Group Strategy - Capability Analysis ECML 2020 Capacity - Timetable Assessment Report Group Strategy – Capability Analysis ECML 2020 Capacity - Timetable Assessment Report Document Control Scheme Name ECML 2020 Capacity - Timetable Assessment Document Ref. No. Document v:\sap-project\ca000000 - ecml 2020 orr\004 report\ecml 2020 Location capacity 1.2.doc Version No. 1.2 Status Final Author Ed Jeffery, Amy Bradford Version Date 17/12/2014 Security Level Unrestricted Authorisation Control Ed Jeffery Signature Date Project Manager –Capability Analysis (Document Owner) Matt Rice Signature Date Operational Planning Manager © Network Rail 2014 Capability Analysis Page 2 of 78 Group Strategy – Capability Analysis ECML 2020 Capacity - Timetable Assessment Report DOCUMENT CONTROL & ADMINISTATION Change Record Version Date Author(s) Comments 0.1 28/11/2014 Ed Jeffery, Amy Bradford First Draft 0.2 28/11/2014 Ed Jeffery, Amy Bradford After internal review 1.0 04/12/2014 Ed Jeffery, Amy Bradford After external review 1.1 09/12/2014 Ed Jeffery, Amy Bradford After external review 1.2 17/12/2014 Ed Jeffery, Amy Bradford Reviewers Version Date Reviewer(s) Review Notes 0.1 27/11/2014 Capability Analysis Internal Review 0.2 28/11/2014 R. Lewis, M. Rice, ORR 1.0, 1.1 04/12/2014 M. Rice References Ref. Document Name Document Ref. No. Date Rev East Coast Main Line 2016 Final 1 N/A 12/10 Capacity Review Principal Development Timetable for Thameslink 2 CA118385-1 15/06/12 Key Output 2 (2011 1.1 Iteration) ECML Line of Route GRIP 1 3 Study – Capacity Modelling CA128248 10/09/12 6.0 and Infrastructure Options ECML Capacity Options 4 Report to support Access N/A 11/09/14 1.3 Application Process © Network Rail 2014 Capability Analysis Page 3 of 78 Group Strategy – Capability Analysis ECML 2020 Capacity - Timetable Assessment Report Abbreviations Acronym Meaning DfT Department for Transport DTT Development Timetable ECML East Coast Main Line FOC Freight Operating Company GRIP Governance for Rail Investment Projects IEP Intercity Express Programme IPG Industry Plan Group ITSS Indicative Train Service Specification L&NE London and North Eastern LDHS Long Distance High Speed NR Network Rail ORR Office of Rail Regulation RUS Route Utilisation Strategy TLP Thameslink Programme TOC Train Operating Company TPH Trains Per Hour TPR Train Planning Rules TSGN Thameslink, Southern and Great Northern (franchise) TSS Train Service Specification TT Timetable © Network Rail 2014 Capability Analysis Page 4 of 78 Group Strategy – Capability Analysis ECML 2020 Capacity - Timetable Assessment Report TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Executive Summary...................................................................................................................... 7 2. Introduction ................................................................................................................................... 9 2.1. Background ............................................................................................................................... 9 2.2. Report Structure........................................................................................................................ 9 2.3. Input Assumptions................................................................................................................... 10 2.4. Methodology............................................................................................................................ 12 2.5. Outputs.................................................................................................................................... 13 2.6. Communication ....................................................................................................................... 14 3. Long Distance High Speed Service Patterns.............................................................................. 15 3.1. Capacity over Welwyn Viaduct................................................................................................ 15 3.2. Option 1................................................................................................................................... 16 3.3. Option 2................................................................................................................................... 24 3.4. LDHS Findings ........................................................................................................................ 29 3.5. LDHS 7 tph options (Scenario A) ............................................................................................32 4. Section by section....................................................................................................................... 34 4.1. King’s Cross – Peterborough .................................................................................................. 34 4.2. Peterborough – Doncaster ...................................................................................................... 37 4.3. Doncaster – York..................................................................................................................... 41 4.4. York – Newcastle .................................................................................................................... 43 4.5. Newcastle – Edinburgh ........................................................................................................... 49 4.6. Doncaster – Leeds .................................................................................................................. 51 4.7. Leeds – York ........................................................................................................................... 53 4.8. Platforming and turnrounds..................................................................................................... 53 5. Freight and passenger capacity choices..................................................................................... 55 5.1. London – Doncaster................................................................................................................ 56 5.2. Doncaster – York..................................................................................................................... 58 5.3. York – Newcastle .................................................................................................................... 59 5.4. Newcastle – Edinburgh ........................................................................................................... 61 5.5. Doncaster – Leeds .................................................................................................................. 63 © Network Rail 2014 Capability Analysis Page 5 of 78 Group Strategy – Capability Analysis ECML 2020 Capacity - Timetable Assessment Report 6. Other Impacts ............................................................................................................................. 64 6.1. Performance............................................................................................................................ 64 6.2. Power Supply .......................................................................................................................... 65 6.3. Safety and Operability............................................................................................................. 65 7. Conclusions ................................................................................................................................ 66 7.1. Key Findings............................................................................................................................ 66 7.2. Choices ................................................................................................................................... 66 7.3. Infrastructure ........................................................................................................................... 68 7.4. Performance and other impacts ..............................................................................................69 7.5. Next Steps............................................................................................................................... 69 8. APPENDIX.................................................................................................................................. 70 © Network Rail 2014 Capability Analysis Page 6 of 78 Group Strategy – Capability Analysis ECML 2020 Capacity - Timetable Assessment Report 1. Executive Summary Network Rail has produced this report to present in more detail the capacity options presented in the “ECML Capacity Options Report.” In line with the project remit this report focuses on three LDHS service scenarios: 7 tph LDHS off-peak: choices around operating a 7 tph service pattern alongside revised TSGN service patterns 8 tph LDHS off-peak: choices around operating an 8 tph service pattern along the ECML route, and also the feasibility of operating 2 tph fast London – Edinburgh 8 tph LDHS peak: choices around operating an 8 tph service pattern alongside the suburban London peak service These service scenarios have been overlaid onto the ECML 2020 ITSS to produce a high- level set of development timetables. The key findings within this report can be summarised as follows:- An 8th LDHS path can be accommodated on the route, alongside the TSGN off-peak and peak suburban service. The full ECML ITSS cannot be accommodated in several locations, particularly between York and Edinburgh. In addition to the