V1 - AUSE01Z01MA $3.00 MONDAY November 26, 2018 PRICE INCLUDES GST WWW.THEAUSTRALIAN.COM.AU I FOR THE INFORMED AUSTRALIAN FREIGHT EXTRA ON HOLD SAVING OUR Southern The perils of Stars show us covering up Radio boss says Jones’s $4.5M SPORTING how to win contract talks must wait SOUL again birth sex MEDIA {P27-29} NEWS, SPORT {P3, 34} JENNIFER ORIEL {P14} n ANDREWS’ WIN BIGGEST SINCE 2002 n TURNBULL’S OUSTING A FACTOR, MPs SAY n NEWSPOLL: SHORTEN'S ALP AHEAD 55-45 Morrison warned of federal rout LABOR’S LANDSLIDE SAMANTHA HUTCHINSON Coalition JOE KELLY SEAT COUNT PRIMARY VOTE Before Now Change Labor Lib/ Greens Others Nats Senior Liberals are warning that Labor 46 53 7 +4.16 +3.72 slides the Morrison government is on Lib/Nats 37 26 11 track for a “hammering” in Victor- ia at the 2019 election, with up to Greens 3 2 1 but PM -1.65 seven federal seats in danger fol- Independents 2 3 1 lowing a disastrous state poll re- sult. In doubt 4 popular -6.23 Scott Morrison and Josh Fry- denberg have called for calm and SHARE OF LOWER HOUSE SEATS NATIONALY unity in the wake of a statewide After 2007 federal election Before 2011 NSW election two-party swing of 4.8 per cent 4.6% 5.2% PRIMARY VOTE away from the Liberals, but some 27 36.2% 31 44.2% % Nov 8-11 Nov 22-25 federal MPs have conceded that COALITION 35 34 instability and the removal of Mal- 214 LABOR 40 40 262 colm Turnbull had alienated Vic- GREENS 9 9 torian Liberal voters. 350 300 ONE NATION 6 8 After the worst state election OTHERS 10 9 result for the Victorian Coalition 59.2% 50.6% TWO-PARTY PREFERRED in 16 years, former Victorian Lib- COALITION 45 45 eral premier Denis Napthine After the 2013 federal election Now LABOR 55 55 warned last night the federal party 3.7% 6% BETTER PM 36 had to change course radically. 22 MORRISON 42 46 “If the federal Liberal Party SHORTEN 36 34 doesn’t understand and learn from 198 263 FULL TABLES P4 this, then they’re doomed to have 373 306 similar results, and not just in 62.9% 43.5% Victoria but across Australia,” 33.4% 50.6% EXCLUSIVE Dr Napthine told The Australian. “And I think there has been, SIMON BENSON LIBERALS LABOR OTHERS across the Liberal brand at both NATIONAL POLITICAL EDITOR state and federal levels, the discus- sion and involvement of people WHAT IT MEANS The Morrison government faces a from the further Right (that) has When you’re smashed from one side of the rout of similar magnitude to that really damaged the brand.” state to the other, the factors are fundamental, experienced by the Victorian Lib- Premier Daniel Andrews was whole-of-campaign, and institutional. erals at the weekend’s state elec- re-elected on Saturday and his PETA CREDLIN P9 tion, with the Prime Minister Labor Party could hold up to 55 struggling to win back Coalition seats in Victoria’s 88-seat lower Charisma is an old-fashioned word but voters despite a recovery in his house, while the Coalition is likely Matthew Guy’s complete lack of it certainly own popularity. to lose at least 10 seats. An exclusive Newspoll conduc- hampered the Liberals’ campaign. Mr Andrews said Victorians ted for The Australian shows the had chosen a “positive plan” over GRAHAM RICHARDSON P6 federal Coalition’s primary vote the politics of fear and division. falling for the third poll in a row to After a lacklustre campaign, Kroger’s vendetta against senior Liberals who a near-record low of 34 per cent, Opposition Leader Matthew Guy raised millions of dollars demonstrated disunity as senior ministers yesterday is expected to resign, while long- – talk about biting the hand that feeds you. defended claims that Victorian time state president Michael Kro- voters at the state poll had taken ger has said he will step down in JEFF KENNETT P7 out their anger on Canberra. April after calls from former Vic- The Coalition now trails Labor torian premier Jeff Kennett for his The Greens roared about being the new on a two-party-preferred split of axing. force in politics but their toxic culture 45-55 for the second consecutive Mr Frydenberg, Victoria’s most and woeful candidates were exposed. poll as it heads into the final two senior Liberal, is backing a root- weeks of parliament and poten- and-branch overhaul of party STEPHEN CONROY P9 STUART McEVOY tially the last before the next fed- campaigning, with Senate presi- A fresh-looking Victorian Premier, Daniel Andrews, discusses the election results in Melbourne yesterday eral election if an early poll is dent Scott Ryan and Victorian MP called for March. Michael Sukkar joining calls for an play a role in the campaign. “I’ve voters raised issues including the The results for the government urgent assessment of the way the never relied on anybody outside federal leadership change and the Puffer-jacket squad delivers pained message will reinforce accusations that the campaign was conducted. NSW and I don’t intend to start party’s failure to come up with a dumping of Malcolm Turnbull Labor’s stunning gains on Sat- now,” Ms Berejiklian said. national energy policy. “Their vote amid a string of policy disasters urday have guaranteed it will hold Federal Liberal sources said was not accidental, it was a very political shockwaves from Mel- last night that I won’t vote again,’’ Liberals the scare of the century. and a drubbing in the Wentworth more than 50 per cent of lower that while the Victorian arm of the deliberate message,” he said. INSIDE STORY bourne to Canberra. Reilly says. “I get too upset about it. The Liberal candidate, 38-year- by-election has fed into the Vic- house seats in parliaments nation- party bore the brunt of responsibil- “We can either heed it and start The Liberal Party, their Liberal I am getting too old.’’ old James Newbury, should have torian results. wide for the first time in almost ity for the loss, there was “an over- finding how to advance our values Party, no longer spoke to them. In For more than 150 years the been a shoo-in. He is a qualified But in a sign that the party is eight years. Since the 2013 federal lay of federal issues” that meant through our diverse modern CHIP LE GRAND Daniel Andrews, they saw a Prem- seat of Brighton has not been lawyer, holds a master’s degree in being blamed, rather than its lead- election, the Coalition has lost key seats including Chisolm, society, or keep trying to force ier promising to deliver more of touched by Labor hands. The elec- business and is an experienced er, Mr Morrison doubled his lead about 110 lower house seats na- Dunkley, Corangamite, La Trobe reality through our priorities.” They came for them wearing the essential services and infra- torate was considered so safe, political operative, having served as preferred prime minister over tionwide, dropping its share rom and Casey could all be los. This Further voting analysis by The puffer jackets and pearls. structure that a fast-growing city Labor was willing to run as a token stints as an adviser in Spring Street Bill Shorten over the past fortnight 63 per cent five years ago to 43.5 could unseat MPs including Continued on Page 6 Along the beaches of Sandring- needed. In Matthew Guy, they saw candidate a 19-year-old university and in Canberra. and recorded a significant four- per cent. With NSW due to face Speaker Tony Smith, Jason Wood, ham, beneath the lush, elm-tree a small man shouting at them student who didn’t hold a driver’s Perhaps more importantly, point jump in approval ratings the polls in March, Liberal Premier Julia Banks, Sarah Henderson and MORE REPORTS P6-9 canopies of Hawthorn, from dress- about crime. licence and two months ago wasn’t Newbury comes from a long line of with the national debate dom- Gladys Berejiklian indicated yes- Chris Crewther. SEAT-BY-SEAT RESULTS P8 circle addresses in Brighton, they It was enough for Paula Reilly, even a member of the party. Bayside orthodontists who, for as inated by terrorism and Labor’s terday she would not ask Mr Mor- Victorian federal MP Tim Wil- ELECTORAL MAP P9 marched into polling booths to a lifelong Liberal voter in leafiest Declan Martin probably won’t long as anyone can remember, renewable energy plan. rison or his federal colleagues to son said that, at booths “all day”, EDITORIAL P15 deliver a message that will send Brighton, to despair. “I told people win the seat but he has given the Continued on Page 7 Continued on Page 4 710,000 workers would choose to opt out of super Cyber boss blasts tech Fairfax court row looms APRA could stop performance if it properly income (above $100,000 a year) titans’ fearmongering Antony Catalano, the former Entertainment so that he can put EXCLUSIVE enforced best-interest duties would not opt out,” it said. “Those Fairfax and Domain executive, forward an alternative proposal. $1.8bn in fees, losses across the sector by forcing the aged over 60 would not opt out.” says he has secured financial Mr Catalano said he would ADAM CREIGHTON 50 highest-cost funds to merge The conclusions imply that the Writing in The Australian backing to acquire a 20 per cent lodge documents today asking for ECONOMICS EDITOR The Australian Prudential with 10 lowest-cost funds, benefits of the landmark Labor EXCLUSIVE today, Mr MacGibbon aims to stake in the newspaper publisher the deal to be deferred or rejected.