1-3 Scheme Update Doc 7/4/06 4:00 pm Page 2 Housing Market Renewal Pathfinder Scheme Update 2006 - 2020 April 2006 1-3 Scheme Update Doc 7/4/06 4:00 pm Page 3 CONTENTS . .Page FOREWORD . .3 CHAPTER 1: THE CASE FOR INTERVENTION 1.1 THE STORY SO FAR . .4 1.2 THE HOUSING MARKET NOW . .6 1.3 FORECASTING THE FUTURE . .7 1.4 HULL’S ROLE IN THE REGION AND BEYOND . .7 1.5 WHAT WOULD HAPPEN WITHOUT HOUSING MARKET RENEWAL INTERVENTION ? . .8 1.6 ACTION NOW . .9 CHAPTER 2: THE STRATEGIC CONTEXT 2.1 NATIONAL AND PAN-NORTHERN STRATEGIES . .12 2.2 REGIONAL AND SUB-REGIONAL STRATEGIES . .13 2.3 LOCAL STRATEGIES . .16 2.4 CONCLUSION . .17 CHAPTER 3: THE DIAGNOSIS 3.1 HOUSING MARKET DRIVERS . .18 3.2 DEMAND FOR HOUSING . .20 3.3 HOUSING SUPPLY . .23 3.4 QUALITY OF LIFE . .27 3.5 ECONOMY AND POPULATION . .30 3.6 HOUSING MARKET GEOGRAPHY . .34 3.7 MANAGING UNCERTAINTY . .37 3.8 CONCLUSIONS . .37 CHAPTER 4: THE SPATIAL STRATEGY FOR HULL 4.1 THE SPATIAL STRATEGY: WHAT IS IT FOR? . .38 4.2 THE CONCEPT PLAN . .39 4.3 JOINT INVESTMENT PLANNING . .41 4.4 CONCLUSION . .47 CHAPTER 5: VISION, OBJECTIVES AND PRIORITIES 5.1 THE VISION . .48 5.2 STRATEGIC CORE OBJECTIVES . .49 5.3 COMPLEMENTARY OBJECTIVES . .49 5.4 STRATEGIC OUTCOMES . .51 5.5 OUR INTERVENTION PRIORITIES . .51 5.6 CONCLUSION . .55 1 1-3 Scheme Update Doc 7/4/06 4:00 pm Page 4 CONTENTS . .Page CHAPTER 6: DELIVERING HOUSING MARKET RENEWAL 6.1 PROGRAMME OVERVIEW . .56 6.2 NASA (NEWINGTON AND ST. ANDREW’S WARDS) . .59 6.3 EAST HULL . .64 6.4 NORTH HULL . .74 6.5 OTHER AREA INTERVENTIONS . .77 6.6 PRIVATE SECTOR DELIVERY PARTNERSHIPS . .77 6.7 CITY-WIDE INTERVENTIONS . .80 6.8 STRATEGIC PARTNER PROGRAMMES . .82 6.9 RESOURCE AND OUTPUT TABLES . .87 6.10 CONCLUSION . .88 CHAPTER 7: COMMUNITY SUPPORT 7.1 POLICY ON COMMUNICATION, CONSULTATION AND ENGAGEMENT . .90 7.2 DELIVERY OF COMMUNICATIONS, CONSULTATION AND ENGAGEMENT . .91 7.3 EMPOWERING AND SUPPORTING COMMUNITIES . .91 7.4 WHAT LEVEL OF SUPPORT DO WE HAVE? . .93 7.5 CONCLUSIONS . .95 CHAPTER 8: MANAGING PERFORMANCE 8.1 THE MONITORING AND EVALUATION FRAMEWORK . .96 8.2 THE GATEWAY PERFORMANCE SYSTEMS . .97 8.3 REPORTING ON PERFORMANCE . .99 8.4 GOVERNANCE ARRANGEMENTS . .100 8.5 STAFFING ARRANGEMENTS . .101 8.6 CONCLUSION . .103 LIST OF SUPPORTING DOCUMENTS . .105 GLOSSARY OF TERMS . .106 2 1-3 Scheme Update Doc 7/4/06 4:00 pm Page 5 FOREWORD This scheme update This scheme update demonstrates how we have sets out Gateway’s worked with our partners to develop and deliver plans for the next our proposals. It is clear that only by working four years. The level together can we ensure that we maximise the full of housing market impact of our different projects in regenerating weakness in Hull the area. We will continue to enhance this joint remains extremely working with a range of partners including Hull high, but there is a City Council and the East Riding of Yorkshire real opportunity to Council, private developers, social housing make a difference. partners, health agencies and regional and sub- regional agencies. We have made remarkable progress since the submission of our first prospectus in 2004. We Improving neighbourhoods is fundamental to our have focused on delivering our first year work. We will continue to work with local programme and planning a way forward through communities and listen to their views about what consultation and developing our strategy, is needed to create sustainable places for the particularly in joining up our planning with that of future. our key partners. The proposals in this scheme update represent a We need £35 million over the next two years to huge opportunity for regeneration across the area lay the foundations for transformational change, and we look forward to working with all our meeting our objectives to revitalise Hull’s housing partners to deliver this housing transformation. market which are: Stuart Whyte • Improving the housing offer in Hull linked to improved economic performance Chair, Gateway • Reducing the level of low demand properties in Hull • Radically improving the inner city collar area of Hull • Helping to build mixed and sustainable communities in social housing areas where necessary • Supporting communities and individuals affected by change • Improving the quality and design of housing. The partners signing up to the scheme update, April 2006 3 1-3 Scheme Update Doc 7/4/06 4:00 pm Page 6 CHAPTER 1: THE CASE FOR INTERVENTION Intervention in the housing markets in Hull • we have contributed to the draft Regional and the East Riding of Yorkshire is just as Spatial Strategy and led the development of a important now as it was in 2004 when spatial strategy for Hull; Gateway came into being. Our vision remains: • we are making good progress in building up a staff team and creating a delivery structure in For the Hull housing market area to be a partnership with the private sector, all tailored place where people choose to live, a place to our specific needs; of prosperous, diverse and sustainable communities and vibrant neighbourhoods, • in the first year, we have delivered 100% of providing an enviable quality of life our targets and spent 100% of our available for all. grant; • we have continued to engage with This chapter sets out why we need intervention. communities and can demonstrate strong It details how we have dealt with the feedback community support for the proposals outlined from ODPM on our first prospectus and the Audit in this scheme update. Commission’s recommendations which have led to improvements in our evidence base, market understanding and strategy for tackling housing The original Gateway proposals were heavily market weaknesses. challenged by the ODPM and the Audit Commission during the negotiation period in Our confidence has grown as a result of a 2004/05. The particular cause for concern was successful year’s activity. But even though that whilst the evidence showed that population housing markets have strengthened to a degree, and household numbers in the city have been the underlying weaknesses will continue to reducing over the long term, Gateway’s original undermine the regeneration of Hull unless we plans were built on the policy of ‘build first and take determined action to address them through demolish later’. Put simply, government agencies the Housing Market Renewal Programme. were concerned, given these economic and population trajectories, that the level of new 1.1 THE STORY SO FAR building proposed would significantly increase the empty property rate in the city at least in the Following submission of the first prospectus, the short term, rather than reduce it, which is one of ODPM awarded Gateway a £16 million grant in the aims of the HMR programme. early 2005. A bidding range for support of between £25m to £35m during 2006/07 and 2007/08 was given, subject to satisfactory performance during 2005/06 and submission of a satisfactory scheme update. We have made remarkable progress over the last year: • we have further developed our evidence base; • we have built up a rational strategic framework for our investment that commands political support; • we have developed a commissioning framework to ensure that projects directly deliver our objectives; • we have continued to improve the good working partnership between Hull City Council Wyke Avenue, Newington and St Andrew’s and the East Riding of Yorkshire Council; 4 1-3 Scheme Update Doc 7/4/06 4:00 pm Page 7 CHAPTER 1: THE CASE FOR INTERVENTION Ings Road area - Caspon properties Newington & St Andrew’s The Audit Commission made a number of strategy, options appraisal, and the recommendations to be addressed in developing commissioning of local masterplanning. We have, this scheme update. These are set out in however, undertaken a root and branch overhaul Supporting Document 1, together with a of the strategic framework which underpins our summary of the actions we have taken. They proposals and objectives. Most importantly, we address the Audit Commission’s concerns and now propose to focus our initial activity along the build upon a number of positive elements in the “axis of regeneration” in Hull linked to the original prospectus, for example, the wide and Humber waterfront, which is where most comprehensive range of data. These areas have economic activity is, and will be, generated. been strengthened even further as a result of our These are detailed in Chapters 4 and 5 work during the year. respectively, and have led directly to the intervention programme set out in Chapter 6. Much of the work undertaken for the first prospectus remains valid, and has provided a sound basis for our scheme update preparation work, particularly the development of our Chart 1: House price trends 1998-2005 £ 220,000 200,000 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 O-D 1998 O-D 1999 O-D 2000 O-D 2001 O-D 2002 O-D 2003 O-D 2004 O-D 2005 Hull East Riding of Yorkshire England & Wales Source: HM Land Registry 5 1-3 Scheme Update Doc 7/4/06 4:00 pm Page 8 CHAPTER 1: THE CASE FOR INTERVENTION Map 1: Vacant properties December 2005 Source: Hull City Council This strategic review has led to a rethinking of East Riding of Yorkshire have increased the way in which regeneration investment is proportionately more in the period. More planned and coordinated across the city. recently, house prices have levelled out in Crucially, there is now a visible “golden thread” East Riding, with Hull catching up to some which connects our analysis of the housing extent.