Asian Disaster Preparedness Center Sustainable End-to-End Climate/Flood Forecast Application Through Pilot Projects Showing Measurable Improvements Base Line Report March 2006 A public trust under the Ministry of Water Resources Table of Contents 1.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 5 1.2 Methodology................................................................................................................................. 5 1.2.1 Problem Analysis .............................................................................................................. 6 1.2.2 Preparation of Questionnaire/ Checklist .......................................................................... 6 1.2.3 Field Survey ...................................................................................................................... 7 1.2.4 Data Compilation and Analysis ........................................................................................ 7 1.2.5 Report Preparation ........................................................................................................... 7 1.3 Study Area.................................................................................................................................... 7 1.3.1 Rajpur Union..................................................................................................................... 9 1.3.2 Uria Union ...................................................................................................................... 10 1.3.3 Kaijuri Union .................................................................................................................. 11 1.3.4 Gazirtek Union................................................................................................................ 13 1.3.5 Bhekra Union .................................................................................................................. 14 1.4 Socio-economic status of pilot unions ...................................................................................... 16 1.4.1 Livelihood activities ........................................................................................................ 16 1.4.2 Agriculture ...................................................................................................................... 18 1.4.3 Fisheries.......................................................................................................................... 21 1.4.4 Livestock.......................................................................................................................... 22 1.4.5 Infrastructures................................................................................................................. 23 1.4.6 Flood shelters.................................................................................................................. 24 1.4.7 Water Supply and Sanitation........................................................................................... 27 1.4.8 Institutions....................................................................................................................... 29 1.5 Natural Hazards and mitigation measures.............................................................................. 32 1.5.1 Natural Hazards.............................................................................................................. 32 1.5.2 Causes of Flood and its Effects....................................................................................... 32 1.5.3 Affected Mouza / Village ................................................................................................. 37 1.5.4 Effect of recent extreme flood on agriculture.................................................................. 40 1.5.5 Effect of recent extreme flood on fisheries ...................................................................... 42 1.5.6 Effect of recent extreme flood on infrastructure ............................................................. 43 1.5.7 Effect of recent extreme flood on household ................................................................... 45 1.5.8 Present copping strategies/ mitigation measures for flood............................................. 46 1.6 Early Warning System and preparedness activities for Flood.............................................. 53 1.6.1 Existing Early Warning System....................................................................................... 53 1.6.2 Need Assessment of Community for Early Warning System ........................................... 53 1.6.3 Possible Activities of the community with Early Warning .............................................. 54 1.6.4 Dissemination tools for Early Warning System .............................................................. 61 1.7 Conclusion and Recommendation............................................................................................ 61 1 List of Tables Table 1: Major cropping pattern in each pilot union.............................................................................19 Table 3: Water bodies and fisheries production in pilot unions............................................................22 Table 4: Infrastructures in pilot unions.................................................................................................23 Table 6: Existing flood shelter facilities in Rajpur union .....................................................................25 Table 7: Existing flood shelter facilities in Uria union.........................................................................26 Table 8: Existing flood shelter facilities in Gazirtek union ..................................................................27 Table 9: Existing flood shelter facilities in Bekra union.......................................................................27 Table 10: Percentage (%) of Household Using Different Drinking Water Sources .............................28 Table 11: Percentage (%) of Household Using Different Toilet Facilities...........................................28 Table 12: Organizations engaged in flood management in pilot unions...............................................29 Table 13: Major Natural Hazards in the Study Area.............................................................................32 Table 14: Causes of flood and affected mauzas in Kaujuri Union .......................................................33 Table 15: Causes of flood and affected mauzas in Rajpur Union.........................................................34 Table 16: Causes of flood and affected mauzas in Uria Union.............................................................35 Table 17: Causes of flood and affected mauzas in Gazirtek Union......................................................36 Table 18: Causes of flood and affected mauzas in Bekra Union ..........................................................37 Table 18: Flood affected sectors at each union according to priority ...................................................39 Table 19: Ranking and time of flood effect on each sector in study area.............................................40 Table 20: Effect of recent extreme flood on agriculture.......................................................................41 Table 21: Effect of recent extreme flood on fisheries...........................................................................42 Table 21: Effect of recent extreme flood on fisheries (Continued).......................................................43 Table 22: Effect of recent extreme flood on infrastructure...................................................................43 Table 23: Present copping strategies with flood in different sectors ....................................................48 Table 24: Existing Early Warning System in the pilot unions..............................................................53 Table 25: Needs of the community for Early Warning System ............................................................54 Table 26 : Major activities of the community with different early warning options ............................55 Table 27: Dissemination tools for Early Warning System in pilot unions............................................61 2 List of Figures Figure 1: Methodology of the baseline study..........................................................................................6 Figure 2: Selected pilot unions in context of Bangladesh.......................................................................8 Figure 3: Study Area: Rajpur Union, Lalmonirhat .................................................................................9 Figure 4: Study Area: Uria Union, Gaibandha .....................................................................................11 Figure 5: Study Area: Kaijuri Union, Sirajganj ....................................................................................12 Figure 6: Study Area: Gazirtek Union, Faridpur ..................................................................................13 Figure 7: Study Area: Gazirtek Union, Faridpur ..................................................................................15 Figure 8: Livelihood groups in pilot unions..........................................................................................17 Figure 9: Agriculture is the main activity in pilot unions