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Conference Program Book CONFERENCE PROGRAM August 27–30, 2017 Clearwater Resort Suquamish, Washington SSAFR 2017 The OECD Co-operative Research Programme: Biological Resource Management for Sustainable Agricultural Systems Disclaimer: The opinions expressed and arguments employed in this publication are the sole responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the OECD or of the governments of its Member countries. The Symposium was sponsored by the OECD Co-operative Research Programme on Biological Resource Management for Sustainable Agricultural Systems, whose financial support made it possible for some of the invited speakers to participate in the Symposium. WELCOME WELCOME I am honored to welcome you to the beautiful Pacific Northwest for the 17th Symposium for Systems Analysis in Forest Resources. As the conference chair and on behalf of our sponsors, I would like to thank you for choosing our Symposium to be your late summer destination for professional exchange. We are proud to have over 100 participants from 23 countries. Every continent is represented except Antarctica! We are scheduled to have 5 keynote and 89 standard presentations arranged in 4 parallel sessions, plus a field trip to the Olympic Peninsula. Our special purpose with this Symposium is to connect remote sensing scientists with operations researchers where their respective research could complement and inform the other in a meaningful way. Forest and natural resources are under increasing pressure to provide a variety of services, some of which are in conflict. Operations research tools can optimize Sándor Tóth the join production of these services but the models are just as good as the Symposium Chair descriptive and predictive data that parameterize them. Can we benefit Precision Forestry Cooperative from learning about the questions the two groups investigate, the respective School of Environmental & assumptions they make and the techniques they employ? I believe we can. Forest Sciences Lastly, I would like to extend our special thanks to our sponsors, the Organisation University of Washington for Economic Cooperation & Development Co-operative Research Programme on Biological Resource Management for Sustainable Agricultural Systems, the European Union’s H2020 Research and Innovation Programme (SuFoRun), the Washington State of Department of Natural Resources and the US Bureau of Land Management. Finally, many thanks to the Scientific Committee for the abstract evaluations, we appreciate your work which shaped the wide-ranging and engaging scientific program at this meeting. We all look forward to seeing you and your work in Suquamish! It is my pleasure to welcome you all on behalf of the University of Washington’s School of Environmental and Forest Sciences and the Precision Forestry Cooperative. We are happy you can join us here in this place naturally striking and resource rich, at a time when revolutionary changes in geospatial technology, including remote sensing and geoinformatics are at the forefront of sustainable decision making. From daily high-resolution views of our world to unmanned aerial systems-based three dimensional models of our landscapes, and temporal snapshots of the globe going back decades we are data rich. Yet, we often lack the ability to extract optimal information from these data to parameterize our models and optimize forest and natural resource services. An L. Monika Moskal opportunity presents itself in front of us to address this issue by drawing on the Director, Precision Forestry best toolsets from our respective disciplines. Similarly, to the abundance of the Cooperative data we can now work with, we came to this meeting with diverse knowledge School of Environmental & and infinite ideas that will hopefully ignite purposeful and exciting collaborations Forest Sciences for many years to come. We wish you a productive meeting and look forward to University of Washington interacting with you and listening to your ideas. SSAFR 2017 | August 27-30, 2017 1 PROGRAM OVERVIEW SUNDAY, AUGUST 27 09:00–17:30 Olympic Peninsula Field Trip (Lunch on your own at Timberhouse Restaurant, Quilcene) 19:00–20:30 Registration and Welcome Reception MONDAY, AUGUST 28 TUESDAY, AUGUST 28 07:00 Registration | Continental Breakfast 07:45 Continental Breakfast 08:00 Welcome and Opening Remarks 08:40 Keynote: Woodam Chung 08:15 Andras Szekacs, OECD-CRP 09:40 Sessions 08:40 Keynote: Greg Arthaud 10:20 Coffee Break 09:40 Sessions 10:50 Sessions 10:20 Coffee Break 12:10 Lunch 10:50 Sessions 13:20 Keynote: Jordi Garcia Gonzalo & 12:10 Lunch Jose G. Borges 13:20 Sessions 14:20 Sessions 14:40 Coffee Break 15:40 Coffee Break 15:10 Keynote: Nicholas Coops 16:10 Keynote: Austin Phillips 16:00 Business Meetings 18:00 Pre-Banquet Social Hour Evening On your own 19:00 SSAFR 2017 Banquet WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 30 07:45 Continental Breakfast 08:40 Sessions 10:00 Coffee Break 10:30 Sessions 11:50 Closing Session / Lessons Learned 12:30 Box Lunches SSAFR 2017 | August 27-30, 2017 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS Welcome . 1. Program Overview . .2 General Information . 4. Schedule-at-a-Glance Sunday & Monday . 5. Tuesday . 6 Wednesday . .7 Keynote Speakers Greg Arthaud . 8 Nicholas Coops . 8 Woodam Chung . 9. Jordi Garcia-Gonzalo . 1. 0 José G. Borges . 11. Austin Phillips . .12 Scientific Committee . .13 Organizing Committee . .13 Keynote Abstracts . 14–17 Abstracts Monday . 18–42 Tuesday . 43–75 Wednesday . 76–93 List of Participants . 94–96 Conference Quesionnaire (please complete) . bac. k of book Venue Map . outside. back cover SSAFR 2017 | August 27-30, 2017 3 GENERAL INFORMATION SSAFR Meeting Rooms General sessions, breakouts, and refreshment breaks will take place in the Clearwater Tower building. Meeting rooms are located on the 4th floor. Lunches will take place in the lower Clearwater Resort building. SSAFR Registration Desk Please check in at the SSAFR Registration Desk. Staff are available to provide general information and to assist all symposium participants. Name Badges Please wear your name badge at all times. It is your ticket to sessions, meals, and breaks. Continental Breakfast Continental breakfast will be offered on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. The continental breakfast buffet station will be set up in in the Canoe Foyer, outside of the meeting rooms. Lunch Buffets Buffet lunches will be served on Monday and Tuesday. Box lunches will be served on Wednesday. The Monday and Tuesday lunch buffet station will be set up near the Resort Lobby and seating will be outside on the event lawn (weather permitting). The Resort building is a short walk from the meeting space. Please refer to the map on the back cover of this program book. In the event of rain, lunch will be served inside the Kitsap Room. Sunday Evening Reception Sunday, August 27 Canoe Foyer, 4th Floor of Clearwater Tower 19:00–20:30 p.m. Please join us for complimentary appetizers and an enjoyable evening to network with your friends and colleagues. Business Meetings Monday, August 28 16:00–17:00 SSAFR Business Meeting: Deer B Room SuFoRun Business Meeting: Deer A Room Precision Forestry Coop Business Meeting: Salmon Room SSAFR Banquet Tuesday, August 29 18:00-19:00 Social Hour 19:00-21:00 Banquet Dinner The SSAFR 2017 banquet will be held on the event lawn of the Clearwater Resort. Tickets were included with your registration materials. If you purchased a guest banquet ticket, it was also included. SSAFR 2017 | August 27-30, 2017 4 SUNDAY SCHEDULE AT A GLANCE 09:00–17:30 SUNDAY FIELD TRIP Olympic Peninsula 19:00–20:30 REGISTRATION & WELCOME RECEPTION Canoe Foyer - Level 4 of Tower MONDAY SCHEDULE AT A GLANCE 07:00–07:50 CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST 08:00–8:35 OPENING SESSION Whale Room Welcome / Opening Remarks – Sándor F. Tóth, Symposium Chair Organisation for Economic Co-operation & Development Co-operative Research Program (OECD-CRP) – Andras Szekacs 08:40–9:30 KEYNOTE SESSION 1 GREG ARTHAUD Whale Room 09:40–10:20 BREAKOUT SESSIONS 1 Deer B Room Whale Room Salmon Room 1B. Modeling Uncertainty, 1C. Forest Sector Modeling, 1D. Remote Sensing I Hazard & Risk I Forest Economics & Policy Session Chair: Nick Coops Session Chair: Alan Murray Session Chair: Adriana Piazza 1. Monique Guignard-Spielberg 1. Adriana Piazza 1. Andrew T. Hudak 2. Alan Murray 2. Vesa-Pekka Parkatti 2. Chris Mulverhill 10:20–10:50 COFFEE BREAK 10:50–12:10 BREAKOUT SESSIONS 2 Deer B Room Whale Room Salmon Room 2B. Modeling Uncertainty, 2C. Forest Supply Chain 2D. Remote Sensing II Hazard & Risk II Modeling I Session Chair: Nick Coops Session Chair: Alan Murray Session Chair: G. Paradis 1. Jan Kašpar 1. Gregory Paradis 1. Douglas K. Bolton 2. David Martell 2. Taraneh Sowlati 2. Piotr Tompalski 3. Sushil Nepal 3. Mustapha Ouhimmou 3. Tristan Goodbody 4. Teodora Minkova 4. Christoph Kogler 4. Joseph Rakofsky 12:10–13:20 LUNCH 13:20–14:40 BREAKOUT SESSIONS 3 Deer A Room Deer B Room Whale Room Salmon Room 3A. Forest Supply Chain 3B. Modeling Uncertainty, 3C. Continuous Cover 3D. Remote Sensing III Modeling II Hazard & Risk III Forestry Session Chair: L. Monika Session Chair: D. Fjeld Session Chair: Jordi Garcia- Session Chair: Peter Moskal Gonzalo Lohmander 1. Christian Kanzian 1. Rasoul Yousefpour 1. Olli Tahvonen 1.Przemyslaw Tymkow 2. Dag Fjeld 2. Jordi Garcia-Gonzalo 2. Peter Lohmander 2. Caileigh Shoot 3. Dag Fjeld 3. Andrés Weintraub 3. Peter Lohmander 3. Meghan Halabisky 4. Seung-Yeon Byun 4. Alan Ager 4. L. Monika Moskal 14:40–15:10 COFFEE BREAK 15:10–16:00 KEYNOTE SESSION 2 NICHOLAS COOPS Whale Room 16:00–17:00 BUSINESS MEETINGS SSAFR Business Meeting: Deer B | SuFoRun Business Meeting: Deer A Precision Forestry Coop Business Meeting: Salmon Room SSAFR 2017 | August 27-30, 2017 5 TUESDAY SCHEDULE AT A GLANCE 7:45–8:30 CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST 8:40–9:30 KEYNOTE SESSION 3 WOODAM CHUNG Whale Room 9:40–10:20 BREAKOUT SESSIONS 4 Deer B Room Whale Room Salmon Room 4B.
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