General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works ImplementingImplementing aa RealReal--TimeTime ForecastingForecasting SystemSystem forfor EastEast BlackBlack SeaSea RegionRegion ofof TurkeyTurkey Fatih KESKIN Flood Forecasting Unit General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works ExistingExisting SystemSystem :: TEFER (Turkey Emergency Flood and Earthquake Recovery Project ) West Black Sea Basin Susurluk Basin Gediz Basin B. Menderes Basin General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works The Meteorological and Hydrological System: • 129 Hydrometry station • 208 Automated weather operation station (AWOS) • 3 Meteorological Doppler radar The Overall number of Hydrometry Stations for each basin West Black Sea B. Menderes Susurluk Basin Gediz Basin Basin Basin 32 45 22 20 General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works Input Real time SCOUT Rainfall monitored data Forecast Modelling Processing Data checking Interpolation MIKE Q/H calculation 11 Surface Map Bulletins Inundation WWW & Graphs Maps Output General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works ProjectProject AreaArea :: Population of the two cities : 1.345.233 Population in the Flood Area : 295.951 Black Sea General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works Recorded Flood Events in Rize and Trabzon Cities Flood Event Affected City(s) Losses July 7-8, 1973 Rize 4 July 14, 1973 Rize 4 July 30, 1977 Rize and Trabzon 6 July 19, 1983 Rize 26 July 21, 1988 Rize 3 June 19-20, 1990 Trabzon and Giresun 49 July 6, 1995 Rize and Trabzon 4 August 31, 1995 Rize 9 August 7-8, 1998 Trabzon 7 November 11-12, 2001 Rize 7 August 2-3, 2005 Rize and Trabzon 10 General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works Objective : The objective of the project is to minimize the suffering and damage from floods and to reduce vulnerability and risk of floods. To achieve this a real-time forecasting system is required. Application of a complete system will facilitate transfer of vital information to reduce or prevent flood damage and loss of life. Timeframe : The Duration of the Project : 12 Months General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works FUNDING Total Cost of the Project : 260.000 Euro From National Budget : 150.000 Euro Needed Fund : 110.000 Euro DSI has also ongoing projects in the planning and construction stages for the recovery of the infrastructure for flood prevention in the project area. The Planned infrastructures cost about 4,4 million Euro. The timeframe of these future projects will be 10-15 years. General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works Who will be Warned? • DSI Regional Directorate • General Directorate of Disaster Management • Local Governors • Military • Public By • Internet (Bulletins, Flood maps) • Media (Television, Radio) •GSM Warning will be for the next 48 hours General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works THANKTHANK YOUYOU.