Humboldt County Transit Development Plan Prepared For the 2017-2022 NEVADA COUNTYDraft TRANSPORTATION COMMISSION PreparedPrepared for the by LSC Transportation Consultants Humboldt County Association of Governments This page left intentionally blank. Humboldt County 2017‐2022 Transit Development Plan DRAFT _________________________ Prepared for the Humboldt County Association of Governments 611 I Street, Suite B Eureka, CA 95501 Prepared by LSC Transportation Consultants, Inc. 2690 Lake Forest Road, Suite C P. O. Box 5875 Tahoe City, California 96145 November 8, 2017 LSC #177020 This page left intentionally blank. TABLE OF CONTENTS CHAPTER PAGE 1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................ 1 2 Study Setting ........................................................................................................................................... 5 3 Existing Transit Services Overview ........................................................................................................ 21 4 Evaluation of Transit Services ............................................................................................................... 41 5 Transit Needs ........................................................................................................................................ 61 6 Service Alternatives Analysis ................................................................................................................. 67 7 Capital Requirements .......................................................................................................................... 117 8 Financial Considerations ..................................................................................................................... 131 9 Transit Development Plan ................................................................................................................... 139 10 SSTAC Strategic Plan ............................................................................................................................ 159 Appendix A – D: Bound Separately LIST OF TABLES TABLE PAGE 1 Historic Population of Humboldt County ................................................................................................ 7 2 Population Projections by Age Groups for Humboldt County ................................................................ 7 3 Humboldt County Population Characteristics by Census Tract ............................................................... 9 4 Humboldt County Commute Travel Characteristics .............................................................................. 11 5 Commuters Into and Out of Humboldt County Communities .............................................................. 13 6 Employment Location of Humboldt County Residents ......................................................................... 14 7 Top Humboldt County Employers ......................................................................................................... 15 8 Humboldt County Transit Fares ..................................................................................................... 23 ‐ 24 9 Humboldt County Transit Fleet Inventories .......................................................................................... 28 10 HTA Revenues ....................................................................................................................................... 42 11 HTA Operational and Administrative Expenses .................................................................................... 43 12 HTA Maintenance Expenses .................................................................................................................. 44 13 HTA Operating Statistics, Fiscal Year 2015 ‐16 ..................................................................................... 45 14 City of Arcata Transportation Expense Budgets ................................................................................... 48 Humboldt County Transit Development Plan LSC Transportation Consultants, Inc. Fiscal Years 2017‐18 to 2021‐22 Page i 15 A&MRTS Annual TDA Performance Indicators ..................................................................................... 49 16 Fortuna Transit – Transit Budget ........................................................................................................... 50 17 Fortuna Transit Annual TDA Performance Indicators ........................................................................... 51 18 Blue Lake Rancheria Transit System Annual Operating Data ............................................................... 52 19 K‐T NET Annual Budget and 2015‐16 Performance .............................................................................. 54 20 K‐T NET Operating Characteristics by Month, FY 2015‐16 .................................................................... 55 21 Humboldt County Transit Providers Performance, FY 2015‐16 ............................................................ 56 22 Example Performance Standards for Humboldt County Providers ....................................................... 59 23 Onboard Surveys – Ranking of Service Attributes ................................................................................ 66 24 Arcata & Mad River Transit Service Alternatives Summary .................................................................. 68 25 Arcata Service Alternatives Performance Analysis .............................................................................. 76 26 HTA Cost Allocations ............................................................................................................................. 79 27 RTS Weekday Mainline Route – Passengers per Hour by Trip .............................................................. 81 28 Humboldt Transit Authority – Service Alternatives Summary .............................................................. 84 29 Estimated Average Saturday Ridership on Existing Routes Passing College of the Redwoods ............. 85 30 Southern Humboldt Ridership and Performance by Run – Sorted by Direction and Time ................... 93 31 Southern Humboldt Ridership and Performance by Run – Sorted by Run ........................................... 94 32 Example Southern Humboldt Transit Schedule Intercity Service Only ................................................. 94 33 Comparison of Southern Humboldt Intercity Schedule Times with Nearest RTS Schedule Time ......... 96 34 HTA Service Alternatives Performance Analysis ................................................................................... 98 35 Eureka Transit Service – Service Alternatives ..................................................................................... 105 36 ETS Service Alternatives Performance Analysis .................................................................................. 108 37 Arcata & Mad River Transit System Replacement Vehicle Needs....................................................... 121 38 HTA and ETS Replacement Vehicle Needs .......................................................................................... 122 39 Other Humboldt Transit Providers Replacement Vehicle Needs ........................................................ 123 40 Humboldt County Transportation Revenue Shares ............................................................................ 133 41 Peer Transit System Fares ................................................................................................................... 135 42 Arcata & Mad River Transit System Estimated Operating Cost .......................................................... 140 43 Arcata & Mad River Transit System Estimated Ridership ................................................................... 140 44 Arcata & Mad River Transit System Estimated Farebox Revenues ..................................................... 140 45 Humboldt Transit Authority Estimated Operating Cost ...................................................................... 143 46 Humboldt Transit Authority Estimated Ridership ............................................................................... 144 47 Humboldt Transit Authority Estimated Farebox Revenues ................................................................. 144 48 Financial Forecast for Fortuna Transit ................................................................................................ 147 49 Financial Forecast for K/T Net ............................................................................................................. 148 50 Arcata and Mad River Transit System Financial Plan .......................................................................... 152 51 Humboldt Transit Authority Financial Plan ......................................................................................... 156 LIST OF FIGURES FIGURE PAGE 1 Humboldt County Site Map ..................................................................................................................... 6 LSC Transportation Consultants, Inc. Fiscal Year 2017‐18 to 2021‐22 Page ii Humboldt County Development Plan 2 Humboldt County Census Tracts ........................................................................................................... 10 3 Regional Routes Serving Humboldt County .........................................................................................