SENQU LED STRATEGY 2018-2038 Adopted May 2018 SENQU DRAFT LED STRATEGY 2018-2038 1 Contents Tables ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 2 CHAPTER 1: LED PLANNING FRAMEWORK ................................................................................................................... 4 1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................ 4 2. Internal Perspective ................................................................................................................................................ 4 3. National Policy Framework ..................................................................................................................................... 5 4. Provincial Policy Framework ................................................................................................................................. 10 5. District Policy Framework .............................................................................................................................. 13 CHAPTER 2: SENQU CONTEXTUAL ANALYSIS ............................................................................................................ 15 1.Introduction ..................................................................................................................................................................... 15 2. Socio-Economic Indicators .................................................................................................................................... 16 2.1 Population Dynamics........................................................................................................................................ 16 2.2 Human Settlements .......................................................................................................................................... 16 2.3 Gender and Age ................................................................................................................................................ 17 2.4 Population by population group, gender, age and households ........................................................................... 18 2.5 HIV and AIDS Estimates .................................................................................................................................. 19 2.6 Population Density ........................................................................................................................................... 20 2.7 Development Indicators ................................................................................................................................... 20 3.Economy .......................................................................................................................................................................... 31 3.1 Global, RSA and Eastern Cape Economies ........................................................................................................ 31 3.2. Gross Domestic Product by Region (GDP-R) .................................................................................................... 33 3.3. Economic Growth Forecast .............................................................................................................................. 35 3.4. Gross Value Added by Region (GVA-R) ............................................................................................................ 36 3.5. Tress Index ...................................................................................................................................................... 41 3.6 Location Quotient ............................................................................................................................................ 42 3.7 Tourism ........................................................................................................................................................... 42 3.8. International Trade .......................................................................................................................................... 46 3.9 Total Employment ............................................................................................................................................ 47 3.10. Income and Expenditure .................................................................................................................................. 51 3.11. Land ................................................................................................................................................................. 55 4. LED Support System ....................................................................................................................................................... 56 CHAPTER 3: STRATEGIC SYNTHESIS ............................................................................................................................ 57 1. Introduction ...................................................................................................................................................... 57 2. Key Problem Statements ................................................................................................................................. 57 3. Comparative and Competitive advantages ................................................................................................... 60 CHAPTER 4: LED FRAMEWORK ...................................................................................................................................... 62 1. Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................... 62 2. Economic Vision ................................................................................................................................................... 62 3. LED Strategy Objectives ........................................................................................................................................ 63 4. LED Strategy Development Thrusts ....................................................................................................................... 63 CHAPTER 5: LED PROGRAMMES & PROJECTS ........................................................................................................... 66 1. Introduction ......................................................................................................................................................... 66 2 Locality Development ............................................................................................................................................ 66 3 Enterprise Development ........................................................................................................................................ 67 4 Livelihoods Programme ........................................................................................................................................ 70 5 Skills Development Programme ............................................................................................................................ 70 6 Institutional Development Programme ................................................................................................................. 71 CHAPTER 6: LED INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK ...................................................................................................... 72 1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................... 72 2 Key LED Institutional Platforms ............................................................................................................................ 72 3. LED Unit Human Resource Plan ........................................................................................................................... 74 CHAPTER 7: IMPLEMENTATION AND MONITORING ................................................................................................ 76 1. Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................... 76 2. Implementation Approach .................................................................................................................................... 76 3 Monitoring & Evaluation Guidelines...................................................................................................................... 77 Tables Table 1: New Growth Path Job Drivers and Support Measures ........................................................................................ 7 Table 2: Average Household Size .................................................................................................................................... 16 Table 3: Population by gender. ....................................................................................................................................... 17 Table 4. Population by population group, gender and age. ............................................................................................. 19 Table 5.Number of HIV positive