Institute for Security Studies Situation Report Date Issued: 05 April 2007 Author: Dr Ike Okonta1 Distribution: General Contact:
[email protected] The Niger Delta Crisis and its Implications for Nigeria’s 2007 elections Nigeria, which returned to civilian government in May 1999 after three decades Overview of military rule, will conduct another round of elections for state governors and of the Niger legislators on 14 April. Presidential and Federal Legislative elections will be held on Delta Crisis 21 April. If fair and orderly, this event will mark the third successive time elections have held without a break in Africa’s most populous country. More importantly, it will be the first successful transfer of power from one elected government to another since independence in 1960. Previous attempts in 1964 and 1983 had been marred by widespread poll rigging, election-related violence, and bickering among the politicians, obliging the armed forces to seize power. The elections and their aftermath will be carefully monitored by observers and analysts locally and globally given Nigeria’s dominant position in Africa’s international relations and her pivotal role as western Africa’s economic powerhouse. Nigeria is the world’s eight largest exporter of crude oil and the fifth leading exporter to the United States. The Iraq war and the political turbulence it generated in the Persian Gulf, traditionally America and western Europe’s oil supplier, has put Nigeria and the Gulf of Guinea, west Africa’s emerging oil belt, on the policy radar of the Bush administration. The Niger Delta, Nigeria’s oil region, has been mired in crisis since 1990.