Planning Institute of Australia. Queensl and dDiii Division. Concepts Bank: Imagggining Uto pia Presented by: Peter Ellyard PfPreferre dFd Futures I nsti tute Foundation 2050 11 November 2010 The Six ways we shape the future are through: • Leadership : being a purposeful futurefuture--maker.maker. • Management : being a resilient future-taker. • Planning : Applying the different forms of planning (including land use, urban, community, transport, social, financial, industrial and economic planning). • Design: Utilizing design based professions including engineering, architecture, all forms of design (such as industrial, systems, fashion and graphic design). • Innovation: developing innovations (ways and wares) to do old and current things better and new things fi rst . • Learning : increasing our knowledge and biliti d h i i d t d Planners • should recognize the importance of , and be prepared to utilize, the other future shaping capabilities-and therefore yygypou should strive to grow your capabilities as designers ,managers ,leaders , innovators and learners as well . • could look more deeply at what is involved in each of these for planning and integrate them into your work and life . Each of these has its own subset of skills and capabilities • Planners should also think more about what is the core generic purpose of planning . • To me the generic purpose in one sentence of what planners do is : to create sustainable prosperity in the communities, nations and organizations whose future Public policy can shape the future more effectively if all of these six processes are utilized synergi sti call y t o realize sustainable prosperity - through the articulation of shared aspirations and goals, and their realization through collaborative investment and strategic action. However • Because there is not enough thought and effort given to devising and articulating shared aspirations and goals, all too often the various forms of future shaping activities collectively produce antagonism (2+2=3) rather than synergism ( 2+2=5). • As our 21st century society becomes more and more interdependent, keeping these activities as separate processes each focusing on different objectives, increasingly produces more and more antagonism and less and less synergism. Sometimes it can even become a zero sum game. • Because this increasing level of interdependence of 21st centuryyy society is not sufficientl ygy recognized, the tools we use to shape the future are increasingly failing be as effective as they could be. Put simply • There is not enough vision. • Creating and realizing a shared vision is the best way to bring all these future shaping processes together so we have synergistic rather than antagonistic outcomes, but • Where vision vanishes the people perish (Proverbs 29 .18) . • Vision is not the same as prophecy. • So we need to discuss the changing roles of management -which is about making and responding to prophecies, and leadership -which is about articulating and realizing visions. However • Communities , nations, and orggpyanizations which follow this pathway are also more likely to be 21st century successful • As well all the six future shaping activities, including planning, should also consider actinggg over over longer time horizons. • How far would it be most fruitful to look ahead? A global conversation about the year 2050 has commenced • We a r e con cern ed about wh at n eeds to be accom pli sh ed if we are to create a climate safe world by the year 2050 • This is two gggenerations hence and it is worth celebrating that we are having this conversation at all for humanity has not been good at conducting conversations about whthat we we sh ould accompli lihsh over 2 generati ons • So the question then is : if we are to create a society which is prosperous , sustainable, harmonious and just by the year 2050 what would be on the list of outcomes to achieve if we are to accomplish this ? • Answering this question should be a primary focus of those who pppylan the future. This could be the primary conversation of planning in the year 2010 • It is the question I try to answer in my book Designing Successful 21st century leadership, management , planning, design, innovation and learning will entail : Getting to the future first – through being a purposeful future -maker and a resilient future-taker and through the creation and early adoption of 21st century sunrise industries, jobs and innovations. Creating prosperity in its four forms: economic, ecological, social and cultural - and thereby create 21st century sustainable prosperity Promoting both intragenerational and intergenerational equity (social inclusion) - avoiding or eliminating what Nelson Mandela calls ‘islands of prosperity in seas of poverty’ Embodying the values and practicing the ethics of Planetism, the emerging global paradigm of the 21st For people life and career path planning is most likely to be successful if one: • Is an effective manager and leader-of-self, including being a resilient future-taker and a pppurposeful future-maker • Shapes one’s life and career path though clarifying one’s destiny (through insight), by consciously choosing key employment and life destinations (through foresight) and by examining one’s derivation (through hindsight). • Embodies the values of Planetism, the emerging global paradigm which requires that we give first priority to planet over nation and tribe , and which will shape 21st century markets, ethics and jobs • Can initiate, nurture and amicably terminate interdependent relationships. • Is a lifelong, learner -driven, just-in-time and collaborative learner. • Commits to continuous innovation through doing both old Most of all Planners need to think and act intergenerationally What is a one line job description of a parent? Answer. One who works for 20 years to create a successful adult: one who has the knowledge and skills to thrive in the world they will inherit when they reach adulth ood i n one generati on and b e i n mid career/lif e i n two generations. Formal education is a partner with parents in the creation of successful 21st century adults. Therefore leadership, management, planning , design, innovation and learning should be seeking to know what visions,,g strategies and cap abilities are req uired for success in emerging 21st century society in one and two generations time. Both intergenerational and intergenerational equity would be enhanced if we thought and acted as parents in all aspects of our work. • Imagine if all involved in planning oppgperated utilizing their parent roles, working patiently to ensure that all your clients are given the same opportunity as you give your own children. • We work with them in the same way utilizing the control of the manager, and the facilitation or the leader in both us and them If we are to increase our capacity to thrive in two generations time we also need to look again at what we mean by wealth and prosperity Wealth Is a combination of the physical (resources) which must be conserved and the metaphysical (knowledge) which can only grow. (Ralph Buckminster-Fuller) In Australia there is too much dependence on the physical component of wealth generation and not enough conscious development of the metaphysical component. For a more prospero u s and sociall y inclu siv e Australia, and Planet Earth for that matter, we need to rethink prosperity and create what I call The metaphysical component of wealth The metaphysical component of wealth Is based on what we ha v e l earn ed in th e di sci plin es of humanities, natural sciences, social sciences and technologies These can be integrated across disciplines into new combined domains of knowledge . For example TildtMditTropical, desert, Mediterranean k nowl ldedge Management knowledge Behavioural knowledge The metaphysical component of wealth cont: To turn this knowledge into wealth we must be both creative and enterprising, so we can turn inventions -good ideas- into innovations – tradeable products and services. What I call Ways and Wares. In my work I place major emphasis on imagining and innovating new ways and wares for emerging markets To prosper in 2030 planners need to be better innovators and understand innovation better We will need to innovate many new Ways and Waaesres betwee n 20 10 a nd 2030 . Ways : innovations (social innovations) in what we do in order to achieve an objective. Changes to behaviours, actions, strategies and cultures. Wares : innovations (physical innovations) in what we use. For example new designs, products, services and technologies. Most of the innovations that will be selling in global marke ts the year 2030 an d beyon d have ye t to be invented. An example of Ways and Wares Water conservation way shorteninggy your shower from 6 to 3 minutes WtWater conservati on ware a new low volume shower head Imagine for example, some 21st century innovations such as living within solar income ways and wares and conflict resolution ways and wares The second pair of innovations The second pair of innovations besides Ways and Wares are Capacities and Capabilities. CitiCapacities : additiona l an d new resources (eg finance and technology) we need: Capabilities : additional understanding knowledge skills and expertise we need create : The education system is the major way we create the new skills and capabilities we To be effective in creating future sustainable pppyrosperity We should become effective leaders-of- self, and effective future-makers. We should teach them understand the critical