SITUATION REPORT Date: July 31, 2007 Disaster Management Information Centre Disaster Management Bureau (DMB) Ministry of Food and Disaster Management Disaster Management and Relief Bhaban (6th Floor) 92-93 Mohakhali C/A, Dhaka-1212, Bangladesh Phone: +88-02-9890937, Fax: +88-02-9890854 Email: [email protected], [email protected] Web: http://www.cdmp.org.bd, www.dmb.gov.bd Emergency Flood Situation Title: Emergency Bangladesh Location: 20°22'N-26°36'N, 87°48'E-92°41'E, Covering From: MON-30-JUL-2007:1800 Period: To: TUE-31-JUL-2007:1800 Transmission Date/Time: TUE-31-JUL-2007:1530 Prepared by: DMIC, DMB Flood, Rainfall And River Situation , Summary of Water Levels, Flood Forecast (24 & 48 Hrs), Weather Forecast and Situation Report on Flood Affected Districts and Relief Allocation Current Situation: Monsoon is fairly active over Bangladesh and moderate elsewhere over North Bay. The Brahmaputra-Jamuna has started falling at up-stream. The Dharla and the Teesta are in falling trend. The flood situation in the districts of Lalmonirhat, Kurigram, Gaibandha, Rangpur and Bogra is likely to remain static and hopefully may start improving from tomorrow. The Ganges-Padma also continued rising at all points FLOOD, RAINFALL AND RIVER SITUATION SUMMARY (as on JULY 30, 2007) FLOOD OUTLOOK • The Brahmaputra-Jamuna has started falling at up-stream (Noonkhawa & Chilmari) points while it continued rising at down-stream points (Bahadurabad, Serajganj & Aricha) and is flowing 56 cm, 75 cm, 88 cm, 112 cm & 100 cm above danger level at Noonkhawa, Chilmari, Bahadurabad, Serajganj & Aricha respectively. • The river is likely to start falling at Bahadurabad & Serajganj by the next 24 hrs and at Aricha by next 48 hrs. • The Dharla and the Teesta are in falling trend and are flowing 54 cm above danger level at Kurigram. • The flood situation in the districts of Lalmonirhat, Kurigram, Gaibandha, Rangpur and Bogra is likely to remain static and hopefully may start improving from tomorrow whereas the situation in the districts of Jamalpur, Serajganj, Pabna & Tangail is still deteriorating and expected to start improving by next 2/3 days. • The Ganges-Padma also continued rising at all points is flowing 122 cm & 78 cm above danger level at Goalundo and Bhagyakul respectively. The river is likely to rise further at the same rate for next 24 hrs and at a lower rate for next 48 & 72 hrs. The Disaster Management Information Centre is the information hub of the Ministry of Food and Disaster Management for risk reduction, hazard early warnings and emergency response and recovery activities. Page 1 of 10 DER Comprehensive Disaster Group Management Programme SITUATION REPORT • More areas in the districts of Manikganj, Munshiganj, Faridpur, Rajbari, Madaripur, Shariatpur and Dohar & Nawabganj upazila of Dhaka are likely to get inundated. • The Meghna at Bhairab Bazar continued rising and is flowing 25 cm above danger level this morning. The river is likely to rise further and inundation of low-lying areas in the districts of Narshingdi, Brahmanbaria and Narayanganj will further continue. • Small rivers surrounding Dhaka and Narayanganj continued rising and are likely to approach danger levels in the next 1/2 days except the Buriganga which is flowing 82 cm below danger level this morning. • Low lying areas in the eastern part of Dhaka city is likely to inundate further. • The prevailing flash flood situation in the north-eastern districts Netrokona, Sunamganj and Sylhet is likely to start improving. (Source: Flood Forecasting and Warning Center - FFWC) SUMMARY OF WATER LEVELS Water Level above AS ON 30-07-2007 AT 06:00 HOURS: River Station Name D.L. WATER LEVEL Above D.L. 30-07-2007 31-07-2007 (in cm) BRAHMAPUTRA BASIN DHARLA KURIGRAM 26.50 27.23 27.04 +54 GHAGOT GAIBANDHA 21.70 22.47 22.25 +55 BRAHMAPUTRA NOONKHAWA 27.25 27.86 27.81 +56 BRAHMAPUTRA CHILMARI 24.00 24.80 24.75 +75 JAMUNA BAHADURABAD 19.50 20.34 20.38 + 88 JAMUNA SERAJGANJ 13.75 14.74 14.87 + 118 JAMUNA ARICHA 9.40 10.25 10.40 + 100 KALIGANGA TARAGHAT 8.38 8.20 8.58 + 20 DHALESWARI REKABI BAZAR 5.18 5.5.43 5.54 + 36 GANGES BASIN PADMA GOALUNDO 8.50 9.55 9.72 +122 PADMA BHAGYAKUL 6.00 6.66 6.78 +78 KOBADAK JHIKARGACHA 4.11 4.46 4.49 +38 MEGHNA BASIN SURMA KANAIGHAT 13.20 14.31 14.20 + 100 SURMA SYLHET 11.25 11.52 11.56 + 31 SURMA SUNAMGANJ 8.25 8.86 8.80 + 55 KUSHIYARA SHEOLA 13.50 13.65 13.60 + 10 SOMESWARI DURGAPUR 13.00 14.80 14.44 + 144 KANGSHA JARIAJANJAIL 9.75 11.52 11.36 + 161 MEGHNA BHAIRAB BAZAR 6.25 6.39 6.50 + 25 Water Level above Danger Level Locations was (29 July 2007): Kurigram (Dharla, +73 cm), Gaibandha (Ghagot, +77 cm), Noonkhawa ( Brahmaputra, +61 cm), Chilmari ( Brahmaputra, +80 cm), Bahadurabad (Jamuna, +84 cm), Serajganj (Jamuna, +99 cm), Aricha (Jamuna, +85 cm), Rekabibazar ( Dhaleswari, +25 cm), Goalondo (Padma, +105 cm), Bhagyakul (Padma, +66 cm), Jhikargacha (Kobadak, +35 cm), Kanaighat (Surma, +111 cm), Sylhet (Surma, +27 cm), Sunamganj (Surma, +61 cm), Amalshid (Kushiara, +3 cm), Sheola (Kushiara, +15 cm), Durgapur (Someswari, +180 cm), Jariajanjail (Kangsha, +177 cm), Bhairab Bazar (meghna, +14 cm) (Source: Flood Forecasting and Warning Center - FFWC) The Disaster Management Information Centre is the information hub of the Ministry of Food and Disaster Management for risk reduction, hazard early warnings and emergency response and recovery activities. Page 2 of 10 DER Comprehensive Disaster Group Management Programme SITUATION REPORT RIVER SITUATION MAP The Disaster Management Information Centre is the information hub of the Ministry of Food and Disaster Management for risk reduction, hazard early warnings and emergency response and recovery activities. Page 3 of 10 DER Comprehensive Disaster Group Management Programme SITUATION REPORT FLOOD FORECAST FOR NEXT 24 HRS (01-08-07 AT 6 AM): The Brahmaputra-Jamuna at: 1) Bahadurabad is likely to fall by 5 cm and may flow 83 cm above danger level 2) Serajganj is likely to rise by 9 cm and may flow 103 cm above danger level 3) Aricha is likely to remain steady and may flow 100 cm above danger level The Tongi Khal at Tongi is likely to rise by 24 cm and may flow 10 cm above danger level The Turag at Mirpur is likely to rise by 26 cm and may flow 5 cm below danger level The Buriganga at Dhaka is likely to rise by 19 cm and may flow 63 cm below danger level The Balu at Demra is likely to rise by 18 cm and coincide with the danger level The Lakhya at Narayanganj is likely to rise by 14cm and may flow 5 cm below danger level The Padma at: 1) Hardinge Br. is likely to rise by 15 cm and may flow 60 cm below danger level 2) Goalundo is likely to rise by 1 cm and may flow 123 above danger level 3) Bhagyakul is likely to rise by 2 cm and may flow 80 cm above danger level The Surma at: 1) Sylhet is likely to rise by 5 cm and may flow 36 cm above danger level 2) Sunamganj is likely to rise by 3 cm and may flow 58 cm above danger level The Meghna at Bhairab Bazar is likely to rise by 16 cm and may flow 41 cm above danger level FLOOD FORECAST FOR NEXT 48 HRS (02-08-07 AT 6 AM): The Brahmaputra-Jamuna at: 1) Bahadurabad is likely to fall further by 3 cm and may flow 80 cm above danger level 2) Serajganj is likely to fall further by 6 cm and may flow 97 cm above danger level 3) Aricha is likely to rise by 1 cm and may flow 101 cm above danger level The Tongi Khal at Tongi is likely to rise further by 16 cm and may flow 26 cm above danger level The Turag at Mirpur is likely to rise further by 14 cm and may flow 9 cm above danger level The Buriganga at Dhaka is likely to rise further by 17 cm and may flow 46 cm below danger level The Balu at Demra is likely to rise by 17 cm and may flow 17 cm above danger level The Lakhya at Narayanganj is likely to rise further by 17 cm and may flow 22 cm above danger level The Padma at: 1) Hardinge Br. is likely to rise further by 10 cm and may flow 50 cm below danger level 2) Goalundo is likely to rise further by 3 cm and may flow 126 cm above danger level 3) Bhagyakul is likely to rise further by 3 cm and may flow 83 cm above danger level The Surma at: 1) Sylhet is likely to rise by 4 cm and may flow 40 cm above danger level 2) Sunamganj is likely to fall by 1 cm and may flow 57 cm above danger level The Meghna at Bhairab Bazar is likely to rise further by 16 cm and may flow 57 cm above danger level RAINFALL • Significant rainfalls recorded during the last 24 hrs ending at 6 AM today are: Sylhet: 135 mm Knaighat: 76.0 mm Lorergarh: 61.0 mm Sherpur: 51.0 mm The Disaster Management Information Centre is the information hub of the Ministry of Food and Disaster Management for risk reduction, hazard early warnings and emergency response and recovery activities. Page 4 of 10 DER Comprehensive Disaster Group Management Programme SITUATION REPORT GENERAL RIVER CONDITION • 19 water level monitoring stations are flowing above danger levels: (The Dharla at Kurigram by 54 cm, the Ghagot at Gaibandha by 55 cm, the Brahmaputra at Noonkhawa by 56 cm, Brahmaputra at Chilmari by 75 cm , the Jamuna at Bahadurabad by 88 cm, at Serajganj by 112 cm & at Aricha by 100 cm; the Kaliganga at Taraghat by 20 cm, the Dhaleswari at Rekabi Bazar by 36 cm, the Padma at Goalundo by 122 cm & at Bhagyakul by 78 cm; the Kobadak at Jhikargacha by 38 cm; the Surma at Kanaighat by 100 cm, at Sylhet by 31 cm & at Sunamganj by 55 cm; the Kushiyara at Sheola by 10 cm ; the Someswari at Durgapur by 144 cm, the Kangsa at Jariajanjail by 161 cm and the Meghna at Bhairab Bazar by 25 cm).