Regional Transit Study Final Report October 2018 Table of Contents CHAPTER 1: STUDY INTRODUCTION AND PURPOSE .......................................................................................... 1 1.1 STUDY PURPOSE AND SCOPE ............................................................................................................................. 2 1.2 STUDY BENEFITS ..................................................................................................................................................... 4 1.3 COORDINATION WITH OTHER STUDIES AND PLANS ............................................................................. 4 1.4 RTS WORK PRODUCT ............................................................................................................................................. 5 CHAPTER 2: BASE CONDITIONS .................................................................................................................................... 6 2.1 EXISTING TRANSIT NETWORKS ....................................................................................................................... 6 2.2 EXISTING PREMIUM TRANSIT SERVICES ...................................................................................................... 8 2.3 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT PLANS .................................................................................................................... 10 2.3.1 Central Florida Regional Transportation Authority – LYNX TDP ............................................. 10 2.3.2 Votran TDP ...................................................................................................................................................... 11 2.3.3 Space Coast Area Transit TDP ................................................................................................................. 11 2.3.4 Lakeland Area Mass Transit District (LAMTD) / Polk TPO TDP ............................................... 11 2.3.5 Lake~Sumter TDP ........................................................................................................................................ 11 2.3.6 Ocala / Marion County TPO - SunTran TDP....................................................................................... 12 2.4 MPO / TPO Long Range Transportation Plans ........................................................................................... 12 2.4.1 MetroPlan Orlando 2040 LRTP ............................................................................................................ 12 2.4.2 River to Sea Transportation Planning Organization 2040 LRTP .............................................. 13 2.4.3 Space Coast TPO 2040 LRTP .................................................................................................................... 13 2.4.4 Polk County TPO 2040 LRTP ................................................................................................................... 13 2.4.5 Lake~Sumter Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) LRTP ............................................ 14 2.4.6 Ocala / Marion County TPO 2040 LRTP .............................................................................................. 14 2.5 BASE FUNDING-COST FEASIBLE NETWORKS ........................................................................................... 17 2.6 FUTURE FUNDING-NEEDS NETWORKS ....................................................................................................... 18 CHAPTER 3: REGIONAL TRAVEL PATTERN/MARKET ANALYSIS ................................................................ 20 3.1 TRAVEL FLOWS: DEVELOPMENT ................................................................................................................... 20 3.2 TRAVEL MARKET THRESHOLD FOR MAJOR CAPITAL INVESTMENT ............................................ 21 3.3 TRAVEL FLOWS: ANALYSIS ............................................................................................................................... 21 3.3.1 MPO / TPO Urbanized / Non-Urbanized Areas ................................................................................ 21 3.3.2 County to County .......................................................................................................................................... 24 3.3.3 Major Activity Centers ................................................................................................................................ 25 i Table of Contents CHAPTER 4: LAND USE POLICY ANALYSIS ............................................................................................................. 29 4.1 REVIEW OF COMPREHENSIVE PLANS FOR THE RTS COUNTIES ...................................................... 30 4.1.1 Brevard County Comprehensive Plan .................................................................................................. 31 4.1.2 Flagler County Comprehensive Plan .................................................................................................... 32 4.1.3 Lake County Comprehensive Plan ......................................................................................................... 32 4.1.4 Marion County Comprehensive Plan .................................................................................................... 33 4.1.5 Orange County Comprehensive Plan .................................................................................................... 34 4.1.6 Osceola County Comprehensive Plan ................................................................................................... 35 4.1.7 Polk County Comprehensive Plan .......................................................................................................... 37 4.1.8 Seminole County Comprehensive Plan ................................................................................................ 37 4.1.9 Sumter County Comprehensive Plan .................................................................................................... 39 4.1.10 Volusia County Comprehensive Plan .................................................................................................... 39 4.2 NEXT STEPS .............................................................................................................................................................. 41 CHAPTER 5: REGIONAL TRANSIT VISION ............................................................................................................... 43 5.1 REGIONAL FRAMEWORK ................................................................................................................................... 43 5.1.1 SunRail .............................................................................................................................................................. 43 5.1.2 Brightline ......................................................................................................................................................... 45 5.1.3 Private Intercity Bus .................................................................................................................................... 49 5.1.4 Individual MPO / TPO Plan Elements .................................................................................................. 53 5.2 OCALA / MARION COUNTY ................................................................................................................................ 56 5.2.1 Public Services ............................................................................................................................................... 56 5.2.2 Private Services ............................................................................................................................................. 57 5.2.3 Demand Analysis .......................................................................................................................................... 57 5.2.4 Subarea Regional Transit Vision Framework ................................................................................... 59 5.3 LAKE / SUMTER COUNTY ................................................................................................................................... 60 5.3.1 Public Services ............................................................................................................................................... 60 5.3.2 Private Services ............................................................................................................................................. 61 5.3.3 Demand Analysis .......................................................................................................................................... 62 5.3.4 Subarea Regional Transit Vision Framework ................................................................................... 64 5.4 POLK COUNTY ......................................................................................................................................................... 67 5.4.1 Public Services ............................................................................................................................................... 67 5.4.2 Private Services ............................................................................................................................................. 70 5.4.3 Demand Analysis .........................................................................................................................................