Pendle Profile 2015 Prepared by Adam Pearson Infusion Research On behalf of Pendle Council [email protected] 01282 661614 www.infusion.org.uk October 2015 Contents 1 Summary .......................................................................................................................... 4 1.1 People and populations ............................................................................................. 4 1.2 Deprivation ................................................................................................................ 4 1.3 Housing ..................................................................................................................... 4 1.4 Education ................................................................................................................... 5 1.5 Adult health ................................................................................................................ 5 1.6 Children’s and young people’s health ........................................................................ 6 1.7 Economy and employment ......................................................................................... 6 1.8 Community safety ...................................................................................................... 7 1.9 Transport and the environment .................................................................................. 7 2 People and Populations.................................................................................................... 8 2.1 Population Change .................................................................................................... 8 2.2 Population Projections ............................................................................................... 8 2.3 Population by ward .................................................................................................... 9 2.4 Age ............................................................................................................................ 9 2.5 Gender ..................................................................................................................... 11 2.6 Marital status ........................................................................................................... 11 2.7 Religion .................................................................................................................... 12 2.8 Ethnicity ................................................................................................................... 12 3 Deprivation ..................................................................................................................... 14 4 Housing .......................................................................................................................... 16 4.1 Household spaces ................................................................................................... 16 4.2 Household types ...................................................................................................... 16 4.3 Household tenure .................................................................................................... 17 4.4 Household size ........................................................................................................ 18 4.5 House prices ............................................................................................................ 20 4.6 Council Tax bands ................................................................................................... 21 5 Education ....................................................................................................................... 23 5.1 Key Stage 4 / GCSEs .............................................................................................. 23 5.2 Attainment and Free School Meals .......................................................................... 24 2 5.3 Attainment and gender ............................................................................................. 24 5.4 Attainment and ethnicity ........................................................................................... 25 5.5 Attainment and Special Educational Needs ............................................................. 26 5.6 Attainment by secondary school .............................................................................. 26 5.7 Qualifications of people of working age .................................................................... 27 6 Adult Health .................................................................................................................... 28 6.1 Life expectancy ........................................................................................................ 28 6.2 Lifestyle ................................................................................................................... 28 6.3 Causes of death ....................................................................................................... 30 6.4 Older people ............................................................................................................ 31 7 Children’s and Young People’s Health ........................................................................... 32 7.1 Infant mortality ......................................................................................................... 32 7.2 Lifestyle ................................................................................................................... 32 8 Economy and Employment ............................................................................................. 34 8.1 Economic activity ..................................................................................................... 34 8.2 Employment by occupation ...................................................................................... 35 8.3 Employment jobs by industry ................................................................................... 35 8.4 Businesses .............................................................................................................. 36 8.5 Job density .............................................................................................................. 36 8.6 Earnings .................................................................................................................. 37 8.7 Out of work benefits ................................................................................................. 37 9 Community Safety .......................................................................................................... 39 9.1 Total recorded crimes .............................................................................................. 39 9.2 Types of crime ......................................................................................................... 40 9.3 Perceptions of anti-social behaviour ........................................................................ 40 10 Transport and the Environment ...................................................................................... 41 10.1 Car ownership .......................................................................................................... 41 10.2 Road traffic collisions ............................................................................................... 41 10.3 Emissions ................................................................................................................ 42 10.4 Household waste ..................................................................................................... 43 3 1 Summary 1.1 People and populations • This is a position statement on the demographic profile of the Pendle population • The latest estimate (June 2014) sets the Pendle population at 89,800 • It is projected that the population will reach 94,000 by the mid-2030s • Pendle has a greater proportion of children and young people than nationally, although this is falling • Conversely, the over 65 population in the borough is slowly rising and the 60 to 64 age group has increased by 47% between 2001 and 2011 • The number of 30 to 54 year olds living in the borough has fallen over the same ten year period • 17% of the Pendle population are of Pakistani origin, a much higher proportion when compared to regional and national statistics • Moreover, the populations of wards in Nelson and Brierfield are made up of as much as 73% Asian or Asian British people, reflecting the diversity in Pendle 1.2 Deprivation • Pendle is the 38th most deprived area in the country (out of 326 local authorities) based on average Index of Multiple Deprivation scores • Pendle is less deprived than Blackburn with Darwen, Burnley and Hyndburn • Pendle is ranked 18th out of 326 authorities if it is based on the proportion of lower super output areas (LSOAs) in the top 10% most deprived nationally • Of Pendle’s 16 LSOAs in the top 10% most deprived, 12 have experienced a fall in deprivation ranking since 2010 (i.e. less deprived relatively) • Parts of Southfield and Whitefield have seen their IMD ranking fall significantly 1.3 Housing • The number of household spaces in Pendle has risen over the 10 years between 2001 and 2011 4 • The proportion of vacant household spaces has reduced from 6.5% to 5.2% in the same period • Over half (56%) of Pendle’s households are occupying terraced housing, more than double the national average • In some areas