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Population Growth & Resource Capacity
Population Growth & Resource Capacity Part 1 Population Projections Between 1950 and 2005, population growth in the U.S. has been nearly linear, as shown in figure 1. Figure 1 U.S. Population in Billions 0.4 0.3 0.2 Actual Growth 0.1 Linear Approximation - - - H L Year 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. If you looked at population growth over a longer period of time, you would see that it is not actually linear. However, over the relatively short period of time above, the growth looks nearly linear. A statistical technique called linear regression can create a linear function that approximates the actual population growth over this period very well. It turns out that this function is P = 0.0024444t + 0.15914 where t represents the time variable measured in years since 1950 and P represents the (approximate) population of the U.S. measured in billions of people. (If you take statistics, you’ll probably learn how to obtain this function.) The graph of this linear function is shown in the figure above. (1) Just to make sure that you understand how to work with this function, use it to complete the following table. The actual population values are given. If you are working with the function correctly, the values you obtain should be close to the actual population values! Actual Population t P Year (billions of people) (years) (billions of people) 1960 .186158 1990 .256098 2005 .299846 (2) Use the linear function to determine the approximate year when the population of the U.S. -
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14: NIGHT of DESTRUCTION September 11
INSIDE THIS EDITION SEPTEMBER 14 – NIGHT OF DESTRUCTION SEPTEMBER 27 – SUPER SHOE WEEKEND STARTS OCTOBER 26 – AWARDS BANQUET PHOTO MEDLEY – RACING FAMILIES September 11, 2019 SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 14 THE LEGENDARY NIGHT OF DESTRUCTION w SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14: NIGHT OF DESTRUCTION This Saturday. The Legendary Night of Destruction. We’ve got PROGRAM INFORMATION fan favorites: Monster Trucks . Bus Races . Trailer Races . Spectator Drags . Mini FWD Enduro . Demolition Derby. We Free Bus Rides 5:00 – 7:00 haven’t seen a Jet Car do its thing in years, but you’ll see (and Adults $20 hear) one this year. And then there is the new: Double-decker Youth 6-12 $10 Stacker Cars (first time in Michigan) . Scarecrow World Record Kids 5 & Under FREE Limo Jump plus another new Scarecrow stunt (they are never Program Starts 7:30 PM dull!) Then we close out the night with FIREWORKS!! Family fun awaits. We will see you at the 2019 Night of Destruction. w Clockwise: Monster trucks from a past Night of Destruction; cars with trailers go for the win while going around piles of debris (“ground clutter” as announcer, Jason Seltzer says); Scarecrow flies through several campers at last year’s Night of Destruction; fans watch the action; the Demolition Derby from the Red, White & Boom; the free bus rides are a big hit and the drivers sometimes get a bit competitive with one another; the Zoo Stacker cars will make their first Michigan appearance at this year’s night of Destruction. FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 27 – SUPER SHOE WEEKEND STARTS There were 388 campsites available to reserve in advance for Super Shoe weekend (no need to run in the Footrace!) By publication time for this edition of Track Talk (Tuesday, September 10), there were only 11 of the 388 remaining. -
Utah's Long-Term Demographic and Economic Projections Summary Principal Researchers: Pamela S
Research Brief July 2017 Utah's Long-Term Demographic and Economic Projections Summary Principal Researchers: Pamela S. Perlich, Mike Hollingshaus, Emily R. Harris, Juliette Tennert & Michael T. Hogue continue the existing trend of a slow decline. From Background 2015-2065, rates are projected to decline from 2.32 to 2.29. These rates are projected to remain higher The Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute prepares long-term than national rates that move from 1.87 to 1.86 over demographic and economic projections to support in- a similar period. formed decision making in the state. The Utah Legislature funds this research, which is done in collaboration with • In 2065, life expectancy in Utah is projected to be the Governor’s Office of Management and Budget, the -Of 86.3 for women and 85.2 for men. This is an increase fice of the Legislative Fiscal Analyst, the Utah Association of approximately 4 years for women and 6 years for of Governments, and other research entities. These 50- men. The sharper increase for men narrows the life year projections indicate continued population growth expectancy gap traditionally seen between the and illuminate a range of future dynamics and structural sexes. shifts for Utah. An initial set of products is available online • Natural increase (births minus deaths) is projected to at gardner.utah.edu. Additional research briefs, fact remain positive and account for two-thirds of the cu- sheets, web-enabled visualizations, and other products mulative population increase to 2065. However, giv- will be produced in the coming year. en increased life expectancy and declining fertility, the rate and amount of natural increase are project- State-Level Results ed to slowly decline over time. -
AXS TV Schedule for Mon. September 30, 2019 to Sun. October 6, 2019
AXS TV Schedule for Mon. September 30, 2019 to Sun. October 6, 2019 Monday September 30, 2019 3:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM PT 6:00 AM ET / 3:00 AM PT The Big Interview Tom Green Live Olivia Newton-John - Still with the magical voice, the star of Grease sits down with Dan and we Cheech & Chong - It’s double the funny on Tom Green Live as Tom sits down with one of the go backstage before her sold out Las Vegas performance. premiere comedy duos of all time: Cheech & Chong! Bringing their patented stoned-out humor to best-selling albums and feature films, Cheech Marin and Tommy Chong lit up the nation with 4:00 PM ET / 1:00 PM PT laughter, then carved out individual careers as TV actors on dramas and sitcoms. The Top Ten Revealed Epic Songs of ‘78 - Find out which Epic Songs of ‘78 make our list as rock experts like Steven Adler 7:00 AM ET / 4:00 AM PT (Guns ‘N Roses), Eddie Trunk, Clem Burke (Blondie) and Eddie Money, along with his daughter Classic Albums Jesse Money, count us down! Black Sabbath: Paranoid - The second album by Black Sabbath, released in 1970, has long at- tained classic status. Paranoid not only changed the face of rock music forever, but also defined 4:30 PM ET / 1:30 PM PT the sound and style of Heavy Metal more than any other record in rock history. Plain Spoken: John Mellencamp This stunning, cinematic concert film captures John with his full band, along with special guest 8:00 AM ET / 5:00 AM PT Carlene Carter, performing his most cherished songs. -
Human Population 2018 Lecture 8 Ecological Footprint
Human Population 2018 Lecture 8 Ecological footprint. The Daly criterea. Questions from the reading. pp. 87-107 Herman Daly “All my economists say, ‘on the one hand...on the other'. Give me a one- handed economist,” demanded a frustrated Harry S Truman. BOOKS Daly, Herman E. (1991) [1977]. Steady-State Economics (2nd. ed.). Washington, DC: Island Press. Daly, Herman E.; Cobb, John B., Jr (1994) [1989]. For the Common Good: Redirecting the Economy toward Community, the Environment, and a Sustainable Future (2nd. updated and expanded ed.). Boston: Beacon Press.. Received the Grawemeyer Award for ideas for improving World Order. Daly, Herman E. (1996). Beyond Growth: The Economics of Sustainable Development. Boston: Beacon Press. ISBN 9780807047095. Prugh, Thomas; Costanza, Robert; Daly, Herman E. (2000). The Local Politics of Global Sustainability. Washington, DC: Island Press. IS The Daly Criterea for sustainability • For a renewable resource, the sustainable rate to use can be no more than the rate of regeneration of its source. • For a non-renewable resource, the sustainable rate of use can be no greater than the rate at which a renewable resource, used sustainably, can be substituted for it. • For a pollutant, the sustainable rate of emmission can be no greater that the rate it can be recycled, absorbed or rendered harmless in its sink. http://www.footprintnetwork.org/ Ecosystem services Herbivore numbers control Carbon capture and Plant oxygen recycling and production soil replenishment Soil maintenance and processing Carbon and water storage system Do we need wild species? (negative) • We depend mostly on domesticated species for food (chickens...). • Food for domesticated species is itself from domesticated species (grains..) • Domesticated plants only need water, nutrients and light. -
Population Projections for 2020 to 2060 Population Estimates and Projections Current Population Reports
Demographic Turning Points for the United States: Population Projections for 2020 to 2060 Population Estimates and Projections Current Population Reports By Jonathan Vespa, Lauren Medina, and David M. Armstrong P25-1144 Issued March 2018 Revised February 2020 INTRODUCTION Figure The year 2030 marks a demographic Projections of the Older Adult Population to turning point for the United States. By nearly one in four Americans is projected to Beginning that year, all baby boomers be an older adult will be older than 65. This will expand Millions of people years and older Percent of population the size of the older population so that one in every five Americans is projected to be retirement age (Figure 1). Later that decade, by 2034, we project that older adults will outnumber children for the first time in U.S. history. The year 2030 marks another demographic first for the United States. Beginning that year, because of population aging, immigration is projected to overtake natural increase (the excess of births over deaths) as the primary driver of population growth for the country. As the population ages, the number of deaths is projected to rise sub- Source US Census Bureau National Population Projections stantially, which will slow the coun- try’s natural growth. As a result, net is still expected to grow by 79 million people by 2060, international migration is projected to overtake natural crossing the 400-million threshold in 2058. This con- increase, even as levels of migration are projected to tinued growth sets the United States apart from other remain relatively flat. These three demographic mile- developed countries, whose populations are expected stones are expected to make the 2030s a transforma- to barely increase or actually contract in coming tive decade for the U.S. -
Global Population Trends: the Prospects for Stabilization
Global Population Trends The Prospects for Stabilization by Warren C. Robinson Fertility is declining worldwide. It now seems likely that global population will stabilize within the next century. But this outcome will depend on the choices couples make throughout the world, since humans now control their demo- graphic destiny. or the last several decades, world population growth Trends in Growth Fhas been a lively topic on the public agenda. For The United Nations Population Division makes vary- most of the seventies and eighties, a frankly neo- ing assumptions about mortality and fertility to arrive Malthusian “population bomb” view was in ascendan- at “high,” “medium,” and “low” estimates of future cy, predicting massive, unchecked increases in world world population figures. The U.N. “medium” variant population leading to economic and ecological catas- assumes mortality falling globally to life expectancies trophe. In recent years, a pronatalist “birth dearth” of 82.5 years for males and 87.5 for females between lobby has emerged, with predictions of sharp declines the years 2045–2050. in world population leading to totally different but This estimate assumes that modest mortality equally grave economic and social consequences. To declines will continue in the next few decades. By this divergence of opinion has recently been added an implication, food, water, and breathable air will not be emotionally charged debate on international migration. scarce and we will hold our own against new health The volatile mix has exploded into a torrent of threats. It further assumes that policymakers will books, scholarly articles, news stories, and op-ed continue to support medical, scientific, and technolog- pieces, presenting at least superficially plausible data ical advances, and that such policies will continue to and convincing arguments on all sides of every ques- have about the same effect on mortality as they have tion. -
The Destruction of Cultural Heritage: a Crime Against Property Or a Crime Against People?
THE JOHN MARSHALL REVIEW OF INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY LAW THE DESTRUCTION OF CULTURAL HERITAGE: A CRIME AGAINST PROPERTY OR A CRIME AGAINST PEOPLE? PATTY GERSTENBLITH ABSTRACT The destruction of cultural heritage has played a prominent role in the ongoing conflicts in Syria and Iraq and in the recent conflict in Mali. This destruction has displayed the failure of international law to effectively deter these actions. This article reviews existing international law in light of this destruction and the challenges posed by the issues of non-international armed conflict, non-state actors and the military necessity exception. By examining recent developments in applicable international law, the article proposes that customary international law has evolved to interpret existing legal instruments and doctrines concerning cultural heritage in light of the principles of proportionality and distinction and a definition of intentionality that includes extreme negligence and willful disregard. As a result, international law may more effectively foster the preservation of cultural heritage for future generations. Copyright © 2016 The John Marshall Law School Cite as Patty Gerstenblith, The Destruction of Cultural Heritage: A Crime Against Property or a Crime Against People?, 15 J. MARSHALL REV. INTELL. PROP. L. 336 (2016). THE DESTRUCTION OF CULTURAL HERITAGE: A CRIME AGAINST PROPERTY OR A CRIME AGAINST PEOPLE? PATTY GERSTENBLITH I. INTRODUCTION............................................................................................................ -
Annual Status Report on the Destruction of the United States Stockpile of Lethal Chemical Agents and Munitions for Fiscal Year 2019
Annual Status Report on the Destruction of the United States Stockpile of Lethal Chemical Agents and Munitions for Fiscal Year 2019 September 30, 2019 The estimated cost of this report or study for the Department of Defense is approximately $740 for the 2019 Fiscal Year. This includes $0 in expenses and $740 in DoD labor. TABLE OF CONTENTS I. Introduction ..........................................................................................................................1 II. Mission .................................................................................................................................1 III. Organization .........................................................................................................................1 IV. Current Status of U.S. Chemical Weapons Destruction ......................................................2 A. Site-by-Site Description of Chemical Weapons Stockpile Destruction……………….2 B. Assembled Chemical Weapons Alternatives Program……………………………..….3 V. Chemical Stockpile Emergency Preparedness Program ......................................................5 VI. Funding Execution ...............................................................................................................7 VII. Safety Status of Chemical Weapons Stockpile Storage .......................................................8 APPENDICES A. Abbreviations and Symbols B. Program Disbursements C. Summary Occurrences of Leaking Chemical Munitions i I. Introduction The Department of Defense (DoD) is submitting -
A Non-Linear Threshold Estimation of Density Effects
sustainability Article Population Dynamics and Agglomeration Factors: A Non-Linear Threshold Estimation of Density Effects Mariateresa Ciommi 1, Gianluca Egidi 2, Rosanna Salvia 3 , Sirio Cividino 4, Kostas Rontos 5 and Luca Salvati 6,7,* 1 Department of Economic and Social Science, Polytechnic University of Marche, Piazza Martelli 8, I-60121 Ancona, Italy; [email protected] 2 Department of Agricultural and Forestry Sciences (DAFNE), Tuscia University, Via San Camillo de Lellis, I-01100 Viterbo, Italy; [email protected] 3 Department of Mathematics, Computer Science and Economics, University of Basilicata, Viale dell’Ateneo Lucano, I-85100 Potenza, Italy; [email protected] 4 Department of Agriculture, University of Udine, Via del Cotonificio 114, I-33100 Udine, Italy; [email protected] 5 Department of Sociology, School of Social Sciences, University of the Aegean, EL-81100 Mytilene, Greece; [email protected] 6 Department of Economics and Law, University of Macerata, Via Armaroli 43, I-62100 Macerata, Italy 7 Global Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, Lipová 9, CZ-37005 Ceskˇ é Budˇejovice, Czech Republic * Correspondence: [email protected] or [email protected] Received: 14 February 2020; Accepted: 11 March 2020; Published: 13 March 2020 Abstract: Although Southern Europe is relatively homogeneous in terms of settlement characteristics and urban dynamics, spatial heterogeneity in its population distribution is still high, and differences across regions outline specific demographic patterns that require in-depth investigation. In such contexts, density-dependent mechanisms of population growth are a key factor regulating socio-demographic dynamics at various spatial levels. Results of a spatio-temporal analysis of the distribution of the resident population in Greece contributes to identifying latent (density-dependent) processes of metropolitan growth over a sufficiently long time interval (1961-2011). -
E/CONF.60/19: World Population Plan of Action
19-30 August 1974 World Population Plan of Action UNITED NATIONS POPULATION INFORMATION NETWORK (POPIN) UN Population Division, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, with support from the UN Population Fund (UNFPA) World Population Plan of Action The electronic version of this document is being made available by the United Nations Population Information Network (POPIN) Gopher of the Population Division, Department for Economic and Social Information and Policy Analysis. ***************************************************************** WORLD POPULATION PLAN OF ACTION The World Population Conference, Having due regard for human aspirations for a better quality of life and for rapid socio-economic development, Taking into consideration the interrelationship between population situations and socio-economic development, Decides on the following World Population Plan of Action as a policy instrument within the broader context of the internationally adopted strategies for national and international progress: A. BACKGROUND TO THE PLAN 1. The promotion of development and improvement of quality of life require co-ordination of action in all major socio-economic fields including that of population, which is the inexhaustible source of creativity and a determining factor of progress. At the international level a number of strategies and programmes whose http://www.un.org/popin/icpd/conference/bkg/wppa.html 1/46 World Population Plan of Action explicit aim is to affect variables in fields other than population have already been formulated. These -
Westernization of Asian Diets and the Transformation of Food Systems: Implications for Research and Policy
Westernization of Asian Diets and the transformation of food systems: Implications for research and policy Prabhu Pingali ESA Working Paper No. 04-17 September 2004 Agri cultural and Development Economics Division The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations www.fao.org/es/esa Westernization of Asian Diets and the transformation of food systems: Implications for research and policy Prabhu Pingali1 1. Introduction Rapid economic and income growth, urbanization, and globalization are leading to a dramatic shift of Asian diets away from staples and increasingly towards livestock and dairy products, vegetables and fruit, and fats and oils. While the diversification of diets away from the traditional dominance of rice with rising incomes is expected and observed, current food consumption patterns are showing signs of convergence towards a Western diet. Globalization and the consequent global interconnectedness of the urban middle class, is the driving force behind the convergence of diets. The rapid spread of global supermarket chains and fast food restaurants are reinforcing the above trends. The following six key stylised facts characterize the changes in food demand in Asia: i) reduced per capita consumption of rice; ii) increased consumption per capita of wheat and wheat based products; iii) increased diversity in the food groups consumed; iv) rise in high protein and energy dense diets; v) increased consumption of temperate zone products; and vi) the rising popularity of convenience food and beverages. As the demand profile changes with economic growth and globalisation, so the supply systems must adapt to accommodate this change. Asian agriculture is on an irreversible path leading away from its traditional pre- occupation with cereal crop production, especially rice, towards a production system that is becoming increasingly commercialized and diversified.