EAST LINDSEY COASTAL ZONE SKILLS AUDIT FINAL REPORT Terence Hogarth, David Owen, Anne Green, Mark Samuel, Maria de Hoyos and Lynn Gambin Institute for Employment Research (in collaboration with IFF Research) University of Warwick Coventry UK-CV4 7AL Tel: +44 24 76 52 44 20 Fax: +44 24 76 52 42 41 E-mail: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] June 2010 Contents Executive Summary ................................................................................................................................. x 1. Introduction .................................................................................................................................... 1 1.1 The Aims of the Study ............................................................................................................. 1 1.2 Method ................................................................................................................................... 2 1.3 East Lindsey and the Coastal Zone .......................................................................................... 2 1.4 Structure of the Report ........................................................................................................... 3 2. Skills Investments – the Special Case of Rural, Peripheral and Coastal Areas ................................ 4 2.1 Stimulating Skill Demand ........................................................................................................ 4 2.2 The Low Skill Equilibrium? ...................................................................................................... 5 2.3 Local Economic Development and Service Provision in Rural areas and Seaside Towns ....... 7 2.4 The Labour Market, Skills and Local Economic Development in Lincolnshire and East Lindsey .............................................................................................................................................. 10 2.5 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................. 14 3. The Demand for Labour and Skills in the Coastal Zone: Medium Term Projections .................... 16 3.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 16 3.2 The National and Regional Economy .................................................................................... 16 3.3 Demographic Change along the East Lindsey Coastal Zone ................................................. 18 3.4 Overall Employment Trends ................................................................................................. 19 3.5 The Changing Structure of Employment ............................................................................... 21 3.6 Employment by Gender ........................................................................................................ 22 3.7 Employment by Industry ....................................................................................................... 24 3.8 Employment by Occupation .................................................................................................. 28 3.9 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................. 32 4. Employer and Other Stakeholder Perspectives on the Demand for Labour ................................ 35 4.1 Introduction: Background and Objectives ............................................................................ 35 4.2 Sample and Methodology ..................................................................................................... 35 4.3 Employer Profile and Business Context ................................................................................ 36 4.3.1 Business Context ............................................................................................................... 36 4.3.2 Advantages and Disadvantages of an East Lindsey Coastal Zone Location ...................... 37 4.4 Current Conditions ................................................................................................................ 39 ii 4.5 Recruitment Difficulties ........................................................................................................ 42 4.5.1 Hospitality ......................................................................................................................... 42 4.5.2 Social Care ......................................................................................................................... 43 4.5.3 Engineering ....................................................................................................................... 44 4.5.4 Public Sector...................................................................................................................... 45 4.6 Training Activity .................................................................................................................... 46 4.6.1 Apprenticeships ................................................................................................................ 46 4.6.2 Training for staff ................................................................................................................ 48 4.7 Training Provision in the East Lindsey Coastal Zone ............................................................. 51 4.7.1 Employer Perceptions of Training Provision in the Coastal Zone ..................................... 51 4.7.2 Appetite for Further Training in East Lindsey’s Coastal Zone ........................................... 55 4.8 The Supply Side ..................................................................................................................... 57 4.9 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................. 58 5: The Supply of Skills in East Lindsey ............................................................................................... 60 5.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 60 5.2 Population Trends and Labour Market Participation ........................................................... 60 5.3 Participation in Training ........................................................................................................ 66 5.4 Training undertaken .............................................................................................................. 74 Subject breakdown ........................................................................................................................... 77 Learner Responsive aims .................................................................................................................. 81 5.5 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................. 87 Chapter 6: Travel to learn patterns in East Lindsey and the Coastal Zone ..................................... 88 6.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 88 6.2 Location of training ............................................................................................................... 88 6.3 Learner Responsive Training ................................................................................................. 94 6.4 The geography of travel-to-study for Learner Responsive training .................................... 100 6.5 Employer Responsive Ttraining........................................................................................... 105 6.6 Conclusion ........................................................................................................................... 113 7. Pupils’ Aspirations, Career Choices, and Geographical Preferences .......................................... 115 7.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 115 7.2 Job Prefeerences on Exiting Full-time Education ................................................................ 115 iii 7.3 Importance of Staying-on at School .................................................................................... 117 7.4 Pupils’ Travel Preferences ................................................................................................... 119 7.5 Living and Working in Lincolnshire ..................................................................................... 122 7.6 Conclusion ........................................................................................................................... 123 8. The Barriers and Facilitators to Training in the Coastal Zone ..................................................... 124 8.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 124 8.2 Barriers to Training ............................................................................................................. 125 8.2.1 Demand Side ................................................................................................................... 125 8.2.2 The Supply Side ..............................................................................................................