Regional fact sheets Kreis Euskirchen Deliverable D4.2 Verkehrsverbund Rhein-Sieg GmbH Birgit Strecker • Katja Naefe • Bernd Knieling November 2014 Contract N°: IEE/12/970/S12.670555 Table of contents 1 Spatial Analysis 3 1.1 Short overview of Kreis Euskirchen characteristics 3 1.2 The area geography and constraints 4 1.3 Transport and mobility infrastructure offered 4 2 Socioeconomic and demographic structure 5 2.1 Short overview 5 2.2 Ageing, decrease and increase of population 7 2.3 Selected economic activities 11 3 Regional public transport systems 11 3.1 Overview 11 3.2 Communication and customer information 14 3.3 Modal split 15 3.4 Cycle paths 17 4 References 18 D4.2: Regional fact sheets – Kreis Euskirchen 2 1 Spatial Analysis 1.1 Short overview of Kreis Euskirchen characteristics The Kreis Euskirchen consists of 11 municipalities covering together around 1.248 km2. Kreis Euskirchen is provided in the south-west of Northrhine-Westphalia, next to Rhineland-Palatinate and Belgium. The municipalities are Euskichen (City), Mechernich, Zülpich, Bad Münstereifel, Weilerswist, Schleiden, Kall, Blankenheim, Hellenthal, Nettersheim, and Dahlem. It constitutes an area with a population density of just 187.437 permanent inhabitants (according to the 2013 census). The area of Kreis Euskirchen is predominantly served by public transport. The poles of attraction are exploited. SmartMove will its activities mainly focus on the municipalities Bad Münstereifel, Kall, Schleiden and Hellenthal. Picture 1: Kreis Euskirchen (deep red area) within Northrhine-Westphalia (light red area) and Germany. D4.2: Regional fact sheets – Kreis Euskirchen 3 1.2 The area geography and constraints Following local geography constraints that comprise physical restrictions to the movement of people and vehicles can be found at Kreis Euskirchen: Forests and forestall areas are located in the south and south-west of the Kreis Euskirchen called the Eifel. Named e.g. Zitterwald and Münstereifeler Wald the Eifel is a volcanic- based mountain chain with the highest point Weißer Stein (693 m). Around 36% of the area of Kreis Euskirchen are shrouded by forests. The northly part of the Kreis Euskirchen is predominantly in agricultural use. The Eifel is part of the Rhenish Slatemountains. Constraints to the movement of people are on the one hand the numerous hills with heights around 500 to 600 metres and on the other hand a lot of rivers and smaller streams flowing through them. Since the 1970s there are some human-made water-reservoirs (e.g. Rursee, Urftsee, Oleftalsperre) in the Eifel, too. The barrier lakes are during the summer also visited by a lot of tourists from the region for bathing and water-sports. The region Eifel is populated since centuries, thus the transportation routes are well-fitted to the landscape. 1.3 Transport and mobility infrastructure offered The Kreis Euskirchen is via the autobahn A1 well-connected with the area of Cologne and the Ruhrgebiet. In the northeast of Kreis Euskirchen crosses the A 61 and the A 553, connecting the area with Bonn, Koblenz and the Rhine-Main-Area (Frankfurt, Offenbach, Darmstadt). In the Kreis Euskirchen the main communities are connected through the federal highways (Bundesstraßen) B 51, B 56, B 266, and B 265. Additionally, there is a dense network of district roads and municipal roads, which connect every village each to each and to the roads of higher importance (see picture 2). D4.2: Regional fact sheets – Kreis Euskirchen 4 Picture 2: Streetmap of Kreis Euskirchen. Source: Google maps 2 Socioeconomic and demographic structure 2.1 Short overview The eleven communities of Kreis Euskirchen are erratic in their demographic structure. Biggest community is Euskirchen (city) with more than 55.500 inhabitants. Mechernich, the second biggest community has with 26.700 less than half. The smallest community is Dahlem with around 4.100 inhabitants. Figure 1 shows the population of the communities in decreasing order of size. D4.2: Regional fact sheets – Kreis Euskirchen 5 Figure 1: Population of the communities of Kreis Euskirchen Population Kreis Euskirchen 2009 60000 55840 50000 40000 30000 27210 20020 18710 20000 16300 13410 11820 8350 8340 10000 7770 4172 0 The erratic demographic structure mirrors in further demographic data e.g. number of villages, the total surface or the density of inhabitants per squarekilometre. An overview of selected demographic data is shown in table 1. The communities Hellenthal, Schleiden and Kall are located in the west of the Kreis Euskirchen. While Hellenthal consists of 60 villages from 2 up to 589 inhabitants, the other two communities aren’t as fragmented as Hellenthal. Schleiden constists of 18 villages (smallest 67 inhabitants, biggest 3.886 inhabitants), and Kall comprises of 23 villages from 19 up to 5.033 inhabitants. The surface of Kall is half as large as the surface of Hellenthal or Schleiden while the density of inhabitants is in Hellenthal with 58 less than half as much as in Kall. Bad Münstereifel is located in the east of the Kreis Euskirchen. There are 48 villages of different size. The smallest one has 20 inhabitants, the biggest more than 6.000. D4.2: Regional fact sheets – Kreis Euskirchen 6 Table 1: Communities of the implementation area Number of Communities Surface Density villages Bad Münstereifel 48 150.63 sq.km 114 inh/sq.km Blankenheim 17 148.62 sq.km 57 inh/sq.km Dahlem 6 95.21 sq.km 44 inh/sq.km Euskirchen (City) 23 (quarters) 139.49 sq.km 398 inh/sq.km Hellenthal 60 137.83 sq.km 58 inh/sp.km Kall 23 66.07 sq.km 169 inh/sq.km Mechernich 44 136.46 sq.km 196 inh/sq.km Nettersheim 11 94.35 sq.km 79 inh/sq.km Schleiden 18 121.67 sq.km 106 inh/sq.km Weilerswist 14 57.17 sq.km 282 inh/sq.km Zülpich 25 101.03 sq.km 194 inh/sq.km Source: www.wegweiser-kommune.de 2.2 Ageing, decrease and increase of population In Kreis Euskirchen the population will decrease. Till the year 2030 there will be 4.2% people less living at Kreis Euskirchen. In the same period the proportion of people 60 years and older will increase around 47% (both data in relation to 2011). The development of the population will be very different in the eleven communities. While Euskirchen (City) will be growing most of the other communities of the Kreis Euskirchen will have less inhabitants. The expected decrease will be strongest in Hellenthal with at least 12 %, followed by Schleiden with 8.4% decrease. Table 2 show the expected decrease/increase from 2009 to 2030 for the communities. Summarized can be noticed, bigger communities of Kreis Euskirchen will moderate grow or at least will not have to handle with a loss of population (Euskirchen City, Mechernich, Zülpich) while the smaller communities will be afflicted with migration in different dimensions. Table 2 shows the expected decrease or increase of population between 2009 and 2030 to every community of the Kreis Euskirchen. D4.2: Regional fact sheets – Kreis Euskirchen 7 Table 2: Expected decrease/increase of population 2009 - 2030 Inhabitants Inhabitants Communities +/- absolute +/- in percent 2009 2030 Bad Münstereifel 18.710 18.070 - 660 -3.5% Blankenheim 8.350 7.750 - 600 - 7.2% Dahlem 4172 No data No data No data Euskirchen (City) 55.840 56.910 1.070 + 1.9% Hellenthal 8.340 7.340 - 1.000 - 12% Kall 11.820 11.210 - 600 - 5.2% Mechernich 27.210 27.760 + 550 + 2% Nettersheim 7.770 7.190 - 580 - 7.5% Schleiden 13.410 12.290 - 1.120 - 8.4% Weilerswist 16.300 16.220 - 80 - 0.5% Zülpich 20.020 20.050 + 30 + 0.1% Source: www.wegweiser-kommune.de In addition to the expected decrease respective increase of population will the proportion of elderly people increase in all communities of Kreis Euskirchen. The following age pyramids show at the two examples Bad Münstereifel and Schleiden how the age structure will change (the development in Kall, Hellenthal, and the other communities runs more or less similar). The pyramid shows the prognosis of the proportions of women (red side) and men (green side) at Bad Münstereifel in the year 2030. For comparing the grey line show the proportions in the year 2009. The shift is obvious – the people aged 60+ will growing while the younger ones will become less. And the older people of every age between 60 and 100 years will be significant more than in 2009. The baby-boomer year in Germany is 1964 – never before and never after as much babies were born. In 2030 this age group will be completely in retirement. Table 3 shows the development in absolute numbers for five age groups in addition to figure 2. The age pyramid of Schleiden (figure 3) and table 4 shows similar effects. D4.2: Regional fact sheets – Kreis Euskirchen 8 Figure 2: Age pyramid 2030 – Bad Münstereifel Source: www.wegweiser-kommune.de Table 3: Development of inhabitants in Bad Münstereifel in age groups Bad 2009 2015 2020 2025 2030 Münstereifel 0–24 years 4.490 3.980 3.560 3.300 3.130 24–45 years 4.320 3.570 3.440 3.410 3.290 46–64 years 5.770 6.500 6.450 5.960 5.340 65–80 years 3.040 3.230 3.310 3.860 4.470 >80 years 1.090 1.230 1.600 1.710 1.830 Source: www.wegweiser-kommune.de D4.2: Regional fact sheets – Kreis Euskirchen 9 Figure 3: Age pyramid 2030 – Schleiden Source: www.wegweiser-kommune.de Table 4: Development of inhabitants in Schleiden in age groups Schleiden 2009 2015 2020 2025 2030 0–24 years 3.570 3.110 2.800 2.580 2.500 24–45 years 3.040 2.540 2.500 2.450 2.350 46–64 years 3.830 4.200 4.020 3.690 3.250 65–80 years 2.160 2.190 2.210 2.590 2.960 >80 years 820 920 1.160 1.160 1.250 Source: www.wegweiser-kommune.de D4.2: Regional fact sheets – Kreis Euskirchen 10 2.3 Selected economic activities The economic activities in Kreis Euskirchen are from community to community different, depending on some local factories.