Paa2018 2018 Annual Meeting Sheraton Denver Downtown, Denver, Colorado • April 26-28
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Population Association of America 2018 ANNUAL MEETING FINAL PROGRAM #PAA2018 2018 ANNUAL MEETING SHERATON DENVER DOWNTOWN, DENVER, COLORADO • APRIL 26-28 8630 FENTON STREET, SUITE 722, SILVER SPRING, MD 20910 301.565.6710 www.populationassociation.org Directors: Mikko Myrskylä - Emilio Zagheni www.demogr.mpg.de The Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research is recruiting at PhD, Post-doctoral and Research Scientist (Assistant Professor) levels to Research Groups on: Digital Demography, Migration and Generational Processes Fertility, Health, and Labor For more information please scan the QR code or see: www.demogr.mpg.de/go/jobs/ Population Association of America 2018 ANNUAL MEETING FINAL PROGRAM April 26 – 28 Sheraton Denver Downtown Denver, CO Population Association of America 8630 Fenton Street, Suite 722 Silver Spring, MD 20910 301.565.6710 www.populationassociation.org Come visit us in Booth 219! CHITWAN VALLEY FAMILY STUDY (CVFS) Disseminates, archives, NACDA advances research on and preserves data for 4 aging, helping researchers with population studies. reasons secondary data resources. to visit Booth 319 Offers comprehensive Provides leadership and training statistics, Census data, and in data access, curation, and spatial data of China. methods of analysis. Also check out Booth 219! HRS, PSID and Chitwan Valley Family Study (CVFS) TABLE OF CONTENTS Meeting Information 4 General Information. 4 Meeting Facilities. 5 Exhibitors and Exhibit Floor Plan . 8 #PAA2018 Sponsors. 10 Acknowledgements. 11 2018 Program Organizing Committee . 12 Organizers and Co-Organizers. 13 PAA Information 17 Board of Directors, Past Officers, and Staff . 18 Demography Editors . 20 PAA Fund 21 PAA Fund Donation Form . 22 PAA Fund Campaign. 23 Contributors. 24 Meeting Highlights 41 Member Initiated Meetings . 42 Invited Sessions . 45 Program Summary. 47 Thursday Program 59 Friday Program 157 Saturday Program 235 Program Participants Index 280 Abstracts available online through the #PAA2018 MeetingApp: www.populationassociation.org/2018 or scan the code below with your internet connected device. GENERAL INFORMATION REGISTRATION members, and query PAA officers PAA Registration is located at the about the affairs of the Association. Plaza Registration Counter on the Donuts and coffee will be available. Concourse Level. See page 236 for details. Wednesday 11:00 am – 4:00 pm SPEAKERS’ READY ROOM Meeting Information Meeting 6:00 pm – 9:00 pm A LCD projector and screen are Thursday 7:00 am – 5:00 pm available to authors who wish to Friday 7:00 am – 4:00 pm practice their presentation. Saturday 8:00 am – 12:00 pm Wednesday 11:30 am – 6:00 pm Tower Court C EXHIBITS Thursday 8:30 am – 5:00 pm The exhibits are located in Plaza Tower Court A Exhibit Hall on the Concourse Level. Friday 8:00 am – 4:15 pm Colorado Room Wednesday 6:00 pm – 9:00 pm Thursday 8:00 am – 6:30 pm MEETING-WIDE WIFI Friday 8:00 am – 4:15 pm Complimentary internet access is available in all PAA meeting spaces Saturday 8:30 am – 1:00 pm at the Sheraton. Look for signs for connection details and in your ANNUAL MEMBERSHIP registration materials. MEETING Saturday, April 8, 8:00 am – 9:00 am, CAREER OPPORTUNITIES in the Plaza Ballroom A room on the Visit PAA’s new Careers page where Concourse. This is an opportunity you can post jobs, search for jobs, for members to voice their opinions, or post your resume. http://www. discuss items of interest to PAA populationassociation.org/careers/. The Annual Meeting program can be viewed with a mobile phone. You can navigate the sessions by topic, the participants’ index and the floor plans. Abstracts can also be viewed online. Just point the browser on your smart phone to www.populationassociation.org/paa2018. VIDEO OR AUDIO RECORDING OR PHOTOGRAPHS ARE NOT ALLOWED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION OF THE POPULATION ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA AND THE SPEAKER. 4 PAA 2018 Annual Meeting Program MEETING FACILITIES Meeting Information Meeting Sheraton Denver Downtown | Plaza Building Concourse Level PAA 2018 Annual Meeting Program 5 Sheraton Denver Downtown | Plaza Building Lobby Level Meeting Information Meeting 6 PAA 2018 Annual Meeting Program Sheraton Denver Downtown | I.M. Pei Tower Building Meeting Information Meeting Second Level PAA 2018 Annual Meeting Program 7 EXHIBITORS Booth Booth Number Number Add Health 406 Max Planck Institute for 410 Demographic Research Asian Demographic Research 308 Institute, Shanghai University Mexican Migration Project & 404 Meeting Information Meeting New Immigrant Survey Asian MetaCentre for Population 308 and Sustainable Development Minnesota Population Center 313, 315 Analysis National Archive of Computerized 319 Cambridge University Press 205 Data on Aging Center for Economic and Social 301 National Center for Health 203 Research Statistics Center for Family & Demographic 209 National Institute of Aging 208 Research and National Center for National Longitudinal Surveys 300 Family & Marriage Research National Research Center on 115 Center for Health Trends and 214 Hispanic Children & Families Forecasts NORC at the University of 307 Center for Research on Child 201 Chicago Wellbeing Panel Study of Income Dynamics 219 China Data Center 319 Performance Monitoring and 312 Chitwan Valley Family Study 219 Accountability 2020 (CVFS) Population Association of 109, 111 Data Sharing for Demographic 319 America Research Population Council 314 The DHS Program 211 Population Europe 408 Eunice Kennedy Shriver National 113 Institute of Child Health and Population Reference Bureau 412,414 Development (NICHD) RAND Corporation 210 Government and Public Affairs 304 Russell Sage Foundation 402 Committee (GPAC) Springer 213,215 Guttmacher Institute 200 U. S. Census Bureau 400 Health and Retirement Study 219 Wisconsin Longitudinal Study – 207 India Human Development 306 UW Madison Survey Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID / 212 Institute of Social Science Survey, 302 OEAW, Wu) Peking University IUSSP 305 Bolded exhibitors are also sponsors! 8 PAA 2018 Annual Meeting Program #PAA2018 Exhibit Hall Floor Plan Meeting Information Meeting 46 POSTER BOARDS UP PHONE 219 319 215 314 315 414 213 312 313 412 6'x30"w Table N710 115 214 211 410 45 N710 45 REGISTRATION 6'x30"w Table N710 45 ESCALATOR N710 113 212 209 308 309 408 45 6'x30"w Table N710 45 N710 45 6'x30"w Table N710 111 210 207 306 307 406 45 N710 45 6'x30"w Table N710 45 N710 109 208 205 304 305 404 45 STOR. PREFUNCTION/ 6'x30"w Table N710 45 EL N710 REGISTRATION 45 103 202 203 302 303 402 SPACE ---> EL EL 101 200 201 300 301 400 EXIT EXIT EXIT GOVERNORS SQUARE PAA 2018 Annual Meeting Program 9 PAA SPONSORS PAA would like to thank our sponsor: Meeting Information Meeting Population Reference Bureau AGING CHILDREN & FAMILIES PEOPLE, HEALTH, PLANET POPULATION CHANGE YOUTH GENDER VISIT US AT BOOTHS 412 & 414 Learn how we inform through evidence, empower others, and advance the well-being of current and INEQUALITY future generations. HEALTH & POVERTY & NUTRITION FAMILY PLANNING & REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH U.S. CENSUS & THE ACS prb.org | @PRBdata 10 PAA 2018 Annual Meeting Program ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Meeting Information Meeting The successful launch of the annual meeting improvement and we will work with next of the Population Association of America year’s program co-chairs to continue takes many committed PAA members and to enhance the PAA annual meeting staff. The 2018 Program Committee issued experience. Please join us and provide a broad Call for Papers with 148 sessions feedback in the membership meeting on covering 11 topics that represented the Saturday. Also, consider share exciting diversity and interdisciplinary nature moments from the meeting on social of population research addressed by media #PAA2018. demographers, sociologists, economists, Our small, but mighty, staff has ensured our political scientists, geographers, historians, meeting is a success. Danielle Staudt, PAA’s epidemiologists, public health researchers, Executive Director, deserves many thanks statisticians, marketers, survey for managing our organization and all the researchers, and other health and social conference logistics, including negotiating scientists. Session Organizers reviewed free Wi-Fi throughout the meeting space close to 4,000 submissions, making difficult and additional perks from vendors and choices about what papers to include in sponsors. Bobbie Westmoreland, Program the 252 oral sessions. These hardworking and Communications Manager at PAA, and dedicated committee members and completed her second full year handling organizers are listed in the printed program day-to-day and big picture projects to bring and on the PAA web page. The 2018 us to a fully functioning PAA program. We program has 15 invited sessions, including all benefited from Bobbie’s superior efforts many organized by PAA committees. All of to set the program. You will see Bobbie the invited sessions focus on some of the and Millicent Minnick facilitating the most important population issues of our poster sessions over the next three days. day. The 11 poster sessions were organized We also thank Francesca Morton, Finance by John Iceland, with assistance from and Meeting Manager. She has ensured Sarah Ludwig-Dehm, Mike Martin, Susana the registration runs smoothly and has Quiros, Jack Byerly, Matt Hall, and Greg facilitated a great set of member-initiated Sharp, and input from the many session meetings. We are grateful to our fabulous organizers who recommended papers center and department colleagues and staff from their sessions for consideration in the at Bowling Green State University (Center poster sessions. A special thanks also goes for Family and Demographic Research) and to Jason Boardman and Philip Morgan, who Pennsylvania State University (Population organized the two speed poster sessions Research Institute) for their research, that we piloted at the meeting. The high financial and moral support. A special volume and quality of volunteer labor of shout out goes to Krista Payne, Elizabeth PAA members has resulted in an exciting Allen-Dachik and Lesley Wadsworth at program featuring new demographic data, BGSU. Last, but not least, we thank the methods, and research.