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Statewide Survey of Likely General Election Voters in Oregon Topline Report – July 26, 2016

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Statewide Survey of Likely General Election Voters in Oregon Topline Report – July 26, 2016 Statewide Survey of Likely General Election Voters in Oregon Topline Report – July 26, 2016 Clout Research conducted a survey of 701 likely general election voters across the State of Oregon from July 9-13, 2016. The survey was conducted by telephone with 551 respondents by landline telephone and 150 respondents by mobile phone. The survey carries a confidence interval of 95% and has a margin of error of 3.71%. Question 1. There is an election coming up this November in which we will choose officeholders for several public offices and decide various issues. How likely are you to vote in that upcoming election? Frequency Percent VERY LIKELY 650 92.8 SOMEWHAT LIKELY 51 7.2 Total 701 100.0 Q2. If you were voting today in the election for President of the United States, and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Pacific Green Party candidate Jill Stein for whom would you vote? Frequency Percent HILLARY CLINTON 302 43.1 DONALD TRUMP 278 39.7 GARY JOHNSON 42 6.0 JILL STEIN 20 2.9 NOT SURE 59 8.4 Total 701 100.0 P.O. Box 207, Dublin, Ohio 43017 www.cloutresearch.com Q3. If you were voting today in the election for Governor of Oregon, and the candidates were Republican Bud Pierce, Democrat Kate Brown, Libertarian James Foster, and independent candidate Cliff Thomason, for whom would you vote? Frequency Percent BUD PIERCE 295 42.0 KATE BROWN 304 43.4 JAMES FOSTER 16 2.3 CLIFF THOMASON 38 5.4 NOT SURE / SOMEONE ELSE 49 6.9 Total 701 100.0 Q4. If you were voting today in the election for Oregon Secretary of State, and the candidates were Republican Dennis Richardson, Democrat Brad Avakian, Paul Damien Wells of the Independent Party, Susan Durbin of the Libertarian Party, and Alan Zundel of the Pacific Green Party, for whom would you vote? Frequency Percent DENNIS RICHARDSON 287 41.0 BRAD AVAKIAN 250 35.7 PAUL DAMIAN WELLS 34 4.8 SUSAN DURBIN 32 4.6 ALAN ZUNDEL 13 1.8 NOT SURE 85 12.1 Total 701 100.0 P.O. Box 207, Dublin, Ohio 43017 www.cloutresearch.com Q5. On the ballot in November will be an initiative that increases the corporate minimum tax in Oregon when sales exceed $25 million. The initiative, known as IP28, is estimated to raise roughly $5 billion in revenue each biennium and will fund education, healthcare and senior services. If you were voting today, would you vote in favor or against this measure, or are you unsure? Frequency Percent FOR 273 39.0 AGAINST 238 34.0 NOT SURE 190 27.1 Total 701 100.0 PARTY Frequency Percent DEMOCRAT 284 40.5 REPUBLICAN 227 32.4 INDEPENDENT 190 27.1 Total 701 100.0 P.O. Box 207, Dublin, Ohio 43017 www.cloutresearch.com PHILOSOPHY Frequency Percent VERY LIBERAL / PROGRESSIVE 131 18.7 LIBERAL 109 15.5 MODERATE 212 30.3 CONSERVATIVE 171 24.3 VERY CONSERVATIVE / LIBERTARIAN 79 11.2 Total 701 100.0 GENDER Frequency Percent MALE 329 47.0 FEMALE 372 53.0 Total 701 100.0 MARITAL STATUS Frequency Percent MARRIED 438 62.5 SINGLE 192 27.3 DIVORCED / SEPARATED 58 8.3 DECLINED 13 1.8 Total 701 100.0 P.O. Box 207, Dublin, Ohio 43017 www.cloutresearch.com AGE Frequency Percent UNDER 25 35 5.0 25-34 49 7.0 35-44 77 11.0 45-54 105 15.0 55-64 126 18.0 65-74 168 24.0 75+ 140 20.0 Total 701 100.0 PHONE TYPE Frequency Percent LANDLINE 533 76.0 MOBILE 168 24.0 Total 701 100.0 REGION Frequency Percent CD1 137 19.6 CD2 137 19.5 CD3 139 19.9 CD4 147 21.0 CD5 140 20.0 Total 701 100.0 P.O. Box 207, Dublin, Ohio 43017 www.cloutresearch.com .
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