REPORT Granger Facility Granger Optimization Project Granger, Wyoming Industrial Siting Permit Socioeconomic Impact Analysis Report September 2017 Update September 2017 Prepared by Contents Section Page Acronyms and Abbreviations ............................................................................................................ vii 1 Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 1-1 2 Applicant and Project Description ....................................................................................... 2-1 2.1 Applicant Information ...................................................................................................... 2-1 2.2 Project Description .......................................................................................................... 2-1 2.2.1 Process Design .................................................................................................... 2-2 2.2.2 Mine Water Concentration ................................................................................. 2-2 2.2.3 Decahydrate Crystallization ................................................................................ 2-5 2.2.4 Final Processing................................................................................................... 2-5 2.2.5 Additional Non-Jurisdictional Project Features .................................................. 2-5 2.2.6 Pipelines .............................................................................................................. 2-5 2.2.7 Injection Wells .................................................................................................... 2-5 2.2.8 Extraction Wells .................................................................................................. 2-6 2.2.9 Access Roads ....................................................................................................... 2-6 2.2.10 Decommissioning of Dry Ore Facilities ............................................................... 2-6 2.2.11 Tailings Pond Improvements .............................................................................. 2-6 2.3 Project Schedule .............................................................................................................. 2-6 2.4 Construction Workforce Estimate ................................................................................... 2-7 2.4.1 Local In-State Contractor Hiring ......................................................................... 2-7 2.4.2 Local Workforce .................................................................................................. 2-7 2.4.3 Non-Local Workforce .......................................................................................... 2-7 2.5 Operations Workforce ................................................................................................... 2-17 3 Socioeconomic Analysis ...................................................................................................... 3-1 3.1 Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 3-1 3.2 Regulatory Jurisdiction and Definitions ........................................................................... 3-1 3.3 Methodology.................................................................................................................... 3-2 3.3.1 Area of Site Influence, Local Governments Primarily Affected, and Study Area ........................................................................................................... 3-2 3.3.2 Impact Assistance Methodology ....................................................................... 3-11 3.4 Inventory, Evaluation, and Impact Assessment by Social and Economic Resource Areas .............................................................................................................. 3-15 3.4.1 Population ......................................................................................................... 3-16 3.4.2 Economic and Fiscal Conditions ........................................................................ 3-25 3.4.3 Housing and Housing Availability Analysis........................................................ 3-55 3.4.4 Public Education ............................................................................................... 3-71 3.4.5 Public Safety ...................................................................................................... 3-78 3.4.6 Health Care ....................................................................................................... 3-85 3.4.7 Municipal Services ............................................................................................ 3-89 3.4.8 Human Service Facilities ................................................................................... 3-94 3.4.9 Community Recreation Facilities ...................................................................... 3-96 3.5 Summary of Impacts ...................................................................................................... 3-97 3.6 Cumulative Impacts ..................................................................................................... 3-100 3.6.1 Projects included in Cumulative Workforce Estimates................................... 3-100 PR0828171057DEN III CONTENTS Section Page 3.6.2 Projects not included in Cumulative Workforce Estimates ............................ 3-104 3.6.3 Cumulative Temporary Housing Estimates ..................................................... 3-105 3.6.4 Summary of Cumulative Impacts .................................................................... 3-106 3.7 Analysis and Mitigation ................................................................................................ 3-106 3.7.1 Beneficial and Adverse Impacts ...................................................................... 3-108 3.7.2 Mitigation........................................................................................................ 3-109 4 References .......................................................................................................................... 4-1 Appendixes A Housing Commitment Summary and Correspondence B Impact Assistance Calculations Tables 2-1 Total Construction Workforce Breakdown by Quarter ............................................................... 2-11 2-2 Local Construction Workforce Breakdown by Quarter .............................................................. 2-13 2-3 Non-Local Construction Workforce Breakdown by Quarter ...................................................... 2-15 2-4 Estimated Operations Workforce Summary by Job Classification.............................................. 2-17 3-1 Communities Identified as Within Recommended Area of Site Influence and Relevant Housing Statistics ........................................................................................................... 3-4 3-2 Inter-County Commuter Flows for Sweetwater, Uinta, and Lincoln Counties (3rd Quarter 2016) ...................................................................................................................... 3-12 3-3 Workplaces of Sweetwater County Residents and Places of Residence of Persons Working in Sweetwater County, 2013 ........................................................................................ 3-14 3-4 Population Trends in the Study Area .......................................................................................... 3-17 3-5 Decade-to-Decade Percent Population Change in the Study Area ............................................. 3-18 3-6 Population Density and Distribution in the Study Area .............................................................. 3-20 3-7 Population by Age Cohort ........................................................................................................... 3-22 3-8 Net Migration Trends in the Study Area ..................................................................................... 3-23 3-9 Population Forecasts in the Study Area ...................................................................................... 3-24 3-10 Estimated and Forecasted Percent Population Change ............................................................. 3-25 3-11 2010 – 2016 Benchmark Labor Force Estimates – Annual Averages for Wyoming and Study Area Counties .................................................................................................................... 3-26 3-12 GOP Study Area Full-Time and Part-Time Employment by Type and by Industry (NAICS): 2009 and 2015 ............................................................................................................. 3-30 3-13 Total Full-Time and Part-Time Jobs in Wyoming (2015) by Type and by Industry (NAICS) and Share by GOP Study Area County ........................................................................... 3-31 3-14 Major Private Employers in the Study Area ................................................................................ 3-33 3-15 Aggregate Personal Income (thousands of dollars) for the State and Study Area Counties 2006 – 2015 ................................................................................................................. 3-35 3-16 Per Capita Personal Income (dollars) for the State and Study Area Counties 2006 – 2015 ...............................................................................................................................