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2-4 Ivanov Presentation

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2-4 Ivanov Presentation Russia and Cooperation with the APR States in the Field of Energy Share of Regional Trade in Russia’s and RFE Foreign Trade (% of the overall trade balance) Russia Russian Far East 29,8 17,1 6,8 1,9 5,6 18,7 34,4 85,7 APEC CIS European Union Other states Labor PRC, DPRK Technology, Natural capital resources Japan, ROK, CIS, ASEAN Russia, Mongolia, Australia Nikolaevsk -na- Motorways Amure Komsomolsk-na- Amure Lidoga Vanino Chita Khabarovsk Japan Nakhodka Vladivostok DPRK 136 thud 18,8 thud 45 thud 1981 1998 2003 St Petersburg Moscow Khabarovsk Vladivostok Gas Oil 1,5 23,9 25,8 4,6 0,7 51,5 52,3 0,3 24,6 17,3 2,1 Eastern Europe China Western Europe South Korea CIS Japan Asia Others FavorableFavorable ConditionsConditions forfor GrowthGrowth inin RussianRussian HydrocarbonHydrocarbon ExportsExports GrowthGrowth inin AsianAsian oiloil consumptionconsumption levelslevels toto 35%35% betweenbetween 20002000 andand 20102010 StabilizationStabilization oror decreasedecrease inin oiloil productionproduction inin AsiaAsia DecreaseDecrease ofof interinterinter-regional--regionalregional oiloil suppliessupplies fromfrom 4242 toto 272727-30%--30%30% GreaterGreater rolerole ofof thethe MiddleMiddle East,East, fromfrom 5050 toto 65%65% StrongerStronger monopolymonopoly rolerole ofof MiddleMiddle EastEast statesstates andand moremore stressstress onon energyenergy securitysecurity forfor thethe importingimporting statesstates FavorableFavorable ConditionsConditions forfor GrowthGrowth RussianRussian HydrocarbonHydrocarbon ExportsExports toto NEANEA Greater oil consumption rates in Asia Pacific –growing monopoly role of the Middle East states – energy security issues for importing states NEA states becoming net importers Need to diversify oil and gas import markets Common interests of Russia and NEA – the infrastructure for cooperation Russian Far East Energy Resources Oil Natural gas Over 8 bn t 40 trln cubic meters Coal 20 bn t Sakhalin Oil and Gas Complex Oil Gas recovery production annually annually 45-50 45 mln t 45 bn t RFE Prospective Oil and Gas Areas (outside Sakhalin) Oil 4 bln MT Natural Gas 19 trln CUM Oil reserves at 1,153 mn t Through capacity at 80 mn t Length 4,000 km Construction time terms 3.5 years Taishet Tynda Angarsk Komsomolsk- na-Amure Chita Khabarovsk Nakhodka Yurubcheno- Tokhomskoye Vilyujskoye Sobinskoye Yakutsk Chayandinskoye Krasnoyarsk Kansk Tynda Komsomolsk- Achinsk Kovyktinskoye Okha Chita na-Amure Skovorodino Val Khabarovsk Sakhalin-1 Ulan-Ude Sakhalin-2 Irkutsk Harbin Yuzhno- Sakhalinsk Shengyang Vladivostok Ulan-Bator Dalian Pyongyang Seoul Okha Okhotsk Sea Pacific Ocean Sakhalin – Komsomolsk- Boatasino na-Amure – Khabarovsk Lazarev – Vladivostok Sakhalin island Gas Pipeline Solnechny De-Kastri Khurba Komsomolsk-na-Amure Amursk Elban Khabarovsk Japan Legend Luchegorsk Operating China Sea of Japan gas pipeline Gas pipeline under construction Vladivostok Designed gas pipeline PDRK 25 15-18 Incentives for Cooperation Realistic projects Cross-border trade Energy bridge between Vostok United Power Systems and the Korean peninsula (in 2004 a feasibility study will be conducted for TLs) Energy bridge between Sakhalin and Japan (feasibility study is being prepared by Sumitomo of Japan, the project design proposals were drafted by United Energy Systems of Russia in 2000) Diversified electric power network along all the RFE borders Forming the inter-system transit of TLs for 500 kV Russia and Cooperation with the APR States in the Field of Energy .
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