PROCEEDING International Seminar on Marine : Implication of Climate Change in Coral Triangle Initiative (CTI) Region Denpasar, June 09– 10 , 2011 EDITORS COORDINATOR : Bambang Sukresno, M.Si EDITORIAL STAFF : Adi Wijaya, M.Si Camellia Kusuma Tito, S.Si Iis Triyulianti, M.Si Titri Yan Rizki, S.Si International Seminar on Marine Comittee ADDRESS : Institute for Marine Research and Observation Ministry of Marines Affairs and Fisheries Jalan Baru Perancak, Negara, Jembrana, BALI 82251 Phone : 0365-44266, 44275, Fax : 0365-44278 COPYRIGHTS : Institute for Marine Research and Observation Research and Development Center for Marine and Coastal Resources Agency for Marines and Fisheries Research and Development Ministry of Marines Affairs and Fisheries INDONESIA COVER DESIGN : Eko Susilo, S.Pi PHOTO BY : Institute for Marine Research and Observation - Climate Change Team ISBN 978-979-15873–8-9 Proceeding of International Seminar on Marine Implication of Climate Change in Coral Triangle Initiative (CTI) Region Denpasar, June 9–10 , 2011 Institute for Marine Research and Observation Ministry of Marines Affairs and Fisheries INDONESIA INTERNATIONAL SEMINAR ON MARINE 2011 Implications of Climate Change in the Coral Triangle Initiative's (CTI) Region CONTENTS Welcome Speech by Dr. Budi Sulistiyo (Head of Research and Development Centre for Marine and Coastal Resources) ......................................................................................................................i Preface....................................................................................................................................................................iii Contents.................................................................................................................................................................iv Keynote Speech Sustainable Management of Marine and Coastal Resources in CTI Region: Jamaluddin Jompa........................................................................................................................................................1 Research on Climate Change and Indonesian Ocean by Satellite Remote Sensing: Tasuku Tanaka..............................................................................................................................................................18 Integrated Earth Science and Technology to support Sustainable Marine and Coastal Resources Management in the Coral Triangle Initiative’s (CTI) Region: Eddy A. Subroto .............................................................................................................................................................36 The Ocean Dynamics In The CTI Region Ocean Observing Systems and Marine Technologies for Climate Change Monitoring in the CTI Region: Weidong Yu, Huiwu Wang and Xuelei Zhang ........................................................52 Biodiversity of Coral Reef Using Satellite Imagery in Case Study of Nusa Penida Island: Takahiro Osawa ....................................................................................................................................53 Observation Technology of Coral Reef from Small to Large Spatial Resolution: Nani Hendiarti, Marina Frederik, and M. Sadly.........................................................................................................63 Identification of Upwelling in CTI Region: Ivonne M. Radjawane, N.A. Gustaria and P. Suciati ................................................................................................................................................................................72 The Positive Indian Ocean Dipole and the Negative Indian Ocean Dipole Indicated by Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Analysis from Satellite and Mooring Data: Salvienty Makarim, Weidong Yu and Rameyo Adi........................................................................................87 Watermass Transport Variability of the Sunda Strait: Mutiara R. Putri and Titri Yan Rizki ....................................................................................................................................................................................88 Preliminary Study on Determination of Heat Exchange Coefficient in the Air – Sea Interaction Over the Java Sea: Furqon Alfahmi, D. K. Mihardja, and S. Wibisono ........................103 Prediction of Sea Level Rise Impacts Using GIS in the Coastal Areas of Surabaya: Viv Djanat Prasita and Engki Andri K ........................................................................................................................105 Turbulent Boundary Layer Characteristics for Near-shore Non-linier Waves: Suntoyo, Taufiqur Rachman and Darius Arkwright ..................................................................................121 Variation of Arlindo Transport and Thermocline Depth in the Makassar Strait: Pieldrie Nanlohy, D. K. Mihardja and Mutiara R. Putri...............................................................................130 Study About Arlindo Phenomenon at Seram Sea and The Correlation with Global Climate Change (La Nina and El Nino): Rama Wijaya, Firman Setiawan, dan Shifa Dini Fitriani.....................................................................................................................................................................136 The EOF Prediction of Shoreline Changes at Bangkalan: Darius Arkwright and Suntoyo..............................................................................................................................................................................146 Sea Level Rise Phenomenon and its Connection with the Reef Flat Forming Processes in Java Sea: Subaktian Lubis, et. al ...............................................................................................157 Operationalization of Marine Observation Stations in CTI Region: Mukti Trenggono and Bayu Priyono .................................................................................................................................................178 iv INTERNATIONAL SEMINAR ON MARINE 2011 Implications of Climate Change in the Coral Triangle Initiative's (CTI) Region Detecting Fishing Ground of Indian Mackerel (Rastreliger Kanagurta) by Using Oceanographic Parameter in Flores Sea, South Sulawesi: Musbir and Liestity Fachrudin .........................................................................................................................................................................188 Observation of SST Variability and Their Relationship with ENSO over Coral Triangle Region Using Satellite Data: Masita Dwi Mandini Manessa and A. Rahman As-syukur.............199 Monthly Prediction of Bigeye Tuna’s Potential Fishing Ground Using Oceanographic Satellites, Argo Floats, Statistical Model and GIS: Teja Arief Wibawa and Takahiro Osawa.................................................................................................................................................................................213 The Vulnerability of CTI Region to Climate Change Ecosystem-based Management of Marine and Coastal Resources in the CTI Region by Adopting Fisheries Management Areas Framework: Sugiarta Wirasantosa, Duto Nugroho and Andreas A. Hutahaean ................................................................................................................225 On Aspect of Climate Change Impact on Coastal Areas in Indonesia: Safwan Hadi, et.al .....................................................................................................................................................................................226 Residual Water Level along Northern Coasts of Java and Its Relation to Storm Events (Case Study: Jakarta, Semarang, and Surabaya Waters in November – December 2007): Nining S. Ningsih, Wisaksono Suryo, and Suci Dewi Anugrah .................................................258 Preliminary Study on Climate Change Responses on Eastern Indonesian Seawater Properties by Using ARGO Data: Lamona I Bernawis and Ivonne M. Radjawane........................259 Analysis Driving Force for Flood in Citarum Catchment Area Related to Global Climate Change: Plato Martuani Siregar and Tenike Nanza Apria .....................................................270 The Role of BMKG in Anticipation the Impact of Climate Change for Supporting the Management of Coral Triangle Initiative (CTI) Area: Widada Sulistiyo .........................................298 Coral Triangle in a High CO2 World: Its Potency as Blue Carbon: Andreas A. Hutahaean, Sugiarta Wirasantosa,and Blue Carbon Team ....................................................................310 Monthly Variation of CO2 in the CTI region: Fitri Suciaty and Mutiara R. Putri..........................311 Potential Damage to Coral Reefs (Coral Bleaching) Global Warming on Coral Reef Triangle Area: Noir P. Purba, Satrio Hadisnugroho, and Dwijayanti Arum Sari...........................312 Impacts of Climate Shift in the Mid-1970s on Interdecadal Rainfall Variations in Indonesia: Tri Wahyu Hadi and Made Santriyani........................................................................................324 Biodiversity of Seaweed and Their Metal Contains from Litoral Zone of South Sulawesi Waters: Khusnul Yaqin , Ikbal Burhanuddin and Wasir Samad.......................................331 Element at Risk Inventory of Coastal Area due to Climate Change Triggered Hazard Using Remote Sensing Data: Jumadi and Priyono