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Central and Eastern Europe Development Outlook After the Coronavirus Pandemic
CHINA-CEE INSTITUTE CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE DEVELOPMENT OUTLOOK AFTER THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC Editor in Chief: Dr. Chen Xin Published by: China-CEE Institute Nonprofit Ltd. Telephone: +36-1-5858-690 E-mail: [email protected] Webpage: www.china-cee.eu Address: 1052, Budapest, Petőfi Sándor utca 11. Chief Editor: Dr. Chen Xin ISSN: 978-615-6124-29-6 Cover design: PONT co.lab Copyright: China-CEE Institute Nonprofit Ltd. The reproduction of the study or parts of the study are prohibited. The findings of the study may only be cited if the source is acknowledged. Central and Eastern Europe Development Outlook after the Coronavirus Pandemic Chief Editor: Dr. Chen Xin CHINA-CEE INSTITUTE Budapest, October 2020 Content Preface ............................................................................................................ 5 Part I POLITICAL DEVELOPMENT OUTLOOK ..................................... 7 Albanian politics in post-pandemic era: reshuffling influence and preparing for the next elections .............................................................................................. 8 BiH political outlook after the COVID-19 pandemic ...................................... 13 Bulgarian Political Development Outlook in Post-Pandemic Era ..................... 18 Forecast of Croatian Political Events after the COVID-19 .............................. 25 Czech Political Outlook for the Post-Crisis Period .......................................... 30 Estonian political outlook after the pandemic: Are we there yet? ................... -
Ecocide: the Missing 5Th Crime Against Peace the Problem
The Future of Environmental Crime Ecocide: The Missing 5th Crime Against Peace The Problem • UN’s Global Environmental Outlook 5 (2012): anthropogenic impacts on the Earth System are unprecedented. • Scientific agreement that humanity has exceeded at least three planetary boundaries. • Ecocide, the extensive destruction of ecosystems; large scale land use change, pollution, open cast mining remains legal and profitable. • No comprehensive international legal agreement to deal with environmental crime. The Solution Make Ecocide the 5th Crime Against Peace: The extensive damage to, destruction of or loss of ecosystem(s) of a given territory, whether by human agency or by other causes, to such an extent that peaceful enjoyment by the inhabitants of that territory has been or will be severely diminished Crimes Against Peace Which threaten the peace and security of mankind Set out in Rome Statute 1) Crimes Against Humanity 2) War Crimes 3) Genocide 4) Crimes of Aggression Well-being of all life Crimes Against Peace Which threaten the peace and security of mankind Set out in Rome Statute 1) Crimes Against Humanity 2) War Crimes 3) Genocide 4) Crimes of Aggression 5) Ecocide Well-being of all life Ecocide is the Missing 5th Crime Against Peace • 1970s – 1990s making ecocide the 5th Crime Against Peace was examined by the United Nations. • When excluded in 1996 many countries objected. • Ecocide essentially a crime during war time but not in peace time. (Article 8(2)(b) of the Rome Statute) • Detailed research: The University of London’s Report Ecocide: The Missing 5th Crime Against Peace Human-made Ecocide E x a m p le s M ining, unconventional fossil fuel extraction, deforestation How law works Prevent and restore Superior responsibility Strict liability Triggers UNEP’s vision for a green economy Restorative Justice Ecocide by other causes E x a m p le s Tsunamis, flooding, earthquake How law works •Duty of care on states to provide assistance •Charter of the UN Article 73: Members of the UN.. -
The Rise of Environmental Crime
A GROWING THREAT TO NATURAL RESOURCES, THE RISE OF PEACE, DEVELOPMENT AND SECURITY ENVIRONMENTAL CRIME A UNEP--INTERPOL RAPID RESPONSE ASSESSMENT 1 1 Nellemann, C. (Editor in Chief); Henriksen, R., Kreilhuber, A., Stewart, D., Kotsovou, M., Raxter, P., Mrema, E., and Barrat, S. (Eds). 2016. The Rise of Environ mental Crime – A Growing Threat To Natural Resources Peace, Development And Security. A UNEP- INTERPOL Rapid Response Assessment. United Nations Environment Programme and RHIPTO Rapid Response–Norwegian Center for Global Analyses, www.rhipto.org ISBN 978-82-690434-0-2 (print) ISBN 978-82-690434-1-9 (pdf) UNEP promotes Printed by UNEP environmentally sound practices Disclaimer globally and in its own activities. This The contents of this report do not necessarily reflect the views or publication is printed on fully recycled paper, policies of UNEP or contributory organizations. The designations employed and the presentations do not imply the expression of any FSC certified, post-consumer waste and chlorine- opinion whatsoever on the part of UNEP or contributory organiza- free. Inks are vegetable-based and coatings are water- tions concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city, com- pany or area or its authority, or concerning the delimitation of its based. UNEP’s distribution policy aims to reduce its frontiers or boundaries. carbon footprint. 2 A UNEP--INTERPOL RAPID RESPONSE ASSESSMENT A GROWING THREAT TO NATURAL RESOURCES, THE RISE OF PEACE, DEVELOPMENT AND SECURITY ENVIRONMENTAL CRIME Editorial Team Christian Nellemann (Editor in Chief) Rune Henriksen Arnold Kreilhuber Davyth Stewart Maria Kotsovou Patricia Raxter Elizabeth Mrema Sam Barrat Cartography Riccardo Pravettoni Philippe Rekacewicz (figure 11) Emmanuelle Bournay (figure 14) 2 3 Foreword The world is being dredged of its natural resources, with much of what we rely on for our livelihoods at risk from a new threat: environmental crime. -
Croatia Update May 2020
CROATIA UPDATE MAY 2020 As Croatia gradually relaxed No virus spread has been detected Asylum procedure has resumed in COVID-19 related restrictions, among the UNHCR persons of the pre-pandemic manner. UNHCR refugees and asylum-seekers concern in Croatia. Situation in the and its partners continue to adapt continued to have access to health two Reception Centers for Asylum their activities as per the advice services in a non-discriminatory Seekers remain calm and safe. from health authorities. manner. General overview In the first four months of 2020, MoI registered 529 asylum seekers (top three countries of origin: Iraq, Afghanistan and Syria). In the same period, 14 people were granted refugee status (Iraq, Iran, Syria and one stateless). As at end May, 382 asylum seekers have been accommodated in the two Reception Centers for Asylum Seekers (RCAS) in Zagreb and Kutina. Of those, 41 per cent are children, 37 per cent men and 22 per cent women, with top three countries of origin: Iraq, Afghanistan and Syria. So far in 2020, 14 families (22 people) were provided with housing solutions under the Regional Housing Programme-RHP. Total number of beneficiaries of RHP assistance by 16 April 2020 in Croatia stands at 315 families (749 people). Reception Centers for Asylum Seekers Asylum Procedure After almost two months of limited activities and 14- As of 18 May, the refugee status determination day shifts in the RCAS in Zagreb and Kutina, Ministry of procedure has been resumed at all levels in the pre- Interior, Croatian Red Cross and Medicines du Monde, pandemic manner, including interviews conducted by as essential service providers in the centers resumed the Ministry of Interior at first instance, as well as their regular work on 11 May. -
Google Trends As a Method to Predict New COVID-19 Cases and Socio-Psychological Consequences of the Pandemic
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Jurić, Tado Article — Published Version Google Trends as a Method to Predict New COVID-19 Cases and Socio-Psychological Consequences of the Pandemic Athens Journal of Mediterranean Studies Suggested Citation: Jurić, Tado (2021) : Google Trends as a Method to Predict New COVID-19 Cases and Socio-Psychological Consequences of the Pandemic, Athens Journal of Mediterranean Studies, ISSN 2407-9480, Athens Institute for Education and Research, Athens, Vol. 7, Iss. forthcoming, https://www.athensjournals.gr/mediterranean/2021-4210-AJMS-Juric-05.pdf This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/235602 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available -
The Impact of China's Rise on Eu Foreign Policy Cohesion
THE IMPACT OF CHINA’S RISE ON EU FOREIGN POLICY COHESION By Dominik Hertlik Submitted to Central European University Department of International Relations In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts in International Relations Supervisor: Dr. Daniel Izsak CEU eTD Collection Budapest, Hungary Word count: 14.299 2020 Abstract China’s rise and the consequences resulting from it have an effect on countries around the world. Its increasingly close cooperation with countries in Central and Eastern Europe (as well as Greece) has led to numerous EU member states (EUMS) pursuing foreign policies that are oftentimes more aligned with the interests of the Chinese leadership than the overall EU’s interests and values. The Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) of the EU is susceptible to such interference as its decisions are based on unanimity. Building up on this, this thesis argues that even though previous literature suggests that normative socialisation processes within CFSP policymaking and the consequent primacy of consensus seeking during negotiations have made the use of vetoes virtually insignificant, due to the increasing political and economic influence of China on some EUMS the importance of vetoes is rising again. Benefits of maintaining amicable relations to China might appear so attractive to some EUMS that in the light of China’s rise they are once again more prone to vetoing certain EU-level decisions critical of Beijing. The benefits held out in prospect vary and can be mostly economic, but also of political or ideological use. Costs of vetoing (besides from the reputational loss) seem to be virtually non-existent. -
The Cost of Environmental Crime: Illegal Logging
REUTERS/Darren Whiteside THE COST OF ENVIRONMENTAL CRIME: ILLEGAL LOGGING By Brian Huerbsch The views and opinions expressed in this paper are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of Thomson Reuters. The Cost of Environmental Crime: Illegal Logging 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3 THE CURRENT SITUATION 4 LINKS TO FINANCING ORGANIZED CRIME AND TERRORISM 5 THE ENVIRONMENTAL AND HUMAN COST 6 CASE STUDY 1 – LARGE U.S. TIMBER IMPORTER AND THE LACEY ACT 7 CASE STUDY 2 – A TALE OF CORRUPTION AND ENVIRONMENTAL DESTRUCTION: POTENTATES AND MALAYSIAN TIMBER GIANTS 8 CASE STUDY 3 – A MULTINATIONAL BANK AND PEP INVOLVEMENT 8 RED FLAGS AND YOUR SUPPLY CHAIN 9 CONCLUSION 10 HOW THOMSON REUTERS CAN HELP 11 REFERENCES 12 Image 1 (On the cover): Police tape is seen on land recently burned and newly planted with palm trees and now under police investigation west of Palangkaraya, Central Kalimantan, Indonesia. The Cost of Environmental Crime: Illegal Logging 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Illegal logging poses real and significant regulatory risk for international financial institutions and corporations, especially those connected, either directly or indirectly, with the global timber industry, or that operate in areas where the industry is prevalent and important to the local economy. Considering the notable increase in regulatory activity over the past decade, the amount of enforcement actions given, and the ballooning size of fines over the past several years, it is clear that illegal logging is a crime that cannot -
Environmental Crime
ENVIRONMENTAL CRIME A threat to our future ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS CONTENTS This report was written by Debbie Banks, Charlotte Davies, Justin Gosling, Julian Newman, Mary Rice, Jago Wadley and Fionnuala Walravens. 1 INTRODUCTION Picture research by Ingvild Holm Edited by Mary Rice 2 ENVIRONMENTAL CRIME MATTERS EIA would like to express their gratitude to the Rufford Maurice Laing Foundation and CASE STUDIES: Sigrid Rausing Trust for their continued support. Designed by: 6 ILLEGAL LOGGING – PILLAGING THE WORLD’S www.design-solutions.me.uk Tel: 07789 041173 SHRINKING RAINFORESTS Many thanks to Emmerson Press for the printing of this report. (Emmerson Press: +44 (0) 1926 854400) 10 WILDLIFE CRIME - SKINNING THE CAT Printed on recycled paper October 2008 14 SMUGGLING OF OZONE-DEPLETING SUBSTANCES – A CRIME AGAINST NATURE ISBN: 0-9540768-5-0 Front cover images © iStock 18 IVORY – THE SINGAPORE SEIZURE 22 SUCCESSFUL ENFORCEMENT MODELS 24 WHAT NEEDS TO BE DONE? 24 RECOMMENDATIONS WHAT IS INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CRIME? ENVIRONMENTAL INVESTIGATION AGENCY (EIA) 62/63 Upper Street, London N1 0NY, UK For the purposes of this report, International Environmental Tel: +44 (0) 20 7354 7960 Crime can be defined across five broad areas of offences Fax: +44 (0) 20 7354 7961 which have been recognised by bodies such as the G8, Interpol, email: [email protected] EU, UN Environment programme and the UN Interregional www.eia-international.org Crime and Justice Research Institute. These are: 1. Illegal trade in wildlife in contravention to the 1973 Washington Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of fauna and Flora (CITES); 2. Illegal trade in ozone-depleting substances (ODS) in contravention to the 1987 Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer; 3. -
Evading the Net: Tax Crime in the Fisheries Sector
Evading the Net: Tax Crime in the Fisheries Sector Crime in the Fisheries Sector Evading the Net: Tax Evading the Net: The fisheries sector is a large and thriving industry within the global economy, with Tax Crime in the strategic importance for many developed and developing countries. Worldwide, the sector has an annual value in excess of USD 217.5 billion, and over 500 million people in developing countries depend, directly or indirectly, on fisheries and Fisheries Sector aquaculture for their livelihoods. This report looks at the issue of tax crime in the fisheries sector, including frauds over taxes on profit and earnings, customs duties, VAT and social security, with examples from real cases. These include crimes that rely on features characteristic of the fisheries sector, as well as those seen in other industries. The report discusses aspects of the sector that make it vulnerable to tax crime, including a lack of transparency and difficulty in obtaining beneficial ownership information resulting from the use of offshore companies and the practice of registering vessels under flags of convenience. Strategies used by tax administrations and other authorities to prevent, detect and investigate tax offences are outlined and the report makes recommendations for steps countries can take, alone or in co-operation, to combat these crimes. Table of Contents • Executive Summary • Introduction • How the fisheries sector works • Tax crime and other crime in the fisheries sector • Combating tax crime in the fisheries sector • Conclusions and recommendations • Annex: Outline of common documentation Evading the Net: Tax Crime in the Fisheries Sector ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT The OECD is a unique forum where governments work together to address the economic, social and environmental challenges of globalisation. -
CCJ 5934 / SYA 7933: Crime and the Environment with Jessica Kahler
CCJ 5934/ SYA 7933 CRIME AND THE ENVIRONMENT SPRING 2020 The syllabus and all revisions will be posted to Canvas INSTRUCTOR: Dr. Jessica Kahler ([email protected]) Assistant Professor Department of Sociology and Criminology & Law Turlington Hall 3346 - P.O. Box 117330 Gainesville, FL 32611 University of Florida OFFICE HOURS: Tuesdays 3:00 pm- 5:00pm, or by appointment Turlington Hall: 3346; phone: (352) 294-6910 CREDIT HOURS: 3 CLASS TIME: Tuesdays Period 3-5 (9:35 am – 12:35 pm) in Normal Hall 1-212 COURSE DESCRIPTION: This class will explore the theoretical and methodological approaches from the emerging subfields of conservation and green criminology, examine theories of environmental crime causation, and contemporary applications of crime prevention and control techniques within the context of environmental crime. We will use a variety of case studies from Florida to the forests of Africa and markets of Southeast Asia, to build an awareness of current theories and methods as well as identify gaps in knowledge. The class will engage in current debates such as the relationship between legal and illegal natural resource markets and the “militarization of conservation.” This course has multiple goals. First, the course seeks to expose graduate students to a variety of contemporary, peer-reviewed literature within conservation and green criminology providing a foundation to understand theoretical and methodological advances and gaps. Second, the course will provide opportunities to practice formulating written, comprehensive exam-style responses as well as lead discussions relevant to contemporary debates, theories and methods in the field. And third, the course will provide an opportunity for collaborative writing and expose graduate students to the process associated with peer-reviewed publication. -
Environmental Crime Comes of Age: the Evolution of Criminal Enforcement in the Environmental Regulatory Scheme David M
University of Michigan Law School University of Michigan Law School Scholarship Repository Articles Faculty Scholarship 2009 Environmental Crime Comes of Age: The Evolution of Criminal Enforcement in the Environmental Regulatory Scheme David M. Uhlmann University of Michigan Law School, [email protected] Available at: https://repository.law.umich.edu/articles/787 Follow this and additional works at: https://repository.law.umich.edu/articles Part of the Business Organizations Law Commons, Criminal Law Commons, and the Environmental Law Commons Recommended Citation Uhlmann, David M. "Environmental Crime Comes of Age: The vE olution of Criminal Enforcement in the Environmental Regulatory Scheme." Utah L. Rev. 2009, no. 4 (2009): 1223-52. This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Faculty Scholarship at University of Michigan Law School Scholarship Repository. It has been accepted for inclusion in Articles by an authorized administrator of University of Michigan Law School Scholarship Repository. For more information, please contact [email protected]. ENVIRONMENTAL CRIME COMES OF AGE: THE EVOLUTION OF CRIMINAL ENFORCEMENT IN THE ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATORY SCHEME David M. Uhlmann* I. INTRODUCTION The Rivers and Harbors Act of 1899 often is considered the first environmental criminal statute because it contains strict liability provisions that make it a misdemeanor to discharge refuse into navigable waters of the United States without a permit.' When Congress passed the Rivers and Harbors Act, however, it was far more concerned with preventing interference with interstate commerce than environmental protection. For practical purposes, the environmental crimes program in the United States dates to the development of the modem environmental regulatory system during the 1970s, and amendments to the environmental laws during the 1980s, which upgraded criminal violations of the environmental laws from misdemeanors to felonies.2 © 2009 David M. -
Partner's Current Practices for the Environmental
IO1_A1: Partner’s current practices for the environmental security sector Main Author: Ioan Vasile Abrudan Contributing Authors: Florin Ioras This project has been funded with support from the European Commission. This communication reflects the views only of the author, and the Commission cannot be held responsible for any use which may be made of the information contained therein. Table of Contents 1. Environment and climate change .......................................................................................... 3 1.1 EU Environment Policies .............................................................................................. 3 1.1.1 To improve environmental integration and policy coherence. ..................................................................... 3 1.1.2 Sustainable Development ............................................................................................................................. 4 1.2 Sustainable consumption and production policies .......................................................... 4 1.2.1 Eco-management and Audit Scheme (EMAS) ............................................................................................. 4 1.2.2 Ecolabelling and energy labelling ................................................................................................................ 4 1.2.3 Eco-design .................................................................................................................................................... 5 1.2.4 Green Public Procurement (GPP)