Next Generation Computing Erica Wiseman Strategic Information Analyst, National Research Council of Canada Prepared by: National Research Council of Canada / Government of Canada 1200 Montreal Rd, Ottawa, ON K1A 0R6 Contract Number: FE22071707 NRC Project #: EW16-02 Contract Scientific Valérie Lavigne, Defence Scientist and Bruno Gilbert, Chief Scientist The scientific or technical validity of this Contract Report is entirely the responsibility of the Contractor and the contents do not necessarily have the approval or endorsement of the Department of National Defence of Canada. Defence Research and Development Canada Contract Report DRDC-RDDC-2017-C049 March 2016 Template in use: SR Advanced_Oct_Release_EN_V.03.02_2015-08-12-V02_WW.dot © Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of National Defence, 2016 © Sa Majesté la Reine (en droit du Canada), telle que représentée par le ministre de la Défense nationale, 2016 Strategic Technical Insights NEXT GENERATION COMPUTING Prepared for Valerie Lavigne Defence Scientist, C2I Section, Valcartier Research Centre Defence Research and Development Canada / Government of Canada [email protected] Bruno Gilbert Chief Scientist, Information Sciences, Valcartier Research Centre Defence Research and Development Canada / Government of Canada [email protected] Prepared by Erica Wiseman, Strategic Information Analyst, National Research Council of Canada / Government of Canada [email protected] DRDC Project #: FE22071707 NRC Project #: EW16-02 Report submitted: September 12, 2016 NRC-KM employees make every effort to obtain information from reliable sources. However, we assume no responsibility or liability for any decisions based upon the information presented. Scientometric Study on Next Generation Computing September, 2016 Table of Contents 1 Executive Summary .................................................................................................................... 5 2 Background ................................................................................................................................ 7 2.1 Context .......................................................................................................................................... 7 2.2 Key Issues ...................................................................................................................................... 7 2.3 Key Questions ................................................................................................................................ 7 3 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 8 3.1 Phase 1 Findings .......................................................................................................................... 11 4 Phase 2 Findings ....................................................................................................................... 14 4.1 Biocomputing .............................................................................................................................. 17 4.1.1 Biocomputing Top Topics ................................................................................................... 21 4.1.2 Major Players and Area of Focus ........................................................................................ 23 4.1.3 Collaboration Networks ...................................................................................................... 25 4.2 Nanocomputing ........................................................................................................................... 27 4.2.1 Top Topics ........................................................................................................................... 32 4.2.2 Major Players and Area of Focus ........................................................................................ 33 4.2.3 Collaboration Networks ...................................................................................................... 35 4.3 Spintronics ................................................................................................................................... 36 4.3.1 Top topics ........................................................................................................................... 43 4.3.2 Major Players and Area of Focus ........................................................................................ 44 4.3.3 Collaboration Networks ...................................................................................................... 45 4.4 Optical/Photonic Computing ....................................................................................................... 47 4.4.1 Top Topics ........................................................................................................................... 53 4.4.2 Major players and Area of Focus ........................................................................................ 55 4.4.3 Collaboration Networks ...................................................................................................... 57 5 Conclusions .............................................................................................................................. 59 6 References ............................................................................................................................... 62 Appendix A: Definitions of Topics In Phase 1 .................................................................................... 67 Appendix B: Nanotechnology inspired Grand Challenge Goals .......................................................... 74 Appendix C: Roadmap for nanophotonic devices 2014-2020 ............................................................. 77 Appendix D: Attachments ................................................................................................................ 80 Appendix E: Methodology ................................................................................................................ 81 Searches ................................................................................................................................................... 81 Analysis .................................................................................................................................................... 82 Page 2 of 83 Scientometric Study on Next Generation Computing September, 2016 List of Figures Figure 1: Selected Predictions for the End of Moore’s Law ............................................................................... 8 Figure 2. Cluster Map: Phase 1 ......................................................................................................................... 12 Figure 3. Mind map of Next Generation Computing Topics ............................................................................. 13 Figure 4. Publication Trendlines, All Four Subsets ........................................................................................... 14 Figure 5. Cluster Map of Topics in the Four Selected Subtopics ...................................................................... 16 Figure 6. Biocomputing Top Topics by Publication Count ................................................................................ 21 Figure 7. Biocomputing Research Thrusts ........................................................................................................ 22 Figure 8. Biocomputing Top Affiliations ........................................................................................................... 23 Figure 9. Biocomputing Top Countries ............................................................................................................. 23 Figure 10. Top 10 Biocomputing Affiliations and Areas of Focus ..................................................................... 24 Figure 11. Biocomputing Top Affiliation Collaborations .................................................................................. 26 Figure 12. Arrangement of Electrons in Quantum Dots ................................................................................... 27 Figure 13. Taxonomy of Memory Devices ........................................................................................................ 30 Figure 14. Most Promising Emerging Memory Devices ................................................................................... 30 Figure 15. Most Promising Emerging Logic Devices ......................................................................................... 31 Figure 16. Nanocomputing Top Topics ............................................................................................................. 32 Figure 17. Nanocomputing Cluster Map .......................................................................................................... 32 Figure 18. Nanocomputing Top Affiliations ...................................................................................................... 33 Figure 19. Top Nanocomputing Major Players and Areas of Focus ................................................................. 34 Figure 20. Nanocomputing Affiliation Collaborations ...................................................................................... 35 Figure 21. Schematic of Magnetic Tunnel Junction .........................................................................................