Howard County Hazard Mitigation Plan 2017 Prepared by: Mid-Missouri Regional Planning Commission 206 East Broadway P.O. Box 140 Ashland, MO 65010 Phone: (573) 657-9779 Fax: (573) 657-2829 Plan available online at mmrpc.org Cover Photos: Flood and wind are two of the most damaging natural hazards in Howard County. Aerial photos show flooding in 1993 and tornado damage in 2006. Photos courtesy of Fayette Advertiser/Democrat Leader. Table of Contents List of Acronyms Used in Plan vi Executive Summary 1 Prerequisites 2 Section 1: Introduction and Planning Process 1.1 Purpose 4 1.2 Background 5 1.3 History of the Howard County Hazard Mitigation Plan 5 1.4 Participating Jurisdictions 7 1.5 The Update Process 10 Section 2: Planning Area Profile and Capabilities 2.1 Geography and Ecology 17 2.2 Climate 23 2.3 History 25 2.4 Natural Hazard History 26 2.5 Demographics 29 2.6 Education 32 2.7 Employment and Income 34 2.8 Transportation and Commuting Patterns 37 2.9 Planning Area Capabilities 41 Legal Authority 41 Policy, Planning, and Program Capabilities 42 National Flood Insurance Program 43 Communications and Media 44 Special Districts 48 Fire Protection Districts 48 Water Districts 50 Non-Governmental and Volunteer Organizations 52 Community and Regional Partnerships 52 Political Willpower 52 2.10 Participating Jurisdictions - Profiles and Assets 53 Overview of Planning Area 53 Howard County 57 Armstrong 62 Fayette 65 Glasgow 68 New Franklin 71 New Franklin R-I School District 74 Howard Co. R-II School District 75 Fayette R-III School District 76 Central Methodist University 77 Howard Co. Consolidated Water District #1 79 Howard Co. Regional Water Commission 81 Section 3: Risk Assessment 3.1 Introduction and Methodology 83 Identification of Hazards 83 Profiling Hazards 84 Assessment of Vulnerability 85 Inventory of Assets 87 3.2 Hazard Profiles and Vulnerability Overviews 88 3.2.1 Dam Failure 88 3.2.2 Drought 105 3.2.3 Earthquake 116 3.2.4 Extreme Heat 129 3.2.5 Flood 136 NFIP Repetitive Losses Properties 159 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) 160 3.2.6 Land Subsidence/Sinkhole 163 3.2.7 Levee Failure 167 3.2.8 Severe Winter Weather 185 3.2.9 Wildfire 194 3.2.10 Thunderstorm, Windstorm and Hailstorm 204 Windstorm 207 Hailstorm 211 3.2.11 Tornado 217 Section 4: Mitigation Strategy 4.1 Hazard Mitigation Goals 225 4.2 Update of Mitigation Actions 226 4.3 Mitigation Goals, Objectives, and Actions 233 Mitigation Actions by Hazard and Jurisdiction 237 Mitigation Actions Addressing Compliance with NFIP Requirements 242 4.4 Prioritization, Implementation, and Administration 243 4.4.1 Prioritization of Actions using STAPLEE and Benefit/Cost Reviews 243 4.4.2 Implementation and Administration in Participating Jurisdictions 251 Howard County 252 Armstrong 263 Fayette 267 Glasgow 275 New Franklin 282 New Franklin R-I School District 287 Howard Co. R-II School District 291 Fayette R-III School District 295 Central Methodist University 299 Howard Co. Consolidated Public Water Supply District #1 302 Howard Co. Regional Water Commission 304 4.5 Funding Sources 307 Section 5: Plan Maintenance Process 5.1 Plan Monitoring and Evaluation 313 5.2 Plan Updating 315 5.4 Public Participation in Plan Maintenance 316 Appendices Appendix A Adoption Resolutions Appendix B Meeting Announcements and Agendas Appendix C Planning Meeting Participants Appendix D Jurisdictional Value Statements Appendix E Fire District Burning Ordinances “Across the United States, natural, manmade, and other disasters have led to increasing numbers of deaths, injuries, property damages, and disruptions of business and government services. This can take an immense toll on people, businesses and government, especially in these challenging economic times. The time, money and effort to respond to and recover from disasters divert public resources and attention from other important programs. Hazard mitigation is defined by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) as any action taken to eliminate or reduce the long-term risk to human life and property from hazards and their effects. This is crucial to the residents, businesses, and governments of Missouri. Hazard Mitigation is the only phase of emergency management specifically dedicated to breaking the cycle of damage, reconstruction, and repeated damage.” - Missouri State Hazard Mitigation Plan, July 2010 List of Acronyms Used in Plan CDBG – Community Development Block Grant CSIP – Comprehensive School Improvement Plan DED – Department of Economic Development DHSS - Department of Health and Senior Services EMD – Emergency Management Director EAP – Emergency Action Plan EOC – Emergency Operations Center EOP - Emergency Operations Plan FCC – Federal Communications Commission FEMA - Federal Emergency Management Agency FIRM - Flood Insurance Rate Map HAZUS-MH - Risk assessment software program for analyzing potential losses from floods, hurricane winds and earthquakes HCEDC – Howard County Economic Development Council MDFS - Missouri Division of Fire Safety Mid-MO RPC – Mid-Missouri Regional Planning Commission MMI - Modified Mercalli Intensity Scale MoDNR – Missouri Department of Natural Resources MoDOT – Missouri Department of Transportation MSA – Metropolitan Statistical Area MSHSAA - Missouri State High School Activities Association MULES – a law enforcement computer data network used by the Missouri Highway Patrol NAWAS – National Warning System NDMC - National Drought Mitigation Center NFIP – National Flood Insurance Program NMSZ - New Madrid Seismic Zone NOAA - National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration NWS – National Weather Service OMB - U.S. Office of Management and Budget PDSI - Palmer Drought Severity Index PWSD – Public Water Supply District RSMo – Revised Statutes of Missouri SAME – Specific Area Message Encoding SEMA - State Emergency Management Agency SoVI™ - Social Vulnerability Index SPI - Standardized Precipitation Index STAPLEE – a prioritization tool using Social, Technical, Administrative, Political, Legal, Economic, and Environmental factors for analysis USDA - U.S. Department of Agriculture USGS - United States Geological Survey USFWS – United States Fish and Wildlife Service Executive Summary The Howard County Hazard Mitigation Plan is a multi-jurisdictional plan prepared and written with the participation of Howard County government and the following Howard County communities, school districts, special districts, and university: City of Armstrong, City of Fayette, City of New Franklin, City of Glasgow, New Franklin R-I School District, Howard County R-II School District, Fayette R-III School District, Central Methodist University, Armstrong Fire Protection District, Fayette Fire Department, Howard Co. Fire Protection District, Bonne Femme Levee District #1, Howard Co. Levee District # 2, Howard Co. Drainage District # 3, Howard Co. Levee District # 4, Howard Co. Levee District #6, Howard Co. Drainage District # 7, Public Water Supply District #1, and Howard County Regional Water Commission. Howard County, Armstrong, Fayette, New Franklin, Glasgow, New Franklin R-I School District, Howard County R-II School District, Fayette R-III School District, Central Methodist University, and Howard County Regional Water Commission completed the requirements to be considered participating jurisdictions in the plan. The plan profiles twelve natural hazards (Dam Failure, Drought, Earthquake, Extreme Heat, Flood, Levee Failure, Land Subsidence/Sinkhole, Severe Winter Weather, Wildfire, Windstorm, Tornado, and Hailstorm) which threaten lives and property in some, or all, of the participating jurisdictions. All hazards were evaluated with regard to previous occurrence, probability and severity of future occurrence, existing mitigation strategies, and the potential impact on each jurisdiction. An overall mitigation strategy was developed through the consideration of potential threats and the resources and willpower available to mitigate their effects. The goals of this mitigation strategy are: Goal 1: Mitigation Planning - Mitigate effects of future natural hazards throughout the County through public and private cooperation. Goal 2: Mitigation Policy - Develop policies that limit the impact of natural hazards on lives and property. Goal 3: Mitigation Programs - Implement cost effective and feasible mitigation programs to protect lives and property of Howard County jurisdictions. Goal 4: Public Awareness - Increase public awareness of natural hazards in order to make the public a greater partner in hazard mitigation planning. Goal 5: Future Development - Promote hazard-proof development in the jurisdictions of Howard County. Specific mitigation actions have been developed and prioritized to further the goals of the overall mitigation strategy in each participating jurisdiction. 1 The Howard Hazard Mitigation Plan will be formally adopted by each of the participating jurisdictions prior to the final draft approval by FEMA. Participation in, and formal adoption of, the plan qualifies a jurisdiction to apply for Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) pre-disaster mitigation grants and the mitigation portion of post-disaster mitigation grants. The plan will be updated in five years, as required by FEMA. It will be evaluated and maintained on an annual basis prior to this update. 2 Prerequisites Multi-Jurisdictional Plan Adoption Requirement For multi-jurisdictional plans, each jurisdiction requesting approval §201.6(c)(5): of the plan must document that it has been formally adopted. Adoption resolutions for the