7% 15% 40% 141
Democrat 0% 0% 64% 36% 6 Independent 32% 0% 30% 38% 26 Republican 40% 8% 10% 43% 179
Liberal 9% 15% 27% 48% 12 Moderate 36% 6% 14% 44% 73 Conservative 41% 7% 12% 40% 120
Support Tea Party 65% 2% 4% 28% 78 Neutral 25% 15% 11% 49% 89 Oppose Tea Party 17% 0% 45% 39% 37
Romney/Ryan Voter 42% 8% 11% 40% 173 Obama/Biden Voter 15% 4% 39% 41% 20 Other 18% 6% 32% 44% 11 Did Not Vote in 2012 0% 0% 0% 100% 4
Union household 35% 0% 22% 43% 18 Non union 38% 8% 13% 41% 192
Read Union Leader 38% 12% 13% 37% 76 Read Boston Globe 39% 9% 13% 39% 20 Watch WMUR 40% 4% 16% 39% 145 Listen to NHPR 37% 7% 23% 33% 44
10 yrs or less in NH 61% 0% 11% 28% 28 11 to 20 years 37% 11% 9% 43% 47 More than 20 years 33% 7% 16% 44% 135
18 to 34 17% 4% 10% 70% 39 35 to 49 44% 5% 16% 35% 52 50 to 64 35% 8% 20% 37% 60 65 and over 52% 8% 11% 30% 54
Male 41% 5% 14% 40% 123 Female 32% 11% 14% 44% 88
High school or less 36% 4% 9% 51% 43 Some college 24% 4% 15% 57% 49 College graduate 41% 12% 12% 36% 84 Post graduate 50% 5% 25% 20% 34
Attend services 1 or more/week 46% 2% 9% 44% 58 1 2 times a month 30% 9% 13% 48% 34 Less often 45% 5% 12% 37% 53 Never 28% 12% 20% 40% 64
North Country 28% 15% 12% 45% 16 Central / Lakes 24% 7% 24% 44% 48 Connecticut Valley 50% 6% 6% 39% 21 Mass Border 40% 6% 9% 45% 58 Seacoast 58% 3% 18% 20% 30 Manchester Area 30% 8% 11% 50% 39
First Cong. Dist 44% 8% 15% 34% 99 Second Cong. Dist 32% 6% 13% 49% 112
Decided 2016 GOP Primary Vote (Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Def. Leaning Still Trying Decided Towards Someone To Decide (N) STATEWIDE 6% 6% 88% 205
Registered Undeclared 3% 1% 96% 60 Registered Republican 8% 7% 85% 136
Democrat 0% 16% 84% 6 Independent 0% 4% 96% 26 Republican 7% 6% 87% 172
Liberal 0% 7% 93% 12 Moderate 12% 0% 88% 73 Conservative 3% 10% 87% 114
Support Tea Party 7% 7% 86% 77 Neutral 4% 3% 93% 84 Oppose Tea Party 7% 10% 83% 37
Romney/Ryan Voter 6% 6% 88% 167 Obama/Biden Voter 8% 5% 87% 20 Other 0% 8% 92% 11 Did Not Vote in 2012 0% 24% 76% 3
Union household 2% 4% 94% 18 Non union 6% 6% 88% 186
Read Union Leader 5% 9% 86% 73 Read Boston Globe 0% 0% 100% 20 Watch WMUR 4% 5% 90% 142 Listen to NHPR 4% 14% 82% 40
10 yrs or less in NH 9% 3% 88% 27 11 to 20 years 5% 4% 91% 47 More than 20 years 6% 7% 87% 130
18 to 34 12% 2% 86% 38 35 to 49 3% 5% 92% 51 50 to 64 9% 4% 87% 58 65 and over 1% 12% 87% 52
Male 6% 4% 89% 123 Female 5% 8% 87% 82
High school or less 1% 6% 93% 42 Some college 13% 0% 87% 49 College graduate 4% 8% 88% 80 Post graduate 5% 8% 87% 33
Attend services 1 or more/week 2% 8% 89% 54 1 2 times a month 13% 0% 87% 34 Less often 6% 4% 90% 53 Never 5% 9% 86% 62
North Country 0% 0% 100% 15 Central / Lakes 14% 8% 79% 48 Connecticut Valley 8% 4% 88% 20 Mass Border 0% 3% 97% 58 Seacoast 8% 9% 83% 30 Manchester Area 5% 9% 86% 34
First Cong. Dist 5% 7% 88% 95 Second Cong. Dist 7% 5% 88% 110
GOP 2016 Primary Support (Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Chris Marco Paul Kelly Someone Christie Rubio Ryan Ayotte Else Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE 14% 12% 11% 10% 33% 20% 209
Registered Undeclared 20% 17% 11% 6% 21% 25% 60 Registered Republican 13% 10% 10% 12% 37% 18% 140
Democrat 24% 0% 0% 0% 48% 28% 6 Independent 11% 18% 10% 9% 33% 19% 26 Republican 15% 12% 11% 11% 32% 19% 176
Liberal 10% 0% 0% 0% 49% 41% 12 Moderate 24% 5% 14% 10% 24% 23% 71 Conservative 10% 18% 9% 9% 38% 17% 120
Support Tea Party 9% 20% 9% 5% 39% 19% 78 Neutral 14% 9% 11% 15% 26% 25% 88 Oppose Tea Party 30% 5% 10% 8% 34% 13% 36
Romney/Ryan Voter 14% 14% 11% 10% 32% 20% 173 Obama/Biden Voter 25% 0% 7% 4% 44% 20% 20 Other 16% 0% 0% 12% 48% 25% 11 Did Not Vote in 2012 0% 0% 20% 42% 0% 38% 4
Union household 24% 5% 22% 5% 22% 21% 18 Non union 14% 13% 9% 11% 34% 20% 191
Read Union Leader 14% 13% 10% 8% 34% 20% 75 Read Boston Globe 19% 11% 11% 11% 28% 20% 20 Watch WMUR 15% 11% 12% 12% 30% 20% 144 Listen to NHPR 21% 6% 8% 10% 36% 19% 43
10 yrs or less in NH 15% 6% 10% 4% 48% 18% 28 11 to 20 years 11% 18% 18% 8% 27% 18% 47 More than 20 years 16% 11% 8% 12% 32% 21% 133
18 to 34 7% 3% 8% 11% 40% 31% 38 35 to 49 18% 15% 10% 8% 33% 16% 50 50 to 64 21% 12% 13% 8% 29% 17% 60 65 and over 11% 18% 10% 12% 34% 16% 54
Male 17% 14% 7% 10% 35% 18% 122 Female 11% 10% 16% 11% 30% 23% 88
High school or less 10% 8% 16% 12% 36% 17% 43 Some college 5% 9% 10% 16% 39% 21% 49 College graduate 24% 13% 8% 7% 26% 22% 83 Post graduate 11% 20% 8% 8% 36% 18% 33
Attend services 1 or more/week 10% 19% 13% 15% 25% 18% 58 1 2 times a month 17% 5% 5% 3% 55% 16% 34 Less often 20% 11% 14% 11% 28% 16% 53 Never 11% 11% 7% 9% 33% 28% 63
North Country 5% 5% 11% 13% 10% 56% 15 Central / Lakes 16% 12% 15% 11% 26% 20% 48 Connecticut Valley 21% 6% 8% 9% 42% 14% 21 Mass Border 22% 14% 4% 11% 30% 19% 58 Seacoast 6% 12% 20% 9% 45% 7% 29 Manchester Area 8% 16% 10% 7% 39% 21% 38
First Cong. Dist 13% 13% 14% 7% 33% 19% 98 Second Cong. Dist 15% 11% 8% 13% 32% 21% 112
GOP 2016 Primary – Would NOT Support (Likely 2016 GOP Primary Voters)
Rick Chris Jeb Someone All Don’t Santorum Christie Bush Else Acceptable Know (N=) STATEWIDE 11% 6% 6% 30% 15% 32% 208
Registered Undeclared 10% 4% 13% 28% 12% 33% 59 Registered Republican 13% 7% 4% 32% 16% 29% 138
Democrat 52% 0% 7% 40% 0% 0% 6 Independent 2% 6% 15% 36% 13% 28% 25 Republican 11% 7% 5% 29% 16% 33% 176
Liberal 23% 0% 0% 26% 9% 42% 12 Moderate 9% 2% 3% 36% 19% 30% 70 Conservative 10% 10% 9% 28% 14% 30% 120
Support Tea Party 9% 7% 7% 28% 18% 31% 78 Neutral 12% 9% 3% 27% 14% 35% 87 Oppose Tea Party 15% 2% 13% 47% 13% 10% 35
Romney/Ryan Voter 10% 7% 7% 28% 16% 31% 172 Obama/Biden Voter 17% 0% 5% 47% 5% 27% 18 Other 17% 8% 0% 39% 0% 36% 11 Did Not Vote in 2012 0% 0% 0% 0% 37% 63% 4
Union household 8% 8% 0% 45% 3% 37% 18 Non union 11% 6% 7% 29% 16% 31% 188
Read Union Leader 11% 6% 2% 34% 17% 29% 75 Read Boston Globe 17% 0% 6% 20% 10% 46% 20 Watch WMUR 12% 5% 7% 30% 16% 31% 142 Listen to NHPR 11% 8% 3% 30% 15% 33% 43
10 yrs or less in NH 13% 3% 0% 40% 21% 23% 27 11 to 20 years 9% 9% 2% 30% 17% 32% 46 More than 20 years 11% 6% 9% 28% 13% 33% 133
18 to 34 5% 6% 2% 25% 15% 47% 38 35 to 49 19% 5% 16% 28% 6% 26% 51 50 to 64 19% 5% 2% 33% 17% 23% 58 65 and over 1% 10% 3% 33% 23% 32% 54
Male 12% 5% 10% 29% 16% 29% 122 Female 9% 8% 2% 32% 13% 35% 86
High school or less 3% 9% 5% 31% 17% 35% 41 Some college 18% 7% 6% 32% 11% 26% 48 College graduate 8% 4% 7% 28% 16% 38% 84 Post graduate 18% 10% 7% 33% 16% 16% 33
Attend services 1 or more/week 8% 10% 7% 28% 18% 28% 58 1 2 times a month 15% 0% 5% 45% 10% 25% 34 Less often 13% 8% 3% 27% 14% 34% 51 Never 10% 5% 9% 25% 15% 36% 63
North Country 0% 5% 5% 27% 8% 55% 16 Central / Lakes 11% 3% 6% 34% 14% 33% 48 Connecticut Valley 15% 8% 3% 36% 10% 30% 20 Mass Border 9% 11% 9% 25% 15% 32% 57 Seacoast 13% 3% 9% 47% 13% 15% 28 Manchester Area 16% 6% 4% 18% 23% 33% 39
First Cong. Dist 12% 4% 5% 36% 16% 27% 96 Second Cong. Dist 10% 9% 7% 24% 13% 36% 112
Favorability Rating – Evan Bayh (Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 20% 9% 7% 64% 201
Registered Democrat 20% 11% 6% 62% 140 Registered Undeclared 23% 5% 8% 64% 54
Democrat 18% 9% 7% 67% 179 Independent 33% 5% 7% 55% 17 Republican 73% 27% 0% 0% 5
Liberal 18% 6% 7% 69% 99 Moderate 20% 14% 9% 57% 69 Conservative 32% 10% 0% 58% 23
Support Tea Party 23% 17% 0% 60% 14 Neutral 10% 20% 0% 70% 27 Oppose Tea Party 23% 7% 8% 62% 153
Romney/Ryan Voter 48% 36% 0% 16% 15 Obama/Biden Voter 17% 7% 7% 69% 177 Other 48% 0% 12% 40% 4 Did Not Vote in 2012 44% 0% 0% 56% 6
Union household 26% 13% 2% 59% 28 Non union 19% 9% 7% 65% 172
Read Union Leader 24% 8% 6% 62% 49 Read Boston Globe 18% 10% 9% 63% 41 Watch WMUR 19% 8% 7% 66% 133 Listen to NHPR 24% 7% 7% 63% 107
10 yrs or less in NH 27% 15% 6% 52% 36 11 to 20 years 8% 5% 4% 83% 34 More than 20 years 22% 9% 7% 62% 130
18 to 34 9% 19% 0% 72% 24 35 to 49 32% 5% 3% 61% 46 50 to 64 14% 10% 7% 70% 76 65 and over 23% 8% 13% 56% 52
Male 21% 10% 11% 58% 73 Female 20% 9% 4% 67% 128
High school or less 24% 7% 9% 60% 30 Some college 16% 4% 8% 71% 32 College graduate 22% 10% 4% 64% 88 Post graduate 19% 12% 7% 62% 51
Attend services 1 or more/week 26% 10% 3% 62% 45 1 2 times a month 43% 5% 2% 50% 20 Less often 5% 15% 5% 75% 59 Never 21% 6% 11% 62% 72
North Country 41% 5% 0% 54% 18 Central / Lakes 9% 12% 6% 72% 29 Connecticut Valley 20% 5% 6% 69% 40 Mass Border 20% 11% 9% 60% 58 Seacoast 22% 14% 3% 61% 30 Manchester Area 16% 5% 13% 66% 25
First Cong. Dist 22% 9% 7% 63% 79 Second Cong. Dist 19% 9% 6% 65% 122
Favorability Rating – Joe Biden (Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 73% 4% 22% 1% 201
Registered Democrat 73% 4% 23% 0% 140 Registered Undeclared 70% 5% 22% 3% 54
Democrat 78% 4% 17% 1% 179 Independent 49% 3% 48% 0% 17 Republican 0% 0% 100% 0% 5
Liberal 87% 1% 11% 0% 99 Moderate 57% 7% 34% 2% 69 Conservative 59% 5% 36% 0% 23
Support Tea Party 42% 3% 51% 3% 14 Neutral 79% 4% 18% 0% 27 Oppose Tea Party 75% 3% 20% 1% 153
Romney/Ryan Voter 0% 8% 92% 0% 15 Obama/Biden Voter 82% 4% 14% 1% 177 Other 12% 0% 88% 0% 4 Did Not Vote in 2012 56% 0% 44% 0% 6
Union household 72% 7% 17% 4% 28 Non union 74% 3% 23% 0% 172
Read Union Leader 65% 6% 26% 2% 49 Read Boston Globe 81% 3% 16% 0% 41 Watch WMUR 74% 2% 22% 1% 133 Listen to NHPR 77% 4% 18% 0% 107
10 yrs or less in NH 69% 8% 23% 0% 36 11 to 20 years 75% 2% 23% 0% 34 More than 20 years 74% 3% 21% 1% 130
18 to 34 95% 0% 5% 0% 24 35 to 49 67% 8% 25% 0% 46 50 to 64 73% 3% 24% 1% 76 65 and over 71% 4% 22% 2% 52
Male 81% 2% 16% 2% 73 Female 69% 5% 25% 0% 128
High school or less 53% 2% 40% 4% 30 Some college 84% 5% 10% 1% 32 College graduate 72% 3% 25% 0% 88 Post graduate 81% 5% 13% 0% 51
Attend services 1 or more/week 54% 5% 38% 3% 45 1 2 times a month 63% 0% 37% 0% 20 Less often 76% 8% 15% 1% 59 Never 88% 1% 11% 0% 72
North Country 72% 5% 23% 0% 18 Central / Lakes 74% 6% 19% 2% 29 Connecticut Valley 79% 4% 16% 0% 40 Mass Border 76% 3% 21% 0% 58 Seacoast 70% 1% 29% 0% 30 Manchester Area 64% 5% 26% 5% 25
First Cong. Dist 75% 3% 20% 2% 79 Second Cong. Dist 73% 5% 23% 0% 122
Favorability Rating – Cory Booker (Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 31% 8% 11% 50% 201
Registered Democrat 31% 8% 11% 50% 140 Registered Undeclared 34% 8% 11% 47% 54
Democrat 32% 8% 9% 51% 179 Independent 10% 10% 30% 49% 17 Republican 73% 0% 0% 27% 5
Liberal 38% 9% 7% 46% 99 Moderate 35% 8% 12% 45% 69 Conservative 4% 6% 21% 69% 23
Support Tea Party 5% 13% 27% 55% 14 Neutral 10% 12% 8% 70% 27 Oppose Tea Party 39% 7% 9% 45% 153
Romney/Ryan Voter 41% 18% 17% 24% 15 Obama/Biden Voter 32% 7% 9% 52% 177 Other 0% 12% 12% 76% 4 Did Not Vote in 2012 0% 0% 44% 56% 6
Union household 44% 8% 3% 46% 28 Non union 29% 8% 12% 51% 172
Read Union Leader 37% 10% 11% 42% 49 Read Boston Globe 38% 3% 6% 53% 41 Watch WMUR 30% 7% 13% 50% 133 Listen to NHPR 36% 9% 7% 48% 107
10 yrs or less in NH 35% 20% 14% 31% 36 11 to 20 years 23% 0% 5% 73% 34 More than 20 years 32% 7% 11% 50% 130
18 to 34 36% 17% 0% 47% 24 35 to 49 39% 5% 12% 44% 46 50 to 64 26% 7% 11% 56% 76 65 and over 29% 8% 14% 48% 52
Male 37% 4% 9% 50% 73 Female 28% 10% 11% 50% 128
High school or less 28% 3% 21% 49% 30 Some college 36% 3% 9% 51% 32 College graduate 31% 10% 12% 46% 88 Post graduate 30% 10% 2% 58% 51
Attend services 1 or more/week 28% 10% 9% 53% 45 1 2 times a month 24% 5% 34% 37% 20 Less often 31% 12% 6% 51% 59 Never 37% 5% 5% 54% 72
North Country 22% 7% 14% 58% 18 Central / Lakes 12% 8% 4% 76% 29 Connecticut Valley 29% 8% 12% 51% 40 Mass Border 44% 10% 7% 39% 58 Seacoast 32% 11% 10% 48% 30 Manchester Area 34% 0% 22% 44% 25
First Cong. Dist 35% 8% 11% 46% 79 Second Cong. Dist 29% 8% 10% 53% 122
Favorability Rating – Hilary Clinton (Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 87% 5% 7% 1% 201
Registered Democrat 88% 5% 7% 0% 140 Registered Undeclared 82% 4% 9% 5% 54
Democrat 91% 2% 5% 1% 179 Independent 65% 28% 7% 0% 17 Republican 0% 0% 100% 0% 5
Liberal 92% 3% 3% 2% 99 Moderate 82% 4% 12% 1% 69 Conservative 76% 14% 10% 0% 23
Support Tea Party 59% 21% 17% 3% 14 Neutral 83% 12% 5% 0% 27 Oppose Tea Party 89% 2% 7% 1% 153
Romney/Ryan Voter 27% 29% 44% 0% 15 Obama/Biden Voter 92% 3% 4% 1% 177 Other 64% 0% 36% 0% 4 Did Not Vote in 2012 100% 0% 0% 0% 6
Union household 93% 7% 0% 0% 28 Non union 86% 4% 9% 2% 172
Read Union Leader 84% 3% 11% 2% 49 Read Boston Globe 95% 5% 0% 0% 41 Watch WMUR 87% 4% 8% 1% 133 Listen to NHPR 91% 3% 5% 1% 107
10 yrs or less in NH 91% 9% 0% 0% 36 11 to 20 years 84% 2% 14% 0% 34 More than 20 years 86% 4% 8% 2% 130
18 to 34 95% 0% 0% 5% 24 35 to 49 82% 8% 10% 0% 46 50 to 64 88% 2% 8% 2% 76 65 and over 88% 7% 4% 0% 52
Male 89% 5% 6% 0% 73 Female 86% 4% 8% 2% 128
High school or less 76% 0% 24% 0% 30 Some college 88% 3% 4% 5% 32 College graduate 88% 6% 6% 0% 88 Post graduate 91% 6% 2% 2% 51
Attend services 1 or more/week 81% 4% 12% 2% 45 1 2 times a month 73% 9% 18% 0% 20 Less often 98% 0% 1% 1% 59 Never 87% 4% 7% 2% 72
North Country 86% 14% 0% 0% 18 Central / Lakes 80% 3% 12% 5% 29 Connecticut Valley 90% 4% 4% 3% 40 Mass Border 92% 0% 8% 0% 58 Seacoast 89% 6% 5% 0% 30 Manchester Area 78% 10% 12% 0% 25
First Cong. Dist 88% 8% 3% 1% 79 Second Cong. Dist 86% 2% 10% 2% 122
Favorability Rating – Andrew Cuomo (Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 56% 9% 16% 20% 201
Registered Democrat 58% 10% 14% 18% 140 Registered Undeclared 47% 6% 24% 23% 54
Democrat 58% 8% 14% 20% 179 Independent 21% 22% 31% 26% 17 Republican 73% 0% 27% 0% 5
Liberal 61% 9% 12% 19% 99 Moderate 57% 8% 18% 17% 69 Conservative 40% 12% 26% 22% 23
Support Tea Party 26% 18% 34% 22% 14 Neutral 39% 20% 18% 22% 27 Oppose Tea Party 61% 6% 14% 18% 153
Romney/Ryan Voter 48% 24% 28% 0% 15 Obama/Biden Voter 56% 8% 13% 23% 177 Other 48% 0% 52% 0% 4 Did Not Vote in 2012 56% 0% 44% 0% 6
Union household 62% 8% 19% 12% 28 Non union 55% 9% 16% 21% 172
Read Union Leader 61% 6% 18% 15% 49 Read Boston Globe 73% 5% 9% 13% 41 Watch WMUR 56% 10% 19% 16% 133 Listen to NHPR 62% 8% 14% 15% 107
10 yrs or less in NH 64% 7% 19% 9% 36 11 to 20 years 54% 4% 20% 22% 34 More than 20 years 54% 10% 13% 22% 130
18 to 34 32% 22% 5% 41% 24 35 to 49 54% 5% 20% 21% 46 50 to 64 53% 5% 21% 21% 76 65 and over 71% 12% 10% 8% 52
Male 51% 5% 21% 22% 73 Female 58% 11% 13% 19% 128
High school or less 42% 7% 25% 27% 30 Some college 48% 5% 18% 29% 32 College graduate 61% 11% 16% 12% 88 Post graduate 59% 9% 8% 23% 51
Attend services 1 or more/week 61% 4% 18% 18% 45 1 2 times a month 33% 11% 41% 15% 20 Less often 63% 12% 3% 22% 59 Never 54% 6% 18% 22% 72
North Country 48% 4% 17% 31% 18 Central / Lakes 64% 6% 12% 18% 29 Connecticut Valley 51% 9% 18% 22% 40 Mass Border 60% 7% 13% 19% 58 Seacoast 54% 15% 13% 18% 30 Manchester Area 50% 10% 26% 14% 25
First Cong. Dist 60% 12% 13% 15% 79 Second Cong. Dist 53% 7% 18% 23% 122
Favorability Rating – John Hickenlooper (Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 8% 7% 7% 78% 201
Registered Democrat 8% 8% 6% 78% 140 Registered Undeclared 8% 6% 8% 78% 54
Democrat 7% 6% 6% 81% 179 Independent 3% 10% 20% 68% 17 Republican 73% 27% 0% 0% 5
Liberal 6% 7% 7% 81% 99 Moderate 10% 7% 4% 78% 69 Conservative 11% 10% 22% 58% 23
Support Tea Party 16% 17% 19% 48% 14 Neutral 2% 20% 0% 78% 27 Oppose Tea Party 8% 4% 8% 81% 153
Romney/Ryan Voter 28% 33% 0% 39% 15 Obama/Biden Voter 6% 5% 7% 82% 177 Other 40% 0% 12% 48% 4 Did Not Vote in 2012 0% 0% 44% 56% 6
Union household 12% 3% 8% 77% 28 Non union 7% 8% 7% 78% 172
Read Union Leader 13% 11% 10% 66% 49 Read Boston Globe 3% 3% 6% 88% 41 Watch WMUR 9% 8% 8% 74% 133 Listen to NHPR 6% 4% 5% 85% 107
10 yrs or less in NH 9% 14% 3% 74% 36 11 to 20 years 10% 0% 7% 83% 34 More than 20 years 7% 7% 9% 77% 130
18 to 34 6% 17% 11% 67% 24 35 to 49 16% 0% 8% 76% 46 50 to 64 6% 6% 4% 84% 76 65 and over 5% 10% 11% 75% 52
Male 11% 5% 12% 72% 73 Female 6% 8% 5% 81% 128
High school or less 12% 7% 22% 58% 30 Some college 4% 6% 3% 88% 32 College graduate 10% 7% 4% 78% 88 Post graduate 4% 7% 7% 82% 51
Attend services 1 or more/week 13% 11% 4% 72% 45 1 2 times a month 0% 9% 19% 72% 20 Less often 5% 7% 5% 82% 59 Never 8% 4% 9% 80% 72
North Country 0% 5% 20% 75% 18 Central / Lakes 11% 8% 0% 82% 29 Connecticut Valley 6% 7% 4% 83% 40 Mass Border 14% 6% 11% 69% 58 Seacoast 1% 15% 2% 81% 30 Manchester Area 7% 0% 9% 84% 25
First Cong. Dist 8% 7% 5% 80% 79 Second Cong. Dist 8% 7% 9% 77% 122
Favorability Rating – Martin O’Malley (Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 9% 4% 6% 80% 201
Registered Democrat 12% 4% 5% 78% 140 Registered Undeclared 3% 4% 7% 86% 54
Democrat 9% 5% 5% 81% 179 Independent 0% 0% 13% 87% 17 Republican 73% 0% 0% 27% 5
Liberal 11% 4% 4% 80% 99 Moderate 11% 6% 5% 77% 69 Conservative 0% 4% 14% 82% 23
Support Tea Party 9% 7% 5% 79% 14 Neutral 0% 14% 3% 83% 27 Oppose Tea Party 12% 3% 6% 79% 153
Romney/Ryan Voter 25% 12% 6% 57% 15 Obama/Biden Voter 9% 4% 4% 83% 177 Other 0% 0% 12% 88% 4 Did Not Vote in 2012 0% 0% 44% 56% 6
Union household 17% 0% 9% 73% 28 Non union 8% 5% 5% 81% 172
Read Union Leader 9% 6% 10% 75% 49 Read Boston Globe 11% 3% 5% 81% 41 Watch WMUR 7% 4% 7% 82% 133 Listen to NHPR 9% 4% 4% 82% 107
10 yrs or less in NH 5% 11% 13% 71% 36 11 to 20 years 13% 0% 2% 85% 34 More than 20 years 10% 4% 4% 82% 130
18 to 34 7% 12% 5% 76% 24 35 to 49 17% 3% 7% 73% 46 50 to 64 7% 3% 2% 88% 76 65 and over 7% 5% 9% 79% 52
Male 12% 2% 11% 75% 73 Female 8% 6% 3% 83% 128
High school or less 19% 0% 14% 68% 30 Some college 17% 4% 6% 72% 32 College graduate 5% 6% 3% 86% 88 Post graduate 7% 5% 5% 83% 51
Attend services 1 or more/week 13% 3% 8% 76% 45 1 2 times a month 1% 5% 22% 72% 20 Less often 7% 9% 2% 82% 59 Never 13% 2% 2% 83% 72
North Country 4% 5% 18% 73% 18 Central / Lakes 1% 3% 0% 95% 29 Connecticut Valley 10% 4% 7% 79% 40 Mass Border 16% 3% 6% 75% 58 Seacoast 13% 11% 6% 70% 30 Manchester Area 3% 0% 2% 96% 25
First Cong. Dist 11% 6% 7% 77% 79 Second Cong. Dist 9% 4% 5% 83% 122
Favorability Rating – Deval Patrick (Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 52% 12% 22% 13% 201
Registered Democrat 56% 13% 21% 10% 140 Registered Undeclared 43% 10% 23% 24% 54
Democrat 54% 12% 21% 13% 179 Independent 33% 8% 43% 16% 17 Republican 73% 27% 0% 0% 5
Liberal 65% 14% 10% 11% 99 Moderate 40% 12% 35% 13% 69 Conservative 47% 6% 41% 6% 23
Support Tea Party 28% 13% 56% 3% 14 Neutral 26% 22% 17% 36% 27 Oppose Tea Party 62% 11% 18% 9% 153
Romney/Ryan Voter 31% 29% 39% 0% 15 Obama/Biden Voter 54% 11% 20% 15% 177 Other 36% 0% 52% 12% 4 Did Not Vote in 2012 67% 0% 33% 0% 6
Union household 49% 9% 29% 13% 28 Non union 53% 13% 21% 13% 172
Read Union Leader 48% 14% 25% 13% 49 Read Boston Globe 64% 3% 28% 5% 41 Watch WMUR 48% 9% 27% 16% 133 Listen to NHPR 56% 10% 27% 8% 107
10 yrs or less in NH 27% 31% 35% 7% 36 11 to 20 years 63% 4% 22% 11% 34 More than 20 years 57% 9% 19% 15% 130
18 to 34 43% 15% 21% 21% 24 35 to 49 50% 17% 23% 11% 46 50 to 64 54% 9% 25% 13% 76 65 and over 57% 12% 19% 13% 52
Male 54% 11% 23% 12% 73 Female 51% 13% 22% 14% 128
High school or less 59% 10% 18% 13% 30 Some college 51% 12% 18% 18% 32 College graduate 53% 12% 27% 8% 88 Post graduate 49% 13% 19% 19% 51
Attend services 1 or more/week 41% 14% 33% 12% 45 1 2 times a month 65% 4% 20% 11% 20 Less often 49% 15% 20% 16% 59 Never 63% 11% 14% 11% 72
North Country 57% 15% 6% 21% 18 Central / Lakes 48% 15% 15% 22% 29 Connecticut Valley 44% 8% 27% 21% 40 Mass Border 61% 8% 26% 5% 58 Seacoast 60% 17% 17% 6% 30 Manchester Area 40% 15% 33% 12% 25
First Cong. Dist 54% 13% 22% 11% 79 Second Cong. Dist 51% 11% 23% 15% 122
Favorability Rating – Brian Schweitzer (Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 12% 6% 6% 77% 201
Registered Democrat 12% 6% 4% 77% 140 Registered Undeclared 6% 5% 11% 77% 54
Democrat 8% 5% 6% 82% 179 Independent 33% 13% 7% 46% 17 Republican 73% 27% 0% 0% 5
Liberal 8% 4% 5% 83% 99 Moderate 13% 8% 6% 73% 69 Conservative 27% 10% 3% 59% 23
Support Tea Party 36% 17% 5% 42% 14 Neutral 5% 19% 5% 71% 27 Oppose Tea Party 11% 3% 6% 80% 153
Romney/Ryan Voter 37% 28% 0% 35% 15 Obama/Biden Voter 7% 5% 6% 81% 177 Other 52% 0% 12% 36% 4 Did Not Vote in 2012 44% 0% 0% 56% 6
Union household 8% 12% 5% 76% 28 Non union 12% 5% 6% 76% 172
Read Union Leader 20% 5% 3% 72% 49 Read Boston Globe 7% 8% 4% 80% 41 Watch WMUR 8% 5% 7% 79% 133 Listen to NHPR 11% 5% 6% 78% 107
10 yrs or less in NH 21% 11% 2% 66% 36 11 to 20 years 7% 7% 2% 84% 34 More than 20 years 10% 5% 8% 78% 130
18 to 34 18% 19% 5% 58% 24 35 to 49 25% 2% 3% 70% 46 50 to 64 4% 6% 2% 88% 76 65 and over 7% 4% 15% 74% 52
Male 12% 8% 8% 72% 73 Female 11% 5% 5% 79% 128
High school or less 38% 7% 9% 46% 30 Some college 9% 4% 14% 72% 32 College graduate 8% 5% 1% 86% 88 Post graduate 3% 8% 7% 82% 51
Attend services 1 or more/week 20% 3% 13% 65% 45 1 2 times a month 12% 9% 13% 65% 20 Less often 7% 12% 1% 80% 59 Never 9% 3% 4% 84% 72
North Country 14% 3% 6% 77% 18 Central / Lakes 11% 8% 0% 82% 29 Connecticut Valley 12% 3% 10% 74% 40 Mass Border 17% 6% 6% 71% 58 Seacoast 8% 14% 8% 70% 30 Manchester Area 3% 0% 2% 96% 25
First Cong. Dist 7% 7% 5% 81% 79 Second Cong. Dist 14% 5% 7% 74% 122
Favorability Rating – Antonio Villaraigosa (Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 15% 6% 9% 69% 201
Registered Democrat 16% 7% 8% 69% 140 Registered Undeclared 10% 4% 11% 75% 54
Democrat 13% 6% 8% 72% 179 Independent 18% 8% 15% 59% 17 Republican 73% 0% 27% 0% 5
Liberal 17% 7% 7% 69% 99 Moderate 13% 6% 10% 71% 69 Conservative 22% 4% 16% 58% 23
Support Tea Party 24% 7% 16% 53% 14 Neutral 2% 14% 3% 81% 27 Oppose Tea Party 18% 5% 10% 68% 153
Romney/Ryan Voter 25% 12% 21% 41% 15 Obama/Biden Voter 15% 6% 7% 72% 177 Other 12% 0% 12% 76% 4 Did Not Vote in 2012 0% 0% 44% 56% 6
Union household 19% 2% 22% 57% 28 Non union 15% 7% 7% 71% 172
Read Union Leader 16% 3% 13% 68% 49 Read Boston Globe 17% 2% 11% 70% 41 Watch WMUR 12% 5% 11% 72% 133 Listen to NHPR 16% 4% 6% 74% 107
10 yrs or less in NH 9% 11% 17% 63% 36 11 to 20 years 9% 0% 11% 80% 34 More than 20 years 19% 6% 7% 68% 130
18 to 34 30% 17% 12% 41% 24 35 to 49 16% 3% 8% 73% 46 50 to 64 13% 7% 8% 72% 76 65 and over 12% 3% 12% 74% 52
Male 16% 8% 12% 65% 73 Female 15% 5% 8% 72% 128
High school or less 27% 3% 18% 52% 30 Some college 19% 5% 8% 68% 32 College graduate 9% 8% 8% 75% 88 Post graduate 17% 5% 7% 71% 51
Attend services 1 or more/week 28% 5% 10% 56% 45 1 2 times a month 9% 5% 24% 62% 20 Less often 14% 13% 6% 67% 59 Never 11% 2% 8% 79% 72
North Country 19% 0% 14% 67% 18 Central / Lakes 2% 10% 5% 83% 29 Connecticut Valley 20% 3% 6% 71% 40 Mass Border 23% 7% 12% 57% 58 Seacoast 15% 11% 9% 65% 30 Manchester Area 3% 0% 11% 86% 25
First Cong. Dist 15% 6% 9% 69% 79 Second Cong. Dist 15% 6% 9% 69% 122
Favorability Rating – Mark Warner (Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 14% 11% 14% 60% 201
Registered Democrat 13% 13% 12% 63% 140 Registered Undeclared 20% 8% 15% 57% 54
Democrat 12% 11% 13% 64% 179 Independent 22% 5% 29% 43% 17 Republican 73% 27% 0% 0% 5
Liberal 10% 11% 13% 67% 99 Moderate 23% 13% 17% 47% 69 Conservative 16% 10% 17% 58% 23
Support Tea Party 14% 25% 30% 30% 14 Neutral 10% 17% 17% 57% 27 Oppose Tea Party 15% 9% 13% 63% 153
Romney/Ryan Voter 37% 27% 0% 36% 15 Obama/Biden Voter 11% 10% 15% 64% 177 Other 48% 0% 52% 0% 4 Did Not Vote in 2012 44% 0% 0% 56% 6
Union household 18% 13% 14% 56% 28 Non union 14% 11% 15% 61% 172
Read Union Leader 25% 9% 7% 59% 49 Read Boston Globe 16% 11% 13% 60% 41 Watch WMUR 17% 11% 16% 57% 133 Listen to NHPR 12% 10% 15% 63% 107
10 yrs or less in NH 19% 19% 18% 44% 36 11 to 20 years 5% 7% 6% 82% 34 More than 20 years 16% 10% 16% 59% 130
18 to 34 5% 24% 16% 55% 24 35 to 49 21% 4% 12% 63% 46 50 to 64 13% 11% 13% 64% 76 65 and over 13% 11% 19% 56% 52
Male 13% 8% 19% 60% 73 Female 15% 13% 12% 60% 128
High school or less 23% 7% 24% 45% 30 Some college 9% 0% 7% 84% 32 College graduate 14% 14% 16% 57% 88 Post graduate 14% 15% 11% 60% 51
Attend services 1 or more/week 24% 12% 12% 51% 45 1 2 times a month 45% 5% 15% 35% 20 Less often 7% 19% 16% 58% 59 Never 7% 5% 14% 73% 72
North Country 18% 9% 5% 68% 18 Central / Lakes 11% 12% 11% 66% 29 Connecticut Valley 14% 10% 19% 57% 40 Mass Border 15% 16% 22% 47% 58 Seacoast 20% 13% 7% 60% 30 Manchester Area 9% 0% 7% 84% 25
First Cong. Dist 14% 9% 14% 64% 79 Second Cong. Dist 15% 12% 15% 58% 122
Decided 2016 DEM Primary Vote (Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Def. Leaning Still Trying Decided Towards Someone To Decide (N) STATEWIDE 8% 10% 82% 193
Registered Democrat 9% 13% 78% 135 Registered Undeclared 7% 4% 89% 50
Democrat 9% 11% 80% 173 Independent 6% 0% 94% 15 Republican 0% 0% 100% 5
Liberal 12% 17% 71% 97 Moderate 5% 4% 91% 67 Conservative 4% 0% 96% 21
Support Tea Party 0% 11% 89% 11 Neutral 8% 10% 82% 27 Oppose Tea Party 9% 10% 80% 148
Romney/Ryan Voter 7% 0% 93% 12 Obama/Biden Voter 8% 11% 81% 172 Other 0% 0% 100% 4 Did Not Vote in 2012 22% 0% 78% 6
Union household 7% 6% 87% 25 Non union 8% 11% 81% 167
Read Union Leader 3% 6% 91% 48 Read Boston Globe 6% 19% 75% 41 Watch WMUR 8% 10% 83% 130 Listen to NHPR 5% 12% 83% 105
10 yrs or less in NH 3% 11% 86% 36 11 to 20 years 7% 5% 88% 33 More than 20 years 10% 11% 79% 124
18 to 34 0% 8% 92% 24 35 to 49 8% 6% 85% 45 50 to 64 9% 13% 78% 74 65 and over 12% 11% 77% 48
Male 13% 8% 79% 70 Female 6% 11% 83% 123
High school or less 4% 3% 93% 29 Some college 10% 9% 81% 31 College graduate 9% 14% 77% 84 Post graduate 8% 9% 84% 50
Attend services 1 or more/week 11% 2% 87% 44 1 2 times a month 13% 10% 76% 20 Less often 3% 17% 80% 57 Never 9% 10% 80% 70
North Country 2% 4% 94% 18 Central / Lakes 3% 11% 86% 29 Connecticut Valley 7% 16% 77% 39 Mass Border 9% 4% 87% 58 Seacoast 18% 12% 69% 29 Manchester Area 6% 17% 77% 21
First Cong. Dist 15% 10% 76% 74 Second Cong. Dist 4% 10% 85% 119
DEM 2016 Primary Support (Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Hillary Joe Andrew Cory Someone Clinton Biden Cuomo Booker Else Undecided (N=) STATEWIDE 63% 10% 5% 2% 4% 16% 195
Registered Democrat 65% 9% 3% 3% 5% 15% 136 Registered Undeclared 55% 14% 7% 2% 3% 20% 52
Democrat 65% 10% 4% 0% 5% 16% 175 Independent 53% 5% 14% 6% 6% 16% 15 Republican 0% 0% 0% 73% 0% 27% 5
Liberal 69% 10% 4% 0% 3% 14% 97 Moderate 52% 9% 6% 7% 5% 21% 67 Conservative 73% 0% 4% 0% 10% 13% 21
Support Tea Party 40% 0% 11% 0% 29% 20% 11 Neutral 59% 17% 10% 3% 0% 11% 27 Oppose Tea Party 66% 8% 3% 2% 4% 17% 150
Romney/Ryan Voter 15% 0% 11% 38% 15% 21% 12 Obama/Biden Voter 66% 11% 4% 0% 3% 16% 174 Other 24% 0% 0% 0% 40% 36% 4 Did Not Vote in 2012 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 6
Union household 53% 6% 5% 3% 11% 22% 25 Non union 65% 10% 5% 2% 4% 15% 169
Read Union Leader 60% 5% 8% 8% 6% 13% 48 Read Boston Globe 76% 8% 2% 0% 1% 12% 41 Watch WMUR 63% 10% 4% 4% 4% 15% 129 Listen to NHPR 65% 11% 2% 0% 5% 18% 104
10 yrs or less in NH 45% 9% 16% 2% 12% 15% 36 11 to 20 years 66% 16% 5% 0% 2% 10% 34 More than 20 years 67% 8% 1% 3% 3% 18% 125
18 to 34 67% 15% 5% 0% 0% 14% 24 35 to 49 62% 10% 8% 8% 6% 6% 46 50 to 64 55% 9% 3% 1% 6% 26% 75 65 and over 74% 8% 4% 0% 3% 11% 48
Male 64% 7% 10% 1% 6% 12% 72 Female 62% 11% 1% 3% 4% 19% 123
High school or less 73% 7% 0% 13% 0% 6% 29 Some college 54% 14% 4% 0% 4% 24% 33 College graduate 64% 8% 5% 1% 6% 16% 84 Post graduate 59% 10% 7% 0% 6% 19% 50
Attend services 1 or more/week 50% 0% 10% 9% 13% 19% 44 1 2 times a month 57% 15% 0% 4% 5% 18% 20 Less often 77% 10% 2% 0% 1% 10% 59 Never 62% 12% 5% 0% 2% 20% 70
North Country 48% 9% 9% 0% 7% 26% 17 Central / Lakes 65% 2% 6% 0% 0% 27% 29 Connecticut Valley 67% 14% 0% 0% 10% 9% 40 Mass Border 65% 11% 3% 7% 2% 13% 57 Seacoast 62% 4% 9% 3% 5% 16% 30 Manchester Area 59% 15% 6% 0% 3% 17% 21
First Cong. Dist 61% 9% 9% 1% 4% 15% 76 Second Cong. Dist 64% 10% 2% 3% 5% 17% 120
DEM 2016 Primary – Would NOT Support (Likely 2016 DEM Primary Voters)
Joe Deval Hilary Someone All Don’t Biden Patrick Clinton Else Acceptable Know (N=) STATEWIDE 7% 6% 4% 15% 34% 34% 200
Registered Democrat 6% 3% 3% 14% 39% 35% 140 Registered Undeclared 9% 11% 5% 12% 25% 38% 52
Democrat 4% 7% 4% 15% 36% 35% 177 Independent 17% 0% 0% 20% 25% 38% 18 Republican 73% 0% 27% 0% 0% 0% 5
Liberal 3% 2% 2% 13% 45% 36% 99 Moderate 12% 9% 4% 14% 24% 37% 68 Conservative 9% 12% 10% 30% 26% 14% 23
Support Tea Party 6% 0% 17% 44% 18% 15% 14 Neutral 15% 8% 0% 9% 26% 41% 27 Oppose Tea Party 5% 5% 3% 14% 37% 35% 152
Romney/Ryan Voter 48% 0% 16% 0% 25% 11% 15 Obama/Biden Voter 4% 6% 2% 15% 36% 38% 175 Other 0% 0% 36% 52% 0% 12% 4 Did Not Vote in 2012 0% 33% 0% 44% 22% 0% 6
Union household 10% 5% 0% 16% 34% 35% 27 Non union 6% 6% 5% 15% 33% 35% 172
Read Union Leader 13% 10% 2% 16% 25% 33% 48 Read Boston Globe 3% 7% 0% 12% 40% 39% 41 Watch WMUR 6% 8% 4% 16% 28% 38% 132 Listen to NHPR 2% 10% 2% 14% 38% 33% 106
10 yrs or less in NH 7% 8% 4% 31% 37% 14% 36 11 to 20 years 10% 12% 5% 9% 45% 20% 34 More than 20 years 6% 4% 4% 12% 30% 44% 128
18 to 34 0% 14% 9% 17% 28% 31% 24 35 to 49 13% 5% 1% 23% 38% 20% 46 50 to 64 6% 8% 3% 10% 32% 40% 76 65 and over 5% 1% 3% 15% 36% 39% 51
Male 6% 3% 1% 23% 32% 34% 72 Female 7% 8% 5% 11% 35% 35% 127
High school or less 14% 0% 9% 26% 21% 30% 29 Some college 5% 7% 6% 16% 28% 38% 33 College graduate 7% 11% 3% 17% 29% 33% 88 Post graduate 3% 0% 2% 4% 54% 37% 50
Attend services 1 or more/week 14% 3% 4% 19% 29% 31% 44 1 2 times a month 6% 3% 18% 18% 22% 33% 20 Less often 1% 8% 1% 18% 33% 38% 59 Never 7% 7% 2% 11% 40% 32% 71
North Country 0% 0% 0% 14% 38% 48% 17 Central / Lakes 3% 6% 12% 18% 22% 39% 29 Connecticut Valley 6% 0% 3% 12% 36% 43% 40 Mass Border 9% 9% 2% 22% 31% 27% 58 Seacoast 13% 3% 5% 3% 36% 40% 30 Manchester Area 2% 18% 0% 16% 48% 17% 24
First Cong. Dist 7% 6% 2% 14% 44% 27% 78 Second Cong. Dist 6% 6% 5% 16% 28% 39% 121