Welsh Automotive Forum Industry Summit Paul Everitt Chief executive SMMT New car and LCV demand Recovery in new car demand, linked to SIS. Demand up 28.7% YTD, but to fall overall in 2010 to 18.2mn. LCV demand fallen sharply. Now stable at low level. +8.8% YTD. UK new car and LCV registrations (Source SMMT) Car regs Forecast @ Jan '10 LCV regs Forecast @ Jan '10 2.70 350 325 2.50 300 2.30 275 250 2.10 225 New car registrations. Mns registrations. car New New LCV registrations, '000s registrations, LCV New 1.90 200 175 1.70 05 06 07 08 09 10 05 06 07 08 09 10 New car and CV output Recession caused sharp drop in vehicle output. Car production recovering, due to SIS. Up 64.8% in January. CV volumes down 55% in 2009. Output stable, at low level. UK car and CV production (Source SMMT) CV Total Export Car total Export 250 1.7 1.6 1.5 200 1.4 1.3 150 1.2 1.1 CV production, '000s production, CV Car production, Mns production, Car 1.0 100 0.9 0.8 50 0.7 05 06 07 08 09 10 05 06 07 08 09 10 Automotive Council The Automotive Council exists to help: Create a transformed business environment in the UK to provide a more compelling investment proposition for the related industries. Develop further the technology roadmaps for low carbon vehicles and fuels, and exploit opportunities to promote the UK as a strong candidate to develop these and other technologies. Develop a stronger and more competitive supply chain. Provide a stronger public voice for the industry to support the value of the industry to the UK and to global partners. Ensure a strategic, continuous conversation between Government and the Automotive industry. In addition the Automotive Council will address any matters agreed by the Chairmen. Automotive Council The Automotive Council Members: Richard Parry Jones (Chair) Dr Ralph Speth Jaguar Land Rover Gordon Murray (Deputy) Gordon Murray Design Joe Greenwell Ford Bill Parfitt GM Kenneth Keir Honda Trevor Mann Nissan Hermann Kaess Robert Bosch Nigel Stein GKN Auto Jürgen Hedrich BMW Graham Smith Toyota Jon Carling Aston Martin Franz-Josef Paefgen Bentley Dave Keene RDM Automotive/Niche Vehicles Group Gwenne Henricks Caterpillar Inc Andrea Paver Leyland Trucks Jerry Hardcastle Nissan (Chair of Technology Council) Barry Dodd Addpower Technologies/ GSM Group Paul Everitt SMMT John Miles ARUP Dave Osborne UNITE Brian Collins Chief Scientist, BIS & DfT Technology Council The Technology Council aims to help: Identify opportunities to provide a more compelling investment proposition for automotive R&D in the UK versus other countries. Agree on the technology roadmaps for low carbon vehicles and fuels, and exploit opportunities to promote the UK as a strong candidate to develop these technologies. Develop a stronger supply base through joint research on focused areas driven by a common agenda and by facilitating collaboration opportunities. In addition the Technology Group will address any matters agreed by the Automotive Council and Supply Chain Group. Technology Council The Technology Council Members: Jerry Hardcastle (Chair) Nissan Keith Austin Greater London Authority John Batterbee Energy Technologies Institute Jon Beasley GKN Hugh Blaxill MAHLE Powertrain Tudor Brown ARM Holdings Catherine Coates EPSRC John Cooper BP Robert Evans Cenex Erik Fairbairn Infrachange Steve Faulkner Caterpillar Nick Fell TATA Miguel Fragoso Millbrook Proving Ground George Gillespie MIRA Andrew Graves University of Bath Brian Gush Bentley Motors Tony Harper Jaguar Land Rover Graham Hoare Ford David Hytch Greater Manchester Transport Authority Neville Jackson Ricardo Allan McKenzie SMMT Charles Morgan Morgan Don Newton Axeon Theo Quick Logica Tony Spillane SAIC Motor UK Stephen Stacey Toyota Jim sumner Optare Calvey Taylor-Haw Elektomotive Henri Winand Intelligent Energy Simon Wood Lotus Engineering David Densley Scottish & Southern Energy Brian Collins BIS/DfT Technology Council Technology Roadmap EU Fleet Average 130 95 TBD CO2 Targets (g/km) Demonstrators Fuel Cell Vehicle H Infrastructure Fuel Cell & H2 Supply/Storage 2 Breakthrough Niche EVs Mass Market EV Technology Charging Infrastructure Energy Storage Breakthrough Demonstrators Plug-In Hybrid Energy Storage Breakthrough Full Hybrid Micro/Mild Hybrid IC Engine and Transmission innovations (gasoline/diesel/gas/renewables) Vehicle Weight and Drag Reduction 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Technology Council Common Research Agenda Technology Council The Technology Council aims to help: Supply Chain Council The Supply Chain Council exists to help: Build consensus on the challenges in the UK Supply Chain. Enhance the dialogue between OEMs, Tier 1s and the supply chain on present and future business priorities. Review the Technology Roadmap and develop a high level UK supply chain technology vision. Engage with those responsible for existing training and support budgets to seek to reflect these priorities. In addition the Supply Chain Group will address any matters agreed by the Automotive Council and the Technology Group. Supply Chain Council The Supply Chain Council Members: Bill Parfitt (Chair) GM Nigel Stein (Deputy Chair) GKN Automotive Mark Adams Toyota David Bell JCB Mike Carr East Midlands Development Agency Geoff Dale Industry Forum James Davies Calsonic Kansei Simon Griffiths MAS West Midlands Ian Harnett JLR Matthias Holweg Cambridge University Jon King Corus Automotive Engineering Indro Mukerjee C-MAC Micro-Technology Jim Rickard Michelin Keith Smith Plastic Products International Dermot Sterne Stadco Peter Stewart TI Automotive Yung Tran SMMT Engelbert Wimmer PA Consulting John Wingfield Flambeau Europlast SMMT Supply Chain Report Independent report on UK Supply Chain Key Findings: There is a genuine wish to increase UK sourcing, despite: - Hollowing out of UK industry. - And structural problems in the UK. Opportunities still exist for the UK. Three key reasons: - To reduce logistics costs & strain. - To reduce exchange rates risks. - To support new ULC technologies SMMT Supply Chain Report Supply-side gaps exist in new and old technologies : Key gaps in current technology: - Castings and forgings; alloy wheels, alternators & /starter motors, brake components, fasteners, plastic mouldings, stampings, sheet steel, transmission components, wiring. - Advanced air-conditioning, ECUs in general, safety (esp. airbags), satellite navigation. New, low carbon technology will require a new supply chain, not just for batteries, but also: - Wiring, motors, reducers, inverters. - Plus plastic and metal components which could be supplied from existing suppliers. Technology Strategy Board Ultra Low Carbon Demonstrator Programme £25m invested between DfT/OLEV, AWM, ONE, SEEDA and TSB to put 340 cars on the road by late 2009/early 2010 Outputs: ³5HDO:RUOG7HVWLQJ´WKURXJKLQ-vehicle logging. Exposure to multiple drivers and drive cycles. Opportunity to understand customer perceptions and concerns. Interface challenges with Infrastructure. Inform future demonstrator activity within LCV IDP. Office for Low Emission Vehicles Plug-in Car Grant z 25% up to a maximum of £5,000 This amount will be reviewed in Q1 2012 with any potential changes coming into effect April 2012 z Commencing January 2011 The funding can only be paid once the vehicle is delivered ± so this does allow pre-RUGHUV« z to March 2014 There is up to £230m - split across financial years. Current thinking is to manage any potential shortfall with a mechanism similar to that being used to wind down scrappage. Office for Low Emission Vehicles Plugged In Places ± EV Infrastructure Framework Up to £30m matched funding available. Supporting infrastructure implementation and learning across the UK. 3 locations already announced representing 11,000 charge points installed within 3 years: - London - Milton Keynes - North East Second round of bids to take place in Sept 2010. Technology Strategy Board Integrated Delivery Programme4 ± Ultra - Low Carbon Vehicle Technology and supply network development Competition 4 - Up to £19m for supply chain development. Collaborative Research and Development and Demonstration. ± Road based Transport ± On Vehicle technology ± Fund approx three to six projects Co-funded between the Office for Low Emission Vehicles and the Technology Strategy Board. SMMT Support Raise profile and promote importance of UK motor industry ± influence the direction of public policy on the issues of most concern to our industry. Provide business intelligence on the opportunities emerging in the global automotive industry ± reports, data and forecasts on key markets and customers. Help build closer relationships and promote networking opportunities for companies at all levels of the supply chain and with key funders and stakeholders. SMMT Support Provide guidance and advice so that companies can better access the support and funding that is available. Through SMMT Industry Forum, provide direct productivity improvements and training services to help companies maintain and develop their competitive edge. SMMT ASF database SMMT Automotive Supplier Finder (ASF) database being used to support the work of Supply Chain Council in understanding UK supply base and capabilities. SMMT have recently been supporting vehicle manufacturers find potential suppliers through ASF. We encourage you to keep your profile up-to-date so that we are able to best match your products and capabilities to buyers requirements. SMMT Support to WAF members Offer all Welsh Automotive Forum members free access WR6007¶VPHPEHUVHUYLFHVSURGXFWV - Support services - Business opportunities - Market intelligence www.smmt.co.uk/memberservices $FFHVVWR6007¶VPHPEHUVHUYLFHVWHDPIRUKHOSDQG advice. Paul Everitt Chief executive SMMT www.smmt.co.uk http://twitter.com/PauleverittSMMT.