California’s Future: It Starts Here UC’s Contributions to Economic Growth, Health, and Culture An Impact Study for The University of California March 2003 Prepared by: ICF Consulting Prepared for: University of California Project Manager Trey Davis Director of Special Projects and New Media UC Office of the President Table of Contents Introduction The Role of Universities Today: Critical Partners in Economic Development and Global Competitiveness ................. 1 The University of California: At the Heart of a Healthy, Economically Vibrant California .................................... 5 Executive Summary ............................................................................................ 9 Volume I. Economic Growth Preface 1. Key Industries for California’s Economic Growth ............................................ 1-1 2. Direct and Indirect Spending Impacts .......................................................... 2-1 3. Education and Workforce Impacts ............................................................... 3-1 4. Technology Impacts .................................................................................. 4-1 Economic Appendices A. Methodology and Data Explanations—Cluster Analysis.................................... A-1 B. The REMI Model and California Economic Forecasts........................................ B-1 C. Methodology and Data Explanations—UC Spending Impacts............................ C-1 D. Methodology and Data Explanations—Workforce Impacts ............................... D-1 E. Methodology and Data Explanations—Technology Impacts.............................. E-1 F. Cluster Analysis Charts and Tables .............................................................. F-1 G. UC Spending Impacts Charts and Tables ...................................................... G-1 H. Workforce Impacts Charts and Tables.......................................................... H-1 I. Technology Impacts Charts and Tables ......................................................... I-1 Volume II. Improving California's Health Preface 5. Food, Nutrition and Agriculture Impacts ....................................................... 5-1 6. Health Sciences Innovation ........................................................................ 6-1 7. Training California’s Health Professionals...................................................... 7-1 8. Caring for Patients .................................................................................... 8-1 9. Expanding Access: UC’s Community Health Programs ................................... 9-1 Health Appendices J. UC ANR Research, Innovation and Outreach Highlights....................................J-1 K. Patient-Care Data Sources ......................................................................... K-1 L. Regional Available Beds Statistics, 2000........................................................L-1 M. Regional Hospital Discharges, 2000 .............................................................M-1 N. Utilization Statistics for Aging and Poor Population, FY 2000 ........................... N-1 O. Regional ER Utilization Statistics ................................................................. O-1 Volume III. Quality of Life Impacts: UC’s Cultural Connections Preface 10. A Library for All Californians ......................................................................10-1 11. Arts and Culture ......................................................................................11-1 12. Community Outreach and Volunteerism ......................................................12-1 13. Athletics, Recreation and Summer Camps ...................................................13-1 14. Conference Services and Housing Facilities ..................................................14-1 UC’s Contributions to Economic Growth, Health, and Culture Table of Contents List of Exhibits 1. The University of California in Silicon Valley .......................................................... 3-3 2. UC Berkeley Extension and Industry Clusters: Enhancing the Workforce...................3-11 3. Expanding Access.............................................................................................3-15 4. California Institutes for Science and Innovation ....................................................4-12 5. Industry-University Cooperative Research Partnership ...........................................4-13 List of Figures ES-1. UC Economic and Fiscal Impacts....................................................................... 8 ES-2. Economic Losses if Campus Spending Were Flat ................................................. 8 I-i. Framework for Assessing UC's Key Economic Impacts 1-1. Composition of California’s Diverse Economy, 2001.......................................... 1-2 1-2. Employment in California’s Metropolitan Industry Clusters................................. 1-3 1-3. Change in IT Employment, 1991-2001 ........................................................... 1-4 1-4. Change in Computer and Semiconductor Employment, 1991-2001 ..................... 1-6 1-5. Change in Bioscience Employment, 1991-2001................................................ 1-7 1-6. Change in Telecommunications Employment, 1991-2001 .................................. 1-8 1-7. Change in Aerospace Employment, 1991-2001................................................ 1-9 2-1. California Regions’ County Composition .......................................................... 2-4 2-2. UC Berkeley Spending Impact Inputs ............................................................. 2-5 2-3. UC Davis Spending Impact Inputs ................................................................. 2-5 2-4. UC Irvine Spending Impact Inputs ................................................................. 2-6 2-5. UCLA Spending Impact Inputs....................................................................... 2-6 2-6. UC Riverside Spending Impact Inputs ............................................................ 2-7 2-7. UC San Diego Spending Impact Inputs ........................................................... 2-7 2-8. UC San Francisco Spending Impact Inputs ...................................................... 2-8 2-9. UC Santa Barbara Spending Impact Inputs ..................................................... 2-8 2-10. UC Santa Cruz Spending Impact Inputs.......................................................... 2-9 2-11. Regional Economic and Fiscal Impacts in 2002 (Upper Limit) ............................2-10 2-12. Regional Economic and Fiscal Impacts in 2002 (Lower Limit) ............................2-10 2-13. Statewide Economic and Fiscal Impacts in 2002 (Upper Limit) ..........................2-11 2-14. Statewide Economic and Fiscal Impacts in 2002 (Lower Limit) ..........................2-12 2-15. Regional Economic and Fiscal Impacts, 2002-11 .............................................2-13 2-16. Statewide Economic and Fiscal Impacts, 2002-11 ...........................................2-13 2-17. Statewide Economic and Fiscal Impacts of UC Expenditures Funded by Federal Dollars from 2002 through 2011 ........................................2-14 2-18. Regional Economic Losses if UC Campuses Ceased to Exist ..............................2-15 2-19. Regional Economic Losses if Campus Spending Were Flat, 2002-11 ...................2-16 3-1. IT and Engineering Enrollments by Campus, 1996-2001 ................................... 3-2 3-2. Trends in Engineering Degrees Awarded ......................................................... 3-3 3-3. Trends in Computer Science Degrees Awarded ................................................ 3-3 3-4. Biosciences Enrollments by Campus, 1996-2001.............................................. 3-4 3-5. Percentage Growth in Biosciences Enrollments by Campus, 1996-2001 ............... 3-4 3-6. A Historical Comparison of U.S. Enrollments in the Biosciences and Engineering/Computer Science................................................................ 3-5 3-7. Agriculture Enrollments by Campus, 1996-2001 .............................................. 3-6 3-8. Percentage Growth in Agriculture Enrollments by Campus, 1996-2001................ 3-6 3-9. Baccalaureate Degrees Awarded in Cluster-related Disciplines by Campus, 2001 .. 3-7 California’s Future: It Starts Here Table of Contents 3-10. Projected Number of Baccalaureate Degrees Awarded in Cluster-related Disciplines by Campus, 2011 ............................................... 3-7 3-11. UC Cluster-related Undergraduates Entering California’s Science/Engineering Workforce by Region....................................................... 3-7 3-12. Estimated Regional Impact of UC Undergraduates Entering the Science/Engineering Workforce in 2002 .................................................... 3-8 3-13. Estimated Regional Impact of UC Undergraduates Entering the Science/Engineering Workforce, 2002–11.................................................. 3-8 3-14. Estimated Regional Impact of UC Graduate Students Entering the Science/Engineering Workforce in 2002.......................................................... 3-9 3-15. Estimated Regional Impact of UC Graduate Students Entering the Science/Engineering Workforce, 2002-11........................................................ 3-9 3-16. Percentage of UC Extension Enrollments in Science and Technology Subject Areas, 1999-2000 ..........................................................3-10 3-17. California Resident Community