Unemployment Claimant Count Update for May 2021
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City of Bradford Metropolitan District Council Intelligence Bulletin Understanding Bradford District: Unemployment Claimant Count monthly update for May 2021 (Please note: the April 2021 figures released in May 2021 have been revised and finalised in this month’s release by the Office for National Statistics, and therefore differ slightly from those in last month’s bulletin) Date: 18 June 2021 District Headlines • The May 2021 unemployment-related claimant count rate for the District is 9.3%. This is the same level as at the end of last year and a fall from the 9.7% of the past few months. It was 9.3% at the end of 2020 and 5.2% in March 2020 before the impact of the pandemic - a 4.1 percentage point increase since March 2020. • The claimant count number is 30,925. This is over 1,000 less than last month; 125 higher than December 2020, although 13,835 more than in March 2020, an 81.0% increase in total. • Bradford West has the highest 16-64 years unemployment-related claimant rate at 12.4% and Shipley the lowest at 4.9%. • In terms of all local authorities in the UK, Bradford District has the 15th highest rate in the country; excluding the London Boroughs, the 7th. In terms of cities - the 3rd after Birmingham and Wolverhampton. The district rate is significantly above the UK rate of 6.0%. • The 18-24 year old claimant count rate is particularly high at 14.2%. It was 7.8% in March 2020, a 6.4 percentage point increase. The May 2021 number is 6,545; 285 claimants lower than April 2021. The number of 18-24 years claimants increased substantially during the first lockdown of the pandemic and continued to increase gradually last year to a peak in March 2021 of 6,930. The May 2021 number takes the level close to that of May/June 2020. In total 18-24 years claimant numbers have increased by 2,945 since March 2020, this is a 81.8% increase. • Bradford East has the highest 18-24 years claimant rate at 17.6% and Shipley the lowest at 9.6%. • In terms of all local authorities in the UK, Bradford District has the 7th highest 18-24 years rate in the country. In terms of cities - the 2nd after Wolverhampton. It is significantly above the UK rate of 8.2% and some Bradford wards have the highest rates in the country. Bradford District 16-64 years claimant rate Claimants as proportion of 16-64 years residents: Bradford District (%) • The May 2021 Bradford District 12.0 unemployment-related claimant rate 9.7 (percentage of 16-64 year old residents) is 10.0 9.3 9.3 9.3%. This is the same level as at the end of 9.0 last year and a fall from the 9.7% of the 8.0 past few months. It is a 4.1 percentage point increase since March 2020, when it 6.0 5.2 was 5.2%. • In terms of all local authorities in the UK, 4.0 Bradford District has the 15th highest rate in the country; excluding the London 2.0 Boroughs, the 7th. In terms of cities - the 3rd after Birmingham and Wolverhampton. The 0.0 district rate is significantly above the UK rate of 6.0%. West Yorkshire 16-64 years claimant rates Claimants as proportion of residents aged 16-64 (%) January 20 - May 21 • The Bradford District unemployment- 12.0 related claimant rate at 9.3% is the highest in West Yorkshire, which has 10.0 an average rate of 7.1% in May 2021. It is significantly above the rate for 8.0 the Leeds City Region (6.4%) and for 6.0 the UK (6.0%). • At 4.1, the District has experienced 4.0 the highest percentage point increase in West Yorkshire since March 2020. 2.0 The average for West Yorkshire is a 0.0 3.2 percentage point increase. Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Bradford Calderdale Kirklees Leeds Wakefield during the most recent lockdown. The fall between April and May 2021 nearly compensates for this rise. this for compensates 2021 nearly May and April between fall The lockdown. recent most the during year this earlier increase asignificant was there of 2020,although spring in the were increases highest the rate, claimant thein change of monthly the terms In of 81.0%. 13,835, a rise by increased have numbers 2020claimant March Since rate and numbers claimant District Bradford 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 5,000 0 Jan-20 Feb-20 17,090 Mar-20 District Bradford numbers: Count Claimant Apr-20 29,865 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 30,800 Dec-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 31,995 Apr-21 30,925 May-21 -0.5 0.5 1.5 2.5 -1 0 1 2 Jul-Aug 19 Claimant Aug-Sep 19 Sep-Oct 19 Oct-Nov 19 rate rate Nov-Dec 19 - Dec-Jan 20 - monthly increase monthly % point monthly monthly % point Jan-Feb 20 Feb-Mar 20 Mar-Apr Apr-May May-Jun 20 Jun-Jul 20 change: Jul-Aug 20 Aug-Sep 20 Bradford District Bradford Sep-Oct 20 Oct-Nov 20 Nov-Dec 20 Dec-Jan 21 Jan-Feb 21 Feb-Mar 21 Ma-Apr 21 Apr-May21 Ward claimant rate Claimant rates range from 17.1% in Manningham to 2.1% in Wharfedale, both lower than for April 2021. The rates in the Bradford inner city wards are amongst the highest rates in the UK. % Manningham 17.1 Little Horton 15.8 Bowling and Barkerend 15.1 Bradford Moor 14.3 City 13.8 Great Horton 13.7 Toller 12.6 Tong 11.4 Heaton 11.3 Keighley Central 10.9 Eccleshill 10.5 Bolton and Undercliffe 9.4 Royds 9.1 Clayton and Fairweather Green 8.9 Thornton and Allerton 8.9 Wibsey 8.6 Windhill and Wrose 8.0 Keighley West 7.9 Wyke 7.7 Keighley East 6.2 Shipley 6.0 Queensbury 5.4 Idle and Thackley 4.8 Baildon 4.4 Bingley Rural 4.4 Bingley 3.8 Worth Valley 3.3 Craven 2.8 Ilkley 2.7 Wharfedale 2.1 Ward claimant rate percentage point increase March 2020 - May 2021 Some of the highest increases have been in the wards not affected by highest unemployment levels pre-COVID, for example Toller & Heaton. Toller has seen an increase in it’s 16-64 years claimant rate from 6.1% to 12.6%. PP inc. Manningham 7.5 Bradford Moor 7.4 Little Horton 7.0 Great Horton 6.6 Toller 6.5 Bowling and Barkerend 6.2 City 5.8 Heaton 5.7 Tong 4.6 Keighley Central 4.3 Eccleshill 4.3 Bolton and Undercliffe 4.2 Clayton and Fairweather Green 4.2 Thornton and Allerton 3.9 Royds 3.7 Wibsey 3.6 Wyke 3.2 Keighley West 3.0 Windhill and Wrose 3.0 Shipley 2.7 Queensbury 2.5 Keighley East 2.5 Baildon 2.4 Idle and Thackley 2.4 Bingley Rural 2.2 Worth Valley 1.8 Bingley 1.7 Ilkley 1.6 Wharfedale 1.3 Craven 1.3 Ward claimant numbers May 2021 nos. City 2,565 Manningham 2,210 Little Horton 2,200 Bowling and Barkerend 2,095 Bradford Moor 1,880 Toller 1,620 Great Horton 1,585 Tong 1,575 Heaton 1,275 Eccleshill 1,240 Keighley Central 1,210 Bolton and Undercliffe 990 Royds 970 Thornton and Allerton 965 Clayton and Fairweather Green 925 Keighley West 805 Windhill and Wrose 800 Wibsey 775 Wyke 715 Keighley East 625 Shipley 605 Queensbury 580 Idle and Thackley 510 Bingley Rural 480 Bingley 415 Baildon 380 Worth Valley 295 Craven 270 Ilkley 220 Wharfedale 140 month has seen a fall in most wards. Bradford Moor, City and Toller are continuing to be the hardest hit by the pandemic. pandemic. theby hit hardest thebe to continuing are Toller City and Moor, Bradford wards. most in a fall seen has month in2020. lockdown first the during came 2020 March number claimant change Ward 1100 1300 -100 100 300 500 700 900 City Bradford Moor Little Horton Manningham Bowling and Barkerend Toller Great Horton Claimant number change March 2020 2020 March change number Claimant Heaton Tong Following the most recent lockdown many wards experienced an increase, but this but an increase, experienced wards many lockdown recent most the Following Eccleshill Keighley Central Clayton and Fairweather Green Bolton and Undercliffe Thornton and Allerton – Royds - May 2021 2021 May May 2021 : Bradford District wards District Bradford : 2021 May Wibsey Keighley West Windhill and Wrose Wyke count claimant the in increase of the Most Shipley Queensbury Idle and Thackley Keighley East Bingley Rural Baildon Bingley Jan-May21 Jun-Dec20 Mar-May20 Mar20-May21 Worth Valley Ilkley Craven Wharfedale Bradford District 18-24 years claimant numbers 18-24 years claimant count numbers: Bradford District • The number of 18-24 years claimants for 8,000 7,000 6,700 May 2021 is 6,545. This is 285 claimants 6,430 6,545 lower than April 2021. The number of 18- 24 years claimants increased significantly 6,000 during the first lockdown of the 5,000 pandemic and continued to increase 4,000 gradually last year to a peak in March 3,600 2021 of 6,930. The May 2021 number 3,000 takes the level close to that of spring of 2,000 2020.