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World Team Space Missions A DEEP SPACE COMPANY BY A WORLD TEAM THE FED EXPRESS OF THE 21ST CENTURY TONY SPEAR OCTOBER 2007 1 PURPOSE OF THIS PRESENTATION • TO INFORM YOU OF AN EXCITING SPACE OPPORTUNITY • IN 2007 HUMANS CELEBRATE 50 YEARS OF SPACE FLIGHT--SPUTNIK OCT 4 1957 – WITNESSED EXCITING SPACE EXPLORATION, GAINED VALUABLE SCIENCE RETURN AND EXPLOITED INNOVATIVE SPACE APPLICATIONS IN NEAR EARTH BUSINESSES – ACQUIRED MUCH EXPERIENCE, EXPERTISE, PROVEN FLIGHT-GROUND EQUIPMENT – NOW THIS IS AVAILABLE TO SUPPORT COMMERCIAL EXPLORATION THRUSTS BEYOND EARTH ORBIT--THE NEXT BIG STEP. DEEP SPACE WILL NOT CONTINUE TO BE THE DOMAIN OF GOVS ONLY, BUT FOR COMMERCIAL INTERESTS AS WELL • ADDRESSING A COMMERCIAL, ROBOTIC, DEEP SPACE ENDEAVOR USING A WORLD TEAM CONCEPT--MANY COUNTRIES INVOLVED 2 AFTER PATHFINDER’S LANDING • WE WERE SURPRISED AT WORLD ACCLAIM • EVERYONE WANTED TO SEE WHO DID THIS, WHO WE WERE • SO WE TRAVERSED THE WORLD • MANY SAID: “I WISH WE COULD DO SOMETHING IN SPACE TOO” • “HOW CAN WE GET INVOLVED?” 3 AFTER NASA/JPL • GOT INVOLVED IN ATTEMPTS AT COMMERCIAL DEEP SPACE ROBOTIC VENTURES • SUCCESSFUL, ENTHUSTIAC EARTHBOUND ENTREPRNEURS JUMPED INTO SPACE THINKING: “I CAN DO THAT!” •JUST A FEW: – SPACE DEV: MISSION TO AN ASTEROID – BLASTOFF!: TO THE MOON – “ GROW A TREE ON MARS” • AFTER 10 YEARS OR SO, MORE SUBDUED AND REAL, THEY MAY BE GETTING CLOSER • WITH ALL DUE RESPECT TO THE EXCITING SPACE PROGRAM GOING ON NOW, OVER THE FIRST 50 YEARS, WE ARE LIKE COLOMBUS PADDLEING AROUND IN THE BAY BEFORE LAUNCHING OUT TO THE NEW WORLD • COMING LATER THIS CENTURY: RIDES, HOTELS IN SPACE; SETTLEMENTS IN ORBIT, ON THE MOOON AND MARS ; EXPLORATION OF ASTEROIDS; NUCLEAR ELECTRIC PROPULSION TO THE OUTER PLANETS …AND SERVICE COMPANIES 4 BUSINESS PLAN FOR A COMMERCIAL WORLD TEAM • LONG RUN: DEVELOPE A DEEP SPACE TRANSPORTATION COMPANY – SPACE TRUCKS THAT DELIVER THE GOODS TO FUTURE HABITATS IN ORBIT AND ON THE MOON, MARS, ASTEROIDS--TWO WAY TRANSPORTATION – WILL COME IN SMALL TO LARGE SIZES--ORBIT, DOCK AND LAND – ESTIMATED NEED DATE: MID TO LATE NEXT DECADE – EARLY DEMO MISSIONS BUILD TO ULTIMATE CAPABILITY • SHORT RUN: ONE STEP AT A TIME, DO A PHASE-A STUDY FIRST – BUSINESS PLAN BASED ON FUTURE OUTLOOK FOR SPACE – PROGRAM PLAN OF INDIVIDUAL PROJECTS VERSUS TIME – PROJECT PLAN FOR THE 1ST FLIGHT DEMO MISSION – BUILT IN “GO”/ “NO GO” GATES AT CRITICAL PROGRESS REVIEWS – EACH PROJECT WILL BE ITS OWN PROFIT CENTER • WHILE BUILDING FOR THE NEXT FLIGHT 5 GOOGLE LUNAR X PRIZE – AN OPPORTUNITY OF A LIFETIME HAS OCCURRED! – MAY WELL KICK OFF COMMERCIAL DEEP SPACE EXPLORATION – MANY INTANGIBLES ARE ACHIEVED BESIDES THE PRIZE – PRIZE BY GOOGLE IS SEXY. THE WORLD WILL BE WATCHING – MANY INTERESTING IMPLEMENTATION OPTIONS – EVERTHING IS THERE TO MAKE THE MISSION GO: TALENT, SMARTS, GEAR – CHALLENGES: LAUNCH, TEAMING AND FUND RAISING – MY STRATEGY: I HOPE TO SHOW YOU SOON! 6 HOW ALL COUNTRIES GET INVOLVED • DEPENDING ON YOUR ASPIRATIONS, CURRENT EXPERIENCE BASE, AND AFFORDABILITY YOU CAN: – JUST BE ON THE TEAM GAINING FIRST HAND “ON THE JOB” TRAINING – PROVIDE CERTAIN EQUIPMENT AND FUNCTIONS LIKE: • ROVERS, ELECTRONICS, LANDING & DOCKING, STRUCTURES, INSTRUMENTS, PROPULSION, S/C I&T, LAUNCH • SUPPORT PROJECT MANAGEMENT IN PLANNING, DESIGN, ANALYSIS, TEST, QUALITY ASSURANCE, WORLD OUTREACH – BE THE PROJECT LEAD, THE PROJECT MANAGEMENT SITE • HOUSE THE PROJECT MANAGER AND IMPLEMENTATION TEAM – PURCHASE A MINI ROVER KIT; BUILD, TEST, OPERATE IT ON THE MOON-- ASSISTED BY EXPERTS – PARTICIPATE ON A PROJECT MANAGEMENT COUNCIL GUIDING THE PROJECT… OR A STANDING REVIEW BOARD …OR INDEPENDENT EXPERT PEER REVIEW TEAMS H/W = HARDWARE S/W = SOFTWARE S/C = SPACECRAFT I&T = INTEGRATION AND TEST 7 WORK DONE SO FAR • STUDIED A PROTOTYPE MISSION WITH A TEAM IN BRAZIL – MEMBERS FROM INPE, INCLUDING BRAZILIAN AND RUSSIAN REPS FROM THEIR MODERN, POWERFUL, COST EFFECTIVE SPACECRAFT INTEGRATION AND TEST FACILITY CALLED LIT • ATTEMPTING ACQUISITION OF FUNDING FOR A PHASE A STUDY AND A CONFERENCE HOSTING THE WORLD • INTERACTING WITH OTHER COUNTRY REPS, BUSINESSES AND AMBASSADORS • DEALING WITH SKEPTICISM LIKE WITH MARS PATHFINDER. WHAT IS TONY SMOKING NOW? 8 PHASE-A STUDY GUIDELINES • CONDUCT FLIGHT-GROUND SYSTEM ARCHITECTURE TRADES AND PROVIDE A PROGRAM RECOMMENDATION – FLIGHT SYSTEMS TO BE MODULAR, SCALABLE FROM SMALL TO LARGE, MULTI MISSION--ORBITERS, DOCKERS, LANDERS – IDENTIFY AN APPLICABLE MISSION SET, AN EXAMPLE PROGRAM OF PROJECTS BASED ON ESTIMATED FUTURE NEEDS • WORLD TEAMING ARRANGEMENTS, COST &SCHEDULE ESTIMATES, EXPECTED REVENUE RETURN – 1ST DEMO MISSIONS: LAND ON THE MOON CARRYING MINI ROVERS, CAMERAS, OTHER INSTRUMENTATION, POSSIBILITY CUBE SATS (SEE DEFINITION AT GOOGLE) – STUDY LANDING AT POLES AND APOLLO SITES--LANDING APPROACHES FROM SIMPLE, LESS ACCURATE TO HIGLY ACCURATE 9 PHASE-A STUDY GUIDELINES FOR 1ST MISSION • PROVIDE SPECIFIC, MORE COMPREHENSIVE STUDY PRODUCTS – PROJECT MANAGEMENT SITE AND WORLD TEAMING ARRANGEMENT – MISSION PLAN, FLIGHT-GROUND ARCHITECTURE, LANDING APPROACH – WORLD WIDE EQUIPMENT ACQUISITION AND STAFFING PLAN, COST AND SCHEDULE, FUNDING SOURCES, EXPECTED REVENUE RETURN – PLANS AND SITES FOR S/C I & T, LAUNCH, DISTRIBUTED FLIGHT OPS, SITE FOR CENTRAL COMMAND AND CONTROL • CARRY APPROX 6 MINI ROVERS WITH MOTHER LANDER/ROVER – MINIS OPERATED BY THEIR OWNERS DOING SCIENCE, PLAYING GAMES • PROVIDE AN OUTREACH PLAN – IDENTIFY CELEBRITY, OTHER PARTICIPATION – GOAL: RE-CAPTURE MARS PATHFINDER’S EXCITEMENT – S/C TALKS: PROVIDING STATUS, STATE AND PLANS – STILL PHOTOS AND MOVIES ARE DOWNLOADED – CONTESTS WILL BE HELD FOR BEST NAV PLANS AND MANEUVER STRATEGIES-WINNERS PARTICIPATE IN COMMANDING THE S/C – ROVERS CARRY STUFF: LETTERS, SIGNATURES, PHOTOS, OTHER ITEMS 10 11 APPENDIX 1 DOES NOT APPLY TO X PRIZE OPTION • SOME “GUT” ESTIMATES/CANDIDATE OPTIONS: – 1ST PROJECT COST: 100 MIL USD • WITH INSURANCE 130 MIL USD • ALSO WITH A SET OF NON RECURRING SPARES FOR THE NEXT FLIGHT 190 MIL USD – REVENUE RETURN ESTIMATES: • SALE OF 6 TO 10 MINI ROVERS: 60 TO 100 MIL USD • WORLD STAFF AND EQUIPMENT CONTRIBUTIONS: 50-100 MIL USD • WORLDWIDE WEB CONTRIBUTIONS: 50 TO 100 MIL USD – PROJECT MANAGEMENT SITE: THAT COUNTRY WITH VISION, DRIVE, GUTS, INVESTING APPROX 20-30 MIL USD – CANDIDATES FOR SUPPORT FROM USA: • PROJECT MANAGEMENT--TONY SPEAR, LEON ALKALAI, RENE FRADET, OTHERS • SYSTEM ENGINEERING--TOMAS SVITEK, LEON ALKALAI, OTHERS • MECHANICAL ENGINEERING, ROVER, S/C I & T--ALLIANCE SPACESYSTEMS INC (ASI) • MISSION DESIGN, FLIGHT OPS AND NAV SUPPORT--KINETX --SUBJECT TO ITAR RESTRICTIONS-- – CANDIDATE SUPPORT FORM A JOINT BRAZILIAN/RUSSIAN TEAM: EQUIPEMENT, ENGINEERING, S/C I & T, LAUNCH, FLIGHT OPS, WORLDWIDE OUTREACH MANAGEMENT 12 TONY SPEAR BIO • PRESENT WORK--1998 TO PRESENT: – PROJECT MANAGEMENT LECTURES--ALL PROJECTS USE THE SAME BASIC METHODS. IT’S IN THE EXECUTION AROUND THE WORK BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE (WBS) – CONSULTING-- JPL, OTHER NASA, OTHER GOV, INDUSTRY, ESPECIALLY STARTUPS – MOTIVATIONAL PRESENTATIONS WORLDWIDE ON MARS PATHFINDER. HOW WE DID IT. – LEADING THE WORLD SPACE TEAM INITIATIVE • PAST WORK FOR NASA/JPL--1962 TO 1998: – DEEP SPACE TELECOMM SYSTEM ENGINEERING ON MARS, VENUS-MERCURY MARINER MISSIONS. ORIGINATED VIKING LANDER RELAY LINK CONCEPT. – MANAGED DEV OF SEASAT’S SYNTHETIC APERTURE IMAGING RADAR (FIRST SAR IN SPACE), SCATTEROMETER, PRECISION ALTIMETER, AND SCANNING, MULTI BAND, MICROWAVE RADIOMETER – MANAGED DEV OF AN ARMY TRUCK LOAD OF BATTLEFIELD INTELLGENCE DATA GATHERING PROCESSORS WORKING AS A PROTOTYPE TACTICAL DATA SYSTEM – PROJECT MANAGER-- MAGELLAN VENUS RADAR IMAGING MISSION – LED JPL/NASA EARLY DISCOVERY AND FBC MISSION STUDIES – PROJECT MANAGER--MARS PATHFINDER MISSION – MANAGED TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT FOR OUTER PLANET MISSIONS • BSEE CARNEGIE MELLON MSEE USC ME MANAGEMENT AND SYTEMS ENGINEERING UCLA JPL = JET PROPULSION LABS IN PASADENA CA USA FBC = FASTER, BETTER, CHEAPER DEV = DEVELOPMENT [email protected] 1870 Rosemont Ave Pasadena CA 91103 USA 626 798 0840 13.
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