1 Climate response to increasing Antarctic iceberg and ice shelf melt 2 Shona Mackie⇤ 3 Department of Physics, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand 4 Inga J. Smith 5 Department of Physics, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand 6 Jeff K. Ridley 7 Met Office, Exeter, U.K. 8 David P. Stevens 9 School of Mathematics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, U.K. 10 Patricia J. Langhorne 11 Department of Physics, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand 12 ⇤Corresponding author address: Department of Physics, University of Otago, Dunedin 9016, New 13 Zealand 14 E-mail:
[email protected] Generated using v4.3.2 of the AMS LATEX template 1 ABSTRACT 2 15 Mass loss from the Antarctic continent is increasing, however climate mod- 16 els either assume a constant mass loss rate, or return snowfall over land to 17 the ocean to maintain equilibrium. Numerous studies have investigated sea 18 ice and ocean sensitivity to this assumption and reached different conclu- 19 sions, possibly due to different representations of melt fluxes. The coupled 20 atmosphere-land-ocean-sea ice model, HadGEM3-GC3.1, includes a realistic 21 spatial distribution of coastal melt fluxes, a new ice shelf cavity parametriza- 22 tion and explicit representation of icebergs. This makes it appropriate to re- 23 visit how increasing melt fluxes influence ocean and sea ice, and to assess 24 whether responses to melt from ice shelves and icebergs are distinguishable. 25 We present results from simulated scenarios of increasing meltwater fluxes 26 and show that these drive sea ice increases and, for increasing ice shelf melt, a 27 decline in Antarctic Bottom Water formation.