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Foreign Direct Investment in Pakistan Telecommunication Sector 파 키 스 탄 통 신 분 야 로해 외직 접투 자활 동

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Foreign Direct Investment in Pakistan Telecommunication Sector 파 키 스 탄 통 신 분 야 로해 외직 접투 자활 동 J U L Y 2 0 0 7 Foreign Direct Investment in Pakistan Telecommunication Sector 파 키 스 탄 통 신 분 야 로해 외직 접투 자활 동 Aasif Inam Pakistan Telecommunication Authority Agenda PAKISTAN INVESTMENT BRIEF DOING BUSINESS IN PAKISTAN - INDEX TELECOM SECTOR – AN OVERVIEW INVESTMENTS IN TELECOM SECTOR FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS FUTURE PROSPECTS QUESTIONS & ANSWERS F O R E I G N D I R E C T I N V E S T M E N T I N P A K I S T A N T E L E C O M S E C T O R T O C S E C O M L E T E N A T I S K A P N I T M E N T E S V I N T C E I R N D I G R E F O Pakistan’s Investment Brief A Reinvigorated Economy n a st ki a P - Re-alignment of - Political stability - Opened economy by - Reduced Ext. Debt - GDP Growth up 4X Interests - Consistency through extensive reforms - Access to int. markets - Exports up 2X - War on Terror Legal Framework - Investor facilitation - Stable credit ratings - Poverty Reduced - Relations with India - Devolution - Legal Protection - Growing Income - Economic interests - Stable Currency - Contained inflation - FX Reserves up 10X - Development spending - Fiscal deficit halved P A K I S T A N I N V E S T M E N T B R I E F R B T N E E S T M V N I N A I S T K A P 2 The Growth Story Pakistan witnessing rapid and sustainable economic growth Nominal GDP (US$ billion) & Real GDP Growth (%) Real GDP Growth ‘06 (%) 207 6.6 GR CA 182 5.7 13% 5.4 161 8.4 4.7 142 6.6 8.2 6.4 7.8 8.0 111 7.4 125 5.1 72 96 82 3.1 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E Pakistan ASEAN Latin America MENA Nominal GDP (US$ billion) Real GDP Growth (%) • One of the fastest growing economies in Asia • Expected to surpass the US$ 200 billion GDP mark by 2010 Source: Pakistan Ministry of Finance, Economist Intelligence Unit P A K I S T A N I N V E S T M E N T B R I E F R B T N E E S T M V N I N A I S T K A P 3 The Growth Story (Cont’d) Wealth levels have increased and a large middle-class is emerging GDP per Capita (US$ PPP) Household Income Distribution (%) AGR 3,420 9% C 6. 3,200 2,980 2,780 2,590 41.7 2,410 49.3 2,210 2,070 1,980 48.6 45.0 5.7 9.7 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E 1991 2002 Lowest 20% Middle 60% Highest 20% • Rising disposable income • Increasing income distribution largely a result of decreasing unemployment • Accelerating income growth across lower and middle segments of population Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, Pakistan Federal Bureau of Statistics P A K I S T A N I N V E S T M E N T B R I E F R B T N E E S T M V N I N A I S T K A P 4 The Growth Story (Cont’d) International investors have begun to take notice of the Pakistan story, however significant upside remains as FDI flows are still far below regional levels Foreign Direct Investment (US$ million) Foreign Direct Investment (% of GDP), 2006 6,280 13.9 GR CA 61% 3,521 9.1 1,524 2.8 798 949 485 1.1 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Pakistan Singapore India UAE • Opening up of economy leading to strong foreign interest • FDI inflow more than doubled in 2006 & 2007. • Broad based inflow across sectors Recent notable investments by Phillip Morris, China Mobile, Standard Chartered, ABN AMRO and Etisalat Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, Pakistan Federal Bureau of Statistics P A K I S T A N I N V E S T M E N T B R I E F R B T N E E S T M V N I N A I S T K A P 5 The Growth Story (Cont’d) Significant decline in external debt External Debt (% of GDP) External Debt (% of GDP), 2006 47 46 34.0 30.8 44 19.1 38 16.0 36 34 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Pakistan Singapore India UAE • Consistent decline in external debt / GDP ratio • Concerted effort to move away from poorly structured high-interest debt • Allowing increasing government expenditure on development projects Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, Pakistan Federal Bureau of Statistics P A K I S T A N I N V E S T M E N T B R I E F R B T N E E S T M V N I N A I S T K A P 6 Turnaround Strategy – Economic Framework Creation of an enabling and governed economic framework Policy Description All sectors are open to FDI with equal treatment of local and foreign investors Investment 100% foreign equity allowed, and royalties, franchise fees, capital, Policy & profits, dividends etc all fully repatriable Environment Attractive tax / tariff incentives package Low cost of doing business, one-window facilitation Reduction in corporate tax rate from 39% in 2005 to 35% by 2007 for private companies Creation and subsequent strengthening of the institutional capacity of a number of independent regulatory bodies in Pakistan that have Regulatory developed management structures, technical expertise, technology and Framework enforcement capacity compatible with international best practices Massive capital market reforms aimed at risk management and mitigation of systemic risks P A K I S T A N I N V E S T M E N T B R I E F R B T N E E S T M V N I N A I S T K A P 7 Agenda PAKISTAN INVESTMENT BRIEF DOING BUSINESS IN PAKISTAN - INDEX TELECOM SECTOR – AN OVERVIEW INVESTMENTS IN TELECOM SECTOR FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS FUTURE PROSPECTS QUESTIONS & ANSWERS F O R E I G N D I R E C T I N V E S T M E N T I N P A K I S T A N T E L E C O M S E C T O R T O C S E C O M L E T E N A T I S K A P N I T M E N T E S V I N T C E I R N D I G R E F O D O I N G B U S I N E S S I N P A K I S T A N Ease ofDoingBusinessinPakistan Ease of Doing Business: (Country wise) Ranking: Highest (01); Lowest (155) Ranking: Highest (01); 01 New Zealand 02 03 Singapore United States 04 Canada 07 09 Hong Kong United Kingdom 10 Japan 19 20 Germany Thailand Source :World BankandIFC in2006” report“Doing Business 21 Malaysia 27 28 60 65 Korea South Africa Pakistan Bangladesh 75 Srilanka 91 99 China Vietnam 115 Indonesia 116 India 155 Congo Dem 9 Agenda PAKISTAN INVESTMENT BRIEF DOING BUSINESS IN PAKISTAN - INDEX TELECOM SECTOR – AN OVERVIEW INVESTMENTS IN TELECOM SECTOR FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS FUTURE PROSPECTS QUESTIONS & ANSWERS F O R E I G N D I R E C T I N V E S T M E N T I N P A K I S T A N T E L E C O M S E C T O R T O C S E C O M L E T E N A T I S K A P N I T M E N T E S V I N T C E I R N D I G R E F O Telecom Sector – An Overview Telecom – A Success Story Telecom has emerged as the success story in the recent years where win-win scenario for a Investors & Government). Over the last four years, transformation in its telecom service industry through a series of discrete liberalization measures. The number of cellular subscribers has more than tripled in the last two years and today mobile subscriber base has crossed average are added in in every quarters of 2006-07 improving teledensity further to than 6.5 Mln fixed line subscribers and more than 2.1 Mln internet users in the country. 63 million 2 Mobile Licenses, 14 Long Distance International Licenses, 35 T E L EC O M S EC T O R –Fixed A N OLocal V E R V Loop I E W licenses and 17 have been awarded to differen ll participants (Customers, market highly competitive. Pakistan has witnessed rapid whereas 43 percent 7 million . Currently, there are more new connections on Wireless Local Loop licenses t companies. This made the For years, Pakistan's telecom sector has plodded along, seemingly stuck in the mid-20th century. Its newly deregulated sector is taking off -- and may lift the economy. When the transformation is over, Pakistan telecom will be firmly rooted in the 21st century. (BusinessWeek January,2005) 228.9 Teledensity May-2007 146 94 H ong K ong Singap ore 43 M alaysia 37 P akistan 20 Srilan ka In dia 9 B angladesh 7 N epal 11 Telecom Sector – An Overview U Kazakhstan Almaty Frunze # # MARKET STATISTICS Land locked LICENSE STATUS Toshkent Uzbekistan energy# rich Kyrgyzstan Population: 156 million Central Asia Samarkand BasicKashi Telephony 04 # # Turkmenistan Dushanfe Geographical Area 796,096 sq.
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