Chapter Iii Analysis of the Advantages And
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CHAPTER III ANALYSIS OF THE ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES OF KOREAN REUNIFICATION AND THE JOINING OF SOUTH KOREA AND NORTH KOREA IN ONE FLAG AT THE ASIAN GAMES 2018 In carrying out an action or choosing a policy such as the restoration of diplomatic relations, there are steps that are considered very important to be carried out first before carrying out a policy, an important step is to analyze the advantages and disadvantages of what policies will be chosen, this analysis technique it is highly required to be carried out first in order to take into account the benefits and losses that will be obtained if a country chooses to carry out a recovery of diplomatic relations which previously both parties had poor diplomatic relations. A. Advantages and Disadvantages of Korea Peninsula Reunification It is no longer a secret that North Korea and South Korea clash even very fiercely. If counted until 2017, the two countries have had a history of feud for 67 years. Within 67 years, of course they carried out various efforts for peace, but in each process there were still factors that caused the peace effort being carried out to find no light. The peak is in 2017, with the launch of North Korean ballistic weapons towards Japanese waters so that the action triggered a reaction from the US with various security threats posed to North Korea if they disturbed public security from the US alliance namely South Korea and Japan. About 24 million people live in a country located in the northern part of the Korean peninsula. They have very little access to the outside world. On the other hand, foreign media are also prohibited from interacting with North Korean people. They are controlled with really minimal access. North Korea's nuclear program and poor human rights records make this country isolated, especially with 30 31 international sanctions. Economic conditions are chaotic, poverty rates are rising. An observation of space shows Pyongyang disappearing in the dark, clear illustration of the chronic backwardness of the region compared to other regions. In the 14th century, the Chosun Dynasty, better known as Joseon in Korea, adopted a policy of isolation from the outside world for almost six centuries. The way it is done is to fend off invasions of foreign countries while keeping the Confucian tradition tightly held. Just like what happened in North Korea at this time, Koreans are forbidden to make contact with outsiders, also travel outside Korea. Korea itself received the embrace of the Hermit Kingdom in the 19th century. Korea's political isolation finally slowly opened. The decision did not bring blessings, because post-World War I, Korea had to surrender to Japan in 1910. The suffering continued after, when Japan lost in World War II, Korea was divided into two regions: South Korea was under US control and North Korea was under the control of the Soviet Union for a while. In North Korea, Soviet leader Josef Stalin appointed Kim Il Sung as the highest leader. Kim Il Sung ruled North Korea for approximately 50 years before being replaced by his son Kim Jong Il and then continued by his grandson who recently disappeared while Kim Jong Un, until now. The Cold War atmosphere in the early 1950s, made relations between South Korea and North Korea heated up in the aftermath of heated relations between the United States and the Soviet Union. The war took place with the support of their respective allies: South Korea was supported by the US, North Korea received Moscow support. And undoubtedly the civil war gave untold suffering to both, especially North Korea which was devastated by American-made bombs. Seeing the condition of his people like that, Kim Il Sung then developed the theory of independence which in Korean terms is called Juche. Juche then became the ideology of this nation. There are three principles that underlie this ideology: political independence, economic independence, and military autonomy. North Korea is increasingly alienated when relations between China and the 32 West improve, and are exacerbated by the collapse of the Soviet Union. There had been hope when relations with South Korea and the West had improved in the late 1990s, but that did not last long when George W. Bush included North Korea as part of the 2002 main Axis of Evil support for terrorism because of its nuclear program. The issue of the security crisis in the East Asia region was the main topic of discussion which was widely discussed by the international community. The crisis in the East Asia region is a classic crisis. From the various crises that occurred, the crisis which is currently still a central issue in the East Asia region is the crisis of the Korean Peninsula. The Korean Peninsula crisis is a legacy of the Korean War. In 2012 there was a threat from North Korea where in various reports that after North Korea reactivated its nuclear development program, America would be the next target for their nuclear test, not to mention the development because they had poor relations with South Korea as a result of the struggle territory in the past (Pratiwi, 2014). Specifically the North Korean reason for developing nuclear weapons is caused by several things. First, the use of nuclear bombs by the US, to destroy Japan at the end of World War II in a short time, was very effective in dealing with war conflicts. Second, that Kim II Sung realized the US power as a country that had become an alliance of South Korea during the Korean War. Kim realizes that the US can at any time use its nuclear weapons placed on the South Korean border to attack North Korea, in other words North Korea's policy of carrying out its nuclear program is to increase capability to rival US forces (Mansourov, 1995). In the past two decades, North Korea has been at loggerheads with the US regarding its nuclear program. This of course forces the United States to make the North Korean nuclear issue one of its foreign political agendas since 1990. Pyongyang is suspected of using the issue of its nuclear nuclear weapons (nuclear brinkmanship) as a political maneuver to increase the bargaining position in the 33 international world, especially the US and its allies. did not continue to pressure North Korea and forced the termination of US military and economic assistance to South Korea. North Korea also rejected Washington's intervention in the problem of the process of reunifying the Korean Peninsula (H. Obtar Sinaga, 2008). With the intervention of third parties as previously explained, the reunification of Korea as a goal and hope for the Korean people is unlikely to face a smooth road. The United States as an ally of South Korea always vilifies North Korea. The United States calls North Korea the axis of crime and the nest of terrorists because it often commits terror and infiltration into the territory of the South Korean government. While North Korea maintains good relations with China and Russia. However, the fall of communism in Eastern Europe in 1989, and the breakup of the Soviet Union in 1991, resulted in a reduction in aid to North Korea from Russia. Barry Buzan defines a regional security complex as a group of countries in an area where the main focus in the context of security is closely related between one country and another (Buzan, 2003). Although sixty years have passed since two Korean governments were established in 1948, the Korean Peninsula is still divided between the Republic of Korea (ROK / South Korea) and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK, or North Korea). Inter-Korean relations are still characterized by mutual distrust, hatred, lack of cooperation, and ideological conflict. Cold War nuances are still felt on the Korean Peninsula. The first inter-Korean summit meeting attended by South Korean President Kim Dae-Jung and North Korean leader Kim Jong-il, in Pyongyang on June 13-15, 2000 was also one of historic momentum. The meeting resulted in an inter-Korean joint declaration on June 15, 2000, which resulted in a framework for institutionalizing peaceful coexistence between the two Korean countries. The decision of North Korean leader Kim Jong-il to attend the meeting symbolized a change in his strategic policy towards South 34 Korea. New inter-Korean peace processes continue to be carried out to build mutual trust and mutual understanding in order to create lasting peace on the Korean Peninsula. In this context, Seoul can play a role in two scenarios, namely "crash landing" or "soft landing". "Crash landing" North Korea or sudden collapse from the inside, South Korea does not want for several reasons. Seoul does not have the economic capability to absorb North Korea's fall. Given that South Korea's economy has suffered a setback several years back, Korea's unification, if it follows the German unification model, will give a severe blow to South Korea's economy, and Seoul can lose its competitive advantage in the coming years. In addition, the people of South Korea will not be able to accept the loss of economic progress as a result of rapid national unification. If North Korea's economic situation decreases, famine will spread, and international isolation will deepen, North Korean leaders will try to maintain power by creating a military crisis on the Korean Peninsula. If this situation occurs, then tensions in Korea and East Asia will increase. Harsh policy from Seoul towards Pyongyang will strengthen Pyongyang's hardline position and this could lead to open war. North Korea's political instability, poverty and social unrest will lead to the fall of North Korea.