D5.2 EPATS Roadmap Document Number: EP D5.2-EPATS_Roadmap-V0 Table of contents: FOREWORD........................................................................................................................4 1. INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................5 2. MEANING OF CONCEPTS USED ............................................................................6 3. BACKGROUND ........................................................................................................9 3.1 Key figures related to passengers transport in EU-27...........................................9 3.2 Airports in Europe.............................................................................................12 4. EPATS CONCEPT...................................................................................................18 5. EPATS OBJECTIVES AND RATIONALE ..............................................................23 6. EPATS SYSTEM COMPONENTS...........................................................................25 7. EPATS EFFECTIVENESS.......................................................................................26 7.1 Introduction.......................................................................................................26 7.2 Time efficiency .................................................................................................27 7.3 Energy efficiency ..............................................................................................29 7.4 Material efficiency ............................................................................................34 7.5 Impact on environment measured by externalities costs.....................................35 7.6 Car/Aircraft transportation properties comparison .............................................37 8. EPATS ACCESSIBILITY AND AFFORDABILITY................................................39 8.1 General overview ..............................................................................................39 8.2 Transport accessibility issues in Poland (as an example)....................................40 8.2.1 Surface transport........................................................................................40 8.2.2 Air transport ..............................................................................................41 8.2.3 Air Flow analysis on interregional router of Poland. ..................................44 9. EPATS REFERENCE AIRCRAFT ...........................................................................48 9.1 EPATS reference aircraft characteristics............................................................48 9.2 Calculated DOC and current price of reference aircraft services ........................52 9.3 EPATS and reference aircraft comparison ........................................................53 10. EPATS DEMAND FORECASTING AND METHODOLOGY .............................54 10.1 Scenarios...........................................................................................................54 10.2 About Market research methodology.................................................................54 10.3 Generalized costs minimization method ............................................................55 10.4 Global approach at the European level...............................................................57 10.5 Global approach at country level .......................................................................59 10.6 Approach at regional level (of an airport) ..........................................................59 10.7 Results of EPATS aircraft demand calculations.................................................59 10.8 EPATS aircraft mission’s characteristics taken for calculation...........................61 11. EPATS VISION....................................................................................................63 12. EPATS AIRCRAFT MISSIONS AND REQUIREMENTS....................................72 13. EPATS BUSINESS ASPECT................................................................................76 13.1 Introduction.......................................................................................................76 13.2 Strategies ..........................................................................................................76 13.3 Services and target customers............................................................................77 13.4 EPATS organizational structure ........................................................................78 13.5 EPATS operational concept...............................................................................79 13.6 Value proposition..............................................................................................81 13.7 EPATS aircraft production size and employment growth...................................81 13.8 EPATS productivity, time and value saved by European population in travel ....82 This document has been produced by the EPATS Consortium under EU FP6. Copy right and all other rights are reserved by the EPATS Consortium Contractors Page 2 of 124 D5.2 EPATS Roadmap Document Number: EP D5.2-EPATS_Roadmap-V0 13.9 Saved fuel .........................................................................................................83 13.10 Material saved ...............................................................................................83 13.11 Saved ground area .........................................................................................84 13.12 Impact on environment..................................................................................84 13.13 Financing ......................................................................................................85 13.14 Investments and benefits................................................................................87 14. EPATS DEVELOPMENT PHASES .....................................................................89 14.1 Issues area.........................................................................................................89 14.2 Major investigation elements of the EPATS R&D vision...................................90 14.3 The key players and organizations.....................................................................92 14.4 The key EU GA manufacturers..........................................................................93 14.5 The EPATS development phases.......................................................................94 14.5.1 Phase I Studies and analyses ...................................................................94 14.5.2 Phase II Research and development ........................................................98 14.5.3 Phase III Experimental EPATS implementation.......................................98 14.5.4 Phase IV The EPATS implementation – technologies development and deployment ...............................................................................................................99 14.6 European Personal Aircraft Development Platform (EPADP)..........................102 14.7 The Road-map key questions...........................................................................105 14.8 The output of EPATS implementation.............................................................106 15. CONCLUSIONS AND PROPOSALS.................................................................107 15.1 Conclusions related to European Business & Personal Aviation Data Base (WP1) 107 15.2 Conclusions related to Market potential of personal aviation (WP2) ................109 15.3 Conclusions related to ATM (WP3.1)..............................................................112 15.4 Conclusions related to airport (WP3.2)............................................................114 15.5 Conclusions related to environment and safety (WP3.2.6) ...............................116 15.6 Conclusions related to Operating Cost Analysis (WP4.2) ................................116 15.7 Conclusions related to Aircraft cockpit systems...............................................117 15.8 Conclusions related to aircraft design ..............................................................118 15.9 Conclusions related to Business aspect............................................................119 16. FINAL CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS....................................120 REFERENCES:................................................................................................................121 This document has been produced by the EPATS Consortium under EU FP6. Copy right and all other rights are reserved by the EPATS Consortium Contractors Page 3 of 124 D5.2 EPATS Roadmap Document Number: EP D5.2-EPATS_Roadmap-V0 FOREWORD This report was elaborated on the basis of EPATS Study findings and particularly the deliverables: D1.1 Report on European Business& Personal Aviation Data Base D2.1 Potential transfer of passenger demand to personal aviation by 2020 D3.1 EPATS ATM General requirements & related issues to be solved D3.2 EPATS airports General requirements, safety and environmental aspects D4.1 EPATS aircraft missions specification D4.2 Operating Costs Analysis Report D4.3 Fuel consumption and transportation energy effectiveness Analysis Report D5.1 EPATS Research and Development Program The relevant papers listed in the references were also studied. This document has been produced by the EPATS Consortium under EU FP6. Copy