Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT ON PROPOSED IDA, PPCR AND SCCF GRANTS AND CREDITS IN AN AMOUNT OF SDR X MILLION (US$13.8 MILLION EQUIVALENT IDA) TO SAMOA; IN AN AMOUNT OF SDR X MILLION (US$10.5 MILLION EQUIVALENT IDA, US$4.579 MILLION EQUIVALENT SCCF AND US$1.5 MILLION EQUIVALENT GFDRR/JAPAN) TO THE KINGDOM OF TONGA; IN AN AMOUNT OF SDR X MILLION (US$1.5 MILLION EQUIVALENT IDA) TO THE REPUBLIC OF MARSHALL ISLANDS; IN AN AMOUNT OF SDR X MILLION (US$1.5 MILLION EQUIVALENT IDA) TO THE REPUBLIC OF VANUATU IN AN AMOUNT OF SDR X MILLION (US$ 3.7 MILLION EQUIVALENT REGIONAL IDA AND US$5.794 MILLION EQUIVALENT PPCR) TO THE SECRETARY OF THE PACIFIC COMMUNITY IN AN AMOUNT OF SDR X MILLION (US$ 1.3 MILLION EQUIVALENT REGIONAL IDA AND US$0.9 MILLION EQUIVALENT SCCF) TO THE PACIFIC ISLANDS FORUM SECRETARIAT; RESPECTIVELY AND IN SUPPORT OF FIVE PROJECTS UNDER A SERIES OF OPERATIONS PACIFIC RESILIENCE PROGRAM (PREP) (P147839) IN AN AMOUNT OF SDR X MILLION (US$45 MILLION EQUIVALENT) March 30, 2015 This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS Currency Unit = SDR x SDR = US$1 FISCAL YEAR January 1 – December 31 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ADB Asian Development Bank CAS Country Assistance Strategy CERC Contingency Emergency Response Component CPF Country Partnership Framework CPS Country Partnership Strategy CRICU Climate Resilience Investment and Coordination Unit DMO Disaster Management Office in Samoa DRM Disaster Risk Management EEZ Exclusive Economic Zone ESMF Environmental and social management framework EWS Early Warning System FM Financial Management FSM Federated States of Micronesia GDP Gross Domestic Product GEF Global Environment Facility GNI Gross National Income GoS Government of Samoa GoT Government of Tonga GoV Government of Vanuatu IA Implementing Agency IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction and Development IDA International Development Association IFR Interim Financial Report LDCF Least Developed Countries Fund M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MFEM Ministry of Finance and Economic Management in Vanuatu MFNP Ministry of Finance and National Planning in Tonga MEIDECC Ministry of Meteorology, Information, Energy, Disaster Management, Climate Change and Communications in Tonga MHEWS Multi-Hazard Early Warning System MNRE Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment in Samoa MoF Ministry of Finance, Samoa MWTI Ministry of Works, Transport and Infrastructure in Samoa NDMO National Disaster Management Office in Vanuatu i NDMOs National Disaster Management Offices NEMO National Emergency Management Office in Tonga NEOC National Emergency Operations Centre in Samoa NGO Non-Government Organization NMHSs National Meteorological and Hydrological Services NRD National Resources Department in Tonga O&M Operations and Maintenance ORAF Operational Risk Assessment Framework PacRIS Pacific Risk Information System PAD Project Appraisal Document PCRAFI Pacific Catastrophe Risk Assessment and Financing Initiative PDO Project Development Objective PIC Pacific Island Countries PIFS Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat POM Project Operations Manual PPCR Pilot Program for Climate Resilience PPN Policy and Practice Note PREP Pacific Resilience Program PRP Pacific Resilience Partnership PSU Program Support Unit QER Quality Enhancement Review RMI Republic of Marshall Islands RCU Regional Coordination Unit RPEC Regional Procurement Evaluation Committee RTEC Regional Technical Committee SCCF Special Climate Change Fund SISRI Small Island States Resilience Initiative SMD Samoa Meteorological Division SOPs Standard Operating Procedures SORT Systematic Operations Risk-Rating Tool SPC Secretariat of the Pacific Community SPREP Secretariat of Pacific Regional Environmental Program SRDP Strategy for Climate and Disaster Resilient Development in the Pacific TA Technical Assistance TAF/OFDA USAID Office of US Foreign Disaster Assistance TC Tropical Cyclone TCE Tropical Cyclone Evan TCI Tropical Cyclone Ian TEC Technical Committee TMD Tonga Meteorological Department VMDG Vanuatu Meteorology and Geohazards Department WIS World Meteorology Organization Information System WMO World Meteorological Organization WRD Water Resources Division in Samoa ii Vice President: Axel van Trotsenburg Country Director: Franz Drees-Gross Senior Global Practice Director: Ede Ijjasz-Vasquez/Paula Caballero Practice Manager: Abhas Jha/Iain Shuker Task Team Leader: Denis Jordy Co-Task Team Leader: Michael Bonte-Grapentin iii Table of Contents I. STRATEGIC CONTEXT.......................................................................................................... 1 A. Regional Context ................................................................................................................... 1 B. Sectoral and Institutional Context ......................................................................................... 2 C. Higher Level Objectives to which the Program Contributes ........................................... 5 II. PROGRAM DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES PDO ................................................................ 6 A. PDO .................................................................................................................................. 6 B. Program beneficiaries ....................................................................................................... 7 C. PDO-Level Results Indicators .......................................................................................... 7 III. PROGRAM DESCRIPTION .................................................................................................... 8 A. Series of Projects .............................................................................................................. 8 B. Program Components ....................................................................................................... 8 Component 1: Strengthening Early Warning and Preparedness ............................................. 9 Component 2: Risk Reduction and Resilient Investments ...................................................... 9 Component 3: Disaster Risk Financing .................................................................................. 9 Component 4: Project and Program Management .................................................................. 9 C. Program Financing ......................................................................................................... 10 D. Lessons learned and Reflected in the Project Design .................................................... 12 IV. IMPLEMENTATION........................................................................................................... 12 A. Institutional and Implementation Arrangements ............................................................ 12 National Arrangements ......................................................................................................... 13 Regional Arrangements ........................................................................................................ 13 B. Results Monitoring and Evaluation ................................................................................ 14 C. Sustainability ........................................................................................................................ 15 V. KEY RISKS AND MITIGATION MEASURES ................................................................... 16 A. Overall Risk Rating and Explanation of Risks .................................................................... 16 B. Systematic Operations Risk-Rating Tool (SORT) ......................................................... 16 VI. APPRAISAL SUMMARY ..................................................................................................... 18 A. Economic and Financial Analysis .................................................................................. 18 B. Technical ........................................................................................................................ 19 C. Financial Management ................................................................................................... 20 D. Procurement ................................................................................................................... 20 E. Environmental and Social Safeguards ............................................................................ 21 F. Gender ................................................................................................................................ 23 iv G. World Bank Grievance Redress ..................................................................................... 24 ANNEX 1: RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND MONITORING ................................................... 25 ANNEX 2: DETAILED PROGRAM DESCRIPTION ................................................................ 31 Component 1: Strengthening Early Warning and Preparedness ............................................... 31 Sub-Component 1.1: Investments in Early Warning and Preparedness ............................... 32 Sub-Component 1.2: Regional TA to strengthen impact forecasting and preparedness ...... 33 Component 2: Risk Reduction and Resilient Investments ........................................................ 33 Sub-component 2.1: Risk Reduction and Resilient Investment Planning