Fact Sheet August 2016 Utah at a Glance Utah's population surpassed the three million mark in the fall y Young – Utah has the lowest median age in the country at of 2015. The state possesses distinctive demographics, including 30.7 in 2015, compared to 37.8 nationally. Like the nation, the nation's youngest population and largest household size. median age is increasing. Children under 18 years comprise Utah also has a relatively urban population with the vast 30.5 percent of Utah’s total population in 2015, the highest majority of residents living in the northern metropolitan in the country. The national share is 22.9 percent. counties. The state economy is growing rapidly compared to y Large household size – Utah has the largest household other states and includes a mix of industries. A hallmark of the size in the country at 3.16 persons per household in 2014 Utah economy is globalization, both in terms of international compared to 2.65 nationally. Both are trending down since exports and visitors. These and other economic and 1960. demographic indicators are highlighted in this Fact Sheet. UTAH’S POPULATION Table 1 Fastest Growing States or Equivalent y July 1, 2015 – Utah’s population was 2,996,754.1 2014-2015 2010 Census-2015 y Fifth fastest – Utah experienced the fifth fastest population Rank State Change Rank State Change growth rate in the nation since the 2010 Census, adding an 1 North Dakota 2.3% 1 North Dakota 12.5% estimated 232,034 people as of July 1, 2015. 2 Colorado 1.9% 2 D.C. 11.7% 3 D.C. 1.9% 3 Texas 9.2% y Natural increase – From 1990 to 2015, approximately 4 Nevada 1.9% 4 Colorado 8.5% two-thirds of Utah’s growth can be attributed to natural 5 Florida 1.8% 5 Utah 8.4% increase (births minus deaths). While Utah births have 6 Texas 1.8% 6 Florida 7.8% declined from a high in 2008, Utah continues to have the 7 Utah 1.7% 7 Nevada 7.0% highest fertility rate in the nation. 8 Washington 1.5% 8 Arizona 6.8% 9 Arizona 1.5% 9 Washington 6.6% y Migration – Approximately one-third of Utah’s growth State 10of OregonUtah Components1.5% 10 South Carolina of Population5.9% from 1990 to 2015 occurred because of net in-migration. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division y Migrants and their offspring – Migrants to Utah are Change usually young and often have children once they relocate. Figure 1 If we consider the births to residents who have moved to Utah Components of Population Change the state, the full contribution of migrants to the state’s 80,000 population growth since 1990 is closer to one-half.2 60,000 y Down to the minute – From July 1, 2010 to July 1, 2015, 40,000 Utah’s population increased by approximately one person 20,000 every 12 minutes. A baby was born every 10 minutes, 0 someone died every 33 minutes, and someone moved -20,000 into the state every 55 minutes. 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Natural Increase Net Migration Population Change Sources: Utah Population Estimates Committee (1950-2009); DemographyUTAH Population Committee (2010-2015) Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute I 411 East South Temple Street, Salt Lake City, Utah 84111 I 801-585-5618 I gardner.utah.edu AN INITIATIVE OF THE DAVID ECCLES SCHOOL OF BUSINESS Source: Utah Population Estimates Committee, U.S. Census Bureau, State of Utah Revenue Assumptions Working Group y Fertility rate – Utah has the highest fertility rate in the Table 2 country at 2.33 births per woman in 2014 compared to 1.86 Educational Attainment for the Population 25 Years and Over: 2014 nationally. These rates have declined significantly since 1960. High School Graduates Bachelor’s Degree or Higher Rank State Percent Rank State Percent y Educational Attainment – Utah’s percent of population United States 91.4% United States 30.1% over the age of 25 with a high school diploma in 2014 was 1 Alaska 92.9% 1 D.C 55.0% 91.4 percent, which ranks 12th and the percent with a 2 Minnesota 92.6% 2 Massachusetts 41.2% Bachelor’s degree and higher was 31.1 percent, which 2 Montana 92.6% 3 Colorado 38.3% ranks 16th. 2 Wyoming 92.6% 4 Maryland 38.2% 5 New Hampshire 92.2% 5 Connecticut 38.0% y Race and Ethnicity – Utah’s population continues to 5 North Dakota 92.2% 6 New Jersey 37.4% become more diverse. The minority population in Utah has increased from 14.7 percent in 2000 to 19.4 percent in 12 Utah 91.4% 16 Utah 31.1% 2010 and 21.0 percent in 2015. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 American Community Survey Median Age Table 3 Figure 2 Utah Race and Hispanic Origin Median Age for Utah and United States 2010 Census 2015 Estimate Percent Percent 40 37.2 37.8 Population Population 35.3 of Total of Total 35 32.9 Total Population 2,763,885 100.0% 2,995,919 100.0% 30.1 29.5 30.0 Not Hispanic or Latino 2,405,545 87.0% 2,584,776 86.3% 29.0 28.1 30 26.5 White 2,226,363 80.6% 2,367,093 79.0% 25.3 30.7 24.1 29.2 Black 26,328 1.0% 31,430 1.0% 22.9 25 22.1 27.1 21.1 26.3 AIAN 27,228 1.0% 29,206 1.0% 24.3 25.1 24.2 23.2 Asian 54,794 2.0% 70,971 2.4% 20 22.2 23.1 21.3 21.5 NHPI 24,183 0.9% 27,809 0.9% 17.519.3 19.2 15 Two or More Races 46,649 1.7% 58,267 1.9% 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2015 Hispanic 358,340 13.0% 411,143 13.7% Average HouseholdUnited Statesand FamilyUtah Size Total Minority* 537,522 19.4% 628,826 21.0% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division *Minority is the total population less White, not Hispanic or Latino Note: AIAN = American Indian or Alaska Native; NHPI = Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander Figure 3 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division Average Household and Family Size for Utah and United States Figure 5 3.99 4.0 Minority Share of Population: July 1, 2015 3.65 3.65 3.5 3.62 50.0% or greater 3.26 Cache Rich 22.0% to 49.9% Box Elder 16.1% 8.1% 16.0% to 21.9% 3.29 3.0 3.16 13.0% 10.0% to 15.9% Weber 0.0% to 9.9% 2.65 23.3% Morgan State of Utah = 21.0% Davis 2.5 15.7% 4.7% 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2014 Summit Daggett 7.4% 15.5% U.S. Household U.S. Family Salt Lake 27.8% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census; U.S. CensusUtah Bureau,Household PopulationUtah Family Division Tooele Wasatch Duchesne 16.3% 16.1% Uintah Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census; U.S. Census Bureau 2014 American Utah 14.9% 18.3% Community Survey Total Fertility Rate 17.0% Juab Figure 4 7.4% Carbon 17.2% Total Fertility Rate for Utah and the United States Sanpete 4.5 4.30 Millard 13.9% Emery 4.0 16.1% 8.7% Grand 3.5 3.30 3.30 Sevier 17.7% 7.9% 3.0 3.61 2.65 2.63 2.5 2.48 2.33 Piute Wayne 2.48 Beaver Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial 2.0Census; 2014 American Community Survey 14.6% 10.3% 8.1% 1.87 2.08 2.06 1.86 1.5 1.79 1.0 Iron Garfield 13.8% 10.7% San Juan 1960 1962 1966 1968 1970 1972 1976 1978 1980 1982 1986 1988 1990 1992 1996 1998 2000 2002 2006 2008 2010 2012 1964 1974 1984 1994 2004 2014 United States Utah Replacement Level 54.2% Washington Kane Note: The Replacement Level is the fertility level (2.1) at which the 15.0% 8.4% current population is replaced. Source: National Center for Health Statistics Source: U.S. Census Bureau,Source: Population U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division INFORMED DECISIONSTM 2 gardner.utah.edu Note: The Replacement Level is the fertility level (2.1) at which the current population is replaced. Source: National Center for Health Statistics COUNTY POPULATION Table 4 Figure 6 Fastest Growing Counties in Utah Utah Population Growth Rates by County: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2015 2014-2015 2010 Census-2015 Rank County Change Rank County Change Increase of 17.0% or greater Cache Rich Increase of 10.0% to 16.9% 1 Wasatch County 4.6% 1 Wasatch County 21.6% Box Elder 8.1% 3.9% Increase of 6.0% to 9.9% 2 Utah County 3.2% 2 Morgan County 17.0% 6.0% Weber Increase of 0.0% to 5.9% 3 Morgan County 2.8% 3 Uintah County 14.8% 5.0% Population Loss Morgan State of Utah = 8.4% 4 Washington Co. 2.7% 4 Utah County 13.3% Davis 9.7% 17.0% 5 Iron County 2.5% 5 Washington Co. 11.9% Summit Daggett 5.1% 8.1% 6 Cache County 2.5% 6 Duchesne Co.