Strategic SSI - Afghanistan DAILY SITUATION REPORT 31 OCTOBER 2010 SAFETY AND SECURITY ISSUES RELEVANT TO SSSI PERSONNEL AND CLIENTS STANDING THREAT ASSESSMENT (KABUL): Threat reports continue to indicate that insurgents aspire to conduct coordinated attacks in Kabul City, as such the threat remains extant. Recent threat reporting has also indicated likely reconnaissance of areas and businesses frequented by members of the international community. Although no significant attacks were carried out in Kabul during the recent parliamentary election, or indeed after the event, the recent reduction in physical security in the city may provide insurgents with exploitable opportunities to carry out attacks. Suicide and complex attacks remain the preferred choice for insurgents in order to gain maximum casualties figures and the associated high degree of media attention. It remains possible that insurgents will still seek to undermine the democratic process by conducting high profile attacks when the final results are announced at the end of October. It remains prudent for international agencies in the Kabul area to maintain a high degree of security vigilance. Sporadic IDF attacks in the city centre are to be expected. Any attacks are likely to consist of between one and four 107 mm rockets launched towards the city centre. Incidents of intimidation, executions by insurgents and targeting of government officials are increasing throughout the country. It seems to be a form of revenge by insurgents as they have lost more than 300 insurgent commanders over the past few months due to successful IM/ANSF operations. MAJOR COUNTRY WIDE EVENTS Herat: Influencial local Tribal Leader killed by insurgents Nangarhar: Five attacks against Border Police OPs Helmand: Five local residents murdered Privileged and Confidential This information is intended only for the use of the individual or entity to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged, confidential, and exempt from disclosure under applicable law. You are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this information is strictly prohibited without the explicitly approval from Strategic SSI Management. Page 1 of 19 Strategic SSI - Afghanistan Threat Reports Received Last 3 Days 28 Oct: Herat: Suicide attack threat against hotel and IM/ANSF movements 30 Oct: Laghman: Kidnap threat against ANSF members on route 29 Oct: Farah: Suicide Attack threat against IM & ANSF vehicles on MSR 28 Oct: Kabul: Kidnap Threat against engineers at Naglu Dam Project 30 Oct: Kabul: VBIED threat against Indian Embassy – stolen diplomatic vehicle 30 Oct: Farah: IDF Threat against the Farah City BREAKDOWN OF INCIDENTS REPORTED FOR AFGHANISTAN IN SSSI DSR FOR PERIOD 30 TO 31 OCTOBER 2010 Privileged and Confidential This information is intended only for the use of the individual or entity to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged, confidential, and exempt from disclosure under applicable law. You are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this information is strictly prohibited without the explicitly approval from Strategic SSI Management. Page 2 of 19 Strategic SSI - Afghanistan Table illustrating the number of Killed and Wounded, Captured and Arrested as per the reporting’s of the SSSI DSR. IM ANSF PSC/FN LN INSURGENTS KIA WIA MIA KIA WIA MIA KIA WIA MIA KIA WIA MIA KIA WIA ARR 2-Oct 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 20 2 7 0 14 3 Oct 0 0 0 4 3 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 54 12 15 4 Oct 1 4 0 8 4 2 0 0 0 20 23 4 83 13 35 5 Oct 0 11 0 6 6 0 2 2 0 13 49 2 7 5 4 6 Oct 0 9 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 5 20 1 10 0 13 7 Oct 1 0 0 1 8 0 1 1 0 10 3 12 20 0 27 9 Oct 1 4 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 15 20 4 18 1 0 10 Oct 4 4 0 3 13 0 1 1 0 14 25 4 20 0 2 11 Oct 0 0 0 5 9 1 1 2 0 12 13 1 13 6 13 12 Oct 1 14 0 13 21 9 1 4 0 15 16 2 38 11 19 13 Oct 2 13 0 1 2 2 0 1 0 5 4 0 18 0 3 14 Oct 0 7 0 6 5 0 0 1 0 33 6 0 36 0 18 16 Oct 4 3 0 9 1 0 0 3 0 21 4 0 38 5 1 17 Oct 1 2 0 4 4 0 0 0 0 7 4 0 8 10 0 18 Oct 0 0 0 0 1 0 9 0 0 7 8 0 6 1 19 19 Oct 1 4 0 6 3 0 11 1 0 4 2 3 25 0 16 20 Oct 1 7 0 9 20 0 1 5 0 18 31 4 47 16 43 21 Oct 3 5 0 8 15 1 1 0 0 21 42 1 34 10 40 23 Oct 1 6 0 7 15 2 4 2 0 24 27 1 26 0 43 24 Oct 0 6 0 1 9 2 3 6 0 13 2 1 103 3 3 25 Oct 4 9 0 1 5 0 0 1 0 5 18 5 23 1 18 26 Oct 0 14 0 9 7 0 0 0 0 22 11 5 24 5 35 27 Oct 1 8 0 2 5 0 0 2 0 5 6 4 25 4 9 28 Oct 1 3 0 5 1 0 4 6 0 6 16 0 77 1 22 30 Oct 0 9 0 16 19 1 0 0 0 2 0 3 36 1 23 31 Oct 0 8 0 6 9 0 1 0 0 11 6 3 32 10 8 Oct-10 27 142 0 126 177 20 39 39 0 302 371 59 796 105 435 (Kindly note that these figures are from the SSSI DSR and are not official statistics and may differ from those released by IM or other agencies or organizations.) Privileged and Confidential This information is intended only for the use of the individual or entity to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged, confidential, and exempt from disclosure under applicable law. You are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this information is strictly prohibited without the explicitly approval from Strategic SSI Management. Page 3 of 19 Strategic SSI - Afghanistan SECURITY INCIDENTS REPORTED FOR PERIOD 30 TO 31 OCT 10 CENTRAL REGION Ordinance Recovered: 26 Oct, Kabul Province, Shakardara District – During the morning the Police located and seized a cache consisting of an AP mine and nine mortar bombs in the Jangalak Village. Crime: 26 Oct, Kabul Province, Kabul City, Police District #9 – Just after misnight the Police stopped and searched a vehicle in a Police Checkpoint in the Pole Charkhi Area. The Police arrested four people and seized 65 Kg of narcotics. UXO: 27 Oct, Kabul Province, Kabul City, Police District #1 – During the day the Police located and removed an old UXO in the Puli Mohmott Khan Area. Insurgency: 30 Oct, Kabul Province, Kabul City – Reportedly insurgent stole a 2006 model Toyota Corolla displaying a license plate #CD-13-7 from the Russian Embassy. According to the report the insurgents are planning to rig the vehicle as a VBIED to target the Indian Embassy. Insurgency: 30 Oct, Kabul Province, Surobi District – During the morning insurgents deployed an ambush in the Shina Area to target IM elements that attended the opening of a school. Ambush: 26 Oct, Kapisa Province, Tagab District – Just after midnight insurgents ambushed an IM patrol on a district road in the Lando Khel Area. No casualties were reported. Privileged and Confidential This information is intended only for the use of the individual or entity to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged, confidential, and exempt from disclosure under applicable law. You are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this information is strictly prohibited without the explicitly approval from Strategic SSI Management. Page 4 of 19 Strategic SSI - Afghanistan Attack: 29 Oct, Kapisa Province, Tagab District – During the day insurgents attacked the joint IM/ANSF Force that is deployed at a construction site with RPGs and SAF. The newly deployed checkpoint was attacked from multiple firing positions. IM Air Assets were deployed and an unknown number of insurgent casualties were inflicted. No other casualties were reported. Ordinance Recovered: 26 Oct, Parwan Province, Bagram District – Late during the afternoon the Police located two rockets in the Mirzajalal Area. The rockets were primed and ready to be launched. An IM EOD Team later defused the rockets. Ambush: 26 Oct, Wardak Province, Saydabad District – During the morning insurgents ambushed a PSC escorted IM contracted logistics convoy in the Aqa Khel Area. One PSC member was killed and one fuel tanker was set ablaze. IED: 27 Oct, Wardak Province, Saydabad District – During the morning the Police located an IED near the District Administrative Center. An IM EOD Team later defused the device. Operations: 27 Oct, Wardak Province, Chak District – During the afternoon the Police arrested an insurgent in the Alasang Area and seized his handgun. Operations: 26 Oct, Logar Province, Baraki Barak District – Just after midnight the IM launched an operation in the Deh Mughlon Area and arrested two insurgents. Operations: 27 Oct, Logar Province, Puli Alam District – During the day the Police arrested a suspected insurgent near the District Administrative Center. Ambush: 27 Oct, Logar Province, Muhammad Agha District – During the afternoon insurgents ambushed an IM convoy in the Zarghun Shah Area.