Restaurant Finance Monitorr
R RESTAURANT FINANCE MONITOR Volume 31, Number 4 • Restaurant Finance Monitor, 2808 Anthony Lane South, Minneapolis, MN 55418 • ISSN #1061-382X April 17, 2020 OUTLOOK It’s a Covid-19 World After All The predictions are in. Social distancing is the norm. Food A study of the economic impact of the Spanish flu just will be consumed at home instead of restaurants. Pizza and released by Federal Reserve economists, Sergio Correia, drive-thru and delivery are kingmakers. Casual dining and Stephan Luck, and Emil Verner, cite the negative impact fine-dining and crowded dining rooms are relics. Workers on the economy brought on by social distancing techniques like it so much at home that office buildings are obsolete. to flatten the mortality curve. Schools, vaudeville theaters No one will travel again. Movie theaters and sports, forget and churches were ordered closed, and authorities required about them for now. You will always have a middle seat masks and the isolation of individuals with positive flu tests. between you and the next passenger. Masters reruns are Correia, Luck and Verner found the pandemic lead to just fine. a sharp fall in economic activity over the next few years The trouble with predictions, as the Nobel Prize winning from both supply and demand-side effects. Where social economist, Daniel Kahneman, said, “are that the penalties distancing techniques were implemented more aggressively, for incorrect predictions are negligible, and a year later interestingly enough, the economists found no additional people won’t remember them.” adverse effect on local economic outcomes. I have listened to many predictions in the past month about If one fears the coronavirus resurging in the fall and next the restaurant business, from the smart crowd on one hand, spring as it did with the Spanish flu, non-pizza, non- and from others who are obviously stressed out at home drive-thru and delivery inefficient restaurant owners, will with two much time on their hands.
[Show full text]