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The 2021-2030 Integrated National Energy and Climate Plan April 2020

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The 2021-2030 Integrated National Energy and Climate Plan April 2020 The 2021-2030 Integrated National Energy and Climate Plan April 2020 The 2021-2030 Integrated National Energy and Climate Plan Contents Contents 2 List of tables, figures and charts 4 List of acronyms 7 A. National Plan 11 1. Overview and plan development process 11 1.1. Summary 11 1.2. Overview of the current status of policies in force 30 1.3. Consultations and involvement of national and Union entities and their outcome 38 1.4. Regional cooperation in preparing the plan 47 2. National targets 48 2.1. The Decarbonisation Dimension 48 2.1.1. GHG emissions and removals ........................................................................ 48 2.1.2. Renewable energy ........................................................................................ 50 2.2. Dimension Energy efficiency 60 2.3. Dimension energy security 66 2.4. Dimension internal energy market 69 2.4.1. Electricity interconnectivity .......................................................................... 69 2.4.2. Power transmission infrastructure ............................................................... 70 2.4.3. Market integration ........................................................................................ 71 2.4.4. Energy poverty ............................................................................................. 73 2.5. Dimension research, innovation and competitiveness 74 3. Policies and measures to achieve the proposed targets 80 3.1. The decarbonisation dimension 81 3.1.1. GHG emissions and removals ........................................................................ 81 3.1.2. Renewable energy ........................................................................................ 92 3.1.3. Other elements of the dimension ................................................................ 103 3.2. Dimension Energy efficiency 103 3.3. Dimension energy security 111 3.4. Dimension internal energy market 122 3.4.1. Electricity infrastructure ............................................................................. 122 3.4.2. The power transmission infrastructure ....................................................... 124 3.4.3. Market integration ...................................................................................... 125 3.4.4. Energy poverty ........................................................................................... 134 3.5. Dimension research, innovation and competitiveness 136 B. Analytical basis 141 4. Current situation and projections with existing policies and measures 141 4.1. Projected evolution of main exogenous factors influencing energy system and GHG emission developments 141 The 2021-2030 Integrated National Energy and Climate Plan 4.2. The “Decarbonisation” dimension 150 4.2.1. GHG emissions and removals ...................................................................... 150 4.2.2. Renewable energy ...................................................................................... 155 4.3. Dimension energy efficiency 162 4.4. Energy security dimension 167 4.5. Dimension internal energy market 172 4.5.1. Electricity interconnectivity ........................................................................ 172 4.5.2. Energy transmission infrastructure ............................................................ 178 4.5.3. Electricity and gas markets, energy prices ................................................. 185 4.6. Dimension research, innovation and competitiveness 196 5. Impact assessment of planned policies and measures 207 5.1. Impacts of planned policies and measures described in section 3 on energy system and GHG emissions and removals, including comparison to projections with existing policies and measures (as described in section 4) 207 5.2. Macroeconomic and, to the extent feasible, the health, environmental, employment and education, skills and social impacts, including just transition aspects (in terms of costs and benefits as well as cost-effectiveness) of the planned policies and measures described in section 3 at least until the last year of the period covered by the plan, including comparison to projections with existing policies and measures 212 5.3. Overview of investment needs 214 5.4. Impacts of planned policies and measures described in section 3 on other Member States and regional cooperation at least until the last year of the period covered by the plan, including comparison to projections with existing policies and measures 222 Methodology (overall description) 225 The 2021-2030 Integrated National Energy and Climate Plan List of tables, figures and charts Table 1 - Summary of interactions between the main policies and measures at the level of various dimensions ....................................................................................................... 18 Table 2 - Table of current energy and climate policies and measures in Romania relating to the five dimensions of the Energy Union ............................................................................... 33 Table 3 - Performance of activities during the meetings for the draft INECP ......................... 40 Table 4 - List of sessions of consultation and negotiation with the European Commission ...... 45 Table 5 – Indicative trajectory, as broken down by technology, for renewable energy in gross final electricity consumption, 2021-2030, [ktoe]............................................................... 55 Table 6 - Projected trend in renewable energy and in the gross final energy consumption in the heating and cooling sector, 2021-2030, [ktoe] ................................................................. 55 Table 7 – Indicative trajectory, as broken down by technology, for renewable energy in gross final energy consumption in the transport sector, 2021-2030, [ktoe] .................................. 57 Table 8 – Final energy consumption and average energy consumption in the period 2016-2018 [Mtoe] ........................................................................................................................ 62 Table 9 – Energy efficiency to be achieved in the period 2021-2030 based on the average final energy consumption in the period 2016-2018 [Mtoe] ........................................................ 63 Table 10 - Contributions of renovation scenarios to the Union energy efficiency targets for 2030, 2040 and 2050 ................................................................................................... 64 Table 11 - Detailed presentation of Renovation Scenario 2................................................. 64 Table 12 - Energy efficiency in the residential sector to be achieved in the period 2021-2030 [Mtoe] ........................................................................................................................ 66 Table 13 - Arrears on utility bills [%], 2010-2018 ............................................................. 73 Table 14 - Inability to keep home adequately warm [%], 2010-2018 .................................. 73 Table 15 - General targets of the Research-Development and Innovation Strategy for 2014- 2020 ........................................................................................................................... 75 Table 16 – Research and innovation objectives of the National Electricity Transmission Operator .................................................................................................................................. 76 Table 17 - Action plan and expected outcome in the framework of the National Competitiveness Strategy, which may be reflected in the energy sector, 2014 - 2020 ................................... 78 Table 18 - Main determinants considered in the preparation of the policies and measures for each dimension ............................................................................................................ 80 Table 19 - List of strategies and/or plans under preparation............................................. 100 Table 20 – calendar of implementation of electricity smart measurement systems .............. 131 Table 21 - Trend in the economic growth in Romania in the context of current policies ........ 141 Table 22 - Efficient heating potential by 2030 ................................................................ 165 Table 23 – Interconnection lines linking the national electricity transmission system to the system of neighbouring countries ................................................................................. 173 Table 24 – Structure of electricity producers as holders of dispatchable units for 2018 ........ 186 Table 25 - Concentration indicators for the electricity production market for 2018 .............. 187 Table 26 - Annual volumes supplied per wholesale market component in 2018 ................... 188 Table 27 - The cross-border commercial activity of Romania for 2018 ............................... 188 Table 28 - Structure of the retail market in Romania in 2018 ........................................... 189 Table 29 - Structure of the retail market in Romania by consumer type as at 31 December 2017 ......................................................................................................................... 190 Table 30 - Quantity of natural gas produced in 2018, by producer [TWh] .......................... 193 Table 31 – Structure of electricity supply to final consumers for 2018 by consumer type ..... 194 Table 32 – Structure of electricity supply to final consumers for 2018 by market type ........
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