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US Policy Scan 2015 Outlook for the Year Ahead

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US Policy Scan 2015 Outlook for the Year Ahead dentons.com US Policy Scan 2015 Outlook for the year ahead January 7, 2015 Table of contents Overview 4 Key dates 6 2015 congressional calendar 7 Senate committee overview 9 114th Congress—Senate committee assignments 11 House committee overview 22 114th Congress—House committee assignments 24 Appropriations 42 Health care 44 Energy and environmental 46 Financial services 48 Insurance 52 Tax reform 54 Trade 56 Tribal affairs 58 Immigration 60 Telecommunications and technology 64 Agriculture 68 Transportation 70 New Senate and House member bios 72 Dentons’ Advocacy practice 92 US Policy Scan I 2015 dentons.com 3 US Policy Scan I 2015 Overview With gas prices and unemployment GOP leadership appears to recognize up and pass the Hire More Heroes down, the overall economy improving that any president will always Act, a bill it passed in March 2014 and the president’s approval ratings command a larger microphone than by a vote of 406–1 that the Senate on the rise in the last month— the Congress. However, congressional did not take up, which says that for which the White House credits Republicans are quite willing to the purposes of the ACA’s employer in part to bold executive actions engage with the president on the mandate, employers would not have on immigration and on restoring merits of their respective views and to count veterans who already receive relations with Cuba—President will look to pass and send to the government health care. Obama begins the last quarter of president many bills that House his time in office reinvigorated, Republicans passed in the last However these matters are resolved, notwithstanding the shellacking Congress which the Democratic- a number of major issues—such that Democrats took at the polls in controlled Senate refused even as reauthorization of the Terrorism November. to consider. Risk Insurance Program, Iran sanctions legislation and how to The 114th Congress convened With the 2016 presidential election fund the Highway Trust Fund so that yesterday with a new Republican already looming on the horizon transportation infrastructure projects majority in the Senate and an and Senate Republicans having to can move forward—are all expected to expanded majority in the House. defend many more seats in 2016 receive congressional attention in the Yet President Obama is intent on to preserve their Senate majority, first half of 2015. First and foremost not allowing GOP control of both congressional Republicans are anxious among these issues will be the budget chambers to derail his agenda for to demonstrate that they are up and appropriations process. Reflecting his remaining two years in office. to the challenge of governing and their contempt for “omnibus” He will spend several days traveling that internal divisions between their appropriations bills, congressional the country during the next two most conservative members and the Republicans have vowed to return to weeks, promoting various initiatives more moderate elements within their regular order for the Fiscal Year 2016 that will be addressed in his State conference will not keep them from appropriations process and pass each of the Union speech on January 20. moving forward. That said, in the first appropriations bill individually before To that end, today the president will few weeks of January, Republicans the new fiscal year begins on October begin a three-day, three-state trip to plan to hold votes on the proposed 1, 2015, a vow that may well prove very Tennessee, Arizona and Michigan, in Keystone XL pipeline and to try once difficult to keep. They will also use which he will lay out new executive again to repeal President Obama’s their control of the Congress to pass a actions and preview legislative policy chief legislative policy achievement, budget that would slash the size of the proposals for higher education, the ACA. federal government and significantly housing and jobs. reduce funding for many of the While they have not released this White House’s priorities, setting up a In his remaining time in office, the week’s floor schedule yet, House potential veto of spending bills that president will seek to protect the Republicans are expected this week to adhere to congressional Republicans’ Affordable Care Act (ACA), the take up and pass a bill they passed in budget limits. Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform Act the last Congress that would change and various environmental initiatives the definition of a full-time employee A short-term challenge will come on undertaken by his administration. He for purposes of the Affordable Care February 27, when funding expires for also will use the bully pulpit to draw a Act to require that a person work 40 the Department of Homeland Security sharp contrast between his views on hours per week rather than 30 hours, (DHS) under the so-called “cromnibus” how to help the middle class share in thereby reducing the number of that the House passed in December. economic recovery and the goals of employees covered by Obamacare. Many congressional Republicans will congressional Republicans. Similarly, the House may also take seek to restrict DHS funding as a way 4 dentons.com US Policy Scan I 2015 to express their unhappiness with While tax reform and the reform of required to overturn a veto; and the president’s executive actions on government-sponsored enterprises whether the prospect of repeated immigration, a prospect that many (GSEs) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac presidential vetoes that are not Democrats argue will interfere with the also remain high priorities for many overturned will be sufficient to administration’s efforts to implement senators and representatives, it’s produce legislative compromises that new programs on cybersecurity and unclear whether the will or the ability can become law. counterterrorism. exists to take on such daunting issues with the 2016 presidential election How the ongoing tension is resolved Another challenge will come rapidly approaching. between the more pragmatic after March 15, when the Treasury elements of the Republican Department’s authority to borrow as Given the prospect of the Congress conference and the more ideological, needed without limit under a “clean” passing many bills that were hard-core Tea Party conservatives debt limit increase will expire. While bottled up by Senate Democrats within the conference will have Treasury’s use of “extraordinary in the last Congress, the president an enormous impact on both the measures” will potentially defer the is expected to wield his veto pen legislative productivity of the 114th debt limit crisis until the summer or on several occasions to reject bills Congress and Republicans’ chances even the fall of 2015, at some point, that never before reached his desk. of recapturing the White House a debt limit increase will be required. The unanswered questions will be in 2016. Congressional Republicans are how often the president exercises expected to demand spending cuts in his veto power; how often, if ever, return for such an increase, a demand congressional Republicans can attract that congressional Democrats and the the Democratic votes necessary president are likely to resist. to achieve the two-thirds majority dentons.com 5 US Policy Scan I 2015 Key dates House and Senate scheduled to be in session Senate scheduled to be in session Key Dates January 20 April 1 President Barack Obama delivers his State of the Current “doc fix” patch expires January February March Union Speech from the Hall of the House of Su M Tu W Th F Sa Su M Tu W Th F Sa Su M Tu W Th F Sa Representatives in the US Capitol May 31 01 02 03 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 Highway Trust Fund expires February 15 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 ACA open enrollment ends June 30 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Export-Import Bank charter extension ends February 27 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 DHS continuing resolution expires October 1 FY 2016 begins 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 29 30 31 March 15 Debt ceiling suspension ends* April May June Su M Tu W Th F Sa Su M Tu W Th F Sa Su M Tu W Th F Sa 01 02 03 04 01 02 01 02 03 04 05 06 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 26 27 28 29 30 24/31 25 26 27 28 29 30 28 29 30 July August September Su M Tu W Th F Sa Su M Tu W Th F Sa Su M Tu W Th F Sa 01 02 03 04 01 01 02 03 04 05 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 26 27 28 29 30 31 23/30 24/31 25 26 27 28 29 27 28 29 30 October November December Su M Tu W Th F Sa Su M Tu W Th F Sa Su M Tu W Th F Sa 01 02 03 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 01 02 03 04 05 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 *Treasury is expected to use “extraordinary meaures” to meet the government’s fiscal obligations through late summer.
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