Arlington Million Betting Guide
Total Page：16
File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb
ARLINGTON MILLION BETTING GUIDE CONTENTS 3 How to Read a Past Performance 4 Arlington Stakes Guide 5 Expert Picks 6 Historical Overview 7 Arlington Park at a Glance 8 Arlington Million Tipsheet 9 Million Memories ARLINGTON MILLION BETTING GUIDE DOWNLOAD THE TWINSPIRES APP & BET ARLINGTON PARK HOW TO READ A PAST PERFORMANCE TWINSPIRES CUSTOMERS GET FREE BRISNET PPs FOR TRACKS THEY WAGER ON The Brisnet.com Ultimate PPs are the most detailed past performance product on the market and include speed ratings, pace figures, exclusive Prime Power and Class ratings, detailed jockey and trainer statistics, and pedigree information. Start using Ultimate PPs and discover why Brisnet.com is the handicapper’s edge. 1 12 10 7 8 9 13 11 2 3 5 4 6 14 19 20 26 20 21 24 15 16 17 18 18 22 23 25 1 BRIS Pace and Speed Pars 14 Positive and Negative Comments 2 Jockey Stats 15 Date of Race, Track, and Race Number 3 Trainer Stats 16 Surface, Distance, and Track Conditions 4 Dam Stats 17 Fractional Times of Leader, Final Time, and Age Designation 5 Sire Stats 18 BRIS Race Rating and Class Rating 6 Sales Stats 19 Race Type 7 Horse’s Pedigree, Sales & Breeding Information 20 BRIS Pace and Speed Ratings 8 BRIS Prime Power Rating 21 Post Position, Placement Throughout Race, and Finish 9 Run Style Stats 22 Jockey and Weight 10 BRIS Pedigree Rating 23 Medication, Equipment, and Odds 11 Medication, Equipment, and Weight the Horse Will Carry 24 Top Finishers, Comment, and Number of Starters 12 Horse’s Lifetime Start Information 25 Workouts 13 Owner & Jockey Silks 26 BRIS Race Shapes ARLINGTON MILLION BETTING GUIDE DOWNLOAD THE TWINSPIRES APP & BET ARLINGTON PARK ARLINGTON STAKES GUIDE by Alastair Bull RACE 7 – SECRETARIAT STAKES RACE 11 – ARLINGTON MILLION G1, 3yos, 1 ¼ miles, Turf G1, 3yo & up, 1 ¼ miles, Turf Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf winner Oscar Performance Irish colt Deauville, third in this race last year, is rated the 7-2 confirmed he was back to his best in the Belmont Derby, favorite. His efforts this season include victory in the Huxley beating foreign opposition and Good Samaritan, who then Stakes (G3) and a third-place finish to Ribchester in the Queen toppled Always Dreaming and Cloud Computing in the Jim Anne Stakes (G1) at Royal Ascot. The European contingent Dandy Stakes. He’s the 8-5 morning-line favorite in a small but also includes French group 1 winner Mekhtaal and Godolphin’s select six-horse field that includes Sonic Boom and Gorgeous Scottish, fifth to Highland Reel in the Prince of Wales’s Stakes. Kitten, who finished 1-2 in the American Derby, and three Woodford Reserve Turf Classic winner Divisidero heads the good Europeans: King Edward VII Stakes winner Permian (9-5 home team, which includes 2016 Arlington Million runner-up morning line), French 3-year-old Afandem, and Taj Mahal, who Kasaqui, popular 2015 winner The Pizza Man, and Manhattan seeks to give Aidan O’Brien his fifth Secretariat Stakes. Stakes winner Ascend. RACE 8 – BRUCE D. MEMORIAL STAKES RACE 12 – PUCKER UP STAKES 3yos, 1 mile, Polytrack G3, 3yo F, 1 1/8 miles, Turf Smarty Jones Stakes winner and one-time Kentucky Derby Happy Mesa is a multiple stakes winner, but she was a very contender Uncontested races for the first time since finishing disappointing last in the Ta Wee Stakes at Indiana Grand third in the Pat Day Mile May 6. His foes include Society Beau, behind several of her opponents here, including Fault, Lovely third to McCraken in the Matt Winn Stakes, dual Canadian Bernadette, and Dontmesswithjoanne, who finished second, stakes winner Yorkton, multiple graded stakes-placed Kitten’s third, and fifth respectively. Lipstick City was a last-start stakes Cat, and a number of horses untested in stakes company. winner at Monmouth Park and deserves respect, as does Delaware Park stakes winner Journey Home. RACE 9 – AMERICAN ST LEGER G3, 3yos & up, 1 11/16 miles, Turf Michael Maker has a solid hand in this race with Taghleeb, recently second in the Man o’ War Stakes, and Keystoneforvictory, conqueror of The Pizza Man in the Stars and Stripes Stakes. Their toughest opponents look to be Stars and Stripes third-place finisher Applicator and multiple graded stakes-placed Bullards Alley. RACE 10 – BEVERLY D. STAKES G1, F&M 3yo & up, 1 3/16 miles, Turf Argentinian G1 winner Dona Bruja is the 7-2 morning line favorite after winning both her U.S. starts this year. She faces a tough potential rival in Irish 3-year-old filly Rain Goddess, second in both the Pretty Polly Stakes (beating subsequent Man o’ War Stakes winner Zhukova) and the Irish Oaks (behind the outstanding Enable). Other leading chances include Hawksmoor, winner of two graded stakes at Belmont this year, and the Chad Brown trio of Dacita, Grand Jete, and Rainha Da Bateria. ARLINGTON MILLION BETTING GUIDE DOWNLOAD THE TWINSPIRES APP & BET ARLINGTON PARK EXPERT PICKS FOR ARLINGTON MILLION DAY We’ve assembled an expert team of handicappers to give their top picks for the stakes on Arlington Million Day. SATURDAY, AUGUST 12 Arlington Park Ed DeRosa Vance Hanson Nicolle Neulist James Scully @EJXD2 @VPHanson @RogueClown @James_Scully111 SECRETARIAT STAKES (G1) 3 Permian 4 Oscar Performance 5 Gorgeous Kitten 4 Oscar Performance 6 Taj Mahal 3 Permian 3 Permian 3 Permian 1 Afandem 6 Taj Mahal 4 Taj Mahal 6 Taj Mahal BRUCE D. MEMORIAL STAKES 10 Society Beau 3 Harmac 6 Gain Ground 6 Gain Ground 4 Smoke ‘n’ Gloat 8 Uncontested 8 Uncontested 4 Smoke ‘n’ Gloat 7 Yorkton 5 Kitten’s Cat 9 Memory Bank 9 Memory Bank AMERICAN ST. LEGER (G3) 1 Keystoneforvictory 1 Keystoneforvictory 2 Taghleeb 8 Bullards Alley 8 Bullards Alley 6 Applicator 1 Keystoneforvictory 2 Taghleeb 6 Applicator 2 Taghleeb 7 Postulation 1 Keystoneforvictory BEVERLY D. (G1) 10 Rain Goddess 5 Grand Jete 10 Rain Goddess 4 Dona Bruja 9 Hawksmoor 10 Rain Goddess 4 Dona Bruja 10 Rain Goddess 5 Grand Jete 4 Dona Bruja 7 Rainha Da Bateria 3 Kitten’s Roar ARLINGTON MILLION XXXV (G1) 13 Mekhtaal 5 Deauville 8 Kasaqui 12 Ascend 5 Deauville 8 Kasaqui 5 Deauville 13 Mekhtaal 8 Kasaqui 10 Beach Patrol 2 Oscar Nominated 5 Deauville PUCKER UP STAKES (G3) 4 Journey Home 5 Dontmesswithjoanne 4 Journey Home 5 Dontmesswithjoanne 2 Fault 7 Lovely Bernadette 3 Lipstick City 4 Journey Home 10 Happy Mesa 6 Sensitive 12 Mo’s M V P 8 Princess La Quinta ARLINGTON MILLION BETTING GUIDE DOWNLOAD THE TWINSPIRES APP & BET ARLINGTON PARK ARLINGTON MILLION HISTORY by Alastair Bull First run in 1981 as the first million-dollar race in Thoroughbred that’s also helpful; if you get a chance, maybe look at the horse racing, the Arlington Million has a distinguished history. It physically and assess its athleticism to guess how it might attracts horses from around the world to Chicago, and remains handle turns. one of the most prized turf events in the United States. Tight turf tracks can favor horses on or near the lead, but The classy and incredibly hardy John Henry helped establish Arlington Park’s turf course usually gives horses a chance the race, winning in 1981 and 1984 on the way to Horse of the wherever they settle in the running, unless the early pace is Year titles both occasions. Since then, it’s been a regular summer unusually slow. Horses that settle off the pace need to be put target for turf horses in North America and Europe. into the race rounding the final turn, but they often prove more than capable of pressing on. One of the best handicapping puzzles on Arlington Million day is trying to establish how the European horses will go. To date, Mondialiste, winner of the 2016 Arlington Million, was an European horses have won 11 of the 34 runnings. In terms of example, settling fifth on the outside before beginning his class, Europeans, whose first surface is turf, will frequently have challenge near the top of the stretch and outfinishing Kasaqui, an advantage over locals, for whom the turf wasn’t always the who had been sixth before finding an inside run. first choice. He wasn’t the only one to win in this fashion last year. Sea There often aren’t as many of the big-name European horses at Calisi was in the rear third of the field rounding the turn in the Arlington Park as there are for the Breeders’ Cup. In addition, Beverly D but still won easily, while Noble Beauty was just as those that do come have spent most of their careers racing far back before winning the Pucker Up. Beach Patrol took out on roomy tracks with a very long stretch, and thus are not as the Secretariat Stakes after settling third in the running on the familiar with tighter U.S. turf courses. Tracks in Europe can also outside, while Da Big Hoss was midfield in the American St be wetter than they are in North America. Leger before making ground with three furlongs to run. So, when handicapping the race, look at whether the Europeans Generally then, it’s best to analyze form using all the normal have form in North America, or form on firm tracks. If there’s tools. Usually, class wins out. evidence they can make up ground when rounding a turn, ARLINGTON MILLION BETTING GUIDE DOWNLOAD THE TWINSPIRES APP & BET ARLINGTON PARK AT A GLANCE A look at the current Arlington meet: May 5, 2017 through August 6, 2017 AVG.