Terry Fox Drive & Cope Drive Commercial Shopping Development Transportation Impact Assessment Strategy Report September 19, 2018 Prepared for: 98365 Ontario Limited c/o Street Properties Prepared by: Stantec Consulting Ltd. TERRY FOX DRIVE & COPE DRIVE COMMERCIAL SHOPPING DEVELOPMENT Table of Contents 1.0 SCREENING ..................................................................................................................... 1 1.1 SUMMARY OF DEVELOPMENT ...................................................................................... 1 1.2 TRIP GENERATION TRIGGER ........................................................................................ 1 1.3 LOCATION TRIGGERS .................................................................................................... 2 1.4 SAFETY TRIGGERS ........................................................................................................ 2 1.5 SUMMARY ........................................................................................................................ 2 2.0 SCOPING .......................................................................................................................... 3 2.1 EXISTING AND PLANNED CONDITIONS ....................................................................... 3 2.1.1 Proposed Development ................................................................................... 3 2.1.2 Existing Conditions .......................................................................................... 6 2.1.3 Planned Conditions ....................................................................................... 10 2.2 STUDY AREA AND TIME PERIODS .............................................................................. 11 2.2.1 Study Area ..................................................................................................... 11 2.2.2 Time Periods ................................................................................................. 12 2.2.3 Horizon Years ................................................................................................ 12 2.3 EXEMPTIONS REVIEW ................................................................................................. 12 3.0 FORECASTING .............................................................................................................. 13 3.1 DEVELOPMENT-GENERATED TRAVEL DEMAND ...................................................... 13 3.1.1 Trip Generation and Mode Shares ................................................................ 13 3.1.2 Trip Distribution ............................................................................................. 18 3.1.3 Trip Assignment ............................................................................................. 18 3.2 BACKGROUND NETWORK TRAVEL DEMAND ............................................................ 22 3.2.1 Transportation Network Plans ....................................................................... 22 3.2.2 Background Growth ....................................................................................... 22 3.2.3 Other Developments ...................................................................................... 22 3.3 DEMAND RATIONALIZATION ....................................................................................... 22 3.3.1 2020 Future Background Traffic .................................................................... 22 3.3.2 2020 Total Future Traffic ............................................................................... 22 3.3.3 2025 Ultimate Traffic ..................................................................................... 22 4.0 STRATEGY ..................................................................................................................... 26 4.1 DEVELOPMENT DESIGN .............................................................................................. 26 4.1.1 Design for Sustainable Modes ....................................................................... 26 4.1.2 Circulation and Access .................................................................................. 26 4.1.3 New Street Networks ..................................................................................... 26 4.2 PARKING ........................................................................................................................ 26 4.2.1 Parking Supply .............................................................................................. 26 4.2.2 Spillover Parking ............................................................................................ 27 4.3 BOUNDARY STREET DESIGN ...................................................................................... 27 4.3.1 Design Concept ............................................................................................. 27 4.4 ACCESS INTERSECTIONS DESIGN ............................................................................ 29 4.4.1 Location and Design of Access ..................................................................... 29 TERRY FOX DRIVE & COPE DRIVE COMMERCIAL SHOPPING DEVELOPMENT 4.4.2 Intersection Control ....................................................................................... 29 4.4.3 Intersection Design ........................................................................................ 29 4.5 TRANSPORTATION DEMAND MANAGEMENT ............................................................ 30 4.5.1 Context for TDM ............................................................................................ 30 4.5.2 Need and Opportunity ................................................................................... 30 4.5.3 TDM Program ................................................................................................ 30 4.6 NEIGHBOURHOOD TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT ............................................................. 30 4.7 TRANSIT ......................................................................................................................... 30 4.7.1 Route Capacity .............................................................................................. 30 4.7.2 Transit Priority ............................................................................................... 31 4.8 REVIEW OF NETWORK CONCEPT .............................................................................. 31 4.9 INTERSECTION DESIGN ............................................................................................... 31 4.9.1 Intersection Control ....................................................................................... 31 4.9.2 Intersection Design ........................................................................................ 31 5.0 CONCLUSION ................................................................................................................ 56 LIST OF TABLES Table 1 - Assumed Land Uses ...................................................................................................... 4 Table 2 - City of Ottawa Transportation Master Plan Projects .................................................... 10 Table 3 - Background Developments .......................................................................................... 10 Table 4 - Exemptions Review ..................................................................................................... 12 Table 5 - Vehicle Trip Generation Rates ..................................................................................... 13 Table 6 - Person Trips Generated by Land Use ......................................................................... 14 Table 7 - Trips Generated by Travel Mode ................................................................................. 15 Table 8 - Pass-By Percentages .................................................................................................. 15 Table 9 - Pass-By and Internal Capture Trips ............................................................................. 16 Table 10 - Trip Distribution .......................................................................................................... 18 Table 11 - MMLOS Conditions (Segments) ................................................................................ 28 Table 12 - 2025 Ultimate Access Intersection Operations (Synchro) ......................................... 29 Table 13 - 2018 Existing Intersection Operations (Synchro) ...................................................... 32 Table 14 - 2018 Existing Intersection Operations with Improvements (Synchro) ....................... 33 Table 15 - 2018 Existing MMLOS (Terry Fox Drive / Fernbank Road) ....................................... 36 Table 16 - 2018 Existing MMLOS (Terry Fox Drive / Cope Drive) .............................................. 37 Table 17 - 2020 Future Background Intersection Operations (Synchro) .................................... 39 Table 18 - 2020 Future Background MMLOS (Terry Fox Drive / Fernbank Road) ..................... 42 Table 19 - 2020 Future Background MMLOS (Terry Fox Drive / Cope Drive) ............................ 43 Table 20 - 2020 Total Future Intersection Operations (Synchro) ................................................ 45 Table 21 - 2020 Total Future MMLOS (Terry Fox Drive / Fernbank Road) ................................ 48 Table 22 - 2020 Total Future MMLOS (Terry Fox Drive / Cope Drive) ....................................... 49 Table