Final Project Report FINAL PROJECT REPORT (FPR) PROJECT INFORMATION AND RESOURCES Project ID: 00083269 Output ID: 00067570 Resilience Capacity Building for Cities and Municipalities to Project Title: Reduce Disaster Risks from Climate Change and Natural Hazards (Project ReBUILD), Phase 1 Implementing Partner: Climate Change Commission CSCAND agencies, OCD/NDRMMC, DENR, DILG, HLURB, Responsible Parties DTI, Pilot LGUs (Tuguegarao City and Iguig for CRB and (if applicable): Passi, Dumangas and Zarraga for JRB), Academe (UP and CSU) Donor: Government of New Zealand Project Starting date Project completion date Originally planned Actual Originally planned Actual October 2012 April 2013 June 2015 June 2018 Total Budget Original Budget Latest Signed Revision (US$) (US$) $ 1,227,272.00 $ 1,749,735.40 Total Expenditures (US$) $ 1,703,983.42 (as of June 2018) Resources Donor Amount N/A PURPOSE OF THE PROJECT ReBUILD Phase 1 aimed to determine the necessary enabling policy environment, mechanism, system and tools, as well as improving the competencies of institutions to address risks from natural hazards and climate change. If climate risks are not anticipated, development gains could diminish and development targets may not be achieved. This can negatively impact attainment of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) targets. ReBUILD Phase 1 was calibrated to showcase and model that climate risk assessment could be done by the localities given the right set of assistance from government, academic, private institutions and civil society. Results of the climate risk assessment would dictate needed adaptation interventions to ensure continuous delivery of basic services and business continuity. ReBUILD’s intention was to change the mind-set of decision-makers from addressing Page 1 of 34 Final Project Report business as usual (BAU) concerns to anticipating future scenarios in planning and investment programming. It aimed to foster a culture of future-oriented or anticipatory planning, factoring the possible impacts of climate change. ReBUILD Phase 1 focused on climate change impacts on natural hazards in two (2) major river basins. It also intended to increase understanding on the transboundary nature of hazards and that an adaptation measure can impact neighbouring localities positively or negatively (maladaptation). From the onset, limitations were set on the intent for coordinated contingency planning and integrated development planning within the Cagayan and Jalaur River Basin (CRB and JRB). This was because the project funds would not be able to afford to cover the entire river basin and the required work may need more time. While the limitation was set, ReBUILD still pursued its desired outcome, i.e., increased capacities of key local actors, especially women, in the cities and municipalities surrounding the Cagayan and Jalaur River Basins to manage disaster risks and adapt to the overall impacts of climate change towards resilient and sustainable development. ReBUILD Phase 1 outcome areas consisted of the following: 1. Climate change and disaster risk of CRB and JRB assessed 2. Priority climate change adaptation and disaster risk mitigation measures for priority cities and municipalities within and around the Cagayan and Jalaur River Basins developed 3. Climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction mainstreamed in the target areas’ planning and regulatory processes 4. Socio-economic resilience of the poor and most vulnerable in target areas developed 5. Local knowledge management (KM) systems established in selected target areas ReBUILD Phase 1 focused on local government units (LGUs) in CRB in Region II, and JRB in Region VI. The aspiration was that these two (2) major river basins (MRBs) would initially be the model sites, and success in them would be replicated in the succeeding Phases of the Project to cover the eighteen (18) MRBs. In 2015, significant changes were introduced. Activities were downscaled due to the delays encountered in the acquisition of satellite imagery. Moreover, activities such as required fieldwork and survey needed for flood modelling, and collection of exposure maps exceeded the allotted time frame and funds. Most significant, anticipatory planning would be difficult without probabilistic maps. In 2016, there was a change of leadership in the Commission. A new administration also came in. The problems encountered and lessons learned from implementing ReBUILD Phase 1 provided inputs on the formulation of the Philippine Development Plan (PDP) 2017- 2022. This captured the troubles experienced in pilot localities in addressing impacts of climate change and the difficulties in the conduct of climate risk assessment. This resulted to granting the much needed enabling environment for the conduct of climate risk assessment. Likewise, the PDP provided a policy for the nationwide risk assessment. This advancement influenced the calibration of ReBUILD Phase 1 - to provide a model to operationalize the conduct of risk assessment at the local level with the intent of scaling up/replicating. In view of this, an exit strategy and sustainability plan (ESSP) was implemented in 2017. It focused on plotting the journey of localities in transforming from being climate vulnerable to climate smart. The purpose was to address bottlenecks and gaps encountered in the journey, starting from accomplishing its climate risk assessment. The Provincial Hub approach was explored for efficiency in replicating and increase effectiveness in characterizing and studying the behaviour of the common hazard (flood, rain Page 2 of 34 Final Project Report induced landslide, storm surge). Likewise, coordinated actions needed to address possible impacts could be more effective given a broader perspective of the nature of the hazard. 1. CONTRIBUTION TO THE UNDAF and CPD OUPTPUTS and OUTCOMES UNDAF 2012 – 2018 and UNDP 2012-2018 Country Programme Outcome UNDAF/CPD Outcome - By 2018, (i) vulnerable communities and the national and local governments will be better able to manage natural and human-induced disaster risks; and (ii) capacities of vulnerable communities to adapt to climate change will have been enhanced. UNDAF 2012 – 2018 and UNDP 2012-2018 Country Programme Indicators UNDAF and CPD Outcome Indicators – (i) damages and losses following natural and human induced disasters; (ii) allocation for DRRM of budgets by national and local governments; (iii) decrease in mortalities following natural and human-induced disasters; (iv) displaced people following natural and human-induced disasters; (v) mortalities, morbidities, and economic loss from extreme meteorological/met-induced events; (vi) productivity of sectors affected by climate change (UNDAF 2012-2018). Progress towards achieving the Outcome [A brief analysis of the status of the situation and any observed change(s) made possible by the project contribution, at a higher development result level. Make reference to the applicable MDGs or PDP goals/targets ] ReBUILD Phase 1 contributed to the National Development Goal covered by the UNDAF Outcomes of the Project, specifically under Chapter 10, Goal 3, Philippine Development Plan 2011-2016, which states, to wit: “Enhanced resilience of natural systems and improved adaptive capacities of human communities to cope with environmental hazards including climate-related risks, by (i) strengthening institutional capacities of national and local governments for climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction and management; (ii) enhancing the resilience of natural systems; and (iii) improving adaptive capacities of communities.” As mentioned earlier, ReBUILD Phase 1 provided inputs in the formulation of PDP 2017- 2022. It is responsive and contribute to the Subsector Outcome 3 of Chapter 20, among others: “Adaptive capacities and resilience of ecosystems increased. Strategies will be geared toward strengthening the implementation of CCA and DRR actions across sectors, including ENR..., particularly “Develop, maintain, and ensure the accessibility of climate and geospatial information and services. This includes the following activities: (a) completing the coverage and ensuring access to large scale (1:10,000) probabilistic hazard maps; (b) conducting a nationwide geo-referenced mapping of exposed elements; (c) developing risk estimation models to determine the value of potential loss and damage for different scenarios; (d) improving the loss and damage database to generate disaggregated information about vulnerable and affected groups; (e) identifying and mapping natural ecosystems that contribute to resilience; and (f) standardizing definition and Page 3 of 34 Final Project Report methodologies to measure DRRM and CC variables.” The target to complete the national risk assessment can build on the outputs of ReBUILD Phase 1. Moreover, the tools develop are already being used in building capacities of LGUs. The shift of from BAU to anticipatory mind-set could be supported by the results of the risk assessment. Moreover, planners are more knowledgeable on the need for future scenarios to better prepare for an uncertain future. One significant outcome is bringing in the debate on the use of probabilistic approach in dealing with risk under uncertainties from the changing climate. Another positive outcome is the acceptance that dealing with hazards requires collective action and that some adaptation measures may turn out to be maladaptation. This appreciation had brought an increased demand from stakeholders, both local and national, to