Water and Energy solutions in changing climatic conditions for Next century using Geospatial applications Dr Ritesh Arya Director Geothermal section International Sustainable Energy Organisation Geospatial World Forum 2017 1 •Geospatial digitalization is in its infancy stage in India but good geospatial maps in future holds the key for the policy and decision makers to effectively take immediate decisions for natural resource and infrastructural development both in times of peace or disaster (manmade during wars or natural due to earthquakes or floods) for the welfare of the nation right upto village level to make SMART India. Geospatial World Forum 2017 Groundwater in Himalaya •Mountains devoid of groundwater till early 1990s Geospatial World Forum 2017 3 www.ritesharya.com Innovation Asia 2015 1996 • “CONCEPTUAL MODEL to explain OCCURRENCE and MOVEMENT of groundwater resources in entire Hindukush Himalayas” IGC Beijing Geospatial World Forum 2017 4 Tibetans who fled Tibet in 1959 following Chinese aggression, settled in Ladakh 3000TIBETANS got 24 x 7 water since 1998 Geospatial World Forum 2017 5 Melting water to quench their thirst Geospatial World Forum 2017 6 Civil and army gets water www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 7 2000 Geospatial World Forum 2017 8 DRASS temps > -40 Tololing Hill ASIA’S coldest place 2nd coldest in world Kargil War Memorial www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 9 Groundwater in Himalaya www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 10 Geospatial World Forum 2017 11 Instant hero Geospatial World Forum 2017 12 Geospatial World Forum 2017 13 press designated me www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 14 www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 15 Climate change impact n water and energy resources ??? Geospatial World Forum 2017 16 Indian Express Feb 2007 www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 17 •What is climate change??? Geospatial World Forum 2017 UNIPCC “Man and his activities responsible for unprecedented increase in global temperatures in recent past” www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 19 www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 20 Al Gore www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 21 But that’s not… the truth… IT s Inconvenient truth …… www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 22 Pollution 100% natural & 100% man made Fossil fuel causes pollution Volcanic eruption causes pollution www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 23 CO2 is essential part of food chain CO2 increase ~ Agricultural increase www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 24 No evidence supports man made activities increase or decrease climate change www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 25 Glaciers in Himalaya ……extinct or on verge of extinction ……much before ……………..industrialisation www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 26 EXTINCT GLACIERS IN HIMALAYA Extinct glacier 1006 AD www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 27 ON VERGE OF EXTINCTION K On verge of extinction – Chuhul Khardung la - Water Lifeline of Leh (receded – 20.8km) www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 28 Siachen – The Receding glacier www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 29 Siachen glacier Receded (78.15kms since Last ICE age) www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 30 Lakes – Shrinking in Himalaya www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 31 Indus Glacier …………. discovered in Ladakh Borewell samples www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 32 PALEOCLIMATIC SIGNATURES www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 33 Paleoclimatic signatures represent alphabet C- hence C cycles (Half cycle preserved) www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 34 C cycles –Taphonomic studies reveal 10 cycles preserved in the granites www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 35 R Resemble ALPHABET C www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 36 Aryas C cylce Climate change follows curvilinear pattern www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 37 Ice age GRADUALLY transforms into warming and warming Maxima subsequently culminates into ICE age www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 38 Dr Arya discovered 10 such C cycles •Since last Ice age around 11714 years from today ( 8 complete and 2 half) •Each Climate C cycle is of 1338.6 years •Half C cycle of 669.3 years www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 39 Frozen Thames – 1677 (Little ICE AGE around 336.6 ago fits with Arya’s C cycle) www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 40 Leh floods 2010 coincides with PRESENT warming Maxima Arya’s Half C cycle www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 41 Lamayuru Medieval warming 1006 Paleo glaciated Lake Outburt – www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 42 Geologically it means More transportation of sediments deposited during global cooling times into the ocean www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 43 Solutions - enjoy warming “Climate change is a geological phenomenon therefore Solutions to combat Climate change need to be geological. Build sustainable habitats in geologically favorable environments away from coast or river channels“. Dr Ritesh Arya talks at TEDX www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 44 SUSTAINABLE SOLUTIONS 1200 Lamayuru monastery constructed on Solid rock on bank of Lamayuru Lake outburst www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 45 Enjoy warming –Its natural …. and best time to be on this planet earth www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 46 Impact of warming on Himalayan glaciers • Glaciers are extinct (Indus Glacier) or on verge of extinction (Khardung la) •Flash flooding destruction of Indus civilisations in past •Sea level rise submergence www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 47 Indus valley civilization Now & then www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 48 Impact of warming on Fresh water sources in Himalaya Glaciers receding - Fresh water sources – Squeezing . Gravity schemes will run out More money to transport water Cost of Water increase – www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 49 Geospatial World Forum 2017 POLLUTION turns BLUE waters BLACK www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 51 Impact on power sector Geospatial World Forum 2017 Economic Impact •Hydro Power projects – renewable but not sustainable by 2030 Investments in Hydro power will be in danger www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 53 www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 54 www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Forum 2017 55 Innovation Asia 2015 Impact on dams www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 56 –Hydro Power projects renewable but not sustainable by 2030 CLIMATE, SILTING cause FLOODS Where will the water come??? Investments in Hydro power will be in danger www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 57 WIND AND SOLAR Renewable but only WHEN sun shines or wind blows www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 58 LIFE of SOLAR PANEL & WIND TURBINE is 20-25 YEARS www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 59 Non Renewable FOSSIL FUEL - Costly Pollution www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 60 What is right investment???? NUCLEAR POWER in Switzerland www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 61 NUCLEAR ENERGY ITS NOT FREE Energy – 1 GW costs 10 Billion $ Its not SAFE energy Geospatial World Forum 2017 62 NUCLEAR PLANTS ARE NUCLEAR BOMBS FOR FUTURE GENERATIONS In case of catastrophe – GENERATIONS ARE DESTROYED Geospatial World Forum 2017 63 CHERNOBYL 1986 April 6 500000 workers and 18 billion rubles FUKUSHIMA spent to avert catastrophe To be rehabilitated by 2065 Japan orders closure of 40+ plants Chernobyl and Fukushima disaster are worst nuclear power plant accident in history classified as level 7 event (max classification) on International Nuclear Event Scale long-term effects cancers and deformities are still being accounted for. www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 64 Cost of Restoration of Fukushima •20Billion $ •30 years Geospatial World Forum 2017 Geothermal perfect replacement for Nuclear Power 72 GEO sites identified www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 66 Yamagawa geothermal power plant, JAPAN Our VISION Replace NUCLEAR POWER (bombs)plants with AGNEYODGARA SITES to give safe, green, clean, economical SUSTAINABLE energy for all Dr Aryas presentation in World Sustainable Geospatial World Forum 2017 67 Energy Conference 2012 Geneva What is right investment???? www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 68 www.ritesharya.comGeospatial World Innovation Forum 2017 Asia 2015 69 Agneyodgara- Lava Energy www.ritesharya.comGeospatial