A Feasibility Study on the Termination of the Sending-Receiving Agreement Between the Maywood Public Schools and the Hackensack Public Schools by Statistical Forecasting LLC, John Kazmark, Ed.D., and James L. Kirtland CPAOH July 2019 4236031 2 Table of Contents Acknowledgements .............................................................................................................. 4 I. Introduction ………….. ................................................................................................ 5 II. Demographic Profiles .............................................................................................................. 7 A. Community Descriptions ................................................................................................... 7 1. Borough of Maywood ............................................................................................ 7 2. City of Hackensack ............................................................................................... 8 3. Borough of Dumont ............................................................................................. 9 4. Borough of Midland Park ..................................................................................... 10 5. Borough of Paramus ............................................................................................. 11 6. Carlstadt-East Rutherford Regional Geographical Area ........................................ 12 B. Demographic Characteristics ............................................................................................. 14 1. Borough of Maywood ............................................................................................ 15 2. City of Hackensack ............................................................................................... 16 3. Borough of Dumont ............................................................................................ 18 4. Borough of Midland Park ..................................................................................... 19 5. Borough of Paramus ............................................................................................. 20 6. Carlstadt-East Rutherford Regional Geographical Area ........................................ 21 C. District Overviews ............................................................................................................. 22 1. Maywood Public Schools ....................................................................................... 22 2. Hackensack Public Schools .................................................................................. 22 3. Dumont Public Schools ......................................................................................... 22 4. Midland Park Public Schools ............................................................................... 22 5. Paramus Public Schools ....................................................................................... 23 6. Carlstadt-East Rutherford Regional School District ............................................... 23 D. Explanation of the Cohort-Survival Ratio Method ........................................................... 24 E. Historical Enrollment Trends ............................................................................................. 25 1. Maywood Public Schools ....................................................................................... 25 2. Hackensack Public Schools .................................................................................. 25 3. Dumont Public Schools ......................................................................................... 25 4. Midland Park Public Schools ............................................................................... 29 5. Paramus Public Schools ....................................................................................... 29 6. Carlstadt-East Rutherford Regional School District ............................................... 29 F. Birth Data .............................................................................................................. 33 G. Potential New Housing .................................................................................................... 35 1. Borough of Maywood ............................................................................................ 35 2. City of Hackensack ............................................................................................... 37 3. Borough of Dumont ............................................................................................ 39 4. Borough of Midland Park ..................................................................................... 40 5. Borough of Paramus ............................................................................................. 41 6. Carlstadt-East Rutherford Regional Geographic Area ........................................... 42 H. Enrollment Projections ..................................................................................................... 43 1. Maywood Public Schools ....................................................................................... 46 2. Hackensack Public Schools .................................................................................. 47 3. Dumont Public Schools ......................................................................................... 48 4. Midland Park Public Schools ............................................................................... 49 5. Paramus Public Schools ....................................................................................... 50 6. Carlstadt-East Rutherford Regional School District .............................................. 51 I. Capacity Analysis ............................................................................................................ 52 III. Educational Programs .............................................................................................................. 54 A. Introduction .............................................................................................................. 54 B. Overview of School Districts .......................................................................................... 54 1. Maywood Public Schools ....................................................................................... 54 2. Hackensack Public Schools .................................................................................. 55 a) Hackensack High School ......................................................................... 55 3. Dumont Public Schools ......................................................................................... 56 a) Dumont High School ............................................................................... 56 4. Midland Park Public Schools ............................................................................... 57 a) Midland Park Junior/Senior High School ................................................ 57 5. Paramus Public Schools ....................................................................................... 58 a) Paramus High School .............................................................................. 58 4236031 3 6. Carlstadt-East Rutherford Regional School District ............................................... 59 a) Becton Regional High School ................................................................. 59 C. Comparison of New Jersey Assessments and Related Progress Indicators ...................... 60 1. Background ............................................................................................................ 60 2. PARCC Performance Levels ................................................................................ 60 3. Comparison of New Jersey PARCC results for Grades Three-Eleven and New Jersey Biology Competency Test (NJBCT) .................. 61 4. Scholastic Aptitude Test ....................................................................................... 81 5. Advanced Placement/International Baccalaureate Course Information ................ 82 6. Technology Readiness .......................................................................................... 82 7. Teacher Characteristics ........................................................................................ 85 8. Visual and Performing Arts .................................................................................. 86 9. ESSA .............................................................................................................. 87 D. Educational Summary and Recommendations ................................................................ 89 1. Facilities .............................................................................................................. 89 2. Programs .............................................................................................................. 90 3. Student Outcomes ................................................................................................. 91 4. Conclusion and Recommendations ...................................................................... 93 IV. Racial Impact .............................................................................................................. 96 A. Maywood Public Schools Enrollments by Race .............................................................. 96 1. District Totals (PK-8) ........................................................................................