INTRODUCTION LLIANCE with Britain had never been popular in France A under the Regency, and the defeat of in 1719 offered the French government an opportunity of developing a policy more agreeable to their own feelings and more consonant with popular sentiment. Orleans and Dubois, therefore, at the close of 1720, entered upon negotiations with Spain for a defensive alliance. Of this intrigue no information was given to the British, whose atten- tive ears nevertheless received the news.1 But for ministerial preoccupation over South Sea Stock and belief that Austrian ambi- tions still constituted a menace to the peace of Europe, it might well, by revealing Dubois' lack of "openness and sincerity," have heralded the rupture of the alliance of 1717. Stanhope, unwilling to break with France, seems to have decided to neutralise the effects of this new turn in French policy, for in January 1721, after divining the French negotiations, he proposed to Destouches, the French charge d'affaires, that the three powers, Britain, France and Spain, should go to the Congress with a concerted plan, and the better to secure the adhesion of the Bourbons, declared his readiness at some future date to surrender , as " use- less and dangerous.'' Though British confidence in Dubois appeared 1 That the first news of the negotiations was given by Peterborough is clear from Craggs' private letter to Sutton of 18 November 1720 in P.R.Q., France, 169, but Sutton's answer, which is not in its proper place, seems to have allayed the suspicions of Whitehall. The French government were also informed by Destouches on 28 November (N.S.) that the British knew of the negotiations ; and that British ministers were either successfully hoodwinked by the French or were deceiving Destouches is clear from a despatch of the latter subsequent to Stanhope's death in which he states that " Mylord Stanhope et M. Craggs nous croyoient brouilles irreconciliablement aveo l'Espagne, et sur cette idee ils n'apprehendoient aucune variation de notre part." (Destouches to Dubois, London, 23 April 1721, N.S. Aff. Etr. Angl. 336, fo. 60.) vii

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.40.219, on 29 Sep 2021 at 17:57:44, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2042171000009584 viii INTRODUCTION unshaken at the time of Stanhope's death,1 the bases of the Franco- Spanish alliance had by then been laid, and on 27 March 1721, N.S., a convention was signed at Madrid in which all the important clauses were secret. These provided inter alia that the rights of French traders with the Spanish dominions should be confirmed and that France should use her good offices in obtaining the cession of Gibraltar. The composition of the new ministry of George I may be reckoned as one of the factors which facilitated the change in French policy. The unanimity of Stanhope and Sunderland gave way to an uneasy partnership between Sunderland and Carteret, the heirs of Stan- hope, and Townshend and Walpole, the leaders of the Whig oppo- sition. Dubois may well have expected that France could play the part of the first power in Western Europe, now that British councils were so divided; but in this he was destined to be dis- appointed, for an anti-Austrian policy was common to both sec- tions of the Whigs. The first act of Carteret, the new Secretary of State for the Southern Department, was to despatch an agent to Paris to strengthen the British representation at a vital spot, where it was deplorably weak.2 It was an advantage that Sir Luke Schaub ,the person chosen for this purpose, could claim acquaint- ance and even intimacy with Dubois, nor perhaps did the Towns- hend party view his withdrawal from England with any feeling other than equanimity. The first news which he sent to Carteret was such that the Secretary of State became filled with alarm (see p. 5). The words in which Dubois had expressed to Schaub his wish to retain the alliance had not convinced Carteret, who suspected Dubois of " acting insidiously," and of desiring to " cheat " the British court "by false appearance of confidence." Dubois, though himself mistrusting Carteret and Townshend, had no desire that the Franco-British alliance should break down. 1 " Mylord Stanhope est a votre egard, Monseigneur, tel qu'est vn amant delicat a 1'egard d'une maitresse qu'il adore. II veut des marques frequentes d'amitie et d'attention. Quand elles manquent, il s'inquiete, il s'impatiente, il boude mesme quelques fois; mais au moindre signe de votre part, il est plus satisfait que jamais, et si vous allegues vne excuse pour vous justifier, il y en ajouste vingt autres." (Destouches to Dubois, London, 3 February 1721, N.S. Aff. Etr. Angl. 335, fo. 90.) 2 Even before Stanhope's death it had been intended to replace Sutton, and Carteret had been chosen for the post. His draft instructions, which are purely formal, may be seen in P.K.O., F.O. 90/13.

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.40.219, on 29 Sep 2021 at 17:57:44, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2042171000009584 INTRODUCTION ix To him the chief enemy was always Austria, and he viewed with no small anxiety the possibility of an Anglo-Austrian entente. Satisfied if France could direct the policy of the allies, and no longer play second fiddle to Britain, he proposed that Stanhope's suggestion of an entente with Spain should be taken up in the form of a new triple agreement in anticipation of the congress of Cam- bray. The British ministers agreed that the somewhat startling suggestion embodied good policy, and though Sunderland voted for delay,1 Townshend urged acceptance of the proposal, and Car- teret concurred, disliking the idea of being " left alone with the Imperialists who will never hear reason when it tends to moderate their pretensions " (p. 7). Rumours, however, of a possible Austro- Spanish alliance spurred Dubois to isolate Austria, but while there was no obstacle to an agreement between France and Spain, Gibraltar proved a serious difficulty (see p. 6). Both Britain and Spain were adamant: Philip V would hear of no equivalent for the Rock; and William Stanhope repeated the statements of British ministers that a demand for Gibraltar was tanta- mount to a refusal of peace.2 Dubois intervened between these resolute parties with a suggestion of William Stanhope's that George I should write a letter to Philip V on the subject. On 1 June 1721, with his tongue in his cheek, George I told Philip V that he had no hesitation in assuring him of his readiness to satisfy the demand for the restoration of Gibraltar, and promised to seize the first favourable opportunity to settle this matter with the consent of Parliament. Judging from the attitude of the Com- mons in 1720, there was small chance of such a consent being forthcoming, but the Spaniards professed themselves satisfied with this nugatory promise ; and the new triple alliance was signed on 13 June 1721, N.S., at Madrid.3

1 See Aff. Mr. Angl. 336, ff. 17 et seqq., two letters from Dubois to Destouches dated 12 April 1721, N.S. Destouches seems to have not quite grasped the situation (see Emile Bourgeois, Le secret de Dubois, Paris, n.d., p. 269), which is expounded in Carteret's despatch to Schaub of 13 April 1721 (see below, p. 6). 2 Brit. Mus. Add. MS. 22521, ff. 10-15., enclosed in Sutton to Carteret dated Paris, 2 May 1721, N.S. See also Destouches to Dubois, London, 3 March 1721, N.S. Aff. Etr. Angl. 335, fo. 180 v. 8 It may be worth referring to Newcastle's words to Horatio Walpole on this transaction six years later. " I send . . . the copy you desire of His Majesty's letter to the King of Spain of the 1st. of June 1721 about Gibraltar.

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.40.219, on 29 Sep 2021 at 17:57:44, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2042171000009584 x INTRODUCTION Gibraltar proved to. be not the only obstacle to the signature, for two incidents intensified Dubois' mistrust and all but wrecked the Franco-British alliance. On 3 May Schaub was ordered to represent to Dubois that France, as a party to this new triple alliance, should give some guarantee that she would not use her strength for her own selfish ends, and to demand that a secret article should be signed, as a causa sine qua non, by which the French would bind themselves under no circumstances to carry war into the Low Countries or occupy any fortress in the Austrian Netherlands ; and that if they should be attacked by the Emperor from the Netherlands, they would remain on the defensive and take no town or fortress in the Austrian Netherlands without hav- ing previously obtained the consent of the King of Great Britain (see below, p. 9, n. 2). " Voulez vous rire," said Dubois ; but on realising that the proposal was put forward in all seriousness, he broke forth in bitter invective.1 He grew so extravagant as to say that if the Regent were to consult the Council on the proposal, war would infallibly be declared at once on Great Britain.2 Night brought reflection, and he consented to be silent for the present on the subject until the British government had had a chance of revising its preposterous demand. But British arguments that the neutrality of the Netherlands would contribute greatly to the stability of Europe (see pp. 12, 16) were of no avail; and a vague declaration for the maintenance of the triple alliance of The Hague

You know so well the history of that letter that all I shall trouble you with concerning it is to observe that it was then universally lookt upon as a civil refusal, the condition of obtaining the consent of Parliament being what was hardly to be expected." (Newcastle to Walpole, Whitehall, 6 March 1726/7. Brit. Mus. Add. MS. 32749, fo. 266 v.) The Spaniards can scarcely have been under any illusions. W. Stanhope, besides u3ing the language above reported, told Maulevrier and Grimaldo that the restoration of the place was impossible (Maulevrier to Dubois, Madrid, 7 April 1721, N.S. Aff. Etr. Espagne 301, fo. 128 v.,andibid. 310, fo. Ill, memorandum by Grimaldo) ; but it may be that the suggestion he threw out deceived them at the moment: " on ne pouvoit rien proposer a present pour le [Parliament] ramener et le faire consentir a cette restitution, mais quand il seroit dissous, on prendroit des mesures pour satisfaire a Sa Majeste Catholique (Maulevrier to Dubois ut sup., ibid. 301, fo. 130). 1 Schaub to Carteret, Paris, 21 May 1721, N.S., Brit. Mus. Add. MS. 22521, fo. 89 et seqq. a " S'il en consultoit le conseil de Regence, l'on resoudroit infailliblemenfc de vous declarer la guerre sur le champ " (ibid. fo. 93 v.).

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.40.219, on 29 Sep 2021 at 17:57:44, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2042171000009584 INTRODUCTION xi (see p. 16, n. i)1 was the most that the British were able to obtain. The other matter arose from the vacillation of Prussia over George I's attempt to form a league of northern powers to protect Carelia against Peter. The vacillation was found to be due to Frederick William having secretly guaranteed the succession to Sweden and Schleswig to the Duke of Holstein, and it was impera- tive that Sweden should be warned. But if George I did this, he would,be embroiled with Prussia, a contingency he did not desire. Orleans was therefore approached,2 and the reply was a huffy refusal to act, in which Dubois expressed his surprise that at a time when the Regent was doing all he could to arrange a satis- factory peace in the north, the King of England should enter upon independent negotiations of which France was not informed.3 Eventually, as Prussia would not enter the league, George I dropped the scheme,4 and this diplomatic retreat served to advance the good temper engendered at the moment by the signature of the treaty of Madrid. In all this, and in the months which follow, the mutual suspicion of the British and French is only too apparent, and indeed the very distress of Dubois over the unhappy causa sine qua non must have given grounds for suspecting the designs of the French in the Netherlands. And how was it in the summer that Pentenriedter had obtained accurate information as to the Madrid treaty ? (see p. 16). In the north the divergence of interests fostered mistrust. On 13 May Carteret had warned Sutton of a rumour that an alli- ance was to be signed between France, Sweden and Russia as soon as the peace negotiations at Nystadt were concluded, but, provided he were a party to it, George I would have no objection to it (see

1 According to Destouches, Sunderiand and Carteret put the whole blame of this unfortunate proposal on Townshend and said that they had foreseen the consequences of advancing it. (Destouches to Dubois, London, 12 June 1721, N.S., Aff. Etr. Angl. 336, fo. 244.) For an estimate of the value of the treaty of Madrid to France see Bourgeois, Le secret de Dubois, pp. 262—90, traversing the opinion expressed in Baudrillart, Philippe V etla cour de France, Vol. II, p. 463. Dom Henri Leclercq, Histoire de la Rigence, Vol. III. cap. xlix., follows M. Bourgeios. 2 Destouches to Dubois, London, 21 May 1721, N.S. Aff. Etr. Angl. 336, fo. 176. 3 Dubois to Destouches, 25 May 1721, N.S., ibid. ff. 181 and 187. 4 Destouches to Dubois, London, 29 May 1721, N.S., ibid. fo. 213.

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1 Destouche3 to Dubois, London, 11 August 1721, N.S. "See Carteret to W. Stanhope, 6 August 1721, B.M. Add. MS. 22515, fo. 235. "Destouches to Dubois, 29 December 1721, N.S., Aff. Etr. Angl. 337, fo. 248.

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1 At the meeting of Parliament in the autumn, the British made a request that the King's speech might reveal the fact that their source of information was France. Schaub, apparently without even consulting Dubois, said the request was hopeless (P.R.O., France, 177, fo. 275 v.). It may be observed that in June, Pentenriedter knew the essential parts of the story (Destouches to Dubois, London, 4 June 1721, N.S., Ajf. Etr. Angl. 341, fo. 113 v.).

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1For all this see the papers in P.R.O., 8.P. Dom. Oeorge I, 31, 38, and 71 and B.M. Stowe MS. 250. The aftermath of this plot was the bill for special taxation of Roman Catholics, which became law after long debates in 1723. This bill was perhaps the most serious subject of difference between the two courts during the end of 1722 and the summer of the following year. a See Chavigny'sinstructions dated 4 August 1723, N.S.in Aff. Etr. Angl. 345.

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1 Louis XV to Chavigny, 7 September 1723, N.S. {Aff. Etr. Angl. 345, fo. 334 v. " Votre objet principal qui consiste a gagner sur l'esprit de ce prince qu'il me voye tranquillement signer vn pareil traite, si de mon cost6 je n& puis gagner sur le Czar que le Roy dela Grande Bretagne y intervienne pre- sentement.") 2 Carteret to Schaub, London, 18 April 1723. (B.M. Add. MS. 22519, fo. 41). 'See Carteret to Schaub, Hanover, 19 September 1723, N.S. Secret. (B.M. Add. MS. 22519, fo. 109). « 10 October 1723. 6 See especially Aff. Etr. Angl. 345, fo. 334 v. ; 346, ff. 69 v. and 282. The last especially shows Chavigny's bewilderment at so many contradictory orders. b Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.40.219, on 29 Sep 2021 at 17:57:44, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2042171000009584 xvi INTRODUCTION George and Peter, for although Sweden proposed joining the alli- ance which suggested a guarantee of security against Peter's wiles, it soon appeared that Sweden wished to act as mediator, a duty which in her weak state it was impossible to ascribe to her, and the reconciliation of the rival monarchs seemed as distant as ever. We must now revert for a moment to the death of Dubois, which affected Franco-British relations by cutting away the chief sup- port of Schaub, whose intimacy with Dubois had been the main justification for keeping at Paris a somewhat wayward represen- tative. Carteret warned Schaub of the danger of losing the King's favour,1 but there is no evidence that he realised the peril that arose from the return of Noce, a boon companion of the Regent's, full of spleen and venom against Schaub, to whose influence he attributed the exile decreed against him by Dubois. Rumours of this disposition of Noce, who was alleged to be specially intrusted with English affairs, reached Hanover, and, assuredly not without suggestion from Townshend, George I " turned his thoughts " on Horatio Walpole for a mission to Paris to discover how matters stood with the French government. He was to give no suspicion that he had been sent by the King ; he was to dissemble the object •of his mission from Schaub, but otherwise be frank with him"; he was only to see Orleans if he should be sent for; but he was to see as many of the ministers as possible and enlarge on the King's desire for a continuance of the entente.* This strict incog- nito (if such it can be called) was eventually not insisted on, for Walpole received credentials, which he duly presented. Considering the quality of his services, Horatio Walpole was the most eminent of the line of ambassadors accredited from this country to the French Court since 1689. No other ambassador could bring so sagacious a judgement to bear upon the problem •of European politics, appraise a situation with such accuracy, or direct the vacillating Court where he resided with such constant 1 See Carteret to Schaub, Gohre, 24 October, 1723, N.S. " Ecrivez ponctuellement tous les ordinaires, quand ce ne seroit que nouvelles courantes. j'ay mes raisons pour cela. Le Roy m'a dit deux ou trois fois depuis peu : * Schaub ecrit fort rarement: il ecrit bien quand il s'y met, mais il ne le fait pas ponotuellement. Aussi pouvez-vous compter qu'il ne passera point d'ordinaire, que Walpole n'ecrive quelque.1 Ainsi, mon cher Schaub, soyez -fort assidu." (B.M. Sloane MS. 4204, fo. 94 et seq.) 2W. Coxe, Memoirs of Sir , London, 1798. Vol. II, pp. 567-69. (Townshend to Sir R. Walpole, Hanover, 21 September 1723.)

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1 A very full selection from his letters to the Secretaries of State can be found in Coxe's Memoirs of Lord Walpole, London, 1802. 2H. Walpole to Townshend, 5 January 1724, N.S. B.M. Add. MS. 37634, fo. 214. 3 " My friend who is perfectly acquainted with the British cabinet, takes upon him, as I am well informed, to paint to the chief minister here the characters of the respective ministers in England : Walpole understands the domestick affairs, but is utterly ignorant of those abroad; Townshend has some knowledge and application, but is intirely devoted to the Imperial court; Lord Carteret is the minister of confidence and has the sole conduct of the foreign affairs. The consequence, if Schaub is supported and continues here, is plain, not only in regard to his credit and mine, but in regard to the opinion that the court here must have of His Majesty's ministers at home." (Ibid. fo. 215 v.)

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.40.219, on 29 Sep 2021 at 17:57:44, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2042171000009584 xviii INTRODUCTION corollary to his friend's disgrace, Carteret was removed to the honourable exile of Dublin Castle. Walpole entered into Schaub's- inheritance as the accredited representative of George I, while in. England the Duke of Newcastle received the seals that were sur- rendered by Carteret. The next task before Walpole was to take stock of the condition, of affairs at the French court, and his powers of discernment soon showed their worth. So long as Orleans lived, there could be no- doubt who was the most important person in the government, but when the Regent died, Walpole was quick to discern the weakness- of his successor, the Duke of Bourbon.1 By the end of March he seems to have made up his mind where power really lay. It cannot have escaped his notice that Monsieur le Due's administration was going to suffer from the fatal weakness that the King gave him neither affection nor confidence, but that both were bestowed, so- far as it was possible to Louis XV's selfish nature, on his old tutor Fleury; and at the beginning of 1724 Walpole had not found Fleury wanting. For one thing emerged from the many conver- sations to which the abdication of Philip V gave rise, and that was that Fleury, for all his " bigotry " and his attachment to the vieille cour, was convinced that the Anglo-French alliance founded by Dubois and Orleans was the only policy which gave any guarantee of European peace. This, with the personal attraction which Fleury's mild and gentle character seems to have exercised on the rough East Anglian, and Walpole's arguments, which, expressed in inaccurate French spoken with a strong Norfolk accent, were heard by Fleury with much respect, speedily brought the two men into something like intimacy.2 By the end of March we find Wal- pole always consulting Fleury before Bourbon or Morville, but in obedience to Fleury's wishes, this intimacy was kept secret, and the former Bishop of Frejus is denoted in the correspondence by the cypher " 672." In this, as well as in the intrigues which brought about the fall of Schaub, Walpole owed not a little to Bolingbroke, who saw here a chance of personal advancement by serving the

1 For the Duke of Bourbon's relations with this country the best studyis J. Dureng, Le Due de Bourbon et I'Angleterre, Paris, 1911. 2 H. Walpole's consideration for Fleury on the occasion of the retreat to Issy in December 1725 merely confirmed the intimacy. Walpole's account of the incident is in his letter to Townshend of 13/24 December 1725 in B.M. Add. MS. 32744, fi. 623 et seqq.

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1Whitworth at Cambray was full of suspicion as to French designs in the north. See the letter of the plenipotentiaries to Newcastle dated Cambray, 12/23 August 1724 inP.R.O., .France, 175, fo. 94. " The conduct of the French court has for some time been very different from what it was about a year ago. There seems to be neither the same steddiness in their councillsnor the same j udgement and exacteness in the dispatch of their orders. The Duke of Bourbon has yet little experience in forreign affairs nor has Mr. Morville who . . . has a trifling genius and a little misteriousness in his temper, with a love of chicane, which makes it difficult to act with him in confidence. . . . From several observations on his manner of proceeding at The Hague, I, Whitworth, when there, was oblidged to be on my guard with him. ... It is farther plain that even whilst France was in the best dispositions for His Majesty, they never lost their views of preparing themselves against future accidents, but were laying out for an after game. For this end they took so much pains at first to establish the Czar on the Baltick in the neighbourhood of Germany, and they have taken no less now to keep him from being embroiled with the Porte, that he may have his hands at liberty to act by their directions. . . . Wee beleive the French are sincere in their desire to have these negotiations ended by a treaty ; but wee are far from being convinced that they wish it to be on the footing of a good and lasting peace."

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1 See Newcastle to Walpole, 15 January 172$, Brit. Mus. Add. MS. 32742, fo. 54, and id. eid.28 January 172^, ibid., fo. 132. See also G. Syveton, Une cour et un aventurier au dix-huitieme sie.de, Paris, 1896, pp. 93 et seqq., and also Baudrillart, Philippe V et la cour de France, Vol. Ill, pp. 133-6. "See Walpole to Newcastle, Fontainebleau, 4 November 1724, N.S. Brit. Mus. Add. MS. 32741, fo. 118. See also Aff. Etr. Angl. 348 and 349, passim-

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1 An instance of this propensity is reported in detail by Robinson to Delafaye •on 31 July 1726, N.S. (P.R.O., France,, 184, fo. 89). " This illness was caused by an eating-debauch at the Muette, a little house belonging to the crown in the wood of Bologne near Paris where His Most Christian Majesty often comes in an afternoon to take a collation of his own dressing. This last entertain- ment was of that kind, and it is prodigious the great quantity of melons, figgs And unripe walnuts that are said to have been devoured, besides an omelet, that the King and Count Clermont drest themselves, in which they put no less, as is reported, than fourscore eggs." a The idea was not exactly novel. See W. Coxe, Memoirs of Horatio Lord Walpole, p. 88, where reference is given to a letter of Newcastle to Walpole -of 25 May 1724 as authority for the statement that Schaub on his return offended George I by proposing a match between Louis XV and a British princess.

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Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.40.219, on 29 Sep 2021 at 17:57:44, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2042171000009584 xxiv INTRODUCTION would, now that Peter was dead, strive to build up an alliance from among all the powers of the north, they urged the French government to counteract this by sending a minister to Stockholm, and were greatly annoyed by the failure of the French to do so.1 Moreover, in the expectation that, to secure her position in Russia, Catherine would be only too glad to come to an accommo- dation with them, Campredon was instructed by the French, with the full approval of the British, to offer the Czarina the support of the two crowns. To their astonishment and dismay the offer was not accepted, and orders were given to equip the Muscovite fleet for a demonstration, or something more serious, in the Baltic. The countries thus threatened could only be Sweden, Denmark or Germany ; in any case George's interests were directly concerned. Consequently, the British had to face the possibility of a wide- spreading alliance between Russia and Austria, which in turn was negotiating with Spain. Confronted with an emergency of this sort, George I reminded his affectionate son-in-law of the provisions of the treaty of Charlottenburg binding Frederick William to provide a quota of troops to support the Elector of Hanover ; but added as a bait to that unstable monarch an offer to support the cause of the Protestants in Thorn, where, as a sequel to a riot, they had been oppressed in a manner alleged to be contrary to the treaty of Oliva. Fortunately for George, whose ministers in July were fearing that Prussia had sided with his enemies,2 there was no necessity for these allurements. The news of the struck the King of Prussia with something like panic; he regarded the Emperor as far the greatest danger to the status quo in the Empire and he turned to George for a common policy. However confidently George I, then at the height of his power and influence, might express himself, France, cursed as it was with a weak ministry and a disorganised diplomatic service, viewed the situation with no little anxiety. Broglie was therefore ordered3 to obtain permission to accompany George I to Hanover in July in 1 See the public despatch of Newcastle to H. Walpole of 1 March 1724/5, printed by Mr. J. F. Chance in English Historical Review, Vol. XXVIII (1913), p. 702 et seqq. and in Alliance of Hanover, pp. 20-3. See also subsequent despatches, below, pp. 98—101. At the beginning of April, the Comte de Brancas was nominated to go to Sweden, but he did not start,till the end of June. 2 Newcastle to Walpole, Whitehall, 12 July 1725. (P.R.O., France, 181, fo. 215.) 3 Morville to Broglie, Versailles, 15 April 1725, N.S. Aff. Etr. Angl. 350, fo. 308.

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.40.219, on 29 Sep 2021 at 17:57:44, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2042171000009584 INTRODUCTION xxv order to come to an agreement for common action in the crisis, and a scheme forwarded by Morville on 15 July (N.S.) was laid before Townshend at Hanover. It recapitulated the treaties of The Hague and the quadruple alliance, but in such a way that little was said about present problems, but a guarantee of the Prag- matic Sanction was definitely refused. Townshend treated this scheme with contempt (see p. 114), and substituted one of his own, which he thought would be more " palatable " to any powers that might wish to adhere to the treaty. Foreseeing the possibility of bargaining for the suppression of the Ostend East India Company in return for the guarantee of the Pragmatic Sanction, he threw the questions of the French and English successions, which had formed the basis of Morville's scheme, entirely into the background, and substituted a mutual guarantee of possessions. This would involve France guaranteeing Bremen and Verden in the north and Gibraltar and Minorca in the south. To secure the Dutch, the French were to join in demanding the suppression of the . In return, the French interpretation of the treaty of Westphalia, that guarantee of German confusion, was to be con- firmed, while both powers were to intervene in enforcing the treaty of Oliva and settle the affairs of Thorn accordingly. Nothing was said directly on the Pragmatic Sanction, but it was pointed out that the clause providing that no treaty or engagement should be made without joint consent was levelled against it and the treaty of Vienna. This project was no more to the liking of the French than had been Morville's original scheme to Townshend's, and a French counter-project, accepting however Townshend's as a basis, was drawn up. The allusion to the protection of Protestants in Thorn was suppressed as unbefitting the eldest son of the Church ; it was hinted that, should the balance of power require it, but not otherwise, the Pragmatic Sanction might be guaranteed ; while as regards the mutual recognition of possessions and rights, the vital clause ("of which each of the allies are in possession at the signature of the treaty ") was omitted.1 Walpole, who by now knew that Spain was demanding the restitution of Gibraltar, did not wait for instructions from Hanover on this point. He promptly de- manded from Bourbon a written declaration guaranteeing Gibraltar

1 For all this see Dureng, Le Due de Bourbon, pp. 315-23, and Aff. Etr. Angl. 351, ff. 326-344, for the despatch of Louis XV to Broglie of 12 August, N.S., covering the counter-project.

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Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.40.219, on 29 Sep 2021 at 17:57:44, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2042171000009584 xxviii INTRODUCTION scheme ; if she is not prepared to find her share of the cost, Great Britain would do nothing, for she could not finance Sweden and the Landgrave alone (see p. 125).x On Sweden much turned: if Sweden were to join Russia, Prussia would be neutralised, for it would not dare to act against Austria with those potential enemies in its rear ; and the Elector of Bavaria was scarcely less important in view of his kinship with other electors and princes of South Germany, most of whom lay under the complete domination of the Emperor, whose omnipotence could only be shaken by the opposition of Bavaria to Imperial designs. These manoeuvres, which occupied most of the next two years, met with very varying success, and at the end, Townshend can scarcely have considered that he had much ground for self-con- gratulation. He could indeed say that it had " prevented those who lye most exposed to the Emperor's influence from entering into measures with him," 2 and Holland with her usual slowness did eventually give her adhesion, but it was not until 4 August 1726 that Townshend was able to congratulate Walpole on the event. As to Sweden hopes and fears alternate all through the negotiation. At one moment it is feared that the Czarina can easily outbid the two crowns; at the next, as in February 1726, Newcastle is in high hopes. " They have absolutely refused accepting subsidys from the Czarina, and Count Horn continues as sanguine and as firm as ever." In the end, hard cash and a policy based on the sound advice proffered to Horatio Walpole by Gedda, the Swedish ambassador in Paris, brought about the desired result, but not until the spring of 1727. The same delay is to be seen in the accession of Denmark, the haggling negotiations with which were protracted owing to differences of view between the British and French courts (see below, p. 234), and which, in spite of the menace of Catherine, did not accede till the same time as Sweden (see p. 236). At Turin, there was sad bungling, of which the crafty King of Sardinia at first reaped the advantage. Since the first half of 1725 there had been no representative of this country 1 How far George I went may be seen from Townshend's autograph postscript to his letter to H. Walpole of 10/21 July 1725, in P.E.O. Dom. Regen- cies 6. Unless France helps " we shall be all undone, the King having run his civil list so far in debt by the supplys he has given Sweden that we can do no more that way." 2 To H. Walpole, Hanover, T"s December 1725. Brit. Mus. Add. MS. 38504, fo. 175.

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1 The extremely severe French criticisms of Hedges' instructions may be found in Aff. Mr. Turin 145, ff. 153-156. The gentlest description of them is "waste paper." (Ibid. Angl. 356, fo. 110.) 2 Hedges to Newcastle, Fontainebleau, 10 September and 15 October 1726, N.S. (P.R.O., Savoy and Sardinia, 32.) The French were determined that whatever happened, he was not to have Sicily, hence the difference between the two courts, though concealed, was deep. Cf. Memo, of 5 October 1726, N.S., in Aff. Etr. Angl. 356, fo. 110, after the interview with Walpole and Hedges. " L'on se garda bien de luy [Walpole] laisser penetrer les trop importantes raisons qui doiuent empecher la France de consentir a la conquests directe de la Sicile." a Hedges to Newcastle, Turin, 9 November 1726, N.S. (P.R.O., Savoy and Sardinia, 32.) 4 See Chance, Alliance of Hanover, pp. 561-72

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.40.219, on 29 Sep 2021 at 17:57:44, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2042171000009584 xxx INTRODUCTION League of Hanover ; it was worse that the Emperor should obtain signal success in gaining adherents to the treaties of Vienna, now supplemented by the secret treaty of November 1725. Great hopes had been formed of the new Elector of Bavaria, who succeeded his father in February 1726, but proffered subsidies, followed by menaces from George I, were of no avail, and in September 1726 the British agent at Vienna had to report the Elector's alliance with the Emperor and the accession of his spiritual and temporal kinsmen the Electors Palatine and of Trier and Cologne to the treaty of Vienna. All South Germany was falling away, while the obstinacy shown by Fleury in refusing completely to satisfy the Duke of Wurtemberg's claims to Montbeliard and a subsidy, clean contrary to British wishes (see p. 167), had the natural result in his case. More grievous still was the effect of the miscalculation of George I and Townshend as to the policy of the Czarina. Though doubting their old premise that the interests of Russia and Austria were so divergent that any reconciliation was impossible (see p. 158), they trusted implicitly to Poyntz' reports from Stockholm, and set their faces against the warnings sent from St. Petersburg by Campredon as to the activity of Imperial propaganda in the Russian court. They refused to meet any offers for a settlement of the claims- of the Duke of Holstein, and, hearing that Catherine was fitting out an armament, apparently for use against Sweden, they ordered Sir Charles Wager to the Baltic with instructions to blockade the Russians in the friendliest manner possible.1 Wager carried out his instructions : great emotion was caused by the act at St. Peters- burg, and the British ministers, after an instant of self-congratulation on the success of their stroke, were surprised and shocked to hear that the Czarina had concluded an alliance with the Emperor on 6 August, N.S.2 The French ministry, in commenting sadly on

1 See Chance, Dipt. Instr. Sweden, p. 210. a It may be remarked that Count Hoym, the Polish minister at the court of Versailles, had no high opinion of British policy in the Baltic at this con- juncture. On 12 September 1726, N.S., he wrote to his master from Bourbon l'Archambaut : " L'ambassadeur de Sardaigne qui s'y trouve aussi . . . m'a dit qu'il n'y avoit aucune nouvello que celle de l'accession de la Czariene au traitte de Vienne et la signature du traitte de l'Empereur avec l'Electeur palatin. La premiere avoit un peu allarm£ cette cour, mais les Anglois ont eu soin de la rassurer, et pourvu, dit-on, que l'accession de la Suede aille son train comme on l'espere, on compte que celle de la Czariene sera sans effet. J'avoueray ingenuement a V.M. que je n 'ay point encore pu comprendre la force- ni la solidite de ce raisonnement." (P.R.O., Confidential, 1 A.)

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1 Morville to Broglie, 5 September 1726, N.S. (Aff. Etr. Angl. 356, fo. 332.) 2H. Walpole to ? Tilson, Fontainebleau, 10 September 1726, N.S. (Brit. Mus. Add. MS. 32747, fo. 271.) SH. Walpole to Townshend, same date (ibid. fo. 280). 4 See J. G. Droysen, Geschichte derpreussischen Politik, Leipzig, 1870, Vol. IV, part 2, p. 404.

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.40.219, on 29 Sep 2021 at 17:57:44, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2042171000009584 xxxii INTRODUCTION and both Newcastle and Walpole soon realised that Britain would find most cause of anxiety in the future in the relations between France and Spain.1 So far, however, British opinion of Fleury was on the whole favourable, for though his application to the Emperor for good offices in procuring him a Cardinal's hat raised temporary doubts as to his sincerity (see below, p. 177) he was not only refusing to renew "so much as a correspondence with Spain without my being acquainted with every step," 2 but he had, before Bourbon's fall, been instrumental in stifling an outcry which Morville wished to raise against a serious step taken by the British without consulting the French. This was the despatch of Admiral Hosier to the West Indies to prevent the sailing of the Spanish treasure fleet, and thus cripple Austria by depriving her of the supplies which Ripperda had promised her. It was carefully pointed out that Hosier was to commit no act of hostility unless he should be obliged to it by the Spanish officials insisting on the galleons and flota sailing for Europe (see p. 151). To this action the French ministers at first raised objections,3 but Fleury concurred with the proposal, as he did also with the decision, suggested by St. Saphorin, to bring pressure to bear on the Emperor directly by sending Sir John Jennings with a squadron to Naples, after having made a demon- stration off the coasts of Spain. Though he requested a fortnight's delay in sending Jennings, Fleury proved more British than the ambassador in Paris, who wrote a private letter to Newcastle criticising " expensive alarms without real actions." 4 Fleury's

1 See below, p. 170, and Walpole to Newcastle, Paris, 26 June 1726, N.S. (B.M. Add. MS. 32746, fo. 296). " The nicest part of our affairs and what requires my greatest attention is the reconciliation between France and Spain, that it may not be brought about to His Majesty's prejudice." *Ibid 3 Memoranda and despatches to Broglie strongly criticising the action of the British in despatching Hosier, but applauding the mission of Wager, may be found in Aff. Etr. Angl. 355, ff. 144-61, dated 1 May 1726, N.S. 4 " Nor," he added, " can I see the great use of Sir John Jennings appearing off of Naples ; it will make a noise, but when he comes home again without doing anything, I doe not think the laugh will be on our side either in England or in Europe, for I do not at all apprehend the Emperor's encampment in Silesia. ... I must beg Mr St Saphorin's pardon if I think the sending a fleet into the Mediterranean to prevent an encampment in Silesia will appear ridiculous." (B.M. Add. MS. 32746, fo. 296 v. Paris, 26 June 1726, N.S.)

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1 Walpole to Newcastle, Paris, 13 August 1726, N.S. (B.M. Add. MS. 32747, fo. 131 v.) 2 " Thus I believe the correspondence and application from hence to Spain is entirely at an end, unless His Catholick Majesty shall declare that he is willing to be reconciled with this King without any mediation or conditions what - ever on either side, for I am persuaded the Bishop, now he has satisfyed his own conscience and is able to satisfye the whole nation here that he has done all that was reasonable on his part, will take no one step further in it, being convinced that the King of Spain is entirely under the absolute power of the Queen, and she under the directions of the Imperial Court " (to Newcastle, Paris, 30 July 1726, N.S., B.M. Add. MS. 32747, fo. 48).

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1 That advances had been made in March seems clear from the language used by Louis XV to Broglie : " Quand la cour de Vienne voudroit, par vn impossible, me faire vn aussy grand sacrifice, je ne l'accepterois pas " (Versailles, 20 March 1726, N.S. Aff. Etr. Angl. 354, fo. 204). 2 Walpole to Townshend, Paris, 26 Aug. 1726, N.S. (Brit. Mus. AM. MS. 32747, fo. 198.) 3 Walpole to Newcastle, Paris, 6 August 1726, N.S. (Brit, Mus. Add. MS. 32747, fo. 110). 4 Walpole to Newcastle, Fontainebleau, 2 September 1726, N.S. (ibid., fo. 219). 5 Fleury to Bermudez, 26 July and 1 September 1726, N.S. {Aff. Etr. Espagne, 343, ff. 409 and 426).

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1 Walpole to Newcastle, Fontainebleau, 9 October 1726, N.S. (Brit. Mus. Add. MS. 32747, fo. 457). 2 According to Hoym (P.R.O., Confidential, 1 A) the suspension of the gal- leons had already caused " several " bankruptcies both in Prance and Spain. He continues his report to the King of Poland (dated 12 September 1726, N.S.) that the British were likely to do what they could to prolong this con- fusion, for they alone profited by it, and would throw every obstacle in the wayof reconciliation between the powers. On 25October 1726 (N.S.) Broglie reported to Morville that although they would not admit it, the British ministers felt some qualms as to Hosier's proceedings (Aff. Etr. Angl. 356, fo. 159 v.).

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1 Walpole to Newcastle, Paris, 1 Nov. 1726, N.S. (Brit. Mus. Add. MS. 32748, fo. 192 v.) 8 Newcastle to Walpole, Whitehall, 14 November 1726 (Brit. Mus. Add. MS. 32748, fo. 323 «.). 3 Walpole to Newcastle, Paris, 3 December 1726, N.S. (Brit. Mus. Add. MS. 32748, ff. 369-70).

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1 Morville to Broglie, Marly, 9 March 1727, N.S. (Aff. Etr. Angl. 352, fo. 288). 2 Walpole to Newcastle, Paris, 10 March 1727, N.S. (Brit. Mus, Add, MS. 32749, fo. 21 6 v.). »Jbid- fo. 218.

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.40.219, on 29 Sep 2021 at 17:57:44, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2042171000009584 xxxviii INTRODUCTION Emperor to suspend the Ostend Company.1 Consequently it would be criminal for the Hanover allies to continue to reply in the negative to the Austrian suggestions; on the contrary, it was necessary to treat them fairly.2 He was the less anxious for violence in that in March 1727 he was again in a state of great depression owing to the safe arrival in Spanish harbours of the flota, which, escorted by a Spanish squadron, had eluded Hosier, and a declaration of war by France on Spain might lead to the confiscation of the money in the flota which belonged to private persons and in largest measure to French subjects.3 The tempera- ture therefore of his interviews with Walpole began to rise rapidly. At the end of March the Cardinal was still harping on the mis- fortune of the flota's arrival. Walpole as usual urged vigorous action, but he came near to incivility by bluntly saying what he thought of the French council:— [I let] " him know that all depended entirely upon him . . . that he must forgive me if I said that without him and his vigour and good sense, the French King's Council was looked upon and known to be the weakest in Europe ; that the Marshal d'Huxelles was considered as an old, peevish, and selfish dotard, who, without any plan or knowledge of his own, affected to be popular and a patriot among his particular friends by declaring abroad against measures that he had neither sense nor courage enough to oppose in council; that Marshal Tallard was now dangerously ill, and though he had good intentions as well as understanding, had no great credit among the people ; that the ignorance, vanity, and talkativeness of Marshal Villars was insupportable, and that Mr. de Morville,with the best intentions for the present system.was so sensible of his own narrow genius, and of the endeavours to remove both him and his father,4 that he was obliged to observe some management with others, especialy if he found him, the Cardinal, at all waving (sic) and irresolute." 5 Three weeks passed, during which the Emperor, having expelled 1 See the letters quoted in M. Huisman, La Belgique commerciale sous VEmpereur Charles VI, Brussels and Paris, 1902, pp. 414 and 421. 2 Louis XV to-Broglie, 19 February 1727, N.S. (Aff. Mr. Angl. 358, fo. 156 v.) 3 Walpole to Newcastle, Paris, 21 March 1727, N.S. (Brit. Mus. Add. MS. 32749, fo. 296 v.) 4 Keeper of the Seals. 6 Walpole to Newcastle, Paris, 31 March 1727, N.S. (Brit. Mus. Add. MS. 32749, fo. 364.)

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.40.219, on 29 Sep 2021 at 17:57:44, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2042171000009584 INTRODUCTION xxxix St. Saphorin and Woodward from Austria, in retaliation for the expulsion of Palm from London, established magazines at certain cities near the Rhine, and began to move his troops westward through Germany, to the terror of the petty princes, and the mani- fest peril of the Landgrave of Hesse-Cassel, whose firmness in adhesion to the League of Hanover excited the admiration of the British ministry. At length an answer was returned from Vienna to the ultimatum of the allies demanding that the Ostend East India Company should be immediately suspended for seven years. The Cardinal indeed acknowledged that " far from being a satisfactory answer, it was very captious, and by no means fit to be received,"1 but, expressing the opinion that both the Emperor and Spain were inclined to peace, he suggested that the proper policy to pursue was to draw up a second ultimatum and give the Imperialists a month in which to reply. Walpole now lost heart, as may be seen from his private despatch of the same day.2 He was inconsolable, writing notes to Fleury in the middle of the night in which he flung out accusations of treachery against Richelieu, who had quarrelled with St. Saphorin and whose conduct at Vienna had been inscrutable. On the other hand Fleury besought Walpole to be calm and to trust him, and to remember that it was imperative that the Council of State should be convinced of the expediency of a war with Spain. Nothing would be done without Walpole being made cognisant of it. Yet the home government which, remembering the days of Dubois and Orleans, had always been prone to mistrust Fleury's sincerity, took a less gloomy view of the situation than Walpole, and, being doubtful as to the zeal of the Dutch, acquiesced (see p. 239) in the Cardinal's proposal to make one more attempt at a settlement by negotiation. Consequently one more ultimatum dated 2 May (N.S.) was drawn up to which Walpole had no objection, though he would have preferred that the term given for an answer should have been shorter than one month. Till then Britain undertook not to declare war on Spain, but on the other hand she would require in the event of no satisfactory answer being received, that France should join her in declaring war in not less than ten days' time.

1 Walpole to Newcastle, Paris, 21 April 1727, N.S. (Brit. Mus. Add. MS. 32750, fo. 51.) 2 See Chance, The Alliance of Hanover, p. 694, where it is printed in full.

Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 170.106.40.219, on 29 Sep 2021 at 17:57:44, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2042171000009584 xl INTRODUCTION Measures meanwhile were taken to prepare for war, and, in order to secure a more thorough co-operation between the allies in the coming campaign Colonel John Armstrong was sent over as a military expert, to confer with the heads of the French army and government; but the event justified Fleury's policy and proved him to have either a keener discernment of the European situation or a more efficient system of intelligence than the British govern- ment. Charles VI who was disappointed in the failure of the Spaniards to give him the expected supplies, now realised that no impression was being made on Gibraltar. Elsewhere news was bad: Sweden adhered to the Hanover Alliance ; on 6 May Catherine died, and in the Diet of the Empire the majority of the princes adopted a neutral attitude in the quarrel. Charles did not wait for the ultimatum to expire, but yielded to Prince Eugene's re- commendations, and forwarded instructions to Fonseca to admit substantially the preliminaries of 2 May. On 31 May (N.S.) they were signed in Paris, though Walpole continued to express his scepticism as to the Emperor's intentions. " It seems to me but too plain, that the court of Vienna is endeavouring, in concert with that of Madrid, to amuse us and gain time." 1 But on 11/22 June George I died on his way to Hanover; in August Chauvelin was appointed Secretary of State in MorviUe's room, and at the end of the year Walpole was appointed one of the British plenipotentiaries at the congress of Soissons. With new actors on the stage, a fresh scene is opened in the relations between the two crowns.

1 Walpole to Newcastle, Paris, 28 May 1727, N.S. (Brit. Mus. Add. MS. 32750, fo. 337.)

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