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Traffic Density Impact Assessment and Modelling

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Traffic Density Impact Assessment and Modelling TRAFFIC DENSITY IMPACT ASSESSMENT AND MODELLING STUDY FOR DEVELOPMENT OF GREENFIELD ‘JEWAR INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT’ PHASE I & II, GAUTAM BUDHH NAGAR DISTRICT, UTTAR PRADESH 7.1 TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT Connectivity of the airport to its catchment districts is necessary prerequisite for the seamless movement of the traffic at the airport. Airport development at Jewar is expected to contribute significantly to the road traffic on the roads connecting airport’s hinterland to the airport. Based on the estimated passenger traffic at the Jewar International Airport a detailed analysis has been carried out to estimate the traffic flow on the roads connecting airport to its catchment districts. Entire hinterland of the airport, consisting of more than 40 districts, broadly in 6 states of Delhi, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Uttarakhand and Punjab have been divided into the radial zones based on their directional location from the location of the airport. Districts has been clustered into the serval zones based on which the connectivity assessment and PCU (Passenger Car Units) traffic -peak hour traffic, average daily traffic and annual traffic-has been carried out. For estimating the passenger car units the PCU occupancy has been considered as 1.25 and 1.15 for the domestic and international passenger respectively. Radial clustering of the catchment districts of the Jewar airport for the traffic movement on the roads connecting airport to the hinterland districts: North Zone: Sahranpur, Muzaffarnagar, Baghpat, Meerut, Ghaziabad, Gautam Buddh Nagar, Haridwar, Karnal North East Zone: Amroha, Bijnor East Zone: Bulandshahar, Rampur, Moradabad, Baduan and Bareilley South East: Aligarh, Kanshiram Nagar, Etah and Hathras South Zone: Mahura, Agra and Bharatpur South West: Mewat and Alwar West Zone: Mahindergarh, Rawari, Gurgaon, Faridabad, Jhunjhunu and Sikar North West Zone: Kaithal, Jind, Hisar, Bhiwani, Rohtak, Panipat, Sonipat, Jhajjar, NCT of Delhi and extended regions of Punjab PAGE 1 TRAFFIC DENSITY IMPACT ASSESSMENT AND MODELLING STUDY FOR DEVELOPMENT OF GREENFIELD ‘JEWAR INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT’ PHASE I & II, GAUTAM BUDHH NAGAR DISTRICT, UTTAR PRADESH Figure 7.2: Clustering of the Jewar airport’s Hinterland districts into the radial zones Based on the PCU traffic analysis it is expected that the total annual two way PCU on the Yamuna Expressway is expected to be 4.06 million, 30.59 million and 73.50 million in year 2022-23, 2035-36 and 2048-49 respectively as elucidate in the below table. PAGE 2 TRAFFIC DENSITY IMPACT ASSESSMENT AND MODELLING STUDY FOR DEVELOPMENT OF GREENFIELD ‘JEWAR INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT’ PHASE I & II, GAUTAM BUDHH NAGAR DISTRICT, UTTAR PRADESH Table Error! No text of specified style in document.-1: Annual Traffic on the Roads (million PCUs) Traffic from Zone 2022 to 2025 to 2030 to 2035 to 2040 to 2045 to 2048 to (inbound & 2023 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2049 outbound) East 0.06 0.08 0.20 0.28 0.36 0.44 0.48 North 2.31 3.47 7.39 10.60 13.24 15.77 17.33 North East 0.04 0.05 0.09 0.12 0.14 0.17 0.18 North West 0.00 0.17 4.45 12.88 24.54 36.64 44.48 South 1.44 1.95 3.50 4.56 5.61 6.62 7.21 South East 0.22 0.30 0.53 0.67 0.80 0.92 0.99 South West 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 West 0.00 0.08 0.88 1.48 1.98 2.48 2.80 Total (million PCU) 4.06 6.09 17.04 30.59 46.69 63.06 73.50 Average daily two way traffic is estimated to be 11.12 thousands, 83.82 thousands and 201.38 thousands in the year 2022-23, 2035-36 and 2048-49 respectively. Table Error! No text of specified style in document.-2: Average twoway daily traffic ('000 PCUs) 2022 to 2025 to 2030 to 2035 to 2040 to 2045 to 2048 to Year 2023 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2049 PCU ('000 11.12 16.69 46.68 83.82 127.92 163.78 201.38 PCU) The direction of the inbound and outbound traffic movement from the radial zones are shown in the below figure Figure 7.3: Movement of Inbound and Outbound Traffic from the different radial zone on Yamuna Expressway PAGE 3 TRAFFIC DENSITY IMPACT ASSESSMENT AND MODELLING STUDY FOR DEVELOPMENT OF GREENFIELD ‘JEWAR INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT’ PHASE I & II, GAUTAM BUDHH NAGAR DISTRICT, UTTAR PRADESH On the basis of the peak hour passenger traffic at the Jewar airport the peak hour traffic (PCU) contribution on the roads connecting airport and the hinterland districts is expected to be 882, 5728 and 11041 in the year 2022- 23, 2035-36 and 2045-46 respectively as shown in the below table. Table 7.4: Peak hour passenger traffic (PCUs) Traffic from Zone (inbound 2022 to 2025 to 2030 to 2035 to 2040 to 2045 to 2048 to & outbound) 2023 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2049 East 12 27 63 102 153 205 231 North 502 1063 1396 1888 2242 2625 2785 North East 8 17 42 75 119 163 185 North West 0 55 851 2283 4077 5917 6901 South 313 598 675 844 1005 1181 1250 South East 47 93 124 170 225 282 308 South West 0 2 26 56 98 140 162 West 0 27 188 311 417 528 581 Table 7.5: Total Peak hour traffic (PCUs) 2022 to 2025 to 2030 to 2035 to 2040 to 2045 to 2048 to Year 2023 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2049 PCU 882 1884 3366 5728 8337 11041 12403 Based on the cargo traffic projections at the Jewar airport, truck movement analysis in the vicinity of the airport carrying inbound and outbound cargo to/from the hinterland has been carried out. Standard truck for the analysis is taken as Type-2 truck 1(as shown in the figure below) having the maximum gross capacity of 16.2 MT. Annual truck movement is expected to be 32.4 thousand, 108.3 thousands and 216.2 thousands in the year 2022-23, 2035-36 and 2048-49 respectively. Similarly, average daily truck movement is expected to be 89, 212, 397 and 592 in the year 2022-23, 2030-32, 2040-41 and 2048-49 respectively. Figure 7.4: Standard Truck (Type-2; FA-Single tyre and RA-Dual tyre) Type 2 Standard Truck (Front Axel-Single Tyre; Rear Axle- Dual Tyre) Maximum Permissible Gross Weight (MT)-16.2 MT Table Error! No text of specified style in document.-3: Annual Standard Truck Movement (‘000 nos) 1 Indian Road Congress-3-1983-Road Design Vehicle PAGE 4 TRAFFIC DENSITY IMPACT ASSESSMENT AND MODELLING STUDY FOR DEVELOPMENT OF GREENFIELD ‘JEWAR INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT’ PHASE I & II, GAUTAM BUDHH NAGAR DISTRICT, UTTAR PRADESH Year 2022-23 2025-26 2030-31 2035-36 2040-41 2045-46 2048-49 Annual Truck Movement on 32.4 47.9 77.2 108.3 145.0 187.9 216.2 Yamuna Expressway(nos) Table Error! No text of specified style in document.-4: Average Daily Standard Truck Movement (nos) Year 2022-23 2025-26 2030-31 2035-36 2040-41 2045-46 2048-49 Average Daily Standard Truck Movement on 89 131 212 297 397 515 592 Yamuna Expressway (nos) Last mile major road connectivity to/from all the catchment districts of the Jewar Airport is expected to be catered by Yamua Expressway (two way traffic from the northwards or southwards from the Jewar of airport) based on the radial zone in which the catchment district is located. Yamuna expressway will receive traffic from the catchment districts from the roads connecting the catchment districts to the Yamuna Expressway. Eastern Peripheral Expressway, Yamuna expressway and Palwal-Khurja are some of the major roads which is expected to contribute to the traffic from the catchment districts to the Yamuna Expressway. Based on the directional location and radial zone in which the district is located Jewar airport will receive the traffic either from the southwards or northwards direction of the Yamuna Expressway with respect to the Jewar airport. The existing road network, which is cable enough to cater the plying traffic after development of Jewar Airport is furnished in the following section. Table Error! No text of specified style in document.-5: Roads connectivity for different zones to the airport Road Connecting Yamuna Zone Last Mile Major Road Connectivity Expressway North Yamuna Expressway [North to South movement (of the Eastern Peripheral Jewar airport) carriageway for inbound and vice versa for Expressway outbound movement] North East Yamuna Expressway [South to North movement (of the Eastern Peripheral Jewar airport) carriageway for inbound and vice versa for Expressway outbound movement] East Yamuna Expressway [North to South movement (of the Palwal Khurja Expressway Jewar Airport) carriageway for inbound and vice versa for outbound movement PAGE 5 TRAFFIC DENSITY IMPACT ASSESSMENT AND MODELLING STUDY FOR DEVELOPMENT OF GREENFIELD ‘JEWAR INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT’ PHASE I & II, GAUTAM BUDHH NAGAR DISTRICT, UTTAR PRADESH Road Connecting Yamuna Zone Last Mile Major Road Connectivity Expressway South East Yamuna Expressway [South to North movement (of the Yamuna Expressway Jewar airport) carriageway for inbound and vice versa for outbound movement] South Yamuna Expressway [South to North movement (of the Yamuna Expressway Jewar Airport) carriageway for inbound and vice versa for out bound movement] South West Yamuna Expressway [South to North movement (of the Palwal Khurja Expressway Jewar Airport) carriageway for inbound and vice versa for outbound movement] West Yamuna Expressway [South to North movement (of the Palwal Khurja Expressway Jewar Airport) carriageway for inbound and vice versa for outbound movement] North West Yamuna Expressway [North to South movement (of the Eastern Peripheral Jewar Airport) carriageway for inbound and vice versa for Expressway outbound movement] Figure 7.5: Road Connectivity forJewar Airport PAGE 6 .
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